• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정태패널분석

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Determinants of Korea's Goods Balances with Japan: Evidence from Dynamic Panel Model (동태 패널모형을 이용한 대일 상품수지 결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Jounggu;Hwang, Shinmo
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.331-350
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    • 2011
  • This paper analyzes balance of goods for a panel data of 56 industry classification in the MTI from 1980 to 2009. This study also develops the equilibrium adjustment process, which is a trade-off between the adjustment costs towards equilibrium costs for balance of goods and the cost of being in disequilibrium. In this framework, the GMM estimation procedure is used to estimate this dynamic panel model consistently. It is found that equilibrium balances of goods in Korean adjust to the speed is very slow to 0.0389. because of this is necessary to adjust the equilibrium goods balance as the cost of goods balance deficit is larger than by the cost. In addition, the real income elasticity for goods balance of resin in Japan and Korea, the real income elasticity 4.38168 and -0.835225, respectively, the marks were consistent with economic theory. The exchange rate elasticity of goods balance in japan to 0.478435 were found in the inelastic.

A Study on the Alternatives for Fire Safety Management by Warehouse Fire Analysis (물류창고 화재분석을 통한 화재안전관리방안 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Kyu;Park, Sang-Hyun;Jung, Tae-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2009.04a
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    • pp.598-605
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문은 2008년 12월 5일 경기도 이천시 소재의 물류창고 화재사고에 대한 화재원인 및 화재확대요인을 검토하고, 재발방지를 위한 대책을 제시하였다. 본 화재원인 검토결과 용접작업 실화에 의한 화재로 벽체패널인 샌드위치패널과 문틀형 강을 접합하던 중 용접작업시 발생하는 불티 또는 고열에 의해 벽체패널 내부의 스티로폼 및 우레탄폼에 착화된 것으로 추정된다. 화재확대요인은 화재에 취약한 스티로폼 및 우레탄폼 재질의 샌드위치패널 사용과 소방설비의 인위적 기능해제로 판단된다. 이번 사고와 같은 재난을 예방하기 위해서는 급격한 연소확대 특성을 갖는 스티로폼 및 우레탄폼 재질의 샌드위치패널 사용금지, 소방설비의 기능해제에 대한 감시와 처벌강화와 안전관리체계 및 안전규칙 준수여부 관리 강화가 필요하다.

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The Impact of Inflation on Chinese Housing Bubble -Empirical Study Based on Provincial Panel Data-

  • Gao, Feng Mu;Fan, Gang Zhi;Zhang, Yan Yan
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2017
  • The continuously rising housing prices in major Chinese cities have raised question about whether inflation is the main reason to drive up housing price to skyrocket in recent years. Based on the provincial panel dataset of China from 2006-2014, this paper investigates the impact of inflation on Chinese housing markets within the frameworks of both static and dynamic panel data models. Our empirical results show evidence that inflation has indeed been a main force of accumulating housing bubbles in these housing markets, especially in eastern region of China. We also find an interesting phenomenon in which Chinese housing bubble is, to a certain extent, affected by market self-adjustment mechanism.

자본조달순위이론에 관한 연구

  • Gwak, Se-Yeong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.215-229
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    • 2004
  • 이 연구는 우리나라 상장 제조기업의 자본조달행태를 외환위기를 기준으로 구분하여 분석함으로써 자본조달순위이론의 타당성 여부를 탐색하였다. 최적자본구조의 존재여부와 결정요인을 탐색하는 정태적 자본구조이론과 달리 우선순위에 따라 자본조달을 한다고 제시된 것이 동태적 성격의 자본조달순위이론이다. 1981년부터 2002년까지 우리나라 상장 제조업의 패널자료를 이용하여 분석한 결과 현금흐름의 회귀계수가 일관성 있게 음(-)의 부호를 나타냈는데 이것은 우리나라 기업들이 대체로 자본조달순위이론과 같은 행태로 자본을 조달하는 것으로 해석된다. 총자산 수익률변수도 자본조달순위이론을 지지하는 결과를 보여주었으며 외환위기이전과 이후의 차이는 크지 않은 것으로 나타났다.

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A Study on the Efficiency and Determinants of Static and Dynamic in Korean property casualty insurance Company (국내 손해보험회사의 효율성 및 결정요인에 대한 Static and Dynamic 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyuk;Park, Chun-Gwang;Kim, Byeong-Chul
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.183-212
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the efficiency change and determinants of the korean non-life insurance companies. we use DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) model to measure company efficiency change and use GLS, Tobit model, FIixed effect model, Random effect model, GMM to measure efficiency determinants. we utilize ten non-life insurance companies in korea and the panel data for five from 2001 to 2005. The empirical results show the following findings. First, technical efficiency shows that approximately 15.5% of inefficiency exists on the non-life insurance companies and it reveals that the cause for technical inefficiency is due to scale inefficiency. Second, Dea Window results show that the stable dissimilarity by standard deviation, LDP of CCR. Third, the results of efficiency determinants show that increase efficiency is depend on the premium income and real estates.

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Testing for Convergence in Carbon Dioxide Emissions : Using a Dynamic Panel Analysis and Panel Unit Root Test (이산화탄소 배출량의 수렴성 검정 : 다이나믹 패널 분석과 패널 단위근 검정을 이용하여)

  • Cho, Sungtaek;Cho, Yongsung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.53-73
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    • 2009
  • This study examines the existence of ${\beta}$-convergence of carbon dioxide emissions in 24 countries over the period 1971~2002. For that purpose, The model of economic growth developed by Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1995) is extended and conducted Dynamic panel analysis and unit root testing by employing the panel stationarity test of Levin et al. (2002) and 1m et al. (2003). A dynamic panel estimation is well known method including capacity to control for both the endogeneity problem and the unobserved country-specific effects problem. Dynamic panel estimation method has been widely used in similar empirical studies. therefore, we also used the dynamic panel estimation method in our estimation. The result show that evidence of ${\beta}$-convergence exists among both the Obligatory GHG reduction countries (Annex) and the Non-obligatory GHG reduction countries (Non-Annex). but China discharge amount of $CO_2$ gas more than any other country. This fact can cause some bias in overall test. and so we reexamined test of convergence for Non-annex countries excluding china. As expected, in the Non-annex countries excluding china, I couldn't find any evidence of convergence.

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Cumulative Effects of Trade Liberalization : The Case of Korean Manufacturing (무역자유화의 동태적 누적효과: 한국 제조업)

  • Park, Soonchan
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.30-51
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    • 2011
  • Since the previous studies on the effects of trade liberalization implicitly assume that trade liberalization affects economic performance only in any point in time, they inevitably are static. Static evaluations fail to account for cumulative dynamic effects of trade liberalization that affect continuously economic performance. This paper tries to fill this gap of the previous studies in this field, estimating cumulative effects of trade liberalization on economic performance by employing an dynamic version of empirical model. One of important empirical issue is controlling bias from endogeneity. To resolve this problem, this paper employes system GMM that uses lagged first-differences as instruments for level equations and lagged levels as instruments for first-differences equations. It improves upon cross-section estimators because it controls for the potential bias induced by the omission of industry-specific effects and the endogeneity of all regressors. This study investigates the effects of trade liberalization in Korean manufacturing for the period from 1988 to 2005 and finds that cumulative dynamic effects of trade liberalization are present and bigger than static effects.

R&D and Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis: CO2 Case (R&D 투자와 환경쿠즈네츠 곡선 가설: CO2 사례 분석)

  • Kang, Heechan;Hwang, Sangyeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.89-112
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, as a determining factor of the Environment Kuznets Curve hypothesis, we analyzed the impact of technological innovation. In this paper, in order to empirically validate the role of technological innovation to an inverted U-shaped Environments Kuznets Curve hypothesis, we utilize the 2SLS considering relationship between R&D and the GDP per capita. Also, using the Panel VAR (Panel Vector Auto Regression) model to analyze with what time lag R&D per capita has impact on the emissions of greenhouse gases per capita. Empirical results show that R&D per capita(proxy of innovation) is a important factor to explain Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis, and that the external shock such as R&D per capita reduces greenhouse gas emissions per capita with about 3 time lag.

Abnormal Work, a Bridge or a Trap? (비정규직, 가교(bridge) 인가 함정(trap) 인가?)

  • Nam, Jaeryang;Kim, Taigi
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.81-106
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    • 2000
  • This paper examines whether 'abnormal work practices', which have rapidly increased since the mid 1990s, are a 'bridge' for workers to 'normal work practices' or a 'trap' from which they are hard to escape. It provides both the static and dynamic analysis. The former shows they are likely to work as a 'trap'. The latter, which investigates the transition probability during the last 24 months, also supports the same result. It finds out that most of part-time workers paid by an employer are contingent workers or daily workers and that about fifty percent of 'abnormal workers' took them involuntarily.

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Foreign Stock Investment and Firms's Dividend Policy in Korea (외국인 투자자가 국내 유가증권시장 상장기업의 배당 행태에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구 : 다양한 계량경제모형의 적용)

  • Kim, Young-Hwan;Jung, Sung-Chang;Chun, Sun-Eae
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2009
  • As foreign investors' share holdings in Korean firms have dramatically increased since 1998 following the financial deregulation on the limit of foreign stock investment, the concern over the negative impacts the foreign investors would bring on the firms' financial policy has been growing too. Foreign investors were perceived to require the firms of excessive payments of cash dividends sometimes with threat of hostile takeover trials detering the firm from investing its cash flow in the physical facilities and RandD eroding their potential growth capabilities. We examine the impact of foreign investment on the firms' dividend policy using 234 listed firms' panel data over the sample periods of 1998 to 2005 employing various panel regression methodology. Foreign shareholders are found not to be related or even negatively related to the payout ratio(dividend/net income), but positively and statistically significantly related to the ratio of cash dividends to book of asset, negatively to the dividend yields. Considering the payout ratio is the most appropriate measure for the dividend payment, we can not support the arguments that the foreign investors' holdings have induced the excessive dividend level in Korean firms.

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