• Title/Summary/Keyword: 조건부로짓

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Formulating the Landscape Preference Model Using a Mixed Conditional Logit (조건부 로짓함수를 이용한 경관선호 모델: 지리산 국립공원 방문자를 대상으로)

  • Lee, Deokjae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.95 no.6
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    • pp.768-777
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study lies in formulating the landscape preference model using a conditional logit that involves the effect of visual elements as well as landscape itself on landscape preferences. To measure landscape preferences, a photo-questionnaire composed of paired photographs of the Cairngorms National Park of Scotland and the Jirisan National Park of Korea was distributed to visitors to the Jirisan National Park of Korea. Visual elements of landscape quantitatively measured by photogrammetry were reduced to orthogonal principal components that were subsequently used as explanatory variables in a conditional logit. As a result, the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself satisfied the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) property and showed reliable goodness of fit (${\rho}^2=0.25$). It was concluded that the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself was appropriate for landscape preference model rather than usual conditional logit excluding the effect.

Random Utility Models and the Value of National Parks in Korea (확률효용모형 분석을 통한 국립공원의 경제적 가치 평가)

  • Kwon, Oh Sang
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.51-73
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is estimating the value of recreation of the eighteen national parks in Korea. A conditional logit model and a nested logit model have been estimated for the purpose. The data used for the study have been collected via a national level off-site survey. In addition, the annual aggregate data on the number of visitors to each park have been combined with the survey data to derive more reliable estimates. The paper finds that there are substantial differences in preferences for mountain and marine national parks. Not only the value of each park but also the values of the main characteristics of the parks are estimated.

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A Study on Preference Heterogeneity of Economic Valuation for the Washland of Upo Wetland - Development of Waterfront Resources - (우포늪 천변저류지의 경제적 가치평가에 대한 선호이질성 연구 - 수변관광자원의 선택적 개발 -)

  • Yoo, Byong Kook;Kim, Hung Soo;Ju, Dug
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.357-366
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    • 2013
  • This study investigates to explain preference heterogeneity of respondents for economic valuation in washland of Upo wetland using Mixed Logit Model and Latent Class Model. Mixed Logit Model showed respondent heterogeneity in the attributes of wetland area and funds as well as some alternatives violated IIA assumption. 2-class Latent Class Model for respondents were used to explain the sources of the heterogeneity. Class 1 respondents who are located relatively close to Upo wetland had more experience and knowledge of Upo wetland and better understood the information suggested in the questionnaire than class 2 respondents in mostly metropolitan area of Seoul, Incheon.

Bayesian analysis of cumulative logit models using the Monte Carlo Gibbs sampling (몬테칼로깁스표본기법을 이용한 누적로짓 모형의 베이지안 분석)

  • 오만숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 1997
  • An easy Monte Carlo Gibbs sampling approach is suggested for Bayesian analysis of cumulative logit models for ordinal polytomous data. Because in the cumulative logit model the posterior conditional distributions of parameters are not given in convenient forms for random sample generation, appropriate latent variables are introduced into the model so that in the new model all the conditional distributions are given in very convenient forms for implementation of the Gibbs sampler.

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The benefit analysis of constructing the visual conservation center (영상자료센터 건립사업의 경제적 편익)

  • Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.885-893
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    • 2011
  • Visual conservation center is a facility for the preservation of visual materials such as film and digital image data, and its construction project is currently being considered. This study evaluates the economic benefit of the project using CVM (Contingent Valuation Method), the main method of nonmarket evaluation in the both domestic and foreign literature. Survey data used in the analysis was collected in seven major metropolitan cities using person-to-person interviews and a logit model is used for the econometric estimation. The economic benefit measured by a household's average willing to pay (WTP) per year is shown to amount to 8,958 won.

Public Transportation Information Profit Model in Using CVM(Focused on BIT) (CVM기법을 이용한 대중교통수익모델 연구(BIT를 중심으로))

  • Park, Bum-Jin;Moon, Byeong-Sup
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.459-467
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    • 2011
  • BIS(Bus Information Systems) supplies the bus arrived time information for users in using BIT(Bus Information Terminal) installed on the bus stop. BIT is the device using peoples directly. So, BIT need a quick response when it flew. These are an important factor in the strategy of the BIS maintenance. BIT need a maintenance cost to operate smoothly. So, Suppose that commercial advertisement can be displayed on BIT screen in this study. And we researched an advertisement rates of the optimum level in using Contingent Valuation Method. In addition, we analyzed a characteristic of user's depending on each time using multinomial Logit Modeling method, and studied for BIT operation and ad. displaying strategy considered user's sex, ages and using times.

Analysis of Prework Trip-Making and Modal Choice (통근통행 이전의 비통근통행 발생여부와 교통수단 선택행태 분석)

  • 윤대식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구에서는 지금가지 통근통행자의 활동참여 분석(activity Participation analysis)이 주로 일과후 활동참여(postwork activity participation)에 초점이 주어졌다는 점을 감안하여 일과전 활동참여(preworkactivity Participation)를 분석하고자 하였다. 이러한 연구배경하에서 본 연구는 통근통행자의 통근통행 이전의 비 통근통행 발생여부와 교통수단 선택의 행태를 네스티드 로짓모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 본 연구는 모형의 경험적 추정을 위해 1995년 미국 Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey (NPTS)의 일부분으로 수집된 뉴욕 대도시지역의 설문조사자료를 이용하였으며, 추정된 경험적 모형을 바탕으로 의미 있는 결과를 논의하였다. 본 연구에서 추정된 통근통행 이전의 비 통근통행 발생여부와 교통수단 선택의 네스티드 로짓모형은 통계적 측면이나 행태적 측면에서 볼 때 대체로 타당한 분석결과를 보여준다. 교통수단 선택모형(조건부 모형)의 추정결과를 보면 나이, 운전면허 소지여부, 가구내 차량보유대수, 가구내 직장인수, 연간 가구소득, 교통수단의 통행시간이 통근통행자의 교통수단 선택에 의미 있는 영향을 미치는 것으로 확인되었다. 한편 통근통행 이전의 비통근통행 발생여부 선택모형(한계모형)의 추정결과를 보면 나이 성별, 가구내 차량보유대수, 가구의 생애주기가 통근통행자의 비 통근통행 발생여부에 의미 있는 영향을 미치는 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구로부터의 중요한 발견은 추정된 네스티드 로짓모형의 inclusive value의 추정계수값을 살펴봄으로써 가능한데, 모형의 경험적 추정결과는 본 연구에서 가설화된 네스티드 로짓모형구조의 타당성을 입증시켜 준다. 아울러 직장인의 교통수단 선택은 통근통행 이전의 비 통근통행 발생여부의 선택과 밀접한 관련을 가지면서 이루어진다는 사실을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Estimating Attributes Value of Alternatives Applied for Rehabilitation of Hydrologic Cycle of the Anyangcheon Watershed (물순환 건전화 대안 적용을 위한 안양천의 속성별 가치추정)

  • Kong, Ki-Seo;Chung, Eun-Sung;Lee, Kil-Seong;Yoo, Jin-Chae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.12 s.173
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    • pp.1031-1042
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    • 2006
  • In recent years, a growing concern exists in watershed and stream improvement projects. Under these circumstances, this paper estimates monetary value of the attributes of alternatives for rehabilitation of hydrologic cycle using choice experiments. Choice experiments shows vivid image and estimates a willingness to pay based on their preference for environmental goods. A preliminary survey shows that the attributes of the Anyangcheon watershed are flood-damage possibilities, Instreamflow, water quality, river characteristic and estimates the tax for the Anyangcheon watershed improvements. We surveyed 200 citizens were selected as samples of watershed beneficing in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province and used conditional logit model to analyze the implicit values of the attributive per household. The benefit of the attributes by province based on the implicit price obtained from estimated parameters were calculated. This study is expected to contribute to the decision-making process for policy-makers by providing useful methodological framework and quantitative information related to watershed improvement projects.

Economic Valuation of the Taehwa Field Ecological Park: An Application of a Contingent Valuation Method with Preferance Uncertainly (태화들 생태공원의 경제적 가치추정에 관한 연구: 선호불확실성을 고려한 조건부가치측정법의 적용)

  • Kim, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.109-135
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    • 2010
  • This study estimated the social benefits of establishment 01 the Taehwa Field Ecology Park in Ulsan Metropolitan City, using CVM(Contingent Valuation Method) with multiple choices in consideration of respondent's uncertainty. The estimation results 01 lour logit models show that the probability of willingness-to-pay increases significantly with higher income, higher evaluation on the relevancy of establishment of the Park, and male gender, and decreases significantly with the bidding price. Truncated mean household WTP is estimated as 2,409.4 KRW in the MBYES model with the most efficient estimates of WTP among four models. On the basis of the WTP estimates, the present values of total social benefits in Ulsan Metropolitan City are estimated as 236.5 bill ion KRW when applying the 5% discount rate. This result shows that the present values of total social benefits are greater than the total costs in all models, and thus may prove the economic relevancy of the investment for the ecology park establishment.

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Assessment of the Willingness to Pay for Forest Management in the Upstream for Water Quality Improvement within the Han River Watershed (수질개선을 위한 한강 수계 상류지역 산림관리 지불의사금액 추정)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Chul-Sang;Lee, Ho-Sang;Park, Kyung-Seok;Mun, Ji-Min;Jeon, Hyon-Sun
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.49-72
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    • 2015
  • Forests in the upstream contributed to improve the quality of water resources for the residents downstream. However, upon structural examination of how the Han River Watershed Management Fund was spent, it became apparent that the fund was not spent toward forest management in the upstream. An additional budget must be allocated if the Watershed Management Committee is to contribute to the management of the upstream forests with such awareness. Therefore, the aim of the study was to assess the willingness to pay and to calculate of budget for forest management in the upstream for water quality improvement. Three hundred surveys on watershed beneficiaries were conducted using biased sampling method. The result was analyzed with conditional logit model and mixed logit model. Forest management, a target variable, was found to have statistical significance. Based on this result, the size of the expected budget was estimated to be minimum 20,526 million won to maximum 20,928 million won.

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