• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.214-226
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• 2007

Because precipitation is influenced by various atmospheric variables, it is highly nonlinear. Although precipitation predicted by a dynamic model can be corrected by using a nonlinear Artificial Neural Network, this approach has limits such as choices of the initial weight, local minima and the number of neurons, etc. In the present paper, we correct simulated precipitation by using a multiple linear regression (MLR) method, which is simple and widely used. First of all, Ensemble hindcast is conducted by the PNU/CME Coupled General Circulation Model (CGCM) (Park and Ahn, 2004) for the period from April to August in 1979-2005. MLR is applied to precipitation simulated by PNU/CME CGCM for the months of June (lead 2), July (lead 3), August (lead 4) and seasonal mean JJA (from June to August) of the Northeast Asian region including the Korean Peninsula $(110^{\circ}-145^{\circ}E,\;25-55^{\circ}N)$. We build the MLR model using a linear relationship between observed precipitation and the hindcasted results from the PNU/CME CGCM. The predictor variables selected from CGCM are precipitation, 500 hPa vertical velocity, 200 hPa divergence, surface air temperature and others. After performing a leave-oneout cross validation, the results are compared with the PNU/CME CGCM's. The results including Heidke skill scores demonstrate that the MLR corrected results have better forecasts than the direct CGCM result for rainfall.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.85-93
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• 2024

In this paper, we propose a method for establishing a state-space equation model for the motion analysis of floating structures subjected to wave loads, by applying system-identification techniques. Traditionally, the motion of floating structures has been analyzed in the time domain by integrating the Cummins equation over time, which utilizes a convolution integral term to account for the effects of the retardation function. State-space equation models have been studied as a way to efficiently solve floating-motion equations in the time domain. The proposed approach outlines a procedure to derive the target transfer function for the load-displacement input/output relationship in the frequency domain and subsequently determine the state-space equation that closely approximates it. To obtain the state-space equation, the method employs the N4SID system-identification method and an optimization approach that treats the coefficients of the numerator and denominator polynomials as design variables. To illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, we applied it to the analysis of a single-degree-of-freedom model and the motion of a six-degree-of-freedom barge. Our findings demonstrate that the presented state-space equation model aligns well with the existing analysis results in both the frequency and time domains. Notably, the method ensures computational accuracy in the time-domain analysis while significantly reducing the calculation time.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.159-168
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• 2005

This study carries out a finite difference nonlinear analysis of anisotropic advanced composite plate structures with various layer sequences. In the numerical analysis of various mechanical problems involving complex partial differential equations, the finite difference method (FDM) developed in this study has an advantage over the finite element method in its ability to avoid mesh generation and numerical integration. Many studies in FDM have been made on clamped or simple boundary conditions using merely an energy approach. These approaches cannot be satisfied, however, with pivotal points along the free boundary. Therefore, this study addresses the nonlinear problem of anisotropic plates by adopting a finite difference modeling elimination of pivotal difference points in the case of a free boundary condition. Complex nonlinear behaviors of composite plate structures for various parameters, especially for layer sequences, are analyzed using the proposed approach.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.317-324
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• 1994

The circulation of Lake Paldang is analysed numerically as an ultimate goal to develop a vehicle predicting the dispersion and concentration of pollutants and sediment flowed into the lake. In finite difference formulation of 2-D depth averaged governing equations. Abbott's 3-time level scheme is employed and for nonlinear terms time centering iteration technique in time and space is used. Model parameters for shear stresses and eddy diffusivities are determined through measured data in and near the lake. Predicted velocities for steady flow are shown to be close to the measured velocities and further improved by taking into account of wind effect. This indicates that the wind effect is needed for proper circulation analysis and it calls for the inclusion of the wind effect. Simulated results of unsteady flow caused by flood inflows and release through Paldang dam are found to characterize the flow features quite well as expected. This implies that the developed model can be used as a tool to analysing the circulation in the lake.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.207-216
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• 2003

In this paper, the finite element method for the elastodynamic axisymmetric fracture analysis is presented in matrix form through the application of the Galerkin method to the time integral equations of motion with no inertia forces. Isoparametric quadratic quadrilateral element and triangular crack tip singular elements with one-quarter node are used in the mesh division of the finite element model. To show the validity and accuracy of the proposed method, the infinite elastic medium with the penny shaped crack is solved first and compared with the analytical solution and the numerical results by the finite difference method and the boundary element method existing in the published literatures, and then the dynamic stress intensity factors of solid and hollow cylinders of finite dimensions haying penny-shaped cracks and internal and external circumferential tracks are computed in detail.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.299-303
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• 2018

Generally, when predicting the accuracy of the anti-air artillery system, the error is classified as fixed bias, variable bias, and random error. Then the standard deviation on the target is expressed as the square root of the squared sum of each error value which comes from the random error and variable bias and in the case of fixed bias, the mean value is shifted as the sum of errors from the fixed bias. At this time, the variables indicating the displacement of the direction of azimuth and elevation direction with regard to the change of the unit value of each error are weighted. These errors are then used to predict the system's delivery accuracy through a normally distributed integral. This paper presents a method of predicting system accuracy by considering the correlation of errors. This approach shows that it helps to predict the delivery accuracy of the system, precisely.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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• v.17 no.5
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• pp.1084-1094
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• 1993

An efficient method for determining forced responses of a general linear structural system in time domain using subtructure modes and Lagrange multipliers is presented. Compared with the conventional mode synthesis methods, the suggested method does not construct the equations of motion of the combined whole structure and thus the modal parameters of the whole structure are not required. Only modal parameters of each substructure and geometric compatibility conditions are needed. Both the loaded interface free-free modes and free interface modes can be employed as the modal bases of each substructure. Recurrence discrete-time state equations based upon state transition matrix are formulated for the transient analysis of a parameter-changing system. It is shown form numerical examples that the suggested method is very accurate and efficient to calculate transient responses compares with the direct numerical integration method.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.20 no.5
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• pp.521-532
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• 2007

Elastic wave propagations in the semi-infinite transversely isotropic cylinder under various kinds of longitudinal impact loads are analyzed using the axisymmetric finite element method and Houbolt time-integration scheme. For which the finite element program is newly constructed and verified through the comparison of present numerical results with those by other researchers. E-type glass-epoxy composite cylinders with different fiber volume fractions are adopted and studied in detail with dynamic responses of the isotropic cylinder. Three dimensional wave motions are given in graphic form to show the realistic view of the wave propagation. Nondimensionalized dynamic characteristic variables which relate the size of finite element mesh, the time step, and the wave speed are presented for obtaining accurate and stable numerical results.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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• v.22 no.10
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• pp.1005-1011
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• 2011

In this paper, we present a marching-on-in-degree(MOD) finite difference method(FDM) based on the Helmholtz wave equation for analyzing transient electromagnetic responses in a general dispersive media. The two issues related to the finite difference approximation of the time derivatives and the time consuming convolution operations are handled analytically using the properties of the Laguerre functions. The basic idea here is that we fit the transient nature of the fields, the flux densities, the permittivity with a finite sum of orthogonal Laguerre functions. Through this novel approach, not only the time variable can be decoupled analytically from the temporal variations but also the final computational form of the equations is transformed from finite difference time-domain(FDTD) to a finite difference formulation through a Galerkin testing. Representative numerical examples are presented for transient wave propagation in general Debye, Drude, and Lorentz dispersive medium.

• Water for future
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.205-217
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• 1995

The historical data from 3, 550 event storms during 11 years in Wi-stream basin have been used to investigate the statistical parameter of the time distribution for design storms by the method of Yen-Chow, Huff, Pilgrim-Cordery and Mononobe. The dimensionless value of triangular hyetograph, $a^0$, ranges from 0.44 to 0.50 and trapezoidal hyetograph, $h^0$, value increases as the duration time is getting longer in Yen-Chow method. In the Huff, the second-quartile storms occurred most frequently and third-quartile storms occurred most infrequently. In the Pilgrim-Cordery, the shapes for shorter than 6-hour durations are advanced tendency. However, for longer than 6-hour durations show delayed tendency. In the Mononobe, every one hour rainfall occured Centered Type. The application of these methods for each duration time was tested by using the observed rainfall-runoff data of Wi-stream basin. As a result, the reappearance of hydrographs of triangular hyetograph by Yen-Chow method showed promising, and it was approved to be used for prediction of the ungaged basins.