• Title/Summary/Keyword: 조위편차

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Numerical Simulation of Storm Surge near Sergwipo (서귀포 인근해역 폭풍해일 수치모의)

  • Son, Hyok-Jun;Yoon, Jae-Seon;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.02a
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    • pp.64.2-64.2
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 1985년부터 현재까지 서귀포인근 해안에 직접적인 영향을 주었던 태풍들 중 조위편차 및 피해 사례의 영향성을 고려하여 5개의 태풍을 선정하였으며, 본 연구실에서 개발한 수치모형인 HYCEL-WIND를 이용하여 수치적 분석을 실시하였다. 또한 제주해군기지 건설 전 후에 따른 해일고를 비교하며 방파제 설치에 따른 최대해일고의 변화를 분석하였다.

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A Study on The Effects of Long-Term Tidal Constituents on Surge Forecasting Along The Coasts of Korean Peninsula (한국 연안의 장주기 조석성분이 총 수위 예측에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jiha, Kim;Pil-Hun, Chang;Hyun-Suk, Kang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.222-232
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    • 2022
  • In this study we investigated the characteristics of long-term tidal constituents based on 30 tidal gauge data along the coasts of Korea and its the effects on total water level (TWL) forecasts. The results show that the solar annual (Sa) and semiannual (Ssa) tides were dominant among long-term tidal constituents, and they are relatively large in western coast of Korea peninsula. To investigate the effect of long-term tidal constituents on TWL forecasts, we produced predicted tides in 2021 with and without long-term tidal constituents. The TWL forecasts with and without long-term tidal constituents are then calculated by adding surge forecasts into predicted tides. Comparing with the TWL without long-term tidal constituents, the results with long-term tidal constituents reveals small bias in summer and relatively large negative bias in winter. It is concluded that the large error found in winter generally caused by double-counting of meteorological factors in predicted tides and surge forecasts. The predicted surge for 2021 based on the harmonic analysis shows seasonality, and it reduces the large negative bias shown in winter when it subtracted from the TWL forecasts with long-term tidal constituents.

A study on the precise prediction of tides using long-term tidal observation data at the Nakdong River Estuary (낙동강 하구 장기조석관측 자료를 이용한 조위의 정밀예측 연구)

  • Park, Byeong Woo;Kang, Tae Soon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.269-269
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    • 2022
  • 최근 낙동강 하구 기수생태 복원에 있어서 중요한 요소 중 하나는 하굿둑 외해측의 보다 높은 정도를 가지는 조석예보치 산정과 이를 통해 하굿둑 방류량과 해수 유입량을 추정하여 주변 환경 등을 예측할 수 있다. 기수생태 복원이 본격으로 논의가 진행 전인 2016년까지는 하구에서 수km 떨어진 기존 조위관측소(부산 및 가덕도)를 활용하여 하류수위를 예측하여 왔지만 조위 높이와 위상 차이로 인하여 활용이 용이하지 않다. 따라서, 낙동강 하굿둑 인접 외해역에서 조석 영향을 받는 수위관측치를 이용하여 조석조화분해를 통해 조위 예측을 보다 정밀하게 산정하는 것이 필요하다. 연구방법으로는 낙동강 하굿둑 외해역에서 관측된 2016년, 2017년 각각 1년간 10분간격으로 관측자료의 저장상태 및 이상자료 유무를 확인하고, 조석조화분해 프로그램인 TASK2000(Tidal Analysis Software Kit) Package를 이용하여 2016년, 2017년 낙동강 하굿둑 인접 외해역에서 관측된 조위자료를 각각 조석조화분해한 결과로 관측조위와 예측조위 비교하였고, 관측조위와 예측조위를 뺀 성분인 조석잔차성분을 구했다. 조화분해결과, 낙동강 하굿둑 외해역은 일반적인 연안역의 조석과는 달리 하천수의 유출, 배수갑문의 조작, 연안사주지형에 의한 조석변형 등 매우 복잡하고 불규칙적인 특성인 기상성분(기압, 바람 등)에 의한 교란을 고려한다면 예측정확도가 상당부분 확보되는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 장주기 성분과 비선형 조석성분의 크기를 비교해 볼 때 거의 편차가 없이 나타나 조석조화상수를 이용한 예보 가능성을 확인할 수 있었다. 조위검증은 2016년의 1년치의 조석자료를 이용하여 조화분해된 조화상수 63개를 이용하여 2017년의 조석 예보치를 산정하였으며, 이를 2017년의 낙동강 하굿둑 외해역의 조석관측치와 조석예측치를 1대 1 비교하는 방식으로 검증하였고, 이들의 상관관계를 파악하기 위하여 두 성분에 대하여 Regression Analysis를 수행하여 예측조위와 관측조위 사이에는 Pre=0.9535×Obs+0.396과 같은 관계식이 성립하는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한, 두 성분간의 상관도는 0.9535로 높게 나타났다. 조위예측 프로그램인 TASK2000 Package 중 MARIE를 이용한 조위예측 프로그램의 신뢰도가 매우 높은 것으로 판단되고, 해당년도 조위예측 시에는 가능하면 직전년도의 1년 조석관측자료를 조화분해하고 얻어진 조화상수를 이용하여 조위예측을 실시하면 보다 정확한 자료를 얻을 수 있다.

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Numerical Modeling of Storm Surge around the Coast of Pusan (부산연안 폭풍해일 변동양상과 수치예측)

  • 이종섭;주귀홍;장선덕
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.104-111
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    • 1990
  • The water level variation due to the Typhoon around the coast of Pusan in the southern sea of Korea is investigated from the observed tidal record. Water level variations at six stations along the coast are discussed in association with the meteorological data. The characteristics of storm surge at Pusan during Typhoon Thelma in 1987 is analysed using the observed data, and it is performed the numerical simulation of storm surge which includes a inverse barometric effect due to the horizontal distribution of sea sur-face pressure. From the calculation results, the peak value of storm surge in the coast of Pusan was occur-red around the 01:00 July 16th, which is well coincident with the observed water level variation at the Kadukdo. However, the calculated value at the Pusan TBM is inconsistent with the observed one, which is regarded due to a reason that the Tidal Bench Mark (TBM) locates in the channel. In the computation results, the maximum surge occurs at the coast of Nakdong estuary, which is considered primarily due to a topographic effect, and water level variation exceeded 2.5 meter in these areas while only about 60 cm in another coasts.

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Appearance of Tide-surge Interaction along the West/South Coasts (서·남해안 조석-해일 비선형성 발생양상)

  • Kang, Ju Whan;Kim, Yang-Seon;Yoon, Young-Kwan;Shim, Jae-Seol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.352-358
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    • 2014
  • Hourly tide-gauge data at 10 tide stations along the West/South coasts were analysed statistically for tidesurge interaction. Interactions were found at all stations except Busan, prominently at the western tip of the South coast near Mokpo and Wando. A well-known interaction pattern which occurs at flood tide was found rarely at domestic coasts, while another pattern of the tide-modulated surge which occurs at low tide was detected frequently. In addition, a new interaction pattern which occurs at ebb tide is discovered. This pattern is found at Mokpo where the ebb dominance is prominent. Finally, the skew surge could be considered as a tool coping with such interactions.

A Scenario for the Standard Basis of Crest Elevation Estimation along Korean Coast based on Expected Overtopping Probability (마루높이 설정(設定) 기준(基準)을 위한 기대월파확률 추정 Scenario)

  • Kweon, Hyuck Min;Kim, Gun Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.4B
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    • pp.365-376
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    • 2009
  • The importance of resonable treatment of tide characteristics has been shown by Kweon, et al. (2005, 2006) for the crest elevation estimation because of a big difference of tidal elevation along Korean coast. For the procedure of crest elevation design, the expected overtopping probability (EOP) was estimated by Kweon, et al. (2006). The comparisons on each sea showed that EOP was lower east, south and west sea in order. The results involved the assumption that the tide and design level wave height meet any time in a year. However, big waves mainly occur in summer or winter in Korean coast, the study focuses on the encounter probability of big waves and seasonal tide level. A theory of the encounter probability is not derived by the present study but it shows reasonable acceptability of the proposed scenario in which the expected overtopping probability could be an index for the crest elevation estimation in Korean coast. The calculation based on the scenario gives the possibility range for the crest elevation estimation which has no tendency of each sea along Korean peninsular. The range is within the expected overtopping probability of 1% in the whole coast of Korea.

Comparisons of the Expected Overtopping Probability along Korean Coast Utilizing by Reliability Analysis (신뢰성 해석에 의한 우리나라 해역별 기대월파확률 특성 비교)

  • Kweon, Hyuck Min;Park, Hyun Suck;Ahn, Kyungmo;Cheon, Se Hyeon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4B
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    • pp.399-404
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    • 2006
  • Kweon et al. (2004) proposed the calculation method of Expected Overtopping Probability (EOP) that considers the occurrence frequency distribution of real sea tide. The method was applied for the comparison of the EOP of Mukho and Busan sea. They showed that the tide occurrence frequency had a great effect on the EOP and the value becomes smaller as the standard deviation of the frequency comes bigger. The present study following Kweon et al.'s method estimates the EOP characteristic of the crest elevation located on East, South, and West sea. The study shows that the EOP becomes smaller following East, South, West sea in order.

Estimation of the Lowest and Highest Astronomical Tides along the west and south coast of Korea from 1999 to 2017 (서해안과 남해안에서 1999년부터 2017년까지 최저와 최고 천문조위 계산)

  • BYUN, DO-SEONG;CHOI, BYOUNG-JU;KIM, HYOWON
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.495-508
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    • 2019
  • Tidal datums are key and basic information used in fields of navigation, coastal structures' design, maritime boundary delimitation and inundation warning. In Korea, the Approximate Lowest Low Water (ALLW) and the Approximate Highest High Water (AHHW) have been used as levels of tidal datums for depth, coastline and vertical clearances in hydrography and coastal engineering fields. However, recently the major maritime countries including USA, Australia and UK have adopted the Lowest Astronomical Tide (LAT) and the Highest Astronomical Tide (HAT) as the tidal datums. In this study, 1-hr interval 19-year sea level records (1999-2017) observed at 9 tidal observation stations along the west and south coasts of Korea were used to calculate LAT and HAT for each station using 1-minute interval 19-year tidal prediction data yielded through three tidal harmonic methods: 19 year vector average of tidal harmonic constants (Vector Average Method, VA), tidal harmonic analysis on 19 years of continuous data (19-year Method, 19Y) and tidal harmonic analysis on one year of data (1-year Method, 1Y). The calculated LAT and HAT values were quantitatively compared with the ALLW and AHHW values, respectively. The main causes of the difference between them were explored. In this study, we used the UTide, which is capable of conducting 19-year record tidal harmonic analysis and 19 year tidal prediction. Application of the three harmonic methods showed that there were relatively small differences (mostly less than ±1 cm) of the values of LAT and HAT calculated from the VA and 19Y methods, revealing that each method can be mutually and effectively used. In contrast, the standard deviations between LATs and HATs calculated from the 1Y and 19Y methods were 3~7 cm. The LAT (HAT) differences between the 1Y and 19Y methods range from -16.4 to 10.7 cm (-8.2 to 14.3 cm), which are relatively large compared to the LAT and HAT differences between the VA and 19Y methods. The LAT (HAT) values are, on average, 33.6 (46.2) cm lower (higher) than those of ALLW (AHHW) along the west and south coast of Korea. It was found that the Sa and N2 tides significantly contribute to these differences. In the shallow water constituents dominated area, the M4 and MS4 tides also remarkably contribute to them. Differences between the LAT and the ALLW are larger than those between the HAT and the AHHW. The asymmetry occurs because the LAT and HAT are calculated from the amplitudes and phase-lags of 67 harmonic constituents whereas the ALLW and AHHW are based only on the amplitudes of the 4 major harmonic constituents.

Uncertainty Analysis of a Coastal Physical Model in Gyeonggi Bay and Han River Estuary (경기만 및 한강하구 연안 물리적 모형의 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Jeong-Dae;Jeong, Shin-Taek;Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jung, Kyung-Tae;Ko, Dong-Hui
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.321-331
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    • 2008
  • A model has been constructed in this study for the investigation of physical characteristics of the Gyeonggi Bay and Han River estuary. MIKE 21 HD (HyDrodynamics) has been used for the uncertainty analysis of the tide of the Gyeonngi Bay and Han River estuary. A total of 15 model experiments have been performed for the hydrodynamic parts and the analysis of results have been made in terms of RMSD (Root-mean square deviation) which has been frequently employed in the suitability analysis of hydrological data since the introduction by NERC(1975), U.K. A smaller value of RMSD indicates the more suitability of a parameter to the model. Analysis of the hydrodynamic results has shown that RMSD of the mean tidal range has the largest value of 0.1148 at Yeomha channel while has the smallest value of 0.0400 at Yeonphyong-do, indicating that the uncertainty in the mean tidal range on near-shore side is larger than that of offshore side. Experiment with reduced water depth by 10% has produced a most significant increase in RMSD. It is therefore implied that the model response changes more sensitively to water depth rather than grid sizes, open boundary forcing and river discharge.

Estimation of Geomorphologic Change in Saemangum Tidal Flat by Remote Sensing (원격탐사를 이용한 새만금 조간대의 지형변화 연구)

  • 나영호;류주형;이윤경;최성욱;원중선
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.274-279
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    • 2003
  • 위성영상을 이용한 새만금 지역의 DEM생성을 위하여 waterline method를 사용하였으며, 총 13개의 Landsat thematic mapper (TM) 위성영상 자료를 이용하여 1991년과 2000년 기준의 DEM을 생성하였다. 현장 수준측량 자료를 이용하여 생성된 DEM의 정밀도 검증을 실시하였으며, 2002년 3월에 100m 간격으로 측정된 실측자료를 이용하였다. 해안선 추출은 density slicing 방법을 사용하였으며, 사용된 밴드는 육지의 경계를 구분하는데 많이 쓰이는 밴드 4번, 5번 및 6번 밴드를 선택적으로 사용하였다. 절대고도 값의 대입을 위하여 waterline 추출에 사용된 위성영상의 획득 시간에 대해 해양조사원의 10분 간격 실측 조위를 사용하였으며, 추출된 13개 waterline의 최저 조위는 58cm 이고 최고 조위는 537cm 이다. 추출된 해안선에 수준측량 자료를 이용하여 검증한 결과 RMS 오차 9.91 cm, 표준편차 9.78 cm의 정밀도를 갖는 2000년도 DEM을 생성하였다. 새만금 지역의 waterline 추출 과정에서 만경강과 동진강 하구 지역은 강에 의한 에너지의 유입, 유출로 인한 변화가 심하여 두 지역을 DEM 생성에서 제외하였다. 이렇게 생성된 과거(19991년도) DEM과 현재(2000년도) DEM을 이용한 지형변화 비교는 두DEM 차이로 9년간의 새만금 조간대 변화를 계산하였다. 군산공항지역의 지형변화는 거의 없는 것으로 나타났으며, 새만금 방조제가 건설된 이후 개화도 주변지역의 변화가 가장 두드러진 지형적 변화로서 방조제 입ㆍ출구 지역은 빠른 유속에 의해서 과거에 비해 침식이 우세하며, 방조제에서 육지로 갈수록 퇴적이 우세한 것으로 관측되었다.보체계의 구축사업의 시각이 행정정보화, 생활정보화, 산업정보화 등 다양한 분야와 결합하여 보다 큰 시너지 효과와 사용자 중심의 서비스 개선을 창출할 수 있는 기반을 제공할 것을 기대해 본다.. 이상의 결과를 종합해볼 때, ${\beta}$-glucan은 고용량일 때 직접적으로 또는 $IFN-{\gamma}$ 존재시에는 저용량에서도 복강 큰 포식세로를 활성화시킬 뿐 아니라, 탐식효율도 높임으로써 면역기능을 증진 시키는 것으로 나타났고, 그 효과는 crude ${\beta}$-glucan의 추출조건에 따라 달라지는 것을 알 수 있었다.eveloped. Design concepts and control methods of a new crane will be introduced in this paper.and momentum balance was applied to the fluid field of bundle. while the movement of′ individual material was taken into account. The constitutive model relating the surface force and the deformation of bundle was introduced by considering a representative prodedure that stands for the bundle movement. Then a fundamental equations system could be simplified considering a steady state of the process. On the basis of the simplified model,

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