• Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.63-73
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• 2010

This paper presents the optimal design method of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring for reduced positional uncertainty, and its application to the obstacle detection with improved resolution. Basically, it is assumed that a set of ultrasonic sensors are installed to form a circle at regular intervals with their beams overlapped. First, exploiting the overlapped beam pattern, the positional uncertainty inherent to an ultrasonic sensor is shown to be significantly reduced. Second, for an ideal ultrasonic sensor ring of zero radius, the effective beam width is defined to represent the positional uncertainty, and the optimal number of ultrasonic sensors required for minimal effective beam width is obtained. Third, for an actual ultrasonic sensor ring of nonzero radius, the design index is defined to represent the degree of positional uncertainty, and an optimal design of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring consisting of commercial ultrasonic sensors with low directivity is given. Fourth, given measured distances from ultrasonic sensors, the geometric method is described to compute the obstacle position with reference to the center of a mobile robot. Finally, through experiments using our overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring prototype, the validity and performance of the proposed method is demonstrated.

• Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.341-347
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• 2011

This paper presents the performance evaluation. optimal design. and complex obstacle detection of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring by introducing a new concept of effective beam width. It is assumed that a set of ultrasonic sensors of the same type are arranged along a circle of nonzero radius at regular spacings with their beams overlapped. First, the global positional uncertainty of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring is expressed by the average value of local positional uncertainty over the entire obstacle detection range. The effective beam width of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring is assessed as the beam width of a single ultrasonic sensor having the same amount of global positional uncertainty, from which a normalized obstacle detection performance index is defined. Second. using the defined index, the design parameters of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring are optimized for minimal positional uncertainty in obstacle detection. For a given number of ultrasonic sensors, the optimal radius of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring is determined, and for a given radius of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring, the optimal number of ultrasonic sensors is determined. Third, the decision rules of positional uncertainty zone for multiple obstacle detection are provided based on the inequality relationships among obstacle distances by three adjacent ultrasonic sensors. Using the provided rules, the obstacle outline detection is performed in a rather complex environment consisting of several obstacles of different shapes.

• Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.198-206
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• 2009

This paper presents the reduction of the positional uncertainty of an ultrasonic sensor ring with overlapped beam pattern for the efficient obstacle detection of a mobile robot. Basically, it is assumed that a relatively small number of inexpensive low directivity ultrasonic sensors are installed at regular spacings along the side of a circular mobile robot with their beams overlapped. First, for both single and double obstacles, we show that the positional uncertainty inherent to an ultrasonic sensor can be reduced using the overlapped beam pattern, and also quantify the relative improvement in positional uncertainty. Second, given measured distance data from one or two ultrasonic sensors, we devise the geometric method to determine the position of an obstacle with respect to the center of a mobile robot. Third, we examine and compare existing ultrasonic sensor models, including Gaussian distribution, parabolic distribution, uniform distribution, and impulse, and then build the sensor model of overlapped ultrasonic sensors, adequate for obstacle detection in terms of positional uncertainty and computational requirement. Finally, through experiments using our prototype ultrasonic sensor ring, the validity of overlapped beam pattern for reduced positional uncertainty and efficient obstacle detection is demonstrated.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.177-200
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• 2019

Energy demand forecast which serves as an essential input in energy policy is exposed to multiple factors of uncertainty such as GDP and weather forecast uncertainty. The Master Plan of Electricity Market in Korea which is biennially prepared is critically based on fluctuating energy demand forecast whereas its resulting proposal on electricity generation mix is substantially irreversible. The paper provides a real options model to evaluate energy transition policy by considering Knightian uncertainty as a measure to study multiple uncertainties with multiple set of probability distributions. Our finding is that the current energy transition policy under the master plan is not robust in terms of securing stable management of electricity demand and supply system.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.127-144
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• 1995

통일기금의 목적은 현재의 소비를 줄이고 총저축(정부저축+민간저축)을 증가시키는 것이다. 그럼으로써 현재의 부(富)를 통일(統一)이 되는 시점으로 이전(移轉)시키고자 하는 것이다. 과연 이 목적은 달성될 수 있는가? 본 연구는 이에 대한 이론적인 분석을 시도하고 있다. 국채(國債)를 발행하여 조세의 부과시점(賦課時點)을 달리하더라도 경제주체의 소비수준은 변화하지 않는다는 주장이 있다(대등정리(對等定理), Ricardian Equivalence Theorem). 통일기금(統一基金)을 조성하는 것도 국채발행(國債發行)과 비교하여 부(富)의 이전방향(移轉方向)이 다를 뿐 징세시점(徵稅時點)의 변화라는 점은 동일하다. 따라서 대등정리에 의하면 통일기금의 목적은 달성될 수 없다. 조성된 통일기금만큼 민간 저축이 감소하기 때문이다. 그러나 통일기금에는 국채(國債)와 구별되는 두가지 본질적인 특징이 있다. 통일시점과 통일비용이 모두 불확실하다는 점이다. 이 두가지 불확실성은 미래의 가처분소득을 불확실하게 한다. 이와 같이 미래소득이 불확실할 때에는 대등정리가 성립하지 않는다는 것이 종래의 연구결과였다. 그러나 본고(本稿)는 2기(期) 중첩세대모형(重疊世代模型)(Overlapping Generations Model)을 이용하여 이 두가지 불확실성에도 불구하고 여전히 대등정리(對等定理)가 성립함을 보이고 있다. 즉 통일기금은 민간저축을 감소시키므로 총저축을 변화시키지 못한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.453-453
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• 2015

미계측 유역에서의 수문 예측은 유역의 다차원 시공간에서 일어나고 있는 수문학적 기능에 대한 깊은 이해와 성찰을 요구한다. 유역면적의 2/3가 미계측 지역인 임진강 유역은 북한지역과 중첩하고 있어 관측자료가 불충분 하고 소량의 관측자료가 존재하더라도 기후변화로 인해 환경이 변화하기 때문에 미계측 지역 연구에 적당하다. 이에 따라 수문학적 반응을 예측할 수 있도록 비접촉 비파괴적인 도구를 이용하여 수집된 자료를 통해 미계측 유역에 대한 정확한 신뢰성 구축을 마련할 필요가 있다고 판단된다. 신뢰성 구축을 위한 방법으로는 현장답사 및 항공사진에 비하여 넓은 지역을 한번에 관측할 수 있는 Landsat TM 영상을 이용하여 북한의 지형과 토지피복특성 등을 구축하고, 준분포형 모형인 SLURP를 이용하여 소유역으로 구분 된 ASA의 하도 추적을 통해 전체유역의 출구지점 유출량을 산정하였다. 또한 예측 불확실성을 감소시키기 위해 wamis에서 제공하는 GIS Data와 위성영상의 Data를 비교하여 분석하였다. 그 결과 미계측 지역의 불확실성을 최소화 시킬 수 있는 비교 분석이 가능하였다.

• Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.67-75
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• 2011

This paper presents the systematic optimal design of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring for high performance obstacle detection using effective beam overlap. Basically, a set of low directivity ultrasonic sensors of the same type are arranged in a circle at regular intervals with their beams overlapped. First, both real and simplified beam patterns of an ultrasonic sensor and several sensor models for obstacle position estimation within its beam pattern are introduced. Second, the obstacle detection range of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring and its simple sensor model for obstacle position estimation are described. Third, for both conic and non-conic shaped beam pattern, the design indices of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring for minimal positional uncertainty in obstacle detection are defined. Fourth, the constraints imposed on the structural parameters of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring to guarantee non empty beam overlap and to avoid excessive beam overlap are derived. Fifth, the optimal number of ultrasonic sensors for a given radius of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring and the optimal radius of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring are determined. Throughout this paper, the MA40B8 from Murata Inc. is taken as a representative commercial low directivity ultrasonic sensor.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2023.11a
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• pp.232-235
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• 2023

ICT 기술과 IoT 기술의 급속한 발전으로 인해 인간은 네트워크와 밀접한 관계를 형성하며 이를 통해 다양한 서비스를 경험하고 있다. 그러나 ICT 기술의 발전과 함께 사이버 공격의 급증으로 인해 네트워크 보안에 대한 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 또한 양자 컴퓨팅을 활용한 다양한 공격은 기존 암호화 체계를 무너뜨려 빠른 대응 및 솔루션이 필요하다. 양자 기반 공격으로부터 안전한 네트워크 환경을 구축하기 위해 양자 키 분배 시스템 및 양자 내성 암호가 활발히 연구되고 있으며 NIST 에서 발표한 양자 내성 암호화 기법의 성능, 취약점, 실제 네트워크 상의 구현 가능성, 향후 발전 방향 등 다각적 관점에서 연구 및 분석이 진행되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 양자 기반 공격에 대해 설명하고 양자 내성 암호화 기법의 연구 동향에 대해 분석한다. 또한, 양자 중첩, 양자 불확실성 등 양자의 물리적 성질을 활용함으로써 양자 공격으로 부터 안정성을 제공할 수 있는 양자 키 분배 기법에 대해 설명한다.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.47-52
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• 2014

Species distribution models have been widely applied in order to assess biodiversity, design reserve, manage habitat and predict climate change. However, SDMs has been used restrictively to the public and policy sectors owing to model uncertainty. Recent studies on ensemble and consensus models have been increased to reduce model uncertainty. This paper was carried out single model and multi model for Corylopsis coreana and compares two models. First, model evaluation was used AUC, kappa and TSS. TSS was the most effective method because it was easy to compare several models and convert binary maps. Second, both single and ensemble model show good performance and RF, Maxent and GBM was evaluated higher, GAM and SRE was evaluated lower relatively. Third, ensemble model tended to overestimate over single model. This problem can be solved by the suitable model selection and weighting through collaboration between field experts and modeler. Finally, we should identify causes and magnitude of model uncertainty and improve data quality and model methods in order to apply special decision-making support system and conservation planning, and when we make policy decisions using SDMs, we should recognize uncertainty and risk.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.32 no.2
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• pp.87-93
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• 2014

Cadastral parcel objects as polygons are fundamental dataset which represent land administration and management of the real world. Thus it is necessary to assure topological seamlessness of cadastral datasets which means no overlaps or gaps between adjacent parcels. However, the problem of overlaps or gaps are frequently found due to non-coinciding edges between adjacent parcels. These erroneous edges are called uncertain edges, and polygons containing at least one uncertain edge are called uncertain polygons. In this paper, we proposed a new algorithm to efficiently search parcels of uncertain polygons between two adjacent cadastral datasets. The algorithm first selects points and polylines around adjacent datasets. Then the Constrained Delaunay Triangulation (CDT) is applied to extract triangles. These triangles are tagged by the number of the original cadastral datasets which intersected with the triangles. If the tagging value is zero, the area of triangles mean gaps, meanwhile, the value is two, the area means overlaps. Merging these triangles with the same tagging values according to adjacency analysis, uncertain edges and uncertain polygons could be found. We have performed experimental application of this automated derivation of partitioned boundary from a real land-cadastral dataset.