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Margin and Funding Liquidity: An Empirical Analysis on the Covered Interest Parity in Korea (우리나라 외환시장의 차익거래 유인에 대한 분석)

  • Jeong, Daehee
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.29-52
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    • 2012
  • During the global financial turmoil in 2007-2008, deviation from the covered interest parity (CIP) between the Korean won and US dollar through the foreign exchange swap has escalated in its magnitude beyond 1,000bp in November 2008, and it still persists around 100bp level. In this paper, we examine a newly developed margin based asset pricing model using Kalman filter approach and show that the escalation of the CIP deviation is found to be significantly related to the global dollar funding illiquidity and country-specific funding conditions. Furthermore, we find evidence that the poor funding conditions (or higher margins) are driven by the general money market illiquidity and may lead to higher funding illiquidity, which suggests the reinforcing effects of the liquidity spiral. We also show that the supply of dollar liquidity and improved funding conditions help alleviate the deviations from the parity, however the persistent anomaly is found to be related to the high level of volatility in the FX swap market.

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A Study on the Shipping Policy of Korea and Japan (우리나라와 일본의 해운정책 비교 연구 - 계획조선제도에 대한 회고와 시사점을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Kwang-Hee;Kim, Hyun-Duk
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.103-126
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    • 2007
  • As a result of the development of heavy and chemical industries during the Economic Development Plan, Korean shipbuilding industry expanded its capacity rapidly and became a strategic export industry. The 1973 Arab oil crisis and the subsequent doubling of oil prices greatly reduced world demand for tankers and the market was crashed as numberous orders for tankers were cancelled in Japan and Europe. Under these circumstances, Korean Shipping industry also experienced a decrease in overseas demand for shipbuilding. The Korean government established the 'planned shipbuilding' scheme. The primary purpose of the scheme was to develop the shipbuilding industry, to link the industry to the shipping industry and to develop both industries together. However, Japanese shipping established goals linking with macro-national economic policy, such as saving foreign currencies and freight of importing goods, also assisting reconstruction and development of shipbuilding industry. To accomplish these goals, Japanese government used several policy tools such as financial assistance, law, guidance.

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A Study on the Impacts of Financial Activities during pre-listing on the Venture Firms' listing(delisting) (상장 이전의 재무활동이 벤처기업의 상장유지(폐지)에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Jeon, Yang-Jin
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.21-46
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is to find impacts of financial activities-financing and investment of Venture Firms during pre-listing periods on the firms' Venture Firm's listing(delisting). The several ratios financial variables relevant to the financing and investment were examined whether there are difference or not between two venture firms groups. The results of study can be summarized as follows. First, the firms of successful group have fewer numbers of equity financing and higher times of premium in issuing stocks than those of failed firms but there is no significant difference in the required time from startup to listing the KOSDAQ. Second, there is no significant difference in the ratio of capital increase in IPO between two groups but additional survey reveals that the successful firms financed equity in IPO by higher numbers of premium than failed firms, which can makes the major shareholder of the successful firms maintain high rayios share of stock. Third, the ratio of working capital investment of the successful firms is significantly higher than that of failed firms, on the other hand the failed firms' ratios of equipment and repayment investment are higher than those of successful firms. Finally, the ratio of R&D investment has no difference between two groups, this result is against the expectation, which is to be further analyzed.

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Chinese Growth Enterprise Market and Business Performance Analysis on Small and Medium Sized Firms and Venture Firms Before and After Listing (중국의 창업판시장과 중소벤처기업의 상장전후 경영성과 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Cui, Wen;Sun, Zhong Yuan;Chang, Seog Ju
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2014
  • After global economic crisis, China has become one of the two pillars in the global economies and the country contributing to the Korean economy. Nevertheless, the research on Chinese financial market, particularly capital market, is rare to date. This study examined the growth enterprise market that emergedat the Shenzhen stock exchange and made comparative analysis on before and after listing for the Chinese small and medium sized firms and venture firms. The listing requirements at the Chinese growth enterprise market for the technologically innovative venture firms and fast-growing small and medium sized firms with financing purpose were more alleviated than the main board of Shenzhen stock exchange. Moreover, the listing procedures are simplified as well. Accordingly, many Chinese enterprises tend to list and the competition for listing is also intense. In particular, with the 36 initially listed firms at growth enterprise market as the research target, the investigation for the business performance before and after listing reveals that the three indexes including return on common equity, debt ratio and operating profit growth rate dropped dramatically for most all the firms. That is, the profitability and growth for the venture firms and small and medium sized firms listed on the Chinese growth enterprise market decreased rapidly after going public, only the stability improved due to the great financing. Taking a step forward, this phenomenon may result from the exaggerated reporting for the business performance before listing with the purpose of going public by the venture firms and small and medium sized firms. Thus, Chinese Securities Regulatory Commission should strengthen the accounting evaluation standard and regulation for the listing firms before going public. In addition, strict sanctions should be imposed on the firms with fraudulent accounting to establish healthy capital market.

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Kalecki's Investment Theory and Monetary and Financial Factors (칼레츠키 투자이론과 화폐·금융변수)

  • Cho, Bokhyun
    • 사회경제평론
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.119-154
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    • 2016
  • Kalecki thought that monetary and financial factors play very important roles in the processes of investment decision and expenditure. He also acknowledged that interest rate is monetary phenomenon and investment finance is provided by banks prior to savings as Keynes did, and suggested that the more is the debt, the greater is the risk of debtor and lender. However, in developing investment theory he dismissed those monetary and financial factors or substituted into actual profit or savings, because he aimed to construct the investment theory to be able to explain the 'automatic mechanism of the fluctuation of capitalist economy'. Thus it is argued that Kalecki did not consider the monetary and financial factors in his investment theory. This paper aims to modify Kalecki's investment theory so that it incorporates the monetary and financial factors, such as the willingness of banking system to lend, interest rates, the ratio of leverage which had been dismissed by him. The Kaleckian investment theory that incorporates the monetary and financial factors in Kalecki's theory of investment allows us to explain not only an automatic and regular business cycle, but also irregular excessive investment and high leverage, consequent risk increase and financial crisis occurred in the economy with developed financial system.

A Study on the Financial Structure Effect Factor and Business Analysis of Ocean Shipping Companies (국적외항선사의 경영실태분석과 재무구조 영향요인에 관한 실증연구)

  • Lee, Sung-Yhun;Kim, Young-Dae;Ahn, Ki-Myung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.264-272
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the rate of return on investment used as a proxy variable for the entity's value and financial structure (liability ratio) is related to positive balance. This is consistent with the Static Tradeoff Theory (STT) that the entity's value and financial structure are related to a positive balance because the capital expense of a debt (tax-saving effects) that is less than its equity cost before it is in financial difficulty. Also, operating profitability (EBITDA/Sales), investment safety, total asset growth, net working capital and depreciation expenses are related to negative (-) with financial structure (liability ratio). This is the result of an analysis consistent with the Pecking Order Theory (POT). Fuel costs, borrowing, total asset turnover, financial costs, and tangible asset ratios have a significant positive relationship with the debt ratio. This is consistent with the agency theory and confirms that excessive chartering expenses, such as the bankrupt H company, are the main factors that pressure the financial structure of Korean ocean carriers.

동태적(動態的) 정부예산제약(政府豫算制約)과 물가(物價) - 이론(理論)과 실증분석(實證分析) -

  • Sim, Sang-Dal
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.107-131
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    • 1988
  • 본고(本稿)는 세수증대(稅收增大)가 충분치 않은 경우 재정적자(財政赤字)를 충당하기 위한 국채발행(國債發行)은 본원통화(本源通貨)의 증대가 뒤따르지 않을 경우에도 물가를 즉시 상승시킬 수 있음을 정부(政府)의 동태적(動態的) 예산제약(豫算制約)이 나타내는 단순한 산수(算數)를 이용해서 보여주고 있다. 본고(本稿)가 가정하는 상황(합리적(合理的) 기대(期待), 정확(正確)한 정보(情報) 등)에서는 정부의 예산제약(豫算制約)을 동태적(動態的)으로 계속 연결해서 얻을 수 있는 실제의 동태적(動態的) 예산제약식(豫算制約式)을 검증할 수 있는 형태의 식으로 대체할 수 있다. 이 새로운 예산제약식(豫算制約式)에 의하면 미래잉여금(未來剩餘金)의 기대액(期待額)이 변하지 않는 상태에서의 국채발행(國債發行)은 즉각적으로 현재의 물가상승(物價上昇)을 유발(誘發)하고, 미래잉여금(未來剩餘金)의 기대액(期待額)의 감소(減少)(미래재정적자를 포함) 또한 같은 결과를 초래한다. 전후(戰後) 미국(美國)과 주요공업국가(主要工業國家)의 시계열자료(時系列資料)를 벡터자기회귀분석방법(自己回歸分析方法)에 의해서 분석한 결과 이들 잘 발달된 자본시장(資本市場)을 가진 나라에서는 본고(本稿)의 이론(理論)과 부합(符合)되게 물가(物價)와 국채(國債) 그리고 잉여금(剩餘金)이 변동해 왔음을 알 수 있다. 한국(韓國)의 자본시장여건(資本市場興件)이 현재는 이들 국가와 다르지만 곧 근접해 갈 것이 기대되므로, 앞으로 재정적자(財政赤字)를 국채발행(國債發行)에 의해서 조달해야 할 경우 물가(物價)에 대한 파급효과(波及效果)를 감안해서 세수(稅收)의 확대(擴大)가 뒤따르는 경우에 한하도록 하여야 할 것이다.

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Foreign Exchange Risk Exposure and Risk Premium in Korean Stock Market (한국주식시장에서 환율위험노출과 환율위험 프리미엄 측정)

  • Yu, Il-Seong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.229-256
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    • 2000
  • 주식시장에서 환율위험프리미엄의 존재유무는 기업의 투자 및 자본조달, 외환헤징재무활동, 개인의 투자전략 등에 중요한 영향을 미치게 된다. 본 연구에서는 차익거래모형을 이용하여 우리나라 주식시장에서 환율위험노출을 측정하고, 그 환율위험이 시장에서 보상되는 위험인가를 검정한다. 전체 표본기간은 1980년부터 1998년까지이며, 외환자유화와 자본시장 개방이 본격적으로 이루어진 1992년 이전과 이후를 하위기간으로 구분하여 분석하였다. 표본하위기간의 설정, 다각적인 환율위험요인 측정, 다양한 모형설정과 복수의 통계추정방법의 적용 등을 통하여 환율위험 프리미엄의 유무에 관련된 신뢰성있는 결론을 도출하고자 하였다. 1980년대 표본전기 하위기간에는 주식시장에서 통계적으로 유의한 환율위험노출을 확인하기 어려웠으나, 외환자유화와 자산시장개방이 본격화된 표본 후기 하위기간에는 뚜렷한 환율위험 의 존재를 확인할 수 있었다. 후기 하위기간을 대상으로 시장위험과 실효환율위험만을 포함한 차익거래모형을 적용하였을 때에 통계적으로 유의한 환율위험 프리미엄이 확인되었다. 그러나 달러환율과 엔화환율위험을 별개의 환율위험으로 설정한 경우 각 환율위험에 개별적으로나 결합적으로 통계적으로 유의한 위험프리미엄을 발견하지 못하였다. 더구나, 실효환율위험에 추가하여 산업생산위험, 인플레이션위험, 기업부도위험 등의 기본적 경제요인 위험을 함께 통제변수로서 포함하여 차익거래모형을 적용하였을 때에도 환율위험 프리미엄은 존재하지 않았다.

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A Study on the K-REITs of Characteristic Analysis by Investment Type (K-REITs(부동산투자회사)의 투자 유형별 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Jin;Lee, Myenog-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.66-79
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    • 2016
  • A discussion has recently emerged over the increase of approvals of K-REITs, which is concluded on the basis of how to raise funds for business activity, fulfill the expected rate of return and maximize the management of managing investment funds. In addition, corporations need to acknowledge the necessity of the capital structure reflected in the current economic environment and decision-making processes. This research analyzed the characteristics by investment types and influence factors about the debt ratio of K-REITs. The data were collected from general management about business state, investment, and finance from 2002 to 2015 in K-REITs (except for the GFC period of 2007~2009). The results of the research demonstrated the high ratios of the largest shareholder characteristics, which are corporation, pension funds, mutual funds, banks, securities, insurance, and, recently, the increasing ratio of the largest shareholder and major stockholder. The investment of K-REITs is increasing the role of institutional investors that take a leading development of K-REITs. The behaviors of simultaneous investment of institutional investors were analyzed to show that they received higher interest rates than other financial institutions and ran in parallel with attraction and compensation. The results of the multiple regressions analysis, utilizing variables about debt ratio were as follows. The debt ratio showed a negative (-) relation that profitability is increasing, which matches the pecking order theory and trade off theory. On the other hand, investment opportunities (growth potential) showed a negative (-) relation and assets scale that indicated a positive (+) relation. The research results are reflected as follows. K-REITs focused on private equity REITs more than public offering REITs, and in the case of financing the capital of others, loan capital is operated under the guarantee of tangible assets (most of real estate) more than financing of the stock market. Further, after the GFC, the capital of others was actively utilized in K-REITs business, and the debt ratio showed that the determinant factors by the ratio and characteristics of the largest shareholder and investment products.

An Empirical Study on the Role of Korean Banks' Information Production (국내 은행의 정보생산 역할에 관한 실증 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik;Lee, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Joon-Haeng
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.157-180
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    • 2010
  • We try to check empirically whether the Korean banks produce valuable information for the firms listed in KOSDAQ. The sample covers 164 KOSDAQ firms which disclosed long-term bank loans for the period of October 2004 and March 2006. The result shows no abnormal stock returns from bank loan disclosures while the bond issuance indicates a negative abnormal return. In addition, when we control the effect of different debt levels of sample firms, we could not find any statistically significant effect of all types of borrowings. Results suggest that bank borrowings do not convey any favorable information on stock return and, as a result, bank loan is just one of several financing tools rather than a special event conveying good news for the firm under asymmetric information situation.

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