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Research on the prediction of stream water level using Samcheok electromagnetic precipitation observation station (삼척 전파강수관측소 추정강우를 활용한 하천 수위 상승 예측 연구)

  • Yoon, Seong Sim;Lim, Sanghun;Jeong, Hyeon Gyo;Cho, Yo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.11-11
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    • 2021
  • 2018년부터 삼척지역에는 전파강수관측소(X-band 이중편파레이더)가 설치되어 현업 운영 중에 있다. 해당 지역은 영동지역은 산지로 둘러싸여 있어 지형적인 여건으로 지상강우관측망과 기존 대형 강우레이더로도 정확한 강우관측에 한계가 있었다. 설치 이후 전파강수관측소의 품질관리와 최적 관측전략 수립, 분포형 비차등위상차 기반의 강우추정 기법의 적용으로 정량적 추정강우의 정확도가 확보되어 75m의 고해상도 격자강우 정보가 제공되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 전파강수관측소의 정량적 추정강우를 홍수예보에 활용하기 위해서 강우기반의 하천 수위 예측 기법인 하천흐름계산도표를 개발하였다. 하천흐름계산도표가 개발된 지역은 삼척 전파강수관측소의 관측 반경에 포함되는 삼척오십천 유역이며, 해당지역은 수변공원으로 조성되어 있어 시민의 접근이 용이하여 하천 수위 급상승으로 인해 피해가능성이 높은 지역이다. 2019년과 2020년 호우사례를 대상으로 개발된 하천흐름계산도표에 전파강수관측소의 정량적 추정강우를 적용하여 하천수위 상승 예측성을 평가하였다. 또한 비교대상으로 강우관측소 강우자료와 환경부 대형 강우레이더 강우자료의 적용결과를 함께 비교하였다. 비차등 위상차 기반의 강우추정 기법을 적용하여 산정된 삼척 전파강수관측소의 정량강우는 기존의 강우추정 결과(SRI, CMP_HFC)보다 강우추정 정확도가 향상된 것을 확인하였다. 특히, 10km 관측 반경을 기준으로 분석하면 정확도가 상대적으로 높았다. 삼척 전파강수관측소 추정강우를 하천흐름 계산도표에 적용한 결과, 2020년 9월 7일 호우에 의해 삼척오십천 유역에서 관심수위 초과(10:20), 주의수위 초과(11:20)가 발생하였는데, 삼척 전파강수관측소 추정강우가 관심수위 초과 1시간 50분 전에 수위상승을 예측하였고, 주의수위 초과 30분전에 수위상승을 예측하였다. 이를 통해 개발된 하천흐름계산도표와 삼척 전파강수관측소의 홍수예보 활용 가능성을 확인하였다.

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Visible Height Based Occlusion Area Detection in True Orthophoto Generation (엄밀 정사영상 제작을 위한 가시고도 기반의 폐색영역 탐지)

  • Youn, Junhee;Kim, Gi Hong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.3D
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    • pp.417-422
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    • 2008
  • With standard orthorectification algorithms, one can produce unacceptable structure duplication in the orthophoto due to the double projection. Because of the abrupt height differences, such structure duplication is a frequently occurred phenomenon in the dense urban area which includes multi-history buildings. Therefore, occlusion area detection especially for the urban area is a critical issue in generation of true orthophoto. This paper deals with occlusion area detection with visible height based approach from aerial imagery and LiDAR. In order to accomplish this, a grid format DSM is produced from the point clouds of LiDAR. Next, visible height based algorithm is proposed to detect the occlusion area for each camera exposure station with DSM. Finally, generation of true orthophoto is presented with DSM and previously produced occlusion maps. The proposed algorithms are applied in the Purdue campus, Indiana, USA.

Pruning Algorithm for Spokes Puzzle (수레바퀴 살 퍼즐에 관한 전정 알고리즘)

  • Sang-Un Lee
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2024
  • The problem of the spokes puzzle(SP), which connects the spokes(edges) required by the wheel axis (hub, vertex) without intersection to form a network in which all the hubs are connected, can be said to be a wasteland of research. For this problem, there is no algorithm that presents a brute-force search or branch-and-bound method that takes exponential time. This paper proposes an algorithm to plot a lattice graph with cross-diagonal lines of m×n for a given SP and to pruning(delete) the surplus edges(spokes). The proposed algorithm is a simple way to select an edge of a hub whose number of edges matches the hub requirement and delete the edge crossing it. If there is no hub with an edge that meets the hub requirement, a strategy was adopted to preferentially delete(pruning) the edge of the hub with the maximum amount of spare. As a result of applying the proposed algorithm to 20 benchmarking experimental data, it was shown that a solution that minimizes the number of trials and errors can be obtained for all problems.

Estimation of Quantitative Daily Precipitation Forecasting for Integrated Real-time Basin Water Management System (실시간 물관리를 위한 정량적 강수예측기법에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jai-Ho;Kim, Jin-Young;Kang, Bu-Sick;Jeong, Chang-Sam;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1488-1491
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 실시간 통합 물관리 시스템의 일환으로 월별 일강수량 예측 시스템에 관한 연구를 실시하였다. 선행시간 2일 예측에 대해서는 기상청 생성 수치모의 RDAPS (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System)를 기반으로 강수진단모형인 QPM (Quantitative Precipitatiom Model)을 이용하여 지형효과를 보정하였으며, 선행시간 2일에서 8일까지의 예측에 대해서는 GDAPS (Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System) 모의결과를 QPM을 이용하여 보정하였고, 선행시간 10일 이후의 예측값은 통계적 기법을 이용한 자료를 활용하였다. 통계적 기법으로는 과거 20년간의 관측된 강수경향을 이용하여 시스템을 구축하였다. 강수진단모형 (QPM)은 Misumi et al. (2001), Bell (1978), Collier (1975)등이 제안한 바 있는 Collier-type의 모형으로서 이들 모형은 소규모 지형 효과를 고려한 강수량을 산출하는 진단 모형이다. QPM은 중규모 예측 모형으로부터 계산된 수평 바람, 고도, 기온, 강우 강도, 그리고 상대습도 등의 예측 자료를 이용하고, 중규모 예측 모형에서는 잘 표현되지 않는 소규모 지형 효과를 고려함으로써 중규모 예측 모형에서 생산된 상대적으로 성긴 격자의 강수량 예측 값을 상세 지역의 지형을 고려한 강수량 예측 값으로 재구성하게 된다. QPM은 중규모 모형으로부터 나온 자료를 초기 자료로 이용하고 3 km 간격의 상세 지형을 반영하는 모형으로 소규모 지형 효과를 표현함으로써 상세 지역에서의 강수량 산출과 지형에 따른 강수량의 분포 파악이 용이할 뿐 아니라, 계산 효율성을 개선시킬 수 있다.착능이 높은 것으로 사료되었다.X>${\mu}_{max,A}$는 최대암모니아 섭취률을 이용하여 구한 결과 $0.65d^{-1}$로 나타났다.EX>$60%{\sim}87%$가 수심 10m 이내에 분포하였고, 녹조강과 남조강이 우점하는 하절기에는 5m 이내에 주로 분포하였다. 취수탑 지점의 수심이 연중 $25{\sim}35m$를 유지하는 H호의 경우 간헐식 폭기장치를 가동하는 기간은 물론 그 외 기간에도 취수구의 심도를 표층 10m 이하로 유지 할 경우 전체 조류 유입량을 60% 이상 저감할 수 있을 것으로 조사되었다.심볼 및 색채 디자인 등의 작업이 수반되어야 하며, 이들을 고려한 인터넷용 GIS기본도를 신규 제작한다. 상습침수지구와 관련된 각종 GIS데이타와 각 기관이 보유하고 있는 공공정보 가운데 공간정보와 연계되어야 하는 자료를 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 효율적으로 관리하기 위해서는 단계별 구축전략이 필요하다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 상습침수구역관련 정보를 검색, 처리 및 분석할 수 있는 상습침수 구역 종합정보화 시스템을 구축토록 하였다.N, 항목에서 보 상류가 높게 나타났으나, 철거되지 않은 검전보나 안양대교보에 비해 그 차이가 크지 않은 것으로 나타났다.의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주

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A Study on the Multiple Real Option Model for Evaluating Values based on Real Estate Development Scenario (다중 실물옵션을 활용한 시나리오기반 부동산 개발사업 가치평가 연구)

  • Jang, Mikyoung;Ku, Yohwan;Choi, Hyemi;Kwon, Tae-Hwan;Kim, Juhyung;Kim, Jaejun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2015
  • Real estate development requires significant amount of capital investment. The project duration has been increased according to its enlarged size. For this reason, cost overrun and time delay are important risk factors that should be managed properly. As a method to hedge the risk, varoius real option methods have been presented. However, conventional project value assesment methods such as NPV(Net Present Value) have weakness to support decision making by reflecting dynamic situations in terms of variation of cost and time. Furthermore, the decision making process is serious of actions rather than discrete event. The purpose of this paper is to present a multiple real option valuation method to overcome the deterministic aspect of real option presented in previous research and practice. The method is developed as following: firstly, to select the model that can be applied in the real estate development project through a survey from previous literature on real options analysis; secondly, to apply data from office development case in order to verify the model by applying conventional real option and multiple real option valuation. According to analysis result, multiple real option provides enhanced values comparing to NPV and single real option.

Exploring the power of physics-informed neural networks for accurate and efficient solutions to 1D shallow water equations (물리 정보 신경망을 이용한 1차원 천수방정식의 해석)

  • Nguyen, Van Giang;Nguyen, Van Linh;Jung, Sungho;An, Hyunuk;Lee, Giha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.12
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    • pp.939-953
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    • 2023
  • Shallow water equations (SWE) serve as fundamental equations governing the movement of the water. Traditional numerical approaches for solving these equations generally face various challenges, such as sensitivity to mesh generation, and numerical oscillation, or become more computationally unstable around shock and discontinuities regions. In this study, we present a novel approach that leverages the power of physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) to approximate the solution of the SWE. PINNs integrate physical law directly into the neural network architecture, enabling the accurate approximation of solutions to the SWE. We provide a comprehensive methodology for formulating the SWE within the PINNs framework, encompassing network architecture, training strategy, and data generation techniques. Through the results obtained from experiments, we found that PINNs could be an accurate output solution of SWE when its results were compared with the analytical method. In addition, PINNs also present better performance over the Artificial Neural Network. This study highlights the transformative potential of PINNs in revolutionizing water resources research, offering a new paradigm for accurate and efficient solutions to the SVE.

An Outlook on Cereal Grains Production in South Korea Based on Crop Growth Simulation under the RCP8.5 Climate Change Scenarios (RCP8.5 기후조건의 작물생육모의에 근거한 우리나라 곡물생산 전망)

  • Kim, Dae-Jun;Kim, Soo-Ock;Moon, Kyung-Hwan;Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.132-141
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    • 2012
  • Climate change impact assessment of cereal crop production in South Korea was performed using land attributes and daily weather data at a farm scale as inputs to crop models. Farmlands in South Korea were grouped into 68 crop-simulation zone units (CZU) based on major mountains and rivers as well as existing land use information. Daily weather data at a 1-km grid spacing under the A1B- and RCP8.5 scenarios were generated stochastically to obtain decadal mean of daily data. These data were registered to the farmland grid cells and spatially averaged to represent climate conditions in each CZU. Monthly climate data for each decade in 2001~2100 were transformed to 30 sets of daily weather data for each CZU by using a stochastic weather generator. Soil data and crop management information for 68 CZU were used as inputs to the CERES-rice, CERE-barley and CROPGRO-soybean models calibrated to represent the genetic features of major domestic cultivars in South Korea. Results from the models suggested that the heading or flowering of rice, winter barley and soybean could be accelerated in the future. The grain-fill period of winter barley could be extended, resulting in much higher yield of winter barley in most CZUs than that of rice. Among the three major cereal grain crops in Korea, rice seems most vulnerable to negative impact of climate change, while little impact of climate change is expected on soybeans. Because a positive effect of climate change is projected for winter barley, policy in agricultural production should pay more attention to facilitate winter barley production as an adaptation strategy for the national food security.

Effects of Edge Area and Burn Severity on Early Vegetation Regeneration in Damaged Area (가장자리와 산불피해강도가 산불피해지역 초기식생재생에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Joo-Mee;Won, Myoung-Soo;Lim, Joo-Hoon;Lee, Sang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.1
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2012
  • The edge area with burn severity is known as significant factor that has great effects on the ecosystem recovery. However, there is little study on the edge area and its effects in the South Korea. Thus, this study aimed to analyze immediate responses of vegetation following forest fires due to combined effect of burn severity and edge-interior effect. Burn Severity (BS), or ${\Delta}NBR$ values were computed using satellite images of pre and post-forest fire in Samcheock areas. The burn forest was classified 231 $1-km^2$ girds and these grids were further reclassified into 4 groups by BS type (low BS and high BS areas) and forest areas (edge areas and interior areas). These four groups of grids including low BS-interior (group A), low BS-edge (group B), high BS-interior (group C) and high BS-edge (group D). Post-fire vegetation responses measured with (${\Delta}NDVI$) among four groups were then compared and tested by T-test. The results indicated that group C (${\Delta}NDVI$=0.047) and D (${\Delta}NDVI$ = 0.059) showed considerably greater vegetation regeneration than those of low BS areas including group A (${\Delta}NDVI$ = -0.039) and group B (${\Delta}NDVI$ = -0.036). It was also observed that edges areas showed greater vegetation regeneration than interior areas when BS is the same. Group B (${\Delta}NDVI$ = -0.036) showed greater (${\Delta}NDVI$) values than group A (${\Delta}NDVI$ = -0.039) in low BS condition. Similar relationship is observed between group C and group D in high BS condition. Thus adequate restoration practices for burned areas might need to pay close attention to interior areas with low BS to minimize the secondary damages and to rehabilitate the burned forests.

Sensitivity Analysis on Ecological Factors Affecting Forest Fire Spreading: Simulation Study (산불확산에 영향을 미치는 생태학적 요소들간의 민감도 분석: 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Song, Hark-Soo;Lee, Sang-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 2013
  • Forest fires are expected to increase in severity and frequency under global climate change and thus better understanding of fire dynamics is critical for mitigation and adaptation. Researchers with different background, such as ecologists, physicists, and mathematical biologists, have developed various simulation models to reproduce forest fire spread dynamics. However, these models have limitations in the fire spreading because of the complicated factors such as fuel types, wind, and moisture. In this study, we suggested a simple model considering the wind effect and two different fuel types. The two fuels correspond to susceptible tree and resistant tree with different probabilities of transferring fire. The trees were randomly distributed in simulation space with a density ranging from 0.0 (low) to 1.0 (high). The susceptible tree had higher value of the probability than the resistant tree. Based on the number of burnt trees, we then carried out the sensitivity analysis to quantify how the forest fire patterns are affected by wind and tree density. The statistical analysis showed that the total tree density had greatest effect on the forest fire spreading and wind had the next greatest effect. The density of the susceptible tree was relatively lower factor affecting the forest fire. We believe that our model can be a useful tool to explore forest fire spreading patterns.

IPA Analysis of The Causes of The Formation of K-POP Fans Phenomenon in China (중국 한팬(韩饭)의 K-POP 팬덤 형성요인 IPA 분석)

  • Wang, Anyue;Kwon, Byung Woong
    • Korean Association of Arts Management
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    • no.49
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    • pp.87-115
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    • 2019
  • The impact of "Korean wave" has gradually expanded in recent years, its spread trend can also be seen in the United States, South America, and even in Europe. As the earliest and largest importer of Korean culture, China's importance is self-evident. Based on the results of empirical analysis, and analyze the importance and satisfaction of each element that makes up the four factors(Music, Dance, Style, Story) with IPA method, as well as the impact of its rankings on K-POP fans phenomenon in China. The results of this study are organized as follows. Firstly, according to the analysis results, only 10.5% of the K-POP fans are male, and K-POP fans are generally young, their age mainly concentrates in the first half of the 20th (49.0%). Secondly, among the survey respondents, 65% of the fans have positive comments on the Korean Wave, most of K-POP fans obtain their idols' information through Internet, and 49.5% have consumption behaviors for their favorite idols. Thirdly, it can be seen from the data of survey results that fans attach the greatest attention to the importance and satisfaction of the melody elements in terms of music, and the performance effect in terms of dance, the appearance is chosen as the priority in terms of styling, as for the last factor, topicality, the broadcasting is the first choice. In view of the formation of the phenomenon of K-POP fans among Chinese Korean fans, by conducting the correlation analysis and research on the importance and satisfaction of each factor through data, this study is with great practical significance in academic research, it can be used as practical and meaningful material for the K-POP fans among Chinese Korean fans.