• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.241-249
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• 2024

Using the panel data of 31 regions in China from 2006 to 2021, this paper analyzes the efficiency and influencing factors of the fiscal expenditure on compulsory education in China. Through the analysis found that the efficiency of some economically developed regional is lower, but the efficiency of economically backward regional is higher. In order to further analyze the influencing factors of the efficiency of fiscal expenditures on compulsory education, using Tobit model is analyzed. It is found that regional per capita GDP and fiscal self-sufficiency rate have a negative impact on the efficiency of fiscal expenditure on compulsory education. Age structure, percentage of fiscal expenditure on compulsory education and level of teachers have a positive impact on the efficiency of fiscal expenditure on compulsory education. Fiscal decentralization has no significant effect on the efficiency of fiscal expenditure on compulsory education.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.12 no.7
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• pp.65-76
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• 2014

This paper analyzes whether local public expenditures have converged during the 1985-2011 periods in Korea, using the sixteen metropolitan and provincial governments data. We analyze the convergence of per capita real local public expenditures in terms of both static view and dynamic view of convergence. Furthermore, we derive the estimating equation for per capita real local government expenditure growth function from theoretical model based on Skidmore et al.(2004)[23]. The main results from empirical analyses are such that an increase in aged people helped local government expenditures increase. Also, we found that the convergence speed of economic expenditure is greater than that of social welfare expenditure. Similarly the convergence speed of public capital expenditure is greater than that of public consumption expenditure. In the future we had better examine the convergence of local public goods taking into account their congestion rates.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.22 no.1_2
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• pp.193-283
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• 2000

외환위기 이후 재정적자가 급격히 확대되면서 재정적자에 대한 일반인들의 관심이 높아지고 있다. 그러나 재정적자가 거시경제에 구체적으로 어떤 영향을 미치는가에 대한 실증분석은 많지 않은 편이다. 본고는 재정적자가 민간저축률과 물가상승률에 미치는 영향을 살펴보고 있다. 본 논문의 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 저축률과 재정적자 사이에는 리카도 동등가설이 예측하는 것과 같은 관계가 표면적으로 발견된다. 즉, 재정지출이 변하지 않을 때 재정적자의 증가는 민간저축률을 증가시켜 국민경제 전체의 저축률은 크게 변하지 않는다. 둘째, 재정수지가 변하지 않더라도 재정지출의 증가는 민간저축을 감소시킨다. 그리고 재정수지가 변하든 변하지 않든 정부소비나 이전지출의 증가는 국민저축률을 감소시킨다. 셋째, 재정적자는 물가에 별 영향을 주지 않는다. 이 가운데 첫째와 셋째의 결과는 별로 새삼스러운 것이 되지 못한다. 그러나 둘째의 결과는 지금까지 논의되지 않았던 사실을 알려주고 있다. 특히 1980년대 말 이후 GDP 대비 재정규모가 추세적으로 증가하고 있으며, 최근의 외환위기 이후에는 금융구조조정 지원 등에 따라 재정규모가 급격히 증가하고 있고, 장기적으로는 국민연금급여 등 사회보장지출의 증가가 예상됨을 고려할 때, 재정규모 증가를 억제하는 일에 보다 적극적인 노력을 기울일 필요가 있음을 알게 된다. 한편 본고에서의 한국은행의 준(準)재정활동을 고려하지 않았으나, 이를 고려할 때에도 재정수지가 물가상승률에 별다른 영향을 미치지 않는지에 대한 추가적 연구가 필요하다고 판단된다.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.21-44
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• 2017

Under the new normal, the China's economy growth has changed rapid growth to moderate growth since 2007. With new paradigm, China is facing an abnormally severe employment situation. Also the financial expenditure is an important macro adjustment method. The research analyzes both implications of financial expenditures to employment in China, and the trend of implication in different regions. The research was conducted by 2SLS method using the panel data of 31 Chinese local governments(provinces, cities, and autonomous districts) during 1998 to 2015. The main findings are as follows. In the new normal model(2008-2015), the financial expenditure to urban employment have higher effect than total employment. Also, higher income region have more positive effect than lower income region. Medical, technology expenditure have positive effect to total employment, social security, education expenditure have positive effect to urban employment. In the total model(1998-2015) have similar results with new normal model, but the elasticity is more higher than total model. Ultimately, it can be seen that the efficiency of financial expenditure is lower than new normal model. The government should increase the proportion of expenditure in fields of social security, education, medical, technology, and improve the expenditure structure. So as to promote the effect of financial expenditure to employment in new normal economy.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.137-167
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• 2013

This article estimates the scale of impact of expanding governmental fiscal expenditure for R&D investment on the private business enterprise's investment for R&D, and the relationship between business enterprise and university for expanding investment of R&D. According to my results, first, an expanding fiscal expenditure from government for R&D investment leads to increase R&D investment from business enterprise. However, an expanding expenditure from university rather leads to decrease R&D investment from business enterprise. Secondly, the crowding-out effect of expanding R&D investment from University on business enterprise's is very strong, and it is affected by structural changes such as the country's economic power, fiscal stance and cyclical volatility. Third, the more governmental expenditure on university expansive is, the stronger asymmetric relationship between business enterprise and university is, and investment sources of university from business enterprise is the main factor of this relationship. Finally, it is not easy to solve out this asymmetric relationship even through the governmental subsidy.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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• v.47 no.4
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• pp.217-254
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• 2016

The purpose of this study is comparing fiscal sustainability of 17 welfare states. Borrowed the concept of fiscal space to Ostry et al(2010) and Ghosh et al(2011), this study measures the fiscal sustainability in welfare states. Using data collected from 20 OECD countries from 1986 to 2013, this study attempts to evaluate the financial sustainability of each country. As a result, it is necessary that the appropriate level of tax burden is secured. Tax revenue is the funded basis for maintaining the welfare state, so increasing tax compliance to offset the negative impact of increasing welfare spending will promote social cohesion. In therms of tax structure, in accordance with the ability to pay principle, it is important to raise the equity between the source of taxation. Reducing the gap between labor and capital tax is required to achieve horizontal equity, It is also useful to utilize the financial base of the welfare state by broadening the tax base though a consumption tax. Improving the vertical equity can also make a positive contribution to the fiscal sustainability of the welfare state.

• Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.107-117
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• 2016

최근 들어 우리나라는 재정 건전성이 악화되는 가운데 경제성장률이 해마다 낮아지고 있다. 이는 향후의 R&D 재정투자가 양적 확대보다는 선택과 집중을 통한 지출 효율화 노력이 필요한 시점이 되었다는 것을 의미한다. 2016년 1월, 마이너스 기준금리를 도입하기로 결정해 세계의 이목을 집중시키고 있는 일본은 한국에 앞서 이미 수십 년간 구조적 저성장을 경험하고 있다. 본고는 과학기술 혁신정책을 지속 가능한 성장과 사회적 혁신을 위한 중요 수단으로 인식하고 저성장 경제를 극복하기 위한 다양한 시도를 하고있는 일본의 R&D 정책수립 및 예산배분체계의 분석을 통하여 한국의 상황에 적용할 수 있는 정책적 시사점을 도출하고자 한다.

• 사회경제평론
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.55-92
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• 2018

Moon Jae-In government, which took power through the candlelight revolution, has put forward a "People First Economy". To realize this goal, the government promised to increase the growth rate of fiscal spending and the proportion of welfare spending compared to the conservative government in the past. This direction is desirable, but it does not meet the expectations of the progressive camp, which has hoped larger-scale welfare through active increased taxation. Above all, it would be hard to overcome the structural risks facing our economy through this policy. More bold fiscal policy is needed. For the time being, it is desirable to push for taxing on top-income households, corporations, and high-value assets, and to make sure that the tax levied on rental income is well established. If these tasks are well realized, it is necessary to move toward the next stage of welfare expansion and increased taxation.

• 한국사회복지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2004.06a
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• pp.183-212
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• 2004

지식기반 경제체제로의 전환과 맞물려 지속 가능한 국가 성장동력을 위해서는 사회적 기반 확충이 중요하다. 따라서 사회투자정책은 적당한 수준에서 소비적 지출이 아닌 "성과에 책임지는 최적의 투자" 관점으로 접근되어야 한다. 이를 위해서는 사회개발과 경제개발의 균형있는 예산자원배분, 사회정책 부문간 균형있는 재원배분이 필요하다. 또한 프로그램 구조 전체를 전제로 하는 결과 지향적 성과관리와 납세자 책임 노력이 요구된다. 마지막으로 사회 복지재정 부담과 관련하여 중앙과 지방정부간 합리적 재정관계를 모색해야한다. 최근의 정책환경 변화를 고려하여 지방교부세와 국고보조금 제도를 중심으로 한 지방재정지원체계를 개편해야 한다. 사회투자정책의 추진과정에서 관련부문간 재정적 갈등 쟁점이 발생할 수 있다. 예상되는 이해관계 상충부문들에 대한 합리적인 갈등관리 방안들이 사전에 마련되어야 한다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.663-683
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• 2015

The change of the population pyramid due to low fertility and rapid aging threatens the financial sustainability of National Health Insurance. We construct statistical models for prevalence rates and medical expenses using National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) sample cohort data from 2002-2013. We then project yearly expenditures and income of national health insurance until 2060 that considers various assumptions in regards to future population structure and economic conditions. We adopt a VECM-LC model for prevalence rates and the double exponentially smoothing method for the per capita co-payment of healthcare expense (in which the two models are institution-disease-sex-age specific) to project of national health insurance expenditures. We accommodate various assumptions of economic situations provided by the national assembly and government to produce a financial projection for national health insurance. Two assumptions of dependents ratios are used for the projection of national health insurance income to conduct two future population structures by the two assumptions of aging progresses and various assumptions on economic circumstances as in the expenditure projection. The health care deficit is projected to be 20-30 trillion won by 2030 and 40-70 trillion won by 2060 in 2015 constant price.