• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정상적 예측 방법

Search Result 434, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Estimation of Small Hydropower Resources by Hydrologic Analysis of Han-River Standard Basin (한강수계 표준유역의 수문특성분석을 통한 소수력 자원량 산정)

  • Seo, Sung Ho;Oh, Kuk Ryul;Park, Wan Soon;Jeong, Sang Man
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2011.02a
    • /
    • pp.47-47
    • /
    • 2011
  • 에너지자원이 부족하여 에너지 해외의존도가 약 80% 이상인 우리나라의 특성상 에너지 해외의존도를 경감시키고 에너지부족 상황을 안정시키기 위하여 국내의 부존에너지를 최대한 활용하는 것이 필요하다. 또한 지구온난화에 대처하는 범세계적인 규제에 대비하기 위하여, 청정에너지를 적극 개발하여 에너지자립도를 향상시켜야 한다. 신재생에너지 중 하나인 소수력은 친환경적인 청정에너지 중 하나로 다른 대체 에너지원에 비해 높은 에너지 밀도를 가지고 있어 개발 가치가 큰 부존자원으로 평가되고 있다. 그리고 소수력은 여러측면의 사회적 환경적 이점으로 최근에는 선진국에서도 매우 큰 관심을 끌고 있으며, 에너지 자원이 빈약하여 대부분 석유수입에 의존하는 우리나라는 지역에너지로 소수력을 적극 개발하여야 한다. 소수력 부존량이 풍부한 우리나라는 1982년에 소수력 개발 활성화 방안이 공표되면서부터 정부주도 하에 소수력 발전소 건설에 관한 연구를 적극적으로 지원하게 되었다. 대수력과 비교하여 소수력의 장점으로는 비교적 짧은 계획 및 시공기간, 낮은 투자비용, 개인이나 기업을 통한 투자참여, 주위 인력이나 자재를 이용한 쉬운 설치, 적은 환경적인 피해 등이 있다. 이와 같이 청정에너지 중 하나인 소수력의 개발과 활용을 위하여 IT 기술을 접목한 다양한 응용시스템 구축이 진행되고 있다. 특히, 한국에너지기술연구원에서는 신재생에너지 개발 및 보급 확대를 목표로 2006년에 신재생에너지 자원지도시스템을 구축하였으며, 이를 웹상에서 제공하고 있다. 소수력 발전시설의 적극적인 활용을 위해서는 초기설계시 장기유출 특성분석을 통해 해당유역의 수자원을 최대로 활용하고, 지형적인 요소를 이용하여 전기의 생산이 최대가 되도록 하는 최적설계가 이루어 져야 한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 소수력 발전시설의 최적설계를 위해 한강수계 258개 표준유역 중 섬강합류점에 대하여 자원지도를 활용하여 연평균유량을 추정한 후 소수력 자원량을 산정하였고, 그 결과로 시설용량과 연간전기생산량은 각각 1,633kW, 6,224MWh로 산정되었다. 또한 유출량의 미계측 유역에서의 소수력 발전성능을 예측하기 위한 방법으로 Weibull 분포의 특성화 방법을 선택하여 그 적용성을 검토하였다. 섬강합류점 표준유역 내에 위치하고 있는 목계관측소, 앙성관측소에서의 10개년(1999~2008) 강우자료를 바탕으로 유황곡선을 작성하여 상관관계분석을 실시한 결과 목계관측소에서 0.994701, 앙성관측소에서 0.992616으로 관측치와 계산값이 상당히 유사한 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

The Study on the Confidence Building for Evaluation Methods of a Fracture System and Its Hydraulic Conductivity (단열체계 및 수리전도도의 해석신뢰도 향상을 위한 평가방법 연구)

  • Cho Sung-Il;Kim Chun-Soo;Bae Dae-Seok;Kim Kyung-Su;Song Moo-Young
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.15 no.2 s.42
    • /
    • pp.213-227
    • /
    • 2005
  • This study aims to assess the problems with investigation method and to suggest the complementary solutions by comparing the predicted data from surface investigation with the outcome data from underground cavern. In the study area, one(NE-1) of 6 fracture zones predicted during the surface investigation was only confirmed in underground caverns. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the confidence level for prediction. In this study, the fracture classification criteria was quantitatively suggested on the basis of the BHTV images of NE-1 fracture zone. The major orientation of background fractures in rock mass was changed at the depth of the storage cavern, the length and intensity were decreased. These characteristics result in the deviation of predieted predicted fracture properties and generate the investigation bias depending on the bore hole directions and investigated scales. The evaluation of hydraulic connectivity in the surface investigation stage needs to be analyze by the groundwater pressures and hydrochemical properties from the monitoring bore hole(s) equipped with a double completion or multi-packer system during the test bore hole is pumping or injecting. The hydraulic conductivities in geometric mean measured in the underground caverns are 2-3 times lower than those from the surface and furthermore the horizontal hydraulic conductivity in geometric mean is six times lower than the vertical one. To improve confidence level of the hydraulic conductivity, the orientation of test hole should be considered during the analysis of the hydraulic conductivity and the methodology of hydro-testing and interpretation should be based on the characteristics of rock mass and investigation purposes.

Analysis of Dynamically Penetrating Anchor based on Coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian (CEL) Method (Coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian (CEL) 방법을 이용한 Dynamically Penetrating Anchor의 동적 거동 분석)

  • Kim, Youngho;Jeong, Sang-Seom
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.34 no.3
    • /
    • pp.895-906
    • /
    • 2014
  • A fundamental study of the dynamically penetrating anchor (DPA - colloquially known as torpedo anchor) embedded into deep seabed was conducted using measurement data and numerical approaches. Numerical simulation of such a structure penetration was often suffered by severe mesh distortion arising from very large soil deformation, complex contact condition and nonlinear soil behavior. In recent years, a Coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian method (CEL) has been used to solve geomechanical boundary value problems involving large deformations. In this study, 3D finite element analyses using the CEL formulation are carried out to simulate the construction process of dynamic anchors. Through comparisons with results of field measurements, the CEL method in the present study is in good agreement with the general trend observed by in-situ measurements and thus, predicts a realistic large deformation movement for the dynamic anchors by free-fall dropping, which the conventional FE method cannot. Additionally, the appropriate parametric studies needed for verifying the characteristic of dynamic anchor are also discussed.

Analysis of Postnatal Acquisition Factors of the Normal Flora in Infants with Urinary Tract Infection (영아 요로감염에서 정상 세균총의 생후 획득 요인에 관한 분석)

  • Shim, Yoon-Hee;Kim, Hee-Jung;Lee, Seung-Joo
    • Childhood Kidney Diseases
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.195-202
    • /
    • 2007
  • Purpose : The normal flora, which was suggested to prevent infection, is acquired first from the birth canal and develops by dietary factors. Here presents a case-control study, aimed to evaluate the postnatal acquisition factors relating to the achievement of the normal flora in infants with urinary tract infection (UTI). Methods : 115 UTI infants, admitted at Ewha Womans University Mokdong Hospital from 2004 to 2005 and 116 age-matched control infants, who had visited well baby clinic, were evaluated. The suggested postnatal acquisition factors of the normal flora such as vaginal delivery, breast feeding, probiotics and yogurt intake and their relationship with UTI were evaluated. Results : The rate of vaginal delivery was 50%(58/l15) in UTI infants, which was not significantly different from 60%(69/116) in control infants(P>0.05). In the infants with UTI, the feeding pattern(breast milk 19%, mixed 26%, formula 55%) was significantly different from that(44%, 19%, 37%) in control infants(P<0.05). This significant difference was shown only in infants less than 6 months of age, but was not in infants over 6 months of age. The rate of probiotics intake in UTI infants was 4%(4/115), which was significantly lower than 27% (32/116) in control infants(P<0.05). The rate of regular intake of yogurt in UTI infants over 6 months of age was 27%(6/23), which was not significantly different from 35%(8/23) in control infants(P>0.05). The odds ratios of breast feeding and probiotics intake against UTI were significantly low as 0.30 (95% Cl 0.17-0.55)(P<0.01) and 0.03 (95% Cl 0.01-0.07)(P<0.01). Conclusion : The significantly lower rates of breast feeding and probiotics intake in UTI infants suggest that these dietary factors might have preventive effects in infants with UTI.

  • PDF

Prognostic Values of Preoperative Hematologic Parameters in Gastric Cancer (위암에서 수술 전 혈액학적 검사의 예후인자로서의 가치)

  • Kim Hyoung-Ju;Kwon Sung Joon
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-33
    • /
    • 2005
  • Purpose: To determine the prognostic values of the hematologic parameters checked preoperatively in gastric cancer patients, we evaluated and compared the relationship between hematologic parameters and clinicopathologic factors of gastric cancer patient. Materials and Methods: The medical records of 357 consecutive patients who had undergone surgery for gastric cancer at the Department of Surgery, Hanyang University Hospital, between Dec. 2,000 and Dec. 2003 were reviewed. To exclude any adverse effect of invasive procedures to hematologic parameters, the samples taken immediately at outpatient department was used. The normal range of serum albumin was defined above 3.5 g/dl, serum hemoglobin above 12 g/dl, and serum platelet count under $400\times10^{3}{\mu}l$. Patients were defined as group 1 when any of these parameters was abnormal, and defined as group 2 when all parameters were normal. The relationships between hematologic parameters and survival rate were investigated. Results: The mean values of platelet count increased, but level of serum albumin and serum hemoglobin decreased significantly according to the advancement of the disease stage (P=0.000). The differences of depth of tumor invasion and lymph node metastasis between the group 1 and the group2 was statistically significant (P=0.001). Three-year survival difference between group 1 and group 2 was significant (P=0.037). Conclusion: The hematologic parameters checked preoperatively in patients of gastric cancer are simple and cheap, meanwhile reflect the general condition of the patients. Any presence of anemia, hypoalbuminemia, or thrombocytosis can predict the progression of the disease and poor survival rates.

  • PDF

Analysis of Domestic Water Consuming Pattern and Metered Water Use (생활용수 소비패턴 및 실사용량 분석)

  • Kim, Ju Hwan;Cho, Im Young;Park, Noh Heuk;Woo, Hyoung Min;Ahn, Hyo Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2004.05b
    • /
    • pp.1310-1315
    • /
    • 2004
  • 용수수요 추정의 기본은 수도계획에 사용할 수 있는 실사용량에 대한 조사로 이에 대한 자료가 거의 없기 때문에 각 수도사업별로 제시되는 추정방법이 조금씩 상이하며, 추정방법의 진위를 가릴 수 없이 수요추정의 악순환을 초래하고 있는 실정이다. 기존 물사용량 예측은 급수량 기준의 도시 전체에 내한 평균 LPCD를 이용함에 따라 물사용 특성을 충분히 고려찬 수 없어 지역별 실제 물사용량과 큰 오차가 유발되었다. 그러므로 수도계획 및 설계에 사용할 수 있는 신뢰성 있는 설계인자를 도출하기가 불가능하여 물수요 관리정책 수립, 수도요금체계 조정 및 누수방지계획 수립 등 경제적인 수도시설의 건설에 애로를 겪고 있다. 본 연구에서는 생활용수 중 가정용수에 대하여 세탁기, 변기, 싱크대 등 수도전에 유량계를 설치 실제 가정에서 사용하고 있는 용도별 사용량을 실측, 파악하였으며, 이로부터 얻은 용도별 사용량에 대한 기간별 소비특성을 분석하였다. 이로부터 생활용수 사용량의 소비패턴 및 시간대별 부하율 산정이 가능하며, 각종 용도별 사용수량의 소비형태를 찾아낼 수 있었다. 또한 가정용수 중 용도별 물 사용비율은 세탁용수, 변기, 주방, 목욕용수의 순으로 나타났으며 주택유형별로는 아파트 연립주택, 다세대 주택, 단독주택의 순으로 단독주택에서의 물사용량이 가장 적게 나타났다. 생활용수 공급량에 내해서는 시간별, 주별, 월별 그리고 계절변동 총량을 파악하였으며 시간대별로는 오후 3시경이 최대 소비량을 보였고, 주별로는 월요일 그리고 월별로는 7월의 용수사용량이 가장 큰 것으로 조사 되었다. 본 연구로부터 도출된 용도별 실측 물사용량 자료 및 분석결과로부터, 지금까지 공급량 기준의 계획수립이 이루어져왔던 파종 수도시설 규모결정시 합리적인 용수수요예측 및 수요관리가 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 판단되며, 용수수요의 과다예측 오해 해소 등 경제적, 과학적 물관리 정책수립을 위한 기초자료를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 경제적인 방법이 될 수 있다. 하천수 등의 상호 관계 분석을 통해 장기간의 유역 물순환체계 변화를 분석할 수 있었다.골풀과, 닭의장풀과가 각 1종씩으로, 조사지점( I )보다 좀 더 많은 종이 분포하는 것으로 조사되었다. 또한 어류는 조사지점( I )에서 3회에 걸쳐 총 396개체가 채집되어 3목 8과 21종이었다. 이 중 한국 고유종은 11종이었고, 외래 어종은 검정우럭과 2종이 조사되었으며, Zacco platypus(피라미), Zacco temmincki(갈겨니), Acheilongnathus koreanus(칼납자루), Odontobutis platycephala(동사리), Coreoleuciscus splendidus(쉬리) 순으로 분포하고 있었고, Acheilognathus signifer(묵납자루)는 댐 건설 전에는 많이 분포하였으나 현장조사에서 서식을 확인 할 수 언어 개체수의 큰 감소내지 멸종된 것으로 추정되었다.에서 동시에 시행하였다. 수술 후 1년 내 시행한 심초음파에서 모든 환아에서 단지 경등도 이하의 승모판 폐쇄 부전 소견을 보였다. 수술 후 조기 사망은 없었으며, 합병증으로는 유미흉이 한 명에서 있었다. 술 후 10개월째 허혈성 확장성 심근증이 호전되지 않아 Dor 술식을 시행한 후 사망한 예를 제외한 나머지 6명은 특이 증상 없이 정상 생활 중이다 결론: 좌관상동맥 페동맥이상 기시증은 드물기는 하나, 영유아기에 심근경색 및 허혈성 심근증 또는 선천성 승모판 폐쇄 부전등을 초래하는 심각한 선천성 심질환이다. 그러나 진단 즉시 직접 좌관상동맥-대동맥 이식술로 수술적 교정을 해줌으로써 좋은 성적을 기대할 수 있음을 보여주었다.특히 교사들이 중요하게 인식하는 해방적 행동에 대한 목표를 강조하여 적용할 필요가 있음을 시사하고 있다.교하여 유의한 차이가 관찰되지 않았다. 또한 HSP 환자군에서도 $IL1RN^{*}2$ allele 빈도와 carriage rat

  • PDF

Optimal design of impeller in fan motor unit of cordless vacuum cleaner for improving flow performance and reducing aerodynamic noise (무선진공청소기 팬 모터 단품의 유량성능 향상과 공력소음 저감을 위한 임펠라 최적설계)

  • Kim, KunWoo;Ryu, Seo-Yoon;Cheong, Cheolung;Seo, Seongjin;Jang, Cheolmin
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.39 no.5
    • /
    • pp.379-389
    • /
    • 2020
  • In this study, the flow and noise performances of high-speed fan motor unit for cordless vacuum cleaner is improved by optimizing the impeller which drives the suction air through flow passage of the cordless vacuum cleaner. Firstly, the unsteady incompressible Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations are solved to investigate the flow through the fan motor unit using the computational fluid dynamics techniques. Based on flow field results, the Ffowcs-Williams and Hawkings (FW-H) integral equation is used to predict flow noise radiated from the impeller. Predicted results are compared to the measured ones, which confirms the validity of the numerical method used. It is found that the strong vortex is formed around the mid-chord region of the main blades where the blade curvature change rapidly. Given that vortex acts as a loss for flow and a noise source for noise, impeller blade is redesigned to suppress the identified vortex. The response surface method using two factors is employed to determine the optimum inlet and outlet sweep angles for maximum flow rate and minimum noise. Further analysis of finally selected design confirms the improved flow and noise performance.

Changes in Sporophore Appearance of Cultivated Mushroom, Agaricus bisporus, during the Harvesting Period (양송이 자실체(子實體) 발생(發生)의 경시적(經時的) 변동(變動)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Park, Jong-Seong;Shin, Gwan-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.43-50
    • /
    • 1977
  • This stuy was conducted to analyse the variation in occurrance of fruit body of Agaricus bisporus (Lange) Sing, depending on difference of cultivation and harvesting method and to find out a method for early predicting the mushroom yield potential at the base of results of the analysis. The results obtained were as follows ; 1. Total mushroom yield was highly correlated with picking amount of fruit bodies during first 30 days of picking period, and yield potentiality in the certain high yielding mushroom house was markedly affected with the yield of middle and late period of picking. 2. Variation of mushroom yield with varying the degree of maturity of fruit bodies appeared to be different between spring and autumn cropping : in case autumn cropping was usally undertaken with normal cropping scheme, mushroom yield showed a reduction in early period of picking but an increase in late period when the mushrooms where picked at pre-matured stage. 3. When the picking rate of button form was laid in the range of 20~45%, and increase of total mushroom yield was accompanied by an increasing tendency of picking rate of button form. 4. Cropping results from mushroom houses could be early predicted from the regression equations, which was based on the analysis of variation in fruit body occurance throughout the picking period.

  • PDF

Auto-Segmentation Algorithm For Liver-Vessel From Abdominal MDCT Image (복부 MDCT 영상으로부터 간혈관 자동 추출 알고리즘)

  • Park, Seong-Me;Lee, You-Jin;Park, Jong-Won
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.430-437
    • /
    • 2010
  • It is essential for living donor liver transplantation that surgeon must understand the hepatic vessel structure to improve the success rate of operation. In this paper, we extract the liver boundary without other surrounding structures such as heart, stomach, and spleen using the contrast enhanced MDCT liver image sequence. After that, we extract the major hepatic veins (left, middle, right hepatic vein) with morphological filter after review the basic structure of hepatic vessel which reside in segmented liver image region. The purpose of this study is provide the overall status of transplantation operation with size estimation of resection part which is dissected along with the middle hepatic vein. The method of liver extraction is as follows: firstly, we get rid of background and muscle layer with gray level distribution ratio from sampling process. secondly, the coincident images match with unit mesh image are unified with resulted image using the corse coordinate of liver and body. thirdly, we extract the final liver image after expanding and region filling. Using the segmented liver images, we extract the hepatic vessels with morphological filter and reversed the major hepatic vessels only with a results of ascending order of vessel size. The 3D reconstructed views of hepatic vessel are generated after applying the interpolation to provide the smooth view. These 3D view are used to estimate the dissection line after identify the middle hepatic vein. Finally, the volume of resection region is calculated and we can identify the possibility of successful transplantation operation.

An Evaluation of Empirical Prediction Equation for Deformation Modulus of Rock Masses by Field Measurements (암반변형계수의 현장시험을 통한 경험적 추정식의 적정성 평가)

  • Chun Byung-Sik;Lee Yong-Jae;Ahn Kyung-Chul;Shin Jae-Keun;Jung Sang-Hoon
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.16 no.3 s.62
    • /
    • pp.251-258
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this paper, the applicability to the Korean rock condition of using the deformation moduli based on Rock Mass Rating (RMR) and Pressuremeter Test (PMT) is evaluated. The correlations among deformation moduli and various rock properties were also analyzed. It appears that the existing correlations using RMR overestimate the deformation moduli and wide variation was found between predicted moduli using these correlations and measured values. As for the correlations among the deformation moduli and various rock properties, Rock Quality Designation (RQD) and unconfined compressive strength (UCS) were found to correlate to deformation moduli reasonably well, but joint spacing and joint conditions appear to correlate poorly to RQD and UCS. Additionally, groundwater can not be correlated with the modulus values. While the depth has very little contribution to deformation modulus, it should be factored in the simple regression analyses with various rock mass properties, especially with the correlations made with UCS, RQD etc. With the deficiencies of these correlations, more in depth analysis techniques such as multivariate correlations may be to reliably estimate deformation modulus of rock mass.