• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재무 리스크

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An Analysis on the Characteristics of Each Phase's Risk Factors for High-Rise Development Project (초고층 개발사업 추진을 위한 단계별 리스크 요인의 특성 분석)

  • Chun, Young-Jun;Cho, Joo-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.103-115
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    • 2016
  • The 106 buildings of 200 meters' height or greater were completed around the world in 2015 (CTBUH, The Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat). They beat every previous year on record, including the previous record high of 99 completions in 2014. This brings the total number of 200-meter-plus buildings in the world to 1,040, exceeding 1,000 for the first time in history and marking a 392% increase from the year 2000, when only 265 existed. South Korea recorded three completions during 2015 - improving slightly over 2014, in which it had one. This study focused on the fact that high-rise building development project risks have not reduced in Korea in spite of numerous studies and measures. And it attempted to examine whether existing studies and measures have been presented on the basis of the accurate analysis of existing studies and measures and classify and analyze the characteristics of each phase' s risk factors in the hope that its results would be one reference point as to the measure to prevent high-rise building development project risks in the future. A high-rise building development project is the high risk project as compared with the low-rise project. Because a high-rise development project takes long and is very sensitive to the changing environment. Therefore, in order to succeed the project it becomes necessary to effectively manage the risk involved in the process of the high-rise building development project. The result of this study can be used as the guideline to make the risk management system for the high-rise development project.

Predicting Construction Project Cost using Sensitivity Analysis in Stochastic Project Scheduling Simulation (SPSS) (확률 통계적 일정 시뮬레이선 - 민감도 분석을 이용한 최종 공사비 예측)

  • Lee Dong-Eun;Park Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.4 s.26
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    • pp.80-90
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    • 2005
  • Activity durations retain probabilistic and stochastic natures due to diverse factors causing the delay or acceleration of activity completion. These natures make the final project duration to be a random variable. These factors are the major source of financial risk. Extending the Stochastic Project Scheduling Simulation system (SPSS) developed in previous research; this research presents a method to estimate how the final project duration behaves when activity durations change randomly. The final project cost is estimated by considering the fluctuation of indirect cost, which occurs due to the delay or acceleration of activity completion, along with direct cost assigned to an activity. The final project cost is estimated by considering how indirect cost behaves when activity duration change. The method quantifies the amount of contingency to cover the expected delay of project delivery. It is based on the quantitative analysis to obtain the descriptive statistics from the simulation outputs (final project durations). Existing deterministic scheduling method apply an arbitrary figures to the amount of delay contingency with uncertainty. However, the stochastic method developed in this research allows computing the amount of delay contingency with certainty and certain degree of confidence. An example project is used to illustrate the quantitative analysis method using simulation. When the statistical location and shape of probability distribution functions defining activity durations change, how the final project duration and cost behave are ascertained using automated sensitivity analysis method

Empirical Assessment of International Entry Strategy for Large Construction Companies (주요 전략지수별로 살펴 본 국내 대형건설업체의 해외건설 진출전략 효과에 대한 실증적 연구)

  • Jung, Woo-Yong;Han, Seung-Heon;Jang, Woo-Sik;Koo, Bon-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2010
  • Although international construction market gradually takes a important position among the export industries, the previous studies about international construction entry strategy have just focussed on trend investigation or suggestion for revitalization. Moreover, in order to prepare the market uncertainty such as world financial crisis and to plan the long term strategy, specific strategy studies based on corporate level are required. Therefore, this study estimates the nine strategic index and four financial index of 31 companies that performed 1920 international projects from 1993 to 2007 and evaluate the performance as three periods by multi-regression analysis. Also, this study analyze dynamic correlation between these index and the performance considering times. this study verifies that market diversification, product diversification, localization and decrease of debt to asset ratio make a good effect on the international order as long term strategy and shows that collaborated entry with domestic corporations, alliance entry with host country's company, alliance entry with third country's company, portion of labor cost and portion of management expense differently make a influence on the performance as times. these results will be helpful for the construction companies to plan the international entry strategy reasonably and specifically.

Market Entry Decision Model in Global Construction Market Using Real Options Game (실물옵션 게임을 활용한 해외건설시장 진출모형에 관한 기초연구)

  • Kim, Du-Yon;Kim, Byoung-Il;Han, Seung-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.652-655
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    • 2007
  • Due to stagnation of domestic market, increasing number of domestic construction companies started to make inroads into foreign market recently. Yet compared to domestic market, there are much more risks in the foreign market which companies may confront. So deliberate and rational decision making skills are required. Accordingly, there has been many researches which analyzed the risk of individual markets and also studies covering decision support models. In this study, we suggest a model concerning financial issues when branching out into a new market, specially in the construction companies' point of view. For this we used a real options game which shows real competition status of a new market and deduced a feature of that market, Upon these results, we also suggest a model which helps firms to decide whether investing in the expansion is smart action or not. The model developed in this study is made in specific circumstances of limited conditions. The future study makes more realistic models considering subjects like disproportion in information and generalization of competing companies.

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A Study on the Link between the Serious Accidents Punishment Act and the Enterprise Disaster Management Standard: Focused on the Serious Industrial Accidents (중대재해처벌법과 재해경감활동관리체계 연계방안 연구 - 중대산업재해 중심)

  • Lee, Byoung-Lim;Kim, Sang-Duk;Choi, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.660-671
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study is intended to confirm the business disruptive risk in the Serious Accidents, and propose a plan to comply with the Serious Accidents Punishment Act through the Disaster Mitigation Activity Management System. Method: Through literature review and case studies, the requirements and characteristics of each of the Serious Accidents Punishment Act, the Disaster Mitigation Activity Management System, and ISO 45001 were compared and analyzed, and implications were derived. Result: The business disruption and financial adverse effects caused by industrial accidents were identified. Based on this and by using the Disaster Mitigation Activity Management System, measures to link the documentation requirements of the the Serious Accidents Punishment Act to the Disaster Mitigation Activity Management System, and to manage the implementation records of the Serious Accidents Punishment Act's duty were derived. Conclusion: When establishing and operating the Disaster Mitigation Activity Management System, it can not only comply with the Serious Accidents Punishment Act but also contribute to maintaining business continuity and ESG management through the prevention of various disasters and the minimization of secondary damage, etc.

The Study on the Risk Predict Method and Government Funds Supporting for Small and Medium Enterprises (로짓분석을 통한 중소기업 정책자금 지원의 위험예측력에 대한 연구)

  • Choi, Chang-Yeoul;Ham, Hyung-Bum
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2009
  • Prior bankruptcy studies have established that bankrupt firm's pre-filing financial ratios are different from those of healthy firms or of randomly selected going concerns. However, they may not be sufficiently different from the financial ratios of other firms in financial distress to allow the development of a ratio-based model that predicts bankruptcy with reasonable accuracy. As the result, in the multiple discriminant model, independent variables divided firms into bankrupt firms and healthy firms are retained earnings to total asset, receivable turnover, net income to sales, financial expenses, inventory turnover, owner's equity to total asset, cash flow to current liability, and current asset to current liability. Moreover four variables Retained earnings to total asset, net income to sales, total asset turnover, owner's equity to total asset indicate that these valuables classify bankrupt firms and distress firms. On the other hand, Owner's Equity to borrowed capital, Ordinary income to Net Sales, Operating Income to Total Asset, Total Asset Turnover and Inventory Turnover are selected to predict bankruptcy possibility in the Logistic regression model.

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Performance Prediction Model for Public-Private Partnership Projects Considering Stakeholders' Profitability (참여자별 수익성을 고려한 민간투자사업 성과예측 모델)

  • Yeo, Dong Hoon;Yu, Giwon;Lee, Kang-Wook;Han, Seung-Heon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.471-480
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    • 2015
  • The market of public-private partnership (PPP) projects has reduced from 9.4 trillion won in 2007 to 4.5 trillion won in 2012. However, the need of PPP projects is brought up by a massive down scale of government financial business. Previous studies regarding PPP projects mostly evaluate profitability from the financial perspective or analyze risk factors as a whole. Although PPP projects generally have complex structure involving diverse stakeholders, such as contractor, financial investor, and special purpose company (SPC) operators, existing studies have rarely considered the different viewpoints of PPP project stakeholders. Therefore, purpose of this study is to develop a structural equation model (SEM) considering the diverse stakeholders of PPP projects. To this end, the authors first reviewed the organizational structure of PPP projects. Next, the identification of the factors affecting project profitability are done via comprehensive literature reviews. After that, we conducted in-depth interviews and questionnaire surveys to reflect stakeholders' perspectives (contractors, financial investors, and SPC operators). As a result, a SEM model is developed to analyze direct and indirect effect on the PPP project performances. Finally, using the analysis results, relevant implications and directions for improvements are discussed. The prediction of the business performance of contractor, financial investor, and SPC operator is expect to be possible through the model developed and supports the strategy deduction that is appropriate for the participants.

Establishing the Importance Weight Model of IT Investment Evaluation Criteria through AHP Analysis (AHP 기법을 적용한 IT프로젝트 사전타당성 평가항목의 가중치 산출)

  • Kwon, Min-Young;Koo, Bon-Jae;Lee, Kuk-Hie
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.265-285
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this research is to identify the major evaluation criteria of IT investment projects and establish the importance weights of criteria through AHP analysis. Seven evaluation criteria which have been drawn from prior studies and industry practices are direct costs, indirect costs, financial benefits, strategic value, risk, technical necessity, and political considerations. Data have been collected from 95 IT projects in 40 public organizations and private firms in Korea. After having applied the data reliability test, 79 projects have been selected. The results of AHP analysis show the importance weights and priorities of seven evaluation criteria as follows: financial benefits 25.2%, strategic value 22.36%, direct costs 14.34%, risk 12.10%, technical necessity 11.55%, political considerations 8.3%, and indirect costs 6.48%. And the weights of seven criteria shows considerable differences among three different IT project types such as transactional, informational, and infrastructural.

Testing the Valuation Effect of Foreign Exchange Risk Insurance in Korea (환헤지가 기업가치를 높이는가? : 환변동보험의 기업가치 효과)

  • Song, Hong-Sun;Hahn, Sang-Buhm
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.63-84
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    • 2010
  • We investigate whether FX hedging materially increases firm value by testing the valuation effect of Foreign Exchange Risk Insurance in Korea, using our sample of 84 listed firms with 617 observations between 2000 and 2008, Employing Tobin's Q as a proxy of firm value and foreign exchange risk insurance as a proxy of hedging instrument, we find a positive relation between firm value and the use of foreign exchange risk insurance. The hedging premium is statistically significant and is on average 7.4% of sample firm value. We also find our empirical results consistent with the preceding evidence that firm uses the hedging instrument in order to alleviate economic frictions and then hedging causes an increase in firm value.

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A Study on the Effect of External Response to Construction Subcontract Disputes (건설하도급분쟁에 대한 외부적 대응노력(컨설팅)의 효과에 대한 연구)

  • Bae, Chan Young;Hyun, Byung Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.72-82
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to find out how any organizational response or dispute-related consulting has a significant impact on management performance before or during a dispute over a construction subcontract dispute. In this study, multiple regression models were used to analyze the impact on consulting performance. According to the result of the analysis, the positive effects on the overall external consulting effect is influenced by five variables such as financial values, increase of the number of disputes, construction of response system by contents, construction of response system in each period, dispute response external response system. The original business operators were also more likely to be affected by internal activities of conflict response companies and the extent to which external response systems were established. This means that the supply and demand service provider's business environment is relatively poor, forcing it to be lower than the internal and external activities and influences of the original business operators of the conglomerates.