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Sensitivity Analysis on Ecological Factors Affecting Forest Fire Spreading: Simulation Study (산불확산에 영향을 미치는 생태학적 요소들간의 민감도 분석: 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Song, Hark-Soo;Lee, Sang-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 2013
  • Forest fires are expected to increase in severity and frequency under global climate change and thus better understanding of fire dynamics is critical for mitigation and adaptation. Researchers with different background, such as ecologists, physicists, and mathematical biologists, have developed various simulation models to reproduce forest fire spread dynamics. However, these models have limitations in the fire spreading because of the complicated factors such as fuel types, wind, and moisture. In this study, we suggested a simple model considering the wind effect and two different fuel types. The two fuels correspond to susceptible tree and resistant tree with different probabilities of transferring fire. The trees were randomly distributed in simulation space with a density ranging from 0.0 (low) to 1.0 (high). The susceptible tree had higher value of the probability than the resistant tree. Based on the number of burnt trees, we then carried out the sensitivity analysis to quantify how the forest fire patterns are affected by wind and tree density. The statistical analysis showed that the total tree density had greatest effect on the forest fire spreading and wind had the next greatest effect. The density of the susceptible tree was relatively lower factor affecting the forest fire. We believe that our model can be a useful tool to explore forest fire spreading patterns.

Region-wide Road Transport CO2 Emission Inventory (지역단위 도로교통 탄소배출 인벤토리구축 방법론)

  • Shin, Yong Eun;Ko, Kwang Hyee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.297-304
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    • 2013
  • Due to its excessive $CO_2$ emissions, road transport sector becomes a target for emission reduction strategies. Although precise and reliable emissions inventories are necessary for evaluating plans and strategies, developing the region-wide inventory is a difficult task mainly because of a lack of data including travel patterns and modal volumes in the reginonal context. Most existing inventory methodologies employ fuel sale data within the target region, which ignores actual regional traffic patterns and thus not suited to its geographical context. To overcome these problems, this study develops region-wide $CO_2$ emissions inventory methodology by utilizing the Korea Transport DB (KTDB). KTDB provides a number of useful information and data, such as road network with which one can identify in and out trips over the entire region, traffic volumes of various modes, distance of travel, travel speed and so on. A model of equations that allow the computation of volume of $CO_2$ emitting from the road transport activities within the target region is developed. Using the model, numerical analyses are performed for the case of Busan Metropolitan City to demonstrate the applicability of the developed model. This study is indeed exploratory in the sense that using the existing data, it develops the $CO_2$ emissions inventory methodology which can produce better results than those from conventional fuel sales methodology. This study also suggests further reresarch directions to develop more refined methodologies in region-wide basis.

Differences in Perceptions of Usage and Intention to Continuous Use of AI Speakers: Focusing on Functions of Music, News, and Search (AI 스피커의 기능별 이용 인식과 지속 이용 의도의 차이: 음악, 뉴스, 검색을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Young Ju;Kim, Sung Tae;Kim, Hyoung-Jee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.644-655
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    • 2020
  • The study examined differences between perceptions of AI speakers and intention to continuous use of AI speakers according to usage function. We divided usage patterns into single- and multi-function orientations based on the usage by different functions of audio content (music, news, and search), and analyzed the differences between perceptions of using AI speakers and the intention to continuous use. 335 men and women who had experience using AI speakers participated in an online survey. Results are as follows. First, men used AI speakers mainly for acquiring news, and the extent to which 20s and 40s acquire news was different. Second, perceptions of usefulness and ease of use were found to be higher in the multi-functional group(music-news-search). Last, regarding the intention to continuous use of AI speakers, the multi-functional group was highest, and users focusing on music listening were relatively higher than users for other functions. The findings of the study are expected to be used as foundational data for expanding the use of AI speakers and developing strategies for service provision in each AI speaker brand.

Habitat Use and Food Materials of the Endangered Swan Goose (Anser cygnoides) during the Wintering Season (멸종위기 개리 (Anser cygnoides)의 월동기 서식지 이용과 먹이원)

  • Choi, Yu-Seong;Joo, Sungbae;Kim, Myun-Sik;Han, Donguk;Jeong, Gilsang
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.266-274
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    • 2017
  • We surveyed the habitat use and food materials of the endangered Swan Goose (Anser cygnoides) during the wintering period at the Seocheon tidal flat. The bird wintered about six months from October 2014 to early April 2015 at the flat. They showed a remarkable change in choosing their feeding habitat and prey. They stayed entirely at sedge grass patches on Songrim tidal flat during the early wintering period (October), while after November they gradually moved to Janggu bay and used rice paddy fields as well as sedge patches on the tidal flats as their feeding site. The dietary analysis showed the sedge grass (Bolboschoenus sp., Cyperaceae) was the main dietary source during the entire wintering period. Interestingly, the proportion of Cyperaceae on feces decreased slightly over wintering time, while the proportion of Fabaceae increased relatively since November. These results suggest that the Swan Geese switched their habitat and food sources in response to the change of food availability. The Seocheon tidal flat area is the important wintering site for Swan Geese and sedge grass patches in the area need to be managed as the main feeding area for the wintering Swan Geese.

The Effects of Shoes with Curved Out-Sole on the Variations of Static Posture and EMG of Calf (유선형 신발이 정적 자세변화 및 하퇴근전도에 미치는 효과)

  • Shin, Hak-Soo;Eun, Seon-Deok;Yu, Yeon-Joo
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the effects of shoes with curved out-sole on the posture variation and its control strategy. At first, Target shoes(s) was made by evaluating the static postures of 7-female university students via 'New York State Posture Test' on shoes which made the relative angle between foot surface and ground surface of shoe change. At second, we evaluated muscle activity for 30-female university students(10 persons-3 groups) on shoes which were s(target), m shoes with curved out-sole and n shoes with flat out-sole. 1. The posture scores on New York State Posture Test were statistically different according to the relative angle changes, and the best angle for score was -7 degree but, the scores charts were like two humped camel at -2, -7degree. we made the shoe with -7 degree and curved out-sole. 2. s, m shoes with curved out-sole had graded muscle activities but, static posture on bare foot, there were the graded activity on gastrocnemius for s shoes and tibialis anterior for m shoes, but on shoes, only Gastrocnemius for s shoes.

The Effects of Municipalities' Cultural Industries on the Regional Economy in Korea (시.군.구의 문화산업이 지역경제에 미치는 영향)

  • Yeom, Seung-Il;Lee, Hee-Yeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.307-324
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    • 2011
  • The culture industry is viewed as a driving industry in the 21th century. Korea has experienced the rapid growth rate of the cultural industry in terms of sale amounts for the period of 2004-2009. The purposes of this study are to analyze the spatial pattern of the cultural industry and to empirically examine the effect of municipalities' cultural industries on regional economy using SUR model. The major findings are as follows: First, cultural industries are concentrated in the capital region and several metropolitan areas. Secondly, the estimated result of SUR model shows that there is inter-relationship between cultural industry and regional economy. The effect of the cultural industry on GRDP is that the cultural industry increased 1%, GRDP increased by 0.46%. In turn, GRDP increased 1%, cultural industry increased by 0.75%. Thirdly, the elasticity of the cultural industry on GRDP is much higher than that of labor or capital stock, showing that the cultural industry has a more powerful influence on its regional economy. Fourth, the elasticity of the cultural industry on GRDP of Gun is higher than that of shi, indicating that it is rational for Gun to develop strategies to promote competitive power of the cultural Industry for regional economic growth.

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A Path Analytic Exploration of Consumer Information Search in Online Clothing Purchases (온라인 의복구매를 위한 소비자 정보탐색의 경로분석적 탐구)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Knight, Dee K.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.31 no.12
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    • pp.1721-1732
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    • 2007
  • This study identified types of information source, and explored a path model for consumer information search by shopping attributes in the context of online decision making. Participants completed self-administered questionnaires during regularly scheduled classes. A total of 219 usable questionnaires were obtained from respondents who enroll at universities in the southwestern region of the United States. For data analysis, factor analysis and path model estimation were used. Consumer information source was classified into three types for online clothing purchases: Online source, Offline retail source, and Mass media. Consumers were more likely to rely on offline retail source for online clothing purchases, than other sources. In consumer information search by shopping attributes, online sources were more likely to be related to transaction-related attributes(e.g., incentive service), whereas offline retail source(e.g., displays in stores, manufacturer's catalogs and pamphlets) were more likely to be related to product and market related attributes(e.g., aesthetics, price) when purchasing clothing online. Also, the path model emphasizes the effect of shopping attributes on traditional retailer search behavior, leading to online purchase intention for clothing. This study supports consumer information search by attributes, and discusses a managerial implication of multi-channel retailing for apparel.

The Study on the Characteristics of Ground Beetle (Coleoptera: Carabidae) Community for Conservation of Biodiversity in Agricultural Landscape (농업경관에서의 생물다양성 보전을 위한 딱정벌레 군집 특성 연구)

  • Kang, Bang-Hun;Lee, Joon-Ho;Park, Jong-Kyun
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.545-552
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    • 2009
  • This study was conducted to provide basic information for development of habitat-based conservation strategies of biological diversity in agricultural ecosystem. The carabid beetle assemblages were examined at four kinds of habitats(levee, dike, forest patch remnants and streamside) from three differently stressed areas located in Paltan-myun, Hwaseong city, Korea: agricultural and forest area(site 1), industrial area(site 2), and residential area(site 3). Pitfall trap samplings were carried out 39 times from November 2000 to November 2002. Our study's findings were that the composition of carabid beetle fauna, dominance species, and pattern of carabid beetle assemblage were different among the habitats. The similarity index was highest between two levees in site 2 and 3, and lowest between hillock in site 2 and streamside in site 3, and that among habitats fragmented by road with high traffic was lower than that among any other habitat types. So, we could know that agricultural land use respectively do an important role in diversity conservation and networking. These findings will be used to establish the land use and management plans in the aspects of conservation of biodiversity.

Forecasting of Customer's Purchasing Intention Using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine 기법을 이용한 고객의 구매의도 예측)

  • Kim, Jin-Hwa;Nam, Ki-Chan;Lee, Sang-Jong
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.137-158
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    • 2008
  • Rapid development of various information technologies creates new opportunities in online and offline markets. In this changing market environment, customers have various demands on new products and services. Therefore, their power and influence on the markets grow stronger each year. Companies have paid great attention to customer relationship management. Especially, personalized product recommendation systems, which recommend products and services based on customer's private information or purchasing behaviors in stores, is an important asset to most companies. CRM is one of the important business processes where reliable information is mined from customer database. Data mining techniques such as artificial intelligence are popular tools used to extract useful information and knowledge from these customer databases. In this research, we propose a recommendation system that predicts customer's purchase intention. Then, customer's purchasing intention of specific product is predicted by using data mining techniques using receipt data set. The performance of this suggested method is compared with that of other data mining technologies.

The Impact of Message Characteristics on Online Viral Diffusion in Online Social Media Services : The Case of Twitter (트위터 메세지 특성에 따른 온라인 구전효과에 대한 분석)

  • Nam, Young-Woo;Son, In-Soo;Lee, Dong-Won
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.75-94
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we explore the information diffusion mechanism under social network environments by investigating the effect of message characteristics on the volume and speed of retweeting in Twitter, a popular online social media service. To this end, we select eight main keywords (i.e., '무상급식', '반값등록금', '나가수', '평창', '김연아', '박태환', '아이폰', '갤럭시') that have been popular on online social media in recent days. Each keyword represents various social aspects of Korea that recently grab people's attention such as political issues, entertainment, sports celebrities, and the latest digital products, and eventually holds distinctive message characteristics. Analyzing the frequency and velocity of retweeting for each keyword, we find that more than half of the sample messages posted on Twitter contain personal opinions for the certain keyword, but we also find that the tweets which include objective messages with hyperlink are the fastest ones when being retweeted by other followers. In overall, when being retweeted, the group of messages related to the certain keyword present distinctive diffusion patterns and speed according to message characteristics. From academic perspective, the findings in the study broaden our theoretical knowledge of information diffusion mechanism over online social media. For practitioners, the results also provide managerial implications regarding how to strategically utilize online social media for marketing communications with customers.