• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재해영향모델

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The Technique of Landslide Hazard Prediction Using Vegetation Interpretation of Aerial Photo (항공사진의 식생 판독에 의한 재해 예측 기법)

  • 강인준;곽재하;정재형
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 1993
  • The vegetation such as grass, shrub, tree has been used to control the erosion and stabilize the slope for a long time. But the effects of vegetation on slope area is usually neglected in traditional stability analyses. There are many errors in slope analyses in thin soil mantles. Therefore the effects of vegetation is an important factor. But it is difficult and complex to represent the vegetation influence quantitatively in stability analysis. In this study, authors choose the landslide region at the Kum sung dong Kum-jung ku Pusan as a model area. Authors analyzed the degree of slope with the aerial photo interpretation and DTM data extracted from the topographic map, and the relationship of D.B.H. (diameter of breast height), height, and age of tree in field investigation data. Finally authors know the fact that landslide take place approximately 10 or 20 years later in arbitrary afforestable area where the degree of slope is 27. The prevention effect must be considered in the control of vegetation.

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Studies on Development of Prediction Model of Landslide Hazard and Its Utilization (산지사면(山地斜面)의 붕괴위험도(崩壞危險度) 예측(豫測)모델의 개발(開發) 및 실용화(實用化) 방안(方案))

  • Ma, Ho-Seop
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.83 no.2
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    • pp.175-190
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    • 1994
  • In order to get fundamental information for prediction of landslide hazard, both forest and site factors affecting slope stability were investigated in many areas of active landslides. Twelve descriptors were identified and quantified to develop the prediction model by multivariate statistical analysis. The main results obtained could be summarized as follows : The main factors influencing a large scale of landslide were shown in order of precipitation, age group of forest trees, altitude, soil texture, slope gradient, position of slope, vegetation, stream order, vertical slope, bed rock, soil depth and aspect. According to partial correlation coefficient, it was shown in order of age group of forest trees, precipitation, soil texture, bed rock, slope gradient, position of slope, altitude, vertical slope, stream order, vegetation, soil depth and aspect. The main factors influencing a landslide occurrence were shown in order of age group of forest trees, altitude, soil texture, slope gradient, precipitation, vertical slope, stream order, bed rock and soil depth. Two prediction models were developed by magnitude and frequency of landslide. Particularly, a prediction method by magnitude of landslide was changed the score for the convenience of use. If the total store of the various factors mark over 9.1636, it is evaluated as a very dangerous area. The mean score of landslide and non-landslide group was 0.1977 and -0.1977, and variance was 0.1100 and 0.1250, respectively. The boundary value between the two groups related to slope stability was -0.02, and its predicted rate of discrimination was 73%. In the score range of the degree of landslide hazard based on the boundary value of discrimination, class A was 0.3132 over, class B was 0.3132 to -0.1050, class C was -0.1050 to -0.4196, class D was -0.4195 below. The rank of landslide hazard could be divided into classes A, B, C and D by the boundary value. In the number of slope, class A was 68, class B was 115, class C was 65, and class D was 52. The rate of landslide occurrence in class A and class B was shown at the hige prediction of 83%. Therefore, dangerous areas selected by the prediction method of landslide could be mapped for land-use planning and criterion of disaster district. And also, it could be applied to an administration index for disaster prevention.

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Prediction of Lahar Flow Inundation Areas Using LAHARZ_py Program: Application for the Mt. Baekdu Volcano (LAHARZ_py 프로그램을 이용한 라하르 범람지역의 예측: 백두산 화산에 적용)

  • Yun, Sung-Hyo;Chang, Cheolwoo
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.277-286
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    • 2017
  • Mt. Baekdu which located the border of North Korea and China, is known as a potentially active volcano in a typical mountainous terrain. A lahar on the volcanic area is one of the important hazard that can cause the loss of life and property damage. In order to comprehensively address the impact of lahar hazard at Mt. Baekdu, we simulated lahar inundation area using Laharz_py. We assumed 750 m of additional elevation for DEM to draw proximal hazard zone boundary (PHZB) of Mt. Baekdu that H/L ratio are selected 0.10. And lahar volumes for simulation were estimated to $1{\times}10^6$, $5{\times}10^6$, $1{\times}10^7$, $5{\times}10^7$, $1{\times}10^8$, $5{\times}10^8$, $1{\times}10^9m^3$, respectively. In the results, 15 streams are located near a proximal hazard zone boundary, Amnok (Yalu) river (south), Toudaosonghua river, Jinjiang river and Huapi river (west-southwest), Songjiang river, Xiaosha river, Caozi river and Sandaosongjian river (west-northwest), Toudaobai river, Erdaobai river and Sandabai river (north), Wudaobai river-1, -2, -3 (northeast) and Duman (Tumen) river (east). The results of this study can be used as basic data to make a hazard map for reduce the damage that can be caused by volcanic hazards occurred on Mt. Baekdu.

Application of Geomorphological Features for Establishing the Preliminary Landslide Hazard (초기 산사태 위험도 구축을 위한 지형요소의 활용)

  • Cha, A Reum;Kim, Tai Hoon;Gang, Seok Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2015
  • Due to the characteristics of landslide disasters including debris flow, the rapid speed to downward and difficulty to respond or evacuate from them, it is imperative to identify their potential hazards and prepare the reduction plans. However, the current landslide hazards generated by a variety of methods has been raised its accuracy because of the complexity of input data and their analyses, and the simplification of the landslide model. The main objective of this study is, therefore, to evaluate the preliminary landslide hazard based on the identification of geomorphological features. Especially, two methodologies based on the statistics of the directional data, Vector dispersion and Planarity analyses, are used to find some relationships between geomorphological characteristics and the landslide hazard. Results show that both methods well discriminate geomorphological features between stable and unstable domains in the landslide areas. Geomorphological features are closely related to the landslide hazard and it is imperative to maximize their characteristics by adapting multiple models rather than individual model only. In conclusions, the mechanism of landslide is not determined solely by a simple cause but the complex natural phenomenon caused by the interactions of the numerous factors and it is of primary importance to require additional researches for the outbreaking mechanism that are based on various methodologies.

A Study on Condition Analysis of Revised Project Level of Gravity Port facility using Big Data (빅데이터 분석을 통한 중력식 항만시설 수정프로젝트 레벨의 상태변화 특성 분석)

  • Na, Yong Hyoun;Park, Mi Yeon;Jang, Shinwoo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.254-265
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: Inspection and diagnosis on the performance and safety through domestic port facilities have been conducted for over 20 years. However, the long-term development strategies and directions for facility renewal and performance improvement using the diagnosis history and results are not working in realistically. In particular, in the case of port structures with a long service life, there are many problems in terms of safety and functionality due to increasing of the large-sized ships, of port use frequency, and the effects of natural disasters due to climate change. Method: In this study, the maintenance history data of the gravity type quay in element level were collected, defined as big data, and a predictive approximation model was derived to estimate the pattern of deterioration and aging of the facility of project level based on the data. In particular, we compared and proposed models suitable for the use of big data by examining the validity of the state-based deterioration pattern and deterioration approximation model generated through machine learning algorithms of GP and SGP techniques. Result: As a result of reviewing the suitability of the proposed technique, it was considered that the RMSE and R2 in GP technique were 0.9854 and 0.0721, and the SGP technique was 0.7246 and 0.2518. Conclusion: This research through machine learning techniques is expected to play an important role in decision-making on investment in port facilities in the future if port facility data collection is continuously performed in the future.

Monitoring the Crustal Movement Before and After the Earthquake By Precise Point Positioning - Focused on 2011 Tohoku Earthquake - (정밀절대측위에 의한 지진 전·후 동아시아 지역 지각변동 모니터링 - 도호쿠 대지진을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Min Gyu;Park, Joon Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.477-484
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    • 2012
  • Recently, as earthquake is more frequently taking place around the world due to diastrophism, the importance of diastrophism and disaster detection is becoming more important. In this study, to analyze the interpretation of seismic displacement by the Japanese earthquake in March, 2011, and monitor the diastrophism of plates in Japan and surrounding Eurasia, Pacific, and Philippines before and after the earthquake, the observational data from IGS observatories in Japan and Asian regions were processed by precise point positioning. The displacement was biggest in MIZU, which was the closest to the epicenter, and the earthquake-affected region was in inverse proportion to the distance from the epicenter. The result of calculating the diastrophism speed before and after the earthquake, based on precise point positioning of IGS observatories located in the 4 plates around Japan, showed that the displacement speed changed and different plates showed different results. The comparison with the plate fate model allowed to analyze the change in diastrophism by earthquake, and to understand the characteristics of the displacement of the plates around Japan. Later, a continuous diastrophism monitoring based on GPS is needed for earthquake prediction and diastrophism research, and the data gained by continuous GPS-based monitoring of diastrophism will be fully used as basic data for relevant research and earthquake disaster management.

Variability Analysis of Inundated Area by Flood Level Difference using US Model (WMS 모형에 의한 홍수위별 범람구역의 변화분석)

  • Jeong, Sang Man;Kim, Lee-Hyung;Lee, Ju Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1157-1161
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구의 목적은 TIN(Triangulated Irregular Network)을 생성하고, GIS 기반의 지형도, 토양도 및 토지 이용도를 이용하여 WMS 6.1 모델로 홍수위별 홍수범람도를 작성하는데 있으며, 대상유역은 양화천 유역의 세1지류인 매류천과 안금천, 대신천 유역으로 선정하였다. 대상유역내의 실제 홍수범람자료를 조사하였고, Arc-view를 이용하여 DEM (Digital Elevation Model), 토지 이용도, 토양도의 GIS DB를 구축하였다. 본 연구에서 50년 빈도의 홍수위를 분석한 결과 모형을 사용한 피해 예상 지역과 실제 홍수위로 인한 피해지역이 유사하게 나타났다. 20년 빈도 홍수위에서 500년 빈도 홍수위로의 증가로 인한 침수면적의 증가율은 매류천이 가장 작았고, 안금천이 가장 컸다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 저해상도 DEM이 제외지 및 하천 제방의 영향을 전혀 고려하지 못 하였던 점을 개선하여 저해상도 DEM과 항공사진 측량자료인 고해상도 DEM을 합성하여 더욱 신뢰성 있는 홍수범람도를 작성하였다. 이 결과는 대상유역의 홍수발생시 홍수예경보 및 재해발생시 대피장소의 결정과 시설물 관리업무의 기초 자료로 활용할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 홍수피해의 판단자료로 이용될 수 있을 것이다.

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A development of grid-based spatial downscaling for climate change assessment in regions with sparse ground data networks (미계측 지역 기후변화 평가를 위한 격자 기반 통계적 상세화 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Yong-Tak;Jung, Min-Kyu;Kim, Min-Ji;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.41-41
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    • 2021
  • 최근 전 세계적으로 급증하는 기후변화의 영향으로 이상기후로 인한 자연재해들의 강도 및 발생 빈도의 증가가 다양한 연구를 통하여 확인되고 있으며, 이를 대비 및 대응하기 위한 방안수립 연구가 세계의 가장 중요한 주제로 부상되고 있다. 우리나라의 경우에는 기후변화에 따른 심각성 문제가 대두되고 있지만 국가적 대응기반조성 및 수자원정책 의사결정에 직접적으로 활용될 수 있는 일관성 있고 통합적인 기후 정보가 부족한 실정이다. 미래 기상 변동성을 나타내는 기후모델은 전 지구적 대규모 기상장(large scale climate pattern)을 비교적 정확하게 묘사하는 것으로 알려져 있으나 모형에 내재해 있는 시·공간적 편의(spatial-temporal bias) 및 불확실성으로 인하여 통계학적 상세화가 필수적으로 요구된다. 이러한 편향성은 일반적으로 지상 관측 자료를 격자에 보간하여 보정하는 방법이 적용되고 있지만, 관측자료의 불연속성 및 관측소의 불균등성으로 인하여 공간적 신뢰성이 낮다. 이에, 본 연구에서는 Bayesian 기반의 Kriging을 통한 공간적 편의보정 및 QDM(quantile delta mapping)을 연계한 새로운 격자 기반의 통계적 상세화 모형 Bayesian Kriging-QDM을 개발하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 산정된 결과는 과거자료에 근거하여 이루어지는 기존의 보수적인 수자원 관리 체계의 위험성을 저감 시킬 수 있는 의사결정에 직접적으로 활용될 수 있는 기초 자료로 이용 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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Inundation Results Survey and Flood Hazardmap Mapping of the Jisuk Stream Basin (지석천유역 침수실적 조사 및 침수예상지도 작성)

  • Park, Sung-Chun;Roh, Kyong-Bum;Lee, Yong-Hee;Yang, Dong-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.297-301
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    • 2011
  • 최근에는 전 지구적으로 이상기후 현상이 빈번히 발생하고 있으며 이로 인해 과거와는 달리 예측하기 어려운 집중호우와 돌발강우에 따른 피해가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 이러한 이상 강우현상에 의해 하천 및 주변의 내 외수의 수위 상승을 야기하며, 이로인해 제내지의 침수 위험성이 그 어느 때보다 높은 실정이다. 특히, 내수침수의 경우는 외수에 따른 범람보다는 내수배제 불량에 따른 침수 빈도와 범위가 증가되고 있는 상황이며, 이에 대한 대비가 절실히 요구되고 있다. 주기적으로 반복되는 내수침수에 의한 국민의 재산과 인명피해를 최소화하기 위해서는 침수피해 위험도가 높은 지역을 파악 관리하여야 하며, 지역의 주민에게도 지역의 특성을 주지시켜야 한다. 이와 함께 침수 발생시 피해 최소화를 위한 피난 경로와 피난 장소 등을 상세히 제공하여 신속한 재난 대처와 함께 인명과 재산의 피해를 최소화하여야 한다. 침수예상지도는 태풍이나 집중호우에 의한 침수 발생시 제방의 월류 및 붕괴, 내수배제 불량 등으로 인한 예상 침수지역을 강우빈도별로 나타내고, 침수면적과 깊이를 표현한 지도로서 방재형 국토관리의 정책결정과 침수 피해에 대한 대민 홍보의 수단으로 활용되고 있다. 국내에서도 홍수에 의한 피해가 나날이 커지고 국토의 개발에 따른 자연 재해가 많아짐에 따라 홍수에 의한 피해를 최소화하기 위한 노력의 일환으로 침수예상지도의 제작 및 관리 시스템의 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 지석천 유역의 태풍 및 집중호우에 의한 과거 침수실적을 조사하여 침수실적도를 작성하 였으며, 내 배수 불량에 따른 홍수빈도, 강우빈도별 침수예상도를 작성하였다. 이를 위해 현재 보편적으로 이용되고 있는 1차원 수리 수문 모델인 미 공병단의 HEC-HMS, HEC-RAS 모델과 내 배수 영향 검토를 위해 한국농어촌공사에서 개발된 GATE 프로그램을 이용하였다. 이렇게 계산된 연구 대상지역의 침수심과 침수면적을 GIS를 이용하여 침수예상도를 작성하였다.

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Improving Information Service for Earthquake Using Rapid ShakeMap

  • Hwang, Jinsang;Ha, Ok-Kyoon
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we present how to improve the current seismic disaster information service by utilizing Shake, which can express the effects of earthquakes in the form of isolines. Using ShakeMap software provided by the U.S. Geological Survey, an automated rapid ShakeMap generation system was implemented, and based on this, an earthquake disaster information service improvement model was presented to identify earthquake risk in the form of intensity or peak ground acceleration. In order to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the improved model, the seismic disaster information service app. was developed and operated on a trial basis in Pohang, Gyeongsangbuk-do. As a result of the operation, it was found that more detailed seismic risk information could be provided by providing information using rapid ShakeMap to induce users' safety behavior more effectively.