• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전파예측모델

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Aerodynamic Approaches for the Predition of Spread the HPAI (High Pathogenic Avian Influenza) on Aerosol (고병원성 조류인플루엔자 (HPAI)의 에어로졸을 통한 공기 전파 예측을 위한 공기유동학적 확산 모델 연구)

  • Seo, Il-Hwan;Lee, In-Bok;Moon, Oun-Kyung;Hong, Se-Woon;Hwnag, Hyun-Seob;Bitog, J.P.;Kwon, Kyeong-Seok;Kim, Ki-Youn
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2011
  • HPAI (High pathogenic avian influenza) which is a disease legally designated as an epidemic generally shows rapid spread of disease resulting in high mortality rate as well as severe economic damages. Because Korea is contiguous with China and southeast Asia where HPAI have occurred frequently, there is a high risk for HPAI outbreak. A prompt treatment against epidemics is most important for prevention of disease spread. The spread of HPAI should be considered by both direct and indirect contact as well as various spread factors including airborne spread. There are high risk of rapid propagation of HPAI flowing through the air because of collective farms mostly in Korea. Field experiments for the mechanism of disease spread have limitations such as unstable weather condition and difficulties in maintaining experimental conditions. In this study, therefore, computational fluid dynamics which has been actively used for mass transfer modeling were adapted. Korea has complex terrains and many livestock farms are located in the mountain regions. GIS numerical map was used to estimate spreads of virus attached aerosol by means of designing three dimensional complicated geometry including farm location, road network, related facilities. This can be used as back data in order to take preventive measures against HPAI occurrence and spread.

Efficient Sound Control Method in Virtual Environments Using Raytracing Based Diffraction

  • Kim, Jong-Hyun;Choi, Jong-In
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.11
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose diffraction-based sound control method to improve sound immersion in a virtual environment. The proposed technique can express the wave and flow of sound in a physical environment and a pattern similar to diffraction in real-time. Our approach determines whether there is an obstacle from the location of the sound source and then calculates the position of the new sound reflected and diffracted by the obstacle. Based on ray tracing, it determines whether or not it collides with an obstacle, and predicts the sound level of the agent behind the obstacle by using the vector reflected and refraction by the collision. In this process, the sound attenuation according to the distance/material is modeled by attenuating the size of the sound according to the number of reflected/refracted rays. As a result, the diffraction pattern expressed in the physics-based approach was expressed in real time, and it shows that the diffraction pattern also changes as the position of the obstacle is changed, thereby showing the result of naturally spreading the size of the sound. The proposed method restores the diffusion and diffraction characteristics of sound expressed in real life almost similarly.

Shape Similarity Analysis for Verification of Hazard Map for Storm Surge : Shape Criterion (폭풍해일 침수예상도 검증을 위한 형상유사도 분석 : 형상기준)

  • Kim, Young In;Kim, Dong Hyun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2019
  • The concept of shape similarity has been applied to verify the accuracy of the SIND model, the real-time prediction model for disaster risk. However, the CRITIC method, one of the most widely used in geometric methodology, is definitely limited to apply to complex shape such as hazard map for coastal disaster. Therefore, we suggested the modified CRITIC method of which we added the shape factors such as RCCI and TF to consider complicated shapes. The matching pairs were manually divided into exact-matching pairs and mis-matching pairs to evaluate the applicability of the new method for shape similarity into hazard maps for storm surges. And the shape similarity of each matching pair was calculated by changing the weights of each shape factor and criteria. Newly proposed methodology and the calculated weights were applied to the objects of the existent hazard map and the results from SIND model. About 90% of exact-matching pairs had the shape similarity of 0.5 or higher, and about 70% of mis-matching pairs were it below 0.5. As future works, if we would calibrate narrowly and adjust carefully multi-objects corresponding to one object, it would be expected that the shape similarity of the exact-matching pairs will increase overall while it of the mis-matching pairs will decrease.

Study of the Saemangeum District Flood Level after Completion of Saemangeum Master Plan (새만금종합개발계획 완료 후 새만금 지구 홍수위 검토)

  • Jeong, Seok Il;Ryu, Kwang Hyun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.248-248
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    • 2018
  • 새만금 종합개발계획(정부, 2011)에 따른 내부개발의 완료시점은 2030년이며, 방수제 공사와 준설 등과 같이 만경강 및 동진강 유역 내 흐름을 변화시킬 수 있는 공사를 포함하고 있으므로 현재와 2030년의 하천 및 호의 수리특성은 다를 것이라 예상된다. 2030년까지 준설상황 등을 예측하여 반영하는 것은 사실상 불가능하기 때문에 새만금 종합개발계획에서 제시하고 있는 내부개발의 완료시점을 기준으로 홍수사상을 모의하였다. 새만금 호의 물리적인 변화는 수리특성의 변화로 이어질 수 있으며, 이는 상류지역으로 전파가 될 수 있으므로 호내 뿐만 아니라 만경강과 동진강 전역에 대한 홍수시의 수리특성을 검토하였다. 새만금 호와 연결된 만경강과 동진강의 설계홍수량은 대부분의 구간에서 100년 빈도이기 때문에 본 연구에서는 100년 빈도 홍수사상에 대한 분석을 기초로 홍수위 검토를 수행하였고, RCP8.5 시나리오를 적용한 100년 빈도 홍수량과 500년 빈도 홍수량에 대한 추가적인 연구를 수행하였으며, 이 결과를 토대로 취약지구 분석 및 대책 등을 제시하였다. 수치모의는 Delft3D를 이용하였으며, 새만금 유역의 동진강 지구의 실측치와 비교함으로써 모델의 적용성을 검증하였다. 서해안 조위 특성상 새만금 방조제는 조위 영향이 크므로, 이에 본 연구에서는 외조위의 특성을 고려하기 위해 새만금 유역 주변의 12개 조화상수(tidal harmonic constant)를 이용하여 조위에 대한 모의를 별도로 수행하고, 이 결과를 배수갑문의 경계조건으로 이용하였다. 상류 경계조건은 하천기본계획상에 제시된 하천은 이를 이용하였으며, 그 외의 소하천은 유역면적을 이용한 계산법을 사용하여, 선형적 면적 비유량(Specific Discharge, SD) 방법을 적용하여 본류의 유량에 부가하는 방식으로 수행하였다. 수치해석 결과, 준설 구간의 수위는 전반적으로 저하되었으며, 거리에 따른 수면의 경사를 분석한 결과 기존의 하천구역이 준설 등으로 인하여 호수의 특성으로 변화된 것으로 확인하였다. 본 연구에서 취약지구는 홍수위가 제방고의 약 80% 이상 되는 지역으로 결정하였으며, 이를 토대로 취약지구 분석을 수행한 결과 기존 100년 빈도에서 1지점, RCP 8.5 시나리오가 적용된 100년 빈도에서 88지점, 500년 빈도에서 125지점이 잠재적인 치수 위험이 있는 것으로 파악되었다. 기존의 1차원 연구결과와는 차이가 있는 부분은, 다수의 취약지구가 만곡부 또는 합류부 인근에 위치한 것이다. 향후 이러한 상대적인 치수 취약지점에 대해 정밀하고 국부적인 연구를 수행하여 정확한 홍수위 예측을 수행해야 할 것이다.

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Fracture and Hygrothermal Effects in Composite Materials (복합재의 파괴와 hygrothermal 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kook-Chan Ahn;Nam-Kyung Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 1996
  • This is an explicit-Implicit, finite element analysis for linear as well as nonlinear hygrothermal stress problems. Additional features, such as moisture diffusion equation, crack element and virtual crack extension(VCE ) method for evaluating J-integral are implemented in this program. The Linear Elastic Fracture Mechanics(LEFM) Theory is employed to estimate the crack driving force under the transient condition for and existing crack. Pores in materials are assumed to be saturated with moisture in the liquid form at the room temperature, which may vaporize as the temperature increases. The vaporization effects on the crack driving force are also studied. The Ideal gas equation is employed to estimate the thermodynamic pressure due to vaporization at each time step after solving basic nodal values. A set of field equations governing the time dependent response of porous media are derived from balance laws based on the mixture theory Darcy's law Is assumed for the fluid flow through the porous media. Perzyna's viscoplastic model incorporating the Von-Mises yield criterion are implemented. The Green-Naghdi stress rate is used for the invariant of stress tensor under superposed rigid body motion. Isotropic elements are used for the spatial discretization and an iterative scheme based on the full newton-Raphson method is used for solving the nonlinear governing equations.

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Analysis of Hydraulic Fracture Geometry by Considering Stress Shadow Effect during Multi-stage Hydraulic Fracturing in Shale Formation (셰일저류층의 다단계 수압파쇄에서 응력그림자 효과를 고려한 균열형태 분석)

  • Yoo, Jeong-min;Park, Hyemin;Wang, Jihoon;Sung, Wonmo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.20-29
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    • 2021
  • During multi-stage fracturing in a low permeable shale formation, stress interference occurs between the stages which is called the "stress shadow effect(SSE)". The effect may alter the fracture propagation direction and induce ununiform geometry. In this study, the stress shadow effect on the hydraulic fracture geometry and the well productivity were investigated by the commercial full-3D fracture model, GOHFER. In a homogeneous reservoir model, a multi-stage fracturing process was performed with or without the SSE. In addition, the fracturing was performed on two shale reservoirs with different geomechanical properties(Young's modulus and Poisson's ratio) to analyze the stress shadow effect. In the simulation results, the stress change caused by the fracture created in the previous stage switched the maximum/minimum horizontal stress and the lower productivity L-direction fracture was more dominating over the T-direction fracture. Since the Marcellus shale is more brittle than more dominating over the T-direction fracture. Since the Marcellus shale is more brittle than the relatively ductile Eagle Ford shale, the fracture width in the former was developed thicker, resulting in the larger fracture volume. And the Marcellus shale's Young's modulus is low, the stress effect is less significant than the Eagle Ford shale in the stage 2. The stress shadow effect strongly depends on not only the spacing between fractures but also the geomechanical properties. Therefore, the stress shadow effect needs to be taken into account for more accurate analysis of the fracture geometry and for more reliable prediction of the well productivity.

Earthquake Wave Propagation Using Staggered-grid Finite-difference Method in the Model of the Antarctic Region (엇격자 유한차분법을 이용한 극지해역 지진파 모델링)

  • Oh, Ju-Won;Min, Dong-Joo;Lee, Ho-Yong;Park, Min-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.640-653
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    • 2011
  • We simulate the propagation of earthquake waves in the continental margin of Antarctica using the elastic wave modeling algorithm, which is modified to be suitable for acoustic-elastic coupled media and earthquake source. To simulate the various types of earthquake source, the staggered-grid finite-difference method, which is composed of velocity-stress formulae, can be more appropriate to use than the conventional, displacement-based, finite-difference method. We simulate the elastic wave propagation generated by earthquakes combining 3D staggered-grid finite-difference algorithm composed of displacement-velocity-stress formulae with double couple mechanisms for earthquake source. Through numerical tests for left-lateral strike-slip fault, normal fault and reverse fault, we could confirm that the first arrival of P waves at the surface is in a good agreement with the theoretically-predicted results based on the focal mechanism of an earthquake. Numerical results for a model made after the subduction zone in the continental margin of Antarctica showed that earthquake waves, generated by the reverse fault and propagating through the continental crust, the oceanic crust and the ocean, are accurately described.

LES Investigation on The Cryogenic Nitrogen Injection of Swirl Injector Under Supercritical Envionment (초임계 환경에서 와류형 분사기의 극저온 질소 분사 LES 연구)

  • Kang, JeongSeok;Heo, JunYoung;Sung, Hong-Gye;Yoon, YoungBin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.343-351
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    • 2016
  • Cryogenic spray characteristics of a nitrogen swirl injector operating in supercritical environment have been numerically investigated. By comparing the equation of states(EOS) used for supercritical condition, SRK EOS was applied to predict the nitrogen thermodynamic property under supercritical environment. A Chung's method was implemented for the calculation of viscosity and conductivity and Takahashi's correlation based on Fuller's Theorem was implemented for the calculation of diffusion coefficient. By injecting the nitrogen with 5 bar differential pressure into 50 bar chamber filled with nitrogen, numerical simulation has been conducted. The dynamic Smagorinsky sub-grid scale (SGS) model has been compared with the algebraic Smagorinsky SGS model using FFT frequency analysis. The instability at the liquid film and gas core inside injector and the propagation of pressure oscillation into the injector has been investigated. The spreading angle of swirl injector obtained by numerical calculation has been validated with experimental result.

A Proposal of the Social Commerce Strategy for the Public Services' Performance Improvement (공공행정서비스 성과향상을 위한 소셜커머스 적용 전략 제안)

  • Chang, Yun Hee
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.161-176
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    • 2014
  • Social commerce is a new internet business model which are types of joint purchase, social link, promotion, and on-off association etc. The recent public organization has the dual target to increase sound finance, and to improve customer satisfaction and the quality of public service. The purpose of this study is to propose the strategy of public social commerce which makes it's customers become positive purchasers. We analyzed 31 public organizations, and found that the type of social link interlocking with SNS site in the various purpose of public, and the offline association type using the service of location base would be utilized very highly. We also found that the joint purchase type and the promotion type would be used in the area of public and private selective services intending to make a profit. The anticipated performance are as follows: rapidity and reliance, customer made thing and goodwill, convenience for the service environment quality, publicity and diffusion, and sales promotion, productivity increase and new finding of revenue model for the profit increase outcome.

Influence of Mixture Non-uniformity on Methane Explosion Characteristics in a Horizontal Duct (수평 배관의 메탄 폭발특성에 있어서 불균일성 혼합기의 영향)

  • Ou-Sup Han;Yi-Rac Choi;HyeongHk Kim;JinHo Lim
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2024
  • Fuel gases such as methane and propane are used in explosion hazardous area of domestic plants and can form non-uniform mixtures with the influence of process conditions due to leakage. The fire-explosion risk assessment using literature data measured under uniform mixtures, damage prediction can be obtained the different results from actual explosion accidents by gas leaks. An explosion characteristics such as explosion pressure and flame velocity of non-uniform gas mixtures with concentration change similar to that of facility leak were examined. The experiments were conducted in a closed 0.82 m long stainless steel duct with observation recorded by color high speed camera and piezo pressure sensor. Also we proposed the quantification method of non-uniform mixtures from a regression analysis model on the change of concentration difference with time in explosion duct. For the non-uniform condition of this study, the area of flame surface enlarged with increasing the concentration non-uniform in the flame propagation of methane and was similar to the wrinkled flame structure existing in a turbulent flame. The time to peak pressure of methane decreased as the non-uniform increased and the explosion pressure increased with increasing the non-uniform. The ranges of KG (Deflagration index) of methane with the concentration non-uniform were 1.30 to 1.58 [MPa·m/s] and the increase rate of KG was 17.7% in methane with changing from uniform to non-uniform.