• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.351-351
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• 2021

저수지에 대한 비상대처계획수립은 최근 기상이변 등에 따른 대규모 호우가 빈번히 발생하고 있을 뿐만 아니라 세계 도처에서 대규모 지진 등으로 많은 인명과 재산 피해가 속출함에 따라 지진 및 이상홍수에 대한 저수지의 안정성 평가를 수행하고 저수지 지점에서 발생할 수 있는 천재지변 또는 예상치 못한 대규모 재해에 효율적으로 대처하기 위한 비상상황의 등급 및 위험수준을 체계적으로 판단하고 비상상황 가상 시나리오별 체계적 행동요령 및 대처계획을 수립하여 저수지 붕괴에 따른 대규모 홍수피해 예상지역 주민들의 신속한 대응으로 생명과 재산피해를 최소화하는데 목적이 있다. 현행 한국농어촌공사 및 지자체에서 수립하고 있는 30만 톤 이상 저수지에 대한 1차원 모형 기반의 EAP수립은 침수구역을 산정할 때 수치지도에 의한 단일 침수심 분석으로 실제 침수구역과는 많은 오류가 나타난다. 이는 침수구역 부정확에 따른 피해복구액 산정이 과다로 책정될 수 있고, 마지막으로 가장 중요한 비상대처계획 수립에 막대한 영향을 미친다. 이에 본 연구는 댐 붕괴에 대응하기 위한 EAP 수립 시 기본이 되는 홍수범람해석을 수행하고 1차원 및 2차원 모형의 결과검토를 통해 보다 효과적인 비상대처계획의 수립을 위한 방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 경천저수지 유역을 대상으로 가능최대강수량 조건 하에서 가능최대홍수량을 산정하고 DAMBRK 모형을 이용하여 댐 붕괴 모의를 위한 시나리오 구성 및 모의를 수행하였다. 이후 댐 붕괴 모의결과를 이용하여 WMS(Watershed Modeling System) 모형을 이용한 1차원 홍수범람해석과 FLUMEN(FLUvial Modeling ENgine) 모형을 이용한 2차원 홍수범람해석에 적용 후 각 결과를 비교·검토하였다.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.861-872
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• 2022

The purpose of this study was to establish a complex disaster scenario that can comprehensively consider various disaster situations that may occur in the utility tunnel. Method: In order to comprehensively consider the correlation between disasters, a composite disaster scenario was derived from a combination of damage factors, respectively. A risk assessment was performed in order to derive the priorities of the scenarios. And based on the results, the priorities of complex disaster scenarios were set. Result: Based on the disaster cases in the utility tunnel, a plan was prepared for complex disaster scenarios centered on damage. A complex disaster scenario was specified using a semi-quantitative evaluation method for single and multiple disaster factors such as fire, flooding, and earthquake. Conclusion: The composite disaster scenario derived from this study can be used for the prevention and preparation of damage when the precursor symptoms of a disaster are detected. In addition, the results of this study are expected to be used as basic data for preparing strategic plans and preparing complex disaster response technologies to induce rapid response and recovery in case of emergency disasters.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.273-282
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• 2023

Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has been widely used to evaluate the seismic risk of nuclear power plants (NPPs). However, studies on seismic PSA for process plants, such as gas plants, oil refineries, and chemical plants, have been scarce. This is because the major disasters to which these process plants are vulnerable include explosions, fires, and release (or dispersion) of toxic chemicals. However, seismic PSA is essential for the plants located in regions with significant earthquake risks. Seismic PSA entails probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), event tree analysis (ETA), fault tree analysis (FTA), and fragility analysis for the structures and essential equipment items. Among those analyses, ETA can depict the accident sequence for core damage, which is the worst disaster and top event concerning NPPs. However, there is no general top event with regard to process plants. Therefore, PSA cannot be directly applied to process plants. Moreover, there is a paucity of studies on developing fragility curves for various equipment. This paper introduces PSA for gas plants based on FTA, which is then transformed into Bayesian network, that is, a probabilistic graph model that can aid risk-informed decision-making. Finally, the proposed method is applied to a gas plant, and several decision-making cases are demonstrated.

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.331-337
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• 2023

Due to the aging of a building, 38.8% (about 2.82 million buildings) of the total buildings are old for more than 30 years after completion and are located in a blind spot for an inspection, except for buildings subject to regular legal inspection (about 3%). Such existing buildings require users to self-inspect themselves and make efforts to take preemptive risks. The scope of this study was defined as the general public's visual self-inspection of buildings and was limited to structural members that affect the structural stability of old buildings. This study categorized possible damage to reinforced concrete to check the structural safety of buildings and proposed a checklist to prevent the damage. A damage assessment methodology was presented during the inspection, and a self-inspection scenario was tested through a chatbot connection. It is believed that it can increase the accessibility and convenience of non-experts and induce equalized results when performing inspections, according to the chatbot guide.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.243-254
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• 2017

Recently, discussions about the guarantee of smart ecological environment have been started in S. Korea. These discussions are becoming more and more popular in the aspect of ubiquitous administrative spatial informatization in utilization using big data as a new paradigm due to the rapid change of information and communication technology, such as the start of smart society and the ubiquitous era. In addition, there is a growing interest in discussing environmental and disaster preservation in terms of ubiquitous smart city construction in smart society. In thisstudy, by applying 'scenario planning' as a foresight method, we have developed a desirable future vision for ubiquitous administrative spatial informatization in terms of preservation of disaster of Kori nuclear power plant like earthquake. In order to establish a high level of city disaster prevention level in S. Korea in 2030 when the big data and big data System will be further intensified in the future, it is necessary to develop advanced ICT city disaster prevention system with big data administrative spatial informatization in terms ofsmart ecological city construction.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.35 no.12
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• pp.135-145
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• 2019

The slope collapse can be classified into internal and external factors. Internal factors are engineering factors inherent in the formation of slopes such as soil depth, slope angle, shear strength of soil, and external factors are external loading such as earthquakes. The external factor for earthquake can be expressed by various values such as peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), Arias coefficient (I), natural period (T_p), and spectral acceleration (S_aT=1.0). Specially, PGA is the most typical value that defines the magnitude of the ground motion of an earthquake. However, it is not enough to consider the displacement in the slope which depends on the duration of the earthquake even if the vibration has the same peak ground acceleration. In this study, numerical analysis of two-dimensional plane strain conditions was performed on engineered block, and slope responses due to seismic motion of scaling PGA to 0.2 g various event scenarios was analyzed. As a result, the response of slope is different depending on the presence or absence of sliding block; it is shown that slope response depend on the seismic wave triggering sliding block than the input motion factors.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.368-368
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• 2020

최근 초대형화 되어 나타나고 있는 이상홍수와 지진 등에 의한 저수지 붕괴와 같은 대규모 비상상황 발생으로 하류지역 주민의 생명과 재산의 피해가 발생하고 있다. 국내의 경우 1996년 이후로 지속적으로 발생하고 있는 이상홍수로 인해 1998년에는 40개,1999년에는 5개의 소규모 저수지가 붕괴되었으며 최근 2013년과 2014년에도 저수지가 붕괴되는 상황이 발생했다. 댐붕괴의 원인은 구조물의 자연적 노화, 극심한 강우나 홍수, 지진, 제체전도, 파이핑, 침윤발생, 월류 및 파랑 등에 의한 자연적 상황 등이 요인이 될 수 있으며, 시공결함, 사고 또는 전쟁과 같은 인위적인 요인으로 발생할 수도 있다. 과거에 설계 및 시공기술이 부족하였거나 경제적인 이유로 부실하게 건설되어 있는 댐이 세계적으로 산재되어 있어 잠재적인 위험을 상당수 내재하고 있는 실정이다. 본연구는 댐의 점진적인 파괴에 의해 발생하는 유출수문곡선을 구하고 파괴의 성질을 예측 및 홍수파를 수리학적으로 추적하기위해 BREACH 모형과 DAMBRK 모형을 사용했으며 극한홍수(PMF)조건과와 최대지진발생(MCE)조건을 적용하여 원주시 관내 저수지 붕괴 모의 시나리오를 구축했다. 저수지 붕괴에 따른 유출수문곡선을 유도하기 위해서 본 연구에서는 기존의 EAP보고서 자료를 참고하여 붕괴지속시간, 붕괴부 평균폭, 붕괴부 측벽면 경사의 변화에 따라 다양한 모의를 수행함으로써 발생되는 붕괴부 유량 수문곡선을 도출하여 각각의 조건들이 붕괴파 형성에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 저수지의 붕괴시 첨두유출량에 민감한 영향을 주는 인자는 붕괴지속시간과, 붕괴부 평균폭으로서 이들 값이 붕괴유출량 변화에 많은 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 최대지진발생(MCE)조건 해석결과 홍수류의 범람으로 인해 홍수파가 하류측으로 진행할수록 완만히 감소하며, 하천 중·상류부 인근 제내지로 홍수류의 범람이 발생하는 것으로 검토되었으며, 극한홍수(PMF)조건 해석결과 최대지진발생(MCE)조건과 같이 홍수파가 하류측으로 진행할수록 완만히 감소하는 특성을 보이며, 하천 전체 구간에서 인근제내지로 홍수류의 범람이 발생하는 것으로 검토되었다. 본 연구는 침수구역 피해규모 산정 및 비상대처계획도를 작성시 기초데이터가 되어 상황별 피해예상지역에 대해 응급행동요령, 주민대피계획비상대처계획을 수립하여 지역 주민생활에 안정을 기여하고자 한다.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.31-41
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• 2018

This study aims to analyze region-based pedestrian evacuation behaviors and information offering effect using Social Force Model, which is micro simulation. All pedestrians were assumed to move to shelters through pedestrian roads according to guidance information at emergency situations, and the pedestrians were classified into adults and the handicapped. According to the results of the road network analysis and simulation analysis, the shelters to which pedestrians can move within the shortest time from each zone were selected as optimum shelters. From this study, the analysis showed that the information provision effects are informative even though total evacuation time increases due to the increase of pedestrian conflict. This study can be used as baseline data for urban area's pedestrian disaster prevention plans.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2008.02a
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• pp.261-263
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• 2008

Determining the most likelihood earthquake scenario in one region is very important for performing an earthquake-resistant design. The most likelihood earthquake scenario can be selected by performing deaggregation, who classifies earthquakes that occur ground motion exceeding a specific acceleration as each distance and each earthquake magnitude. If earthquakes are classified, the most likelihood earthquake scenario can be selected. Earthquake hazard analysis method that have to be performed before deaggregation follows the method that Ministry of Construction & Transportation presented. As a result of performing deaggregation at longitude 127.35 and latitude 34.7, presentable seismic ground motion scenarios can be selected at each recurrence period.

• Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.89-96
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• 2018

The paper presents the damage estimation of bridge structures in Daegu city based on the scenario-based earthquakes. Since the fragility curves for domestic bridge strucures are limited, the Hazus methodology is employed to derive the fragility curves and estimate the damage. A total of four earthuquake scenarios near Daegu city are assumed and structure damage is investigated for 81 bridge structures. The seismic fragility function and damage level of each bridge had adopted from the analytical method in HAZUS and then, the damage probability using seismic fragility function for each bridge was evaluated. It was concluded that the seismic damage to bridges was higher when the magnitude of the earthquake was large or nearer to the epicenter.