• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지역주민에 의한

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Real-Time Flood Forecasting Using Neuro-Fuzzy in Medium and Small Streams (Neuro-Fuzzy를 이용한 중.소하천 실시간 홍수예측)

  • Choi, Seung-Yong;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.262-262
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    • 2011
  • 최근 들어 지구환경 변화에 따른 이상기후의 영향으로 태풍 및 집중호우로 인한 하천범람 등 홍수재해에 의한 인명과 재산의 피해가 급증하고 있다. 특히 한반도 지역에서는 집중호우와 태풍과 같은 이상강우로 인한 홍수피해의 발생이 매년 나타나고 있으며 홍수피해의 빈도와 강도는 증가하고 있는 실정이다. 이러한 상황에서 극심한 기상이변으로 인하여 발생되는 이상홍수의 예측에 관한 사항은 치수 이수는 물론 친수관점에서 볼 때 하천관리의 측면에서 매우 중요한 관심사로 부각되고 있다. 특히 홍수예측은 주민의 대피 및 통제, 시설물의 보호 등을 위해 충분한 선행시간을 확보할 수 있는 실시간적 관점에서의 홍수예측 및 관리가 중요하다. 기존의 수문학적 강우-유출 모형은 비선형성이 강하고 유역의 지형학적 인자와 기후학적 인자의 영향을 포함하기 때문에 정확한 예측이 어렵고 유출량을 계산하기 위한 유역추적, 저수지추적 및 하도추적의 각 추적과정에서 크고 작은 오차들이 발생하고 그것들이 누적되어 유출 모형의 해석 결과에는 많은 오차들이 포함되어 있다는 문제점이 있다. 또한 주로 유역 면적이 크고 홍수의 도달시간이 긴 대하천의 홍수예측에는 기존의 강우-유출 모형이 적당한 방법임에도 불구하고 유역면적이 작은 중소하천에 적용됨으로써 많은 불확실성을 포함하고 있으며 충분한 선행시간을 확보하지 못하는 문제점을 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 중소하천에서의 기존의 홍수예경보가 가지고 있는 문제점을 해결하기 위해 실시간 수위측정 자료 및 강우자료를 이용한 간단한 입력자료 만으로도 홍수예측이 가능한 뉴로-퍼지(Neuro-Fuzzy) 모형을 구축하여 충분한 선행시간을 확보함으로써 중소하천에서 의 실시간 홍수예측이 가능한 시스템을 구성하여 실시간으로 구동되는 효율적인 홍수예경보 시스템을 개발하고자 하였다. 임진강 유역을 대상으로 기존의 강우-유출 모형이 요구하는 유역의 물리적, 지형 자료 및 매개변수와 같은 광범위한 양의 자료를 배제하고, 유역의 강우 자료와 수위자료만으로 유역의 중요지점에 대한 홍수위 및 홍수량을 예측할 수 있는 뉴로-퍼지 모형을 구축하고 대상 유역에 적용하여 실측치와 비교 검증하였다.

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Applicability Evaluation of One- and Two-dimensional Flood Inundation Analysis Models to Establish an Emergency Action Plan for Agricultural Reservoirs (농업용저수지 EAP 수립을 위한 1·2차원 홍수범람해석모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Dae Eop;Kim, Jae Young;Lee, Gi Ha;Jung, Sung Ho;Yeon, Min Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.351-351
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    • 2021
  • 저수지에 대한 비상대처계획수립은 최근 기상이변 등에 따른 대규모 호우가 빈번히 발생하고 있을 뿐만 아니라 세계 도처에서 대규모 지진 등으로 많은 인명과 재산 피해가 속출함에 따라 지진 및 이상홍수에 대한 저수지의 안정성 평가를 수행하고 저수지 지점에서 발생할 수 있는 천재지변 또는 예상치 못한 대규모 재해에 효율적으로 대처하기 위한 비상상황의 등급 및 위험수준을 체계적으로 판단하고 비상상황 가상 시나리오별 체계적 행동요령 및 대처계획을 수립하여 저수지 붕괴에 따른 대규모 홍수피해 예상지역 주민들의 신속한 대응으로 생명과 재산피해를 최소화하는데 목적이 있다. 현행 한국농어촌공사 및 지자체에서 수립하고 있는 30만 톤 이상 저수지에 대한 1차원 모형 기반의 EAP수립은 침수구역을 산정할 때 수치지도에 의한 단일 침수심 분석으로 실제 침수구역과는 많은 오류가 나타난다. 이는 침수구역 부정확에 따른 피해복구액 산정이 과다로 책정될 수 있고, 마지막으로 가장 중요한 비상대처계획 수립에 막대한 영향을 미친다. 이에 본 연구는 댐 붕괴에 대응하기 위한 EAP 수립 시 기본이 되는 홍수범람해석을 수행하고 1차원 및 2차원 모형의 결과검토를 통해 보다 효과적인 비상대처계획의 수립을 위한 방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 경천저수지 유역을 대상으로 가능최대강수량 조건 하에서 가능최대홍수량을 산정하고 DAMBRK 모형을 이용하여 댐 붕괴 모의를 위한 시나리오 구성 및 모의를 수행하였다. 이후 댐 붕괴 모의결과를 이용하여 WMS(Watershed Modeling System) 모형을 이용한 1차원 홍수범람해석과 FLUMEN(FLUvial Modeling ENgine) 모형을 이용한 2차원 홍수범람해석에 적용 후 각 결과를 비교·검토하였다.

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Petrochmical study on the Volcanic Rocks Related to Depth to the Benioff Zone and Crustal Thickness in the Kyongsang Basin, Korea: A Review (경상분지 화산암류의 지화학적 연구. 섭입대(베니오프대)의 깊이와 지각의 두께)

  • Jong Gyu Sung
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.323-337
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    • 1999
  • Late Cretaceous to early Tertiary volcanic rocks in the Kyongsang basin exhibit high-K calc-alkaline characteristics, and originated from the magmatism related genetically to subduction of Kula-Pacific plate. They represent HFSE depletion and LlLE enrichment characteristics as shown by magmas related to subduction. Early studies on the depth of magma generation has been estimated as 180-230 km based on K-h relation should be reevaluated, because the depth of peridotite partial melting with 0.4 wt. % water is 80-120 km at subduction zone, and subducting slab in premature arc can melted even lower than 70 km. Moreover the increase of potassium contents depends on either contamination of crustal material and fluids of subducting slab or low degree of partial melting. If the inclination of subduction zone is 30 degrees and the depth to the Benioff zone is 180-230 km, the calculated distance between the volcanic zone and trench axis would be 310-400 km. It is unlikely because the distance between the Kyongsang basin and trench during late Cretaceous to early Tertiary is closer than this value and not comparable with generally-accepted models in subduction zone magmatism. $K_{55}$ of the volcanics in the Kyongsang basin is 0.3-2.3 wt.% and the average indicate that the depth ranges between 80-170 km on the diagram of Marsh, Carmichael (1974). Fractionation from garnet lherzolite, assumed the depth of 180-230km, is not consistent with the REE patterns of the volcanoes in the Kyongsang basin. Futhermore, the range of depth suggested by many workers, who studied magmatism related to subduction, imply shallower than this depth. Crustal thickness calculated by the content of CaO and $Na_2O$ is about 30 km and about 35 km, respectively. Paleo-crustal thickness during late Cretaceous to early Tertiary times in the Kyongsang basin inferred about 30 km calculated by La/Sm versus LaJYb data, which is also supported by many previous studies.

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Comparison of Estimated Daily Dietary Intake of Dioxins in Coastal, Rural, and Urban District (어촌, 농촌, 도시 지역별 주민의 식품을 통한 다이옥신의 섭취량 추정)

  • Park, Jung-Duck;Huang, Ming-Ai;Im, Ruth;Choi, Byung-Sun;Yang, Jae-Ho;Bae, Yun-Jung;Jun, Ye-Sook;Choi, Mi-Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.325-332
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    • 2008
  • The human population is mainly exposed to dioxins through the diet. The purpose of this study was to estimate the daily dietary intake of PCDDs and PCDFs in Korean adults residing in different regions. Subjects were recruited and divided into three groups according to the districts where they lived: rural (n=213), coastal (n=193), and urban district (n=187). Subjects were interviewed using a general questionnaire and 24-hour recall for dietary intake. The daily intake of dioxins was estimated through the use of the database of dioxins contents in 35 Korean foods. The average age of the subjects were 61.5 years for coastal district, 57.6 years for rural district, and 49.4 years for urban district. Daily energy intake was 1707.7 kcal for rural district, 1596.5 kcal for urban district, and 1493.8 kcal for coastal district. There was no significant difference in total food intake by regions. The intakes from fishes of coastal district, those from cereals, vegetables, meats, and seasonings of rural district, and those from sugars, pulses, eggs, seaweeds, milks, oils of urban area were higher than those of the other two districts. The daily dioxins intake of coastal district (0.70 pgTEQ/kg/day) was significantly higher than those of rural district (0.32 pgTEQ/kg/day) and urban district (0.46 pgTEQ/kg/day). The dioxins intake from cereals, pulses, vegetables, fishes of coastal district and those from eggs and milks of urban area were the highest among the districts. The daily dioxins intake was positively correlated with the intakes of meats, eggs, fishes, oils, and seasonings. Therefore, it could be concluded that the daily dioxins intake of coastal district is higher than that in other districts and the fish is one of the main sources in dioxin intakes. However, daily dioxins intakes of the three regions were below the level of tolerable daily intake (TDI).

Oral Cleft Risk Factors in Rural Area of Indonesia(Sintang) (인도네시아 농촌지역의 구순구개열 위험요인 사례조사)

  • Park, Dae-jin;Lim, Young-soo;Oh, Jee-young;Koh, Kwang-Wook;Song, Sung-Eun;Jo, Eun-Joo
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.187-208
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    • 2006
  • Objectives: This study was carried out to evaluate the risk factors of Oral cleft and to inspect the living environments of the rural areas of Sintang, Indonesia Methods: During 3 to 9 August 2004, A questionnaire survey was done for the risk factors of oral cleft. Case group was composed of 11 oral cleft patients who admitted Missionary Hospital whose mother's bloods were analyzed for anemia and hyperlipidemia. Control group was composed of 56 reproductive rural women recruited from near rural villages. Also we surveyed 4 rural areas of Indonesia with simple water test kits. $x^2-test$ for significant difference was analysed. Results: Drinking water was statistically significant risk factor(p<0.05) of oral cleft. Other factors had no statistical significancy. The kind of drinking water was river-originated water. In rural villages, water sanitation state, even boiled water, was very poor. Although $NO_2-N$, $NO_3-N$ was negative, E. coli-form microorganisms were strongly positive in most samples. Total food intake amount was not enough, and vitamin supplements were also under the need. Conclusions: Drinking the contaminated river-water around pregnancy was supposed to be one of the risk factors of oral cleft in Indonesia. Further study is needed for nitrate and mercury.

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Distribution and Interrelationship of Smoking, Drinking, and Physical Exercising among Some Rural Adult, an Application of the Transtheoretical Model (행동수정의 단계적 변화론 모형(Transtheoretical Model)에 의한 일부 농촌성인의 흡연, 음주 및 운동행태 분포와 상호 관련성)

  • Lee, Moo-Sik;Lee, Young-Sung;Shin, Hyun-Hwa;Lee, Kun-Sei;Yoon, Seok-Jun;Jung, Ki-Hweon;Kim, Eun-Young;Chun, Byung-Chul
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.113-131
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    • 2000
  • Transtheoretical model of change has been proven very effective in explaining both the acquisition and cessation of many health related behaviors. The objectives of this study were to describe the distribution of smokers by stage of change of smoking, alcoholic drinking, and exercising in rural residents and to develope health promotion strategies. This study was done in Okchun County of Chungbuk Province. The representative sample were 892 residents over 30 years old. The questionnaires of interview included socio-demographic, the six stage distribution of smoking, alcoholic drinking, and exercising. In male, 50.6% of smokers were in the precontemplation stage, 32.5% in the contemplation. In female, corresponding figures were 60.6% and 28.8%. Precontemplation and contemplation stage of drinker were 72.8%, 19.3% in male and 80.3%, 15.5%. Distribution of exercise were 80.6%, 1.8% in male, 87.6%, 1.2% in female, respectively. The stage distribution of smoker, alcoholic drinker, and exerciser was shift to left of the distribution. And the stage distribution was slightly differ with each health behavior. The stage of change with smoking, drinking and exercising was correlated with each other but not concordant. So interventions in rural residents need to take into account the large proportion of precontemplators repeatedly observed among smoker, drinker, and non-exerciser. And intervention strategies of each risk behavior should be different approach. Result of concordance analysis suggest reconstruct validity of the transtheoretical model in our country due to ethnic and sociocultural difference. This results and theory should be tested in prospective intervention studies for seeking the possible gateway of health behavior.

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Analysis of Growth Environment on Old Tree, a Natural Monument in Gyeongsangbuk-do (경북지역의 천연기념물 노거수 생육현황 분석)

  • Kim, Tae Sik;Cho, Sun Hee;Kang, Hee Jin
    • Korean Journal of Heritage: History & Science
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.190-211
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to provide the preliminary data for maintenance of old trees of natural monuments and establishing protection projects. Accordingly, growth conditions, location circumstances, environment and protection management were analyzed for old trees at 34 sites in Gyeongsangbuk-do. Tree forms, crown, trunk and trees' health, leaves volume were analyzed in survey sites. As the results, the growth of Picrasma quassioides in Songsadong, Andong-si and Catalpa ovata in Hongwon-ri, Cheongsong-gun were not in good condition, along with other old trees of 6 cities (Quercus variabilis in Susan-ri, Uljin-gun, Juniperus chinensis in Hujeong-ri, Uljin-gun, Pyrus ussuriensis in Ssangjeon-ri, Uljin-gun, Salix glandulosa var. pilosa in Deokchon-ri, Cheongdo-gun, Pinus densiflora for. multicaulis in Hwasan-ri, Mungyeong-si, Pinus densiflora in Daeha-ri, Mungyeong-si). Accoding to these results, protection project and consistent monitoring are necessary. The analysis results of growth conditions per location circumstances showed that the old trees in the small spaces with large traffic of people were in bad condition. Therefore, it is necessary to secure sufficient space and soil improvement for such trees. The analysis results of growth conditions per species showed that Zelkova serrata, Quercus spp., Pinus densiflora are in good condition while Salix koreensis and others, i.e. a singular tree, are in poor condition. Thus, relatively smaller individuals and separately situated trees need careful management in their protection. The analysis results of trunk's growth ratio showed that Pinus densiflora, Ginkgo biloba, Zelkova serrata are in good condition whereas Juniperus chinensis, Quercus variabilis, Salix koreensis are not. It is a recent trend that tree surgeries are gradually decreasing; there are a number of damaged trees with no maintenance/management, and several sites requiring mend trunks management and cabling, bracing in protection and management projects. Hence, in the future, local government and management organizations should plan for systematic management and establish a protection plan for the natural monument trees. Also, 12 sites were found to be in need to purchase lands in order to secure the growth spaces, and since most of these areas are available for purchase, it is needed to promote a budget and purchase those areas through persuasion of the owner. These areas seems crucial in order to maximize the effect of conservation efforts and budgets for the preservation and restoration of the old trees.

Trends of Cancer Mortality in Gyeongsangbuk - do from 1991 to 1998 (경상북도 주민의 암사망 추이)

  • Kim, Byung-Guk;Lee, Sung-Kook;Kim, Tea-Woong;Lee, Do-Young;Lee, Kyeong-Soo
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.59-78
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    • 2001
  • Data on reported cancer mortality in the Gyeongsangbuk- do province from 1991 to 1998 were collected and analyzed using the existing mortality reporting system as well as the public health network to furnish accurate data on reported cancer death and to collect data to establish a high quality district health plan. The overall crude death rate in Gyeongsangbuk province in 1991 was 74.56 deaths per 100,000-person but this rate increased to 79.22 in 1998. Among the deaths, the overall death rate of cancer was 16.7% in 1991, which increased to 19.3% in 1998; specifically the death rate of men increased from 19.4% in 1991 to 22.3% in 1998 while that of women increased from 12.4% in 1991 to 15.5% in 1998, showing a more increase among women. The types of cancer and associated death rates in 1991 were gastric cancer(41.5%), followed by liver cancer (28.8%), and lung and bronchogenic carcinoma(8.7%) and in 1998, gastric cancer (24.7%), followed by liver cancer(22.7%), lung and bronchogenic carcinoma(19.3%), showing the same order. For men and women, gastric cancer(40.2% and 44.7%, respectively) was the most common cancer death, followed by liver cancer(33.7% and 16.7%, respectively), and lung and bronchogenic carcinoma(10.2% and 5.0%, respectively) in 1991. However, in 1998, gastric cancer(27.8%) was still the most common type among both men and women, followed by liver cancer (18.5%) and lung and bronchogenic carcinoma(12.7%), showing the most decrease in gastric cancer but most increase in lung and bronchogenic carcinoma. The age- adjusted mortality rates by gastric cancer, hepatoma, laryngeal carcinoma were decreased in both male and female, and also uterine cancer was decreased in female. The age- adjusted mortality rates by lung and bronchogenic carcinoma, pancreatic cancer, rectal cancer were increased in both male and female, and also breast cancer was increased in female. The calculated overall age-adjusted death rate based on the 1995 population was 84.25 in 1991, which decreased to 77.67 in 1998. Male death rate decreased significantly from 119.81 in 1991 to 101.82 in 1998 while the female death rate increased from 48.64 in 1991 to 53.80 in 1998. A census of cancer death rate using accurate death records is important for the establishment of proper and high-quality district health and medical plan and policy. The effort to improve the accuracy of death reports using the health facility network, as had been attempted by this study, can be continued. Furthermore, there must be a way for the Health and Welfare Department to use the death reports to improve the present reporting system. Lastly, additional studies need to be conducted to investigate how much the accuracy was improved by the supplemented death reports in this study.

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Introduction of Integrated Coastal Management Program and Sustainable Development of Fishing Villages in Cheonsu Bay Region (연안통합관리계획의 도입과 천수만 어촌의 지속가능발전)

  • 김부성
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.184-205
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    • 2003
  • Sustainable Development(SD) is an important concept for the future of the coastal area, and for development of fishing villages. Since 1992 UN Conference on Environment and Development in Rio de Janeiro many governments and local authorities throughout the world have been engaged in preparing and implementing $\ulcorner$Agenda 21$\lrcorner$. Many projects which previously would have been identified as environmental protection are now presented under the banner of sustainable development. Integrated Coastal Management (ICM) is an extension of sustainable development. ICM was presented as a framework for resolution of coastal use conflicts. The aim of the present paper is to assess sustainable development potential of fishing villages in Cheonsu Bay Region according to implementation of ICM. Cheonsu Bay Region was known as one of the productive fishing grounds and Cheonsu Bay Region preserved unique characteristics of traditional fishing villages. But this region is now experiencing many changes through the massive reclamation projects like Seosan A B Project. After a brief overview of concepts and history of SD and ICM, the reclamation process and its impacts on both fishery and fishing communities in Cheonsu Bay Region are discussed. According to their changing environmental and socio-economic characteristics after the reclamation, ca 35 representative coastal villages in this region can be classified into 5 types. Many coastal villages shows diversity in their economic activities, as tourism and recreation function becomes more and more important in this region. In present-day Cheonsu Bay Region, it is possible to differentiate fishing village cooperatives(FVO) with high potential of sustainable fishery development, FVOs with medium potential, FVOs with low potential on the basis of 14 selected indicators.

Development of Integrated Hydraulic/Hydrologic Model with HyGIS (HyGIS와 연계한 수리/수문통합 모형의 개발)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Ahn, Ki-Hong;Kim, Kyung-Rock;Park, Hong-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.840-845
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 수리.수문 모형화에서의 시공간 자료 분석기술 개발에 관한 연구로서, 국내 GIS엔진인 GeoMania를 기반으로 하여 개발된 HyGIS와 수리.수문 연계모형을 확립하였으며, 주요 연구 결과로, 현재 국내에서 가장 보편적이고 광범위하게 적용되고 있는 HEC-HMS 모형과 HEC-RAS 모형을 선정하여 사용자의 편의성을 도모하고, 모형의 입 출력 구조, GIS와의 연계방안 등을 분석하여 제시하였다. 또한 HyGIS-HMS 모형과 HEC-RAS 모형의 개발은 국내 GIS엔진인 GeoMania-Pro와 Add-ON 방식으로 연계되어 구동되며, 입력자료는 GeoMania-Pro 프로그램 상에서 GUI에 의한 대화식으로 구성되었다. 하나의 시스템 상에서 DEM의 구축과 종합적인 유역분석 및 체계적인 하천에 대한 지형학적 자료구축과정을 제시하였고, 국내 하천유역 및 하도망의 Geo DB와 연계되는 시스템으로 구성하였다. Thiessen 계수 계산 결과에 신뢰성을 제고하였고, CN값 구성과정은 국내 유역상황과 자료구축과정에 적합하도록 개발하였다. 또한, GRID를 이용한 하천에 대한 지형학적 자료구축 과정에 있어 보다 정확한 계산이 가능하도록 구성되었고, HyGIS-HMS 모형 및 HyGIS-RAS 모형에 대한 입력자료의 구성이 편리하도록 GUI를 이용한 입력자료 구성 모듈이 적용되었고, 이러한 입력자료가 파일로 구성이 되어 각 모형에 적용될 수 있는 형태로 구성되었다. 본 연구는 HEC-HMS 및 HEC-RAS를 이용한 HyGIS-HMS 모형과 HyGIS-RAS 모형을 개발함로써 국내유역에 대한 수리 수문 모델링시 사용자들이 하나의 GIS 엔진상에서 필요한 제반사항을 모두 구현할 수 있도록 구성되어, 엔지니어링 회사, 수자원기술자, 수자원관련 연구자들에 의해서 활용될 수 있을 것이다.이 보다 향상될 것이다.>에서 $0.0190m^3/s$로, 갈수량$(Q_{355})$$0.0176m^3/s$에서 $0.0189m^3/s$로 약 7%가 증가하는 것으로 분석되었다. 결과로부터 침투 트렌치는 저수량 및 갈수량을 증가시키는 보조수단이 될 수 있다.해 보았다. 뿐만 아니라 이와 관련된 수문요소기술을 확보할 수 있을 것이다.역의 물순환 과정을 보다 명확히 규명하고자 노력하였다.으로 추정되었다.면으로의 월류량을 산정하고 유입된 지표유량에 대해서 배수시스템에서의 흐름해석을 수행하였다. 그리고, 침수해석을 위해서는 2차원 침수해석을 위한 DEM기반 침수해석모형을 개발하였고, 건물의 영향을 고려할 수 있도록 구성하였다. 본 연구결과 지표류 유출 해석의 물리적 특성을 잘 반영하며, 도시지역의 복잡한 배수시스템 해석모형과 지표범람 모형을 통합한 모형 개발로 인해 더욱 정교한 도시지역에서의 홍수 범람 해석을 실시할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 본 모형의 개발로 침수상황의 시간별 진행과정을 분석함으로써 도시홍수에 대한 침수위험 지점 파악 및 주민대피지도 구축 등에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 있을 것으로 판단되었다.4일간의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주식시장에 있어서 시장수익률을 평균적으로 초과할 수 있는 거래전략은 존재하므로 이러한 전략을

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