• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.43 no.3
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• pp.309-319
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• 2023

Recently, the frequency and intensity of meteorological disasters have increased due to climate change. In South Korea, there are regional differences in vulnerability and response capability to cope with climate change because of regional climate characteristics. In particular, drought results from various factors and is linked to extensive meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural impacts. Therefore, in order to effectively cope with drought, it is necessary to use a composite drought index that can take into account various factors, and to evaluate future droughts comprehensively considering climate change. This study evaluated hydrologic risk(${\bar{R}}$) of future drought in the Nakdong River basin based on the Dynamic Naive Bayesian Classification (DNBC)-based composite drought index, which was calculated by applying Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Streamflow Drought Index (SDI), Evaporate Stress Index (ESI) and Water Supply Capacity Index (WSCI) to the DNBC. The indices used in the DNBC were calculated using observation data and climate scenario data. A bivariate frequency analysis was performed for the severity and duration of the composite drought. Then using the estimated bivariate return periods, hydrologic risks of drought were calculated for observation and future periods. The overall results indicated that there were the highest risks during the future period (2021-2040) (${\bar{R}}$=0.572), and Miryang River (#2021) had the highest risk (${\bar{R}}$=0.940) on average. The hydrologic risk of the Nakdong River basin will increase highly in the near future (2021-2040). During the far future (2041-2099), the hydrologic risk decreased in the northern basins, and increased in the southern basins.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.155-162
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• 2020

Purpose: The purpose of study was to identify problems in disaster recovery resource management and operation through on-site investigation and utilize them as improvement proposal for disaster recovery resources management by local governments. Method: Areas with high natural and social disasters recorded in historical and yearly records of natural and social disasters, related books, and annual reports for 20 years were selected. The DRSS data of the selected local governments were analyzed and the reserve warehouse were selected for field survey. Result: It is analyzed that the current situation in the city hall and district offices is somewhat insufficient due to heavy work by the working-level officials of local governments on the storage of disaster recovery resources. The actual amount of stockpiles and DRSS data are somewhat different or missing because the input method and criteria are not clear at present when inputting the current data. Conclusion: To improve the management of the disaster recovery resource reserve, it is deemed that education of DRSS and training of best practices for the operation of disaster management resources are urgently needed, and that a systematic management of stockpiles using disaster prevention experts will be required.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.349-357
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• 2016

Recently, the quantity of risk in construction project has been inflated due to the fact that current construction projects have been large and complicated. Therefore, a study on the risk management methods is necessary that can predict and respond to the need in complicated modern construction projects. In this study, the objective is to analyze the cause of accident in actual construction sites and develop a risk assessment model based on insurance claims records. To reach the goal of this study, first, the frequency and severity of accidents are analyzed the causes of accidents based on the classification; progress rate, season, and total construction costs. Second, a risk assessment model is developed by utilizing a multiple regression analysis. The dependent variable is loss ratio of material damage and three categories; natural hazards, geographic information, and construction method & ability, are used as the independent variables. The model's adjusted R-square is 0.455. The contributions of this study will be used as a material for a quantitative risk analysis model development and review of the construction risk factors for future study.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.1351-1364
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• 2019

When SCADA is exposed to cyber threats and attacks, serious disasters can occur throughout society. This is because various security threats have not been considered when building SCADA. The bigger problem is that it is difficult to patch vulnerabilities quickly because of its availability. Digital forensics procedures and techniques need to be used to analyze and investigate vulnerabilities in SCADA systems in order to respond quickly against cyber threats and to prevent incidents. This paper addresses SCADA forensics taxonomy and research trends for effective digital forensics investigation on SCADA system. As a result, we have not been able to find any research that goes far beyond traditional digital forensics on procedures and methodologies. But it is meaningful to develop an approach methodology using the characteristics of the SCADA system, or an exclusive tool for SCADA. Analysis techniques mainly focused on PLC and SCADA network protocol. It is because the cyber threats and attacks targeting SCADA are mostly related to PLC or network protocol. Such research seems to continue in the future. Unfortunately, there is lack of discussion about the 'Evidence Capability' such as the preservation or integrity of the evidence extracting from SCADA system in the past researches.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.361-361
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• 2017

한국농어촌공사가 관리하고 있는 농업용저수지는 총 3,377개로 2015년 평균 저수율은 61 %를 기록하였는데, 이는 예년 평균 저수율51 %를 나타내고 있다. 1990년대 후반부터 우리나라에는 기후변화에 따른 온난화 추세를 나타내는 경향을 보이고 있고, 강수량 및 집중호우의 증가추세도 나타나고 있다. 기온과 강수량이 과거와 다른 변화를 보임에 따라 물 공급의 안정성을 확보하기 위해 저수지를 통한 수자원 확보가 이루어지고 있으나, 용수공급능력이 어떻게 변화할 것인지에 대한 정보가 부족한 상태이다. 또한, 논벼의 생육에 있어서 저수지의 적절한 용수공급은 필수적이기 때문에 저수지의 효율적 운영 및 용수이용의 효율적 분석이 필요하다. 최근까지 연구 조사에서 농업용수 이용 효율은 굉장히 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 농업용수 이용 효율의 개선을 위해서는 용수수급 특성을 조사 분석하고, 이에 따른 개선방안을 제시하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄 등 기상 재해에 대응하고 한정된 농촌용수를 합리적으로 관리하기 위해 대상지구에 대한 농업용수 이용 효율성을 분석하고자 한다. 대상지구는 경기도 화성의 버들저수지 관개지구, 중북 진천의 무수저수지 관개지구의 필요수량과 공급수량을 비교하였다. 필요수량은 HOMWRS를 이용하여 산정하였고, 공급수량은 해당지구의 저수지 운영일지, 양수장 가동일지를 바탕으로 산정하였다. 버들저수지 관개지구의 2008년~2015년 필요수량 및 공급량을 분석한 결과, 필요수량 산정량과 실제 공급수량의 비는 최대 230%에서 최소 110%을 나타냈고, 2008년~2010년의 경우 약 220% 이상의 관개수량이 공급된 것으로 조사되었다. 2014년 및 2015년의 경우 전국적인 극심한 가뭄의 영향으로 필요수량 대비 공급량이 90%정도로 낮아졌으나 공급량 부족은 발생하지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 무수저수지 관개지구의 2008년~2015년 필요수량 및 공급량을 분석한 결과, 공급량과 필요수량의 비는 최소 170%에서 최대 250%로 나타났다. 특히, 2013년도에는 약 250%의 관개수량이 공급되어 초과공급량이 가장 많이 발생하였고, 분석기간 대부분의 년도에서 모두 약 200% 이상이 공급된 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구와 비슷한 지역의 2010년~2015년의 연구 결과를 보면, 경기도 이동지구를 대상으로 공급량과 필요수량의 비는 170%를 공급하는 것으로 나타냈으며, 충북 백곡지구는 210%를 공급한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구 대상지구의 필요수량 대비 공급량은 과거의 연구와 비슷한 공급율을 보였다. 그러므로 앞으로 극심한 가뭄에 대비하기 위한 효율적인 농업용수 관리방안을 수립할 필요가 있는 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of Korean Home Economics Education Association
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.17-32
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• 2016

This exploratory study which applied environmental scanning method to analyse a change in a future society tried to diagnose a reaction ability of our education system for the change in the future society. In addition, the study tried to explore an adequate direction for Home Economics Subject to be an mandatory subject continuously toward the change in the future society. Main changes in the future society can be expected as 1) demographic change due to low birth rate and aging society, 2) an increasing threat of a human living environment due to unexpectable natural disasters and accidents, 3) a radical progress into a ubiquitous computing environment led by AI, 4) an advent of a borderless economic society and a change for jobs, 5) a change in North Korea, and so on. Our education system which mostly concentrates on education to develop constructive intelligence by halving the society and schooling as yet, however, is diagnosed as it has a paradox that can not understand an emotional competency as a target for studying. Home Economics Subject is worth as the subject that can exactly complement a blind spot of our education system which can not respond to the future society adequately. This is because Home Economics Subject has had a characteristic as a 'Subject of Life' traditionally that has dealt with an overall 'life' of human beings, and the characteristic is favorable to develop human practical intelligence. Thus, because the 'life' is the main point of Home Economics Subject, it has the characteristic as a 'Subject of Happiness' which is the most effective method to develop a tendency to appreciate, a sense of empathy, and lots of pro-social behaviors that are important capacities to seek for happiness. As Alderfer's ERG Theory is to understand human beings' behavior based on the satisfactory of human beings' hierarchical desires, it is suggested as an adequate frame for the theory to restructure the characteristic of Home Economics Subject which develops the 'capacity to seek for happiness' by focusing the 'life', into core concept and core capacity of curriculum. A follow-up study should make a connection between ERG Theory and core concept and core capacity of curriculum to explore how the theory can be reflected on Home Economics curriculum.

• Journal of Popular Narrative
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.39-85
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• 2020

This paper examines the aspects of disaster narrative, which makes the most of the concept of 'masterplot' as a narrative simulation to solve problems. By analyzing and comparing the remnants of 'masterplots' operating in the disaster narratives of Korea, the United States, and Japan, the differences between each country and social community problem recognition and resolution will be discussed. Disaster narrative is the most suitable genre for applying the 'masterplot' toward community problem solving in today's global risk society, and the problem-solving method has cognitive differences for each community. First, in the case of American disaster narratives, civilian experts' response to natural disasters tracks the changes of heroes in today's 'Marvel Comic Universe' (MCU). Compared to the past, the close relationship between heroism and nationalism has been reduced, but the state remains functional even if it is bolstered by the heroes' voluntary cooperation and reflection ability. On the other hand, in Korea's disaster narratives, the disappearance of the country and paralysis of the function are foregrounded. In order to fill the void, a new family narrative occurs, consisting of a righteous army or people abandoned by the state. Korea's disaster narratives are sensitive to changes after the disaster, and the nation's recovery never returns to normal after the disaster. Finally, Japan's disaster narratives are defensive and neurotic. A fully state-led bureaucratic system depicts an obsessive nationalism that seeks to control all disasters, or even counteracts anti-heroic individuals who reject voluntary sacrifices and even abandon disaster conditions This paper was able to diagnose the impact and value of a 'masterplot' today by comparing a series of 'masterplots' and their variations and uses. In a time when the understanding and utilization of 'masterplots' are becoming more and more important in today's world where Over-the top(OTT) services are being provided worldwide, this paper attempt could be a fragmentary model for the distribution and sharing of global stories.

• Maritime Security
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.1-56
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• 2022

Why has India become a key actor in the maritime-configured Indo-Pacific region? There are some external factors, but for India, its geo-strategic frontier encompassing its geopolitical and maritime interests is expanding rapidly beyond its territorial space across both the Indian and Pacific oceans amidst an increasingly arduous geopolitical and security environment. India must, therefore, acquire the ability to influence events within this strategic arena using all facets of national power, including maritime-military power. Lately, therefore, New Delhi has invested much intellectual capital to review its maritime-security strategy. India's new strategy is premised on the concept of holistic security involving the 'softer' aspects of maritime-security, and a rekindling of maritime consciousness in India, a nation that has traditionally been beset by 'sea-blindness'. The strategy adopts a region-wide, inclusive, and a more proactive approach than hitherto, as is evident in its title 'Ensuring Secure Seas: Indian Maritime Security Strategy'. While it deals with the growing concern of new non-traditional threats in the Indian littoral and the need for military deterrence and preparedness, it also addresses the imperatives for India to seek a favorable and rules-based benign environment in its immediate and extended maritime periphery, including through multi-vectored strategic partnerships dictated by its enduring principle of strategic autonomy. For a more profound and comprehensive understanding of India's maritime-security strategy, this paper examines the key unstated and implicit factors that underpin the strategy. These include India's historical and cultural evolution as a nation; its strategic geography; its geopolitical and security perceptions; and the political directions to its security forces. The paper deals specifically with India's response to maritime threats ranging from natural disasters, crime and state-sponsored terrorism to those posed by Pakistan and China, as well as the Indian Navy's envisaged security role East of the Malacca Straits. It also analyzes the aspects of organizational restructuring and force planning of India's maritime-security forces.