• Title/Summary/Keyword: 장기성장전망

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Long-term Prediction on the environmental flow and ecosystem habitat using ecosystem functions model considering future climate change (기후변화를 고려한 생태계기능 모델 기반 환경유량 산정 및 서식처 변화 전망)

  • Park, Seo-Yeon;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.10-10
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    • 2021
  • 하천은 인간뿐만 아니라 다양한 생물이 서식하는 장소로 하천생태계 보전은 수많은 생물들에게 있어 중요한 요소이다. 1970년대의 국내 하천은 대부분 자연하천의 모습을 경제 성장과 더불어 도시화, 공업화 등으로 용수 수요가 급속히 증가함에 따라 기능 위주의 하천관리가 이루어졌으며, 이로 인해 하천유황의 장기적인 변화가 나타났다. 변화가 발생한 하천은 본래의 모습인 자연 하천으로 완벽하게 복원될 수 없다는 한계점이 있으나, 자연과 인간이 서로 유익하게 도움을 주는 양방향 관계로 발전한다면 하천의 기능도 유지하고 하천수생생물 보존에도 긍정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 즉, 하천이 갖고 있는 하천공학적 기능을 최대한 유지하면서도 다양한 수생생물의 서식처의 기능도 되살아나게 해야하는 복합적인 목적을 갖고 있다. 하천 수생생물의 서식처 복원을 위해서는 하천생태계에 필요한 환경유량의 정량적인 평가와 확보방안 및 공급방안의 검토가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 HEC-EFM(Ecosystem Function Model)을 활용하여 하천 수생생물의 서식조건을 고려한 환경유량을 산정하였다. 연구 대상유역은 2013년 김천부항댐이 준공된 감천유역을 연구대상유역으로 선정하였으며, 댐 건설에 따른 환경유량의 변화와 기후변화를 고려한 가까운 미래의 수문환경 변화 및 이에 따른 환경유량과 하천생태계 서식처 변화를 살펴보고자 하였다.

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A study on the Export Strategies of the Water Industry (물산업 해외진출 활성화방안 연구)

  • Min, Kyung-Jin;Kim, Dong-Hwan;Jo, Eun-Chae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.104-104
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    • 2011
  • 2010년 기준 세계 물산업은 약 4,800억불 규모이며, 2025년에는 약 1조 달러 규모로 성장할 것으로 전망된다. 또한 기후변화 등의 요인으로 물산업의 범위는 물순환체계 전과정을 포괄하는 "유역종합개발+상하수도+대체수자원"으로 확장될 것으로 예측된다. 그러나 지금까지의 국내 물산업 육성은 주로 상하수도 분야 중심으로 국한되어, 기후변화에 대응한 유역종합개발 분야에 대한 시장 진출기회를 상실하고 있다. 상하수도 중심의 물산업은 이미 선진 메이저 기업들이 선점하여 치열한 경쟁이 벌어지고 있는 '레드오션'이라 할 수 있으므로, 새로운 물산업의 강국으로 부상하기 위해서는 우리가 가진 장점을 바탕으로 물산업의 새로운 영역을 개척하는 방안에 대한 연구가 필요한 시점이다. 본 연구는 먼저 국내외 물순환체계 전과정(유역종합개발+상하수도+대체수자원)에 대한 시장 조사을 통해 세계 물산업 시장을 프로젝트 유형별, 지역별로 분석하고, 이를 토대로 국내 물산업 육성과 해외진출을 위한 당면 과제를 다음과 같이 제시하였다. 첫째, 민관협력을 위한 제도적 틀을 형성할 필요가 있다. 정부의 역할이 매우 중요한데, 정부 또는 기금이 자금의 단순한 대부자에서 적극적인 투자자로 전환함으로서 국내 민간기업들의 해외시장 진입장벽을 낮추어 줄 필요가 있다. 정부 주도의 민관협력이 활성화되면 참여 기업의 재무적 리스크를 현저히 줄일 수 있다. 또한, 상하수도 운영 경험을 축적한 공기업이 해외진출 지원기능을 수행하도록 하여야 한다. 즉, 공기업이 민간 기업의 경쟁자가 아니라 지원자가 될 수 있도록 프레임을 바꿔주어야 한다. 둘째, 물산업 클러스터의 형성이다. 물산업 제조업은 대부분 중소 벤처기업으로 독자적인 해외진출이 곤란하므로, 물전문 공기업이 중소 벤처기업 육성 및 해외진출의 앵커 역할을 담당하는 것이 필요하다. 이스라엘이나 싱가포르의 물산업 클러스터처럼 Anchor 역할을 행하는 공기업과 민간기업이 장기적 협력관계를 구축할 수 있는 기반을 마련해야한다. 셋째, 신시장 역량의 창출이다. 기후변화로 크게 성장할 전망인 통합물관리 시장에 대한 전략적 접근이 요구된다. 우선 ODA 등 대외 원조자금을 활용하여 투자비가 적게 들고 정보를 선점할 수 있는 조사 설계부터 시작하여, 댐 및 수력개발, 상하수도 건설 운영 등에 단계적으로 접근할 수 있을 것이다. 또한, 향후 도입될 예정인 물인프라의 Smart 기술, 첨단 수처리 기술 등을 활용하여 새로운 시장을 개척해야 한다. 4대강살리기 사업, 해수담수화 등 조기에 경쟁우위를 갖출 수 있는 사업과 기술을 Flagship Project로 브랜드화하여 우리나라를 "물강국"으로 포지셔닝할 경우 세계 물시장 공략에 보다 효과적일 것으로 판단된다.

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Trends in Development and Marketing of Degradable Plastics (분해성 플라스틱의 개발 및 시장 동향)

  • You, Young-Sun;So, Kyu-Ho;Chung, Myong-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.365-374
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    • 2008
  • Plastics are comparatively new polymeric materials that are manufactured by chemical synthesis, making them different from natural materials such as wood, paper, stone, metal, and glass. Due to a wide range of properties, including processing capabilities and duration, plastics have become rapidly ubiquitous, being used in all industries, and have improved our quality of life. However, it is true that plastics cause environmental contamination problems that have become important social issues, such as environmental hormone leakage due to incineration or reclamation, difficulty in securing reclamation sites, and deadly poisonous dioxin generated by the incomplete incineration of waste plastic materials. To solve these problems, it is urgent to develop and commercialize degradable plastics that can be stably and conveniently used just as general plastics, and that are easily decomposed by sunlight, soil microbes, and heat generated from reclaimed land after use. This review presents recent worldwide trends in the development and marketing of environmentally degradable plastics.

Realities and Developing Orientation of the Jewelry Industry in Korea (우리나라 귀금속 장신구 산업의 현황 및 발전 방향)

  • 오원택
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2000
  • Date of Bureau of Statistics, including those of Bank of Korea and KDI, in 1995 indicates a market scale of approximately ₩2,800,000,000 in jewelry and personal ornaments, witch points out an average growth rate of 15.3% a year for ten years from 1986 up to 1995, representing a occupancy ratio of 0.78% per G.N.P. Despite the fact that the jewelry and personal ornaments industry has the possibility of high growth it raises problems such as illegal transactions, distortion of quality grades of jewelry (price deference by appraising agencies in Diamond, fabrications of quality in Gold). Furthermore, the personal ornaments market may be said to be still at an early state, as compared with that of advanced countries, including the USA and Japan, due to the small scale of the industry's distribution firms. Accordingly, in order for us to develop the jewelry and personal ornaments industry, one of the value added projects, an improvement in the distribution system of the jewelry and personal ornaments industry. Development of techniques of production and new design, ect, are required. Futhermore, the industry is expected to develop when its importance and contribution to the national economy, a correct understanding of the long-term vision of the industry are expended to all the industries.

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An Analysis of Consumers′ Preference on the Brand Rice (브랜드 쌀에 대한 소비자 선호요인 분석)

  • 이순석;이상덕;김용희
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.376-380
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    • 2003
  • This aims is to estimate the consumers' preference on the brand rice using factor analysis, completed research on the consumption of brand rice revealed that the household supply in the Seoul area is increasing. An analysis whether housewives' preference in chosing the brand of rice was developed through the consumption experience and re-purchase intention investigation for the brand rice. Also the paper analyzed the consumers' preference using the logit and probit model. Number of respondents who participated in the study(95 %) totaled 1000 and the sampling method utilized was the multistage stratification and assignment abstraction. Results showed that the preference of housewives' depends on age, education and level of income. Such that as age, education, income level increase so thus their preference for brand rices also increase. Also the re-purchasing of brand rice is high when housewives have a higher educational attainment and prefers to go to work. Conclusively, the long-term sale view for brand rice is closely related to the economic conditions of a household. Hence, with the economic growth, there is a possibility that consumption of brand rice would increase compared to the ordinary rice. We can propose the following political intent from analysis of these results. First, There is a need for continuous public information as reinforcement for brand rice. Second, Marketing operation reinforcement could also be done for customer class security etc.

An Analysis of Long-Term Scenarios for The GHG Emissions Projections Considering Economic Growth and Industrial Structure Change (경제성장과 산업구조 변화에 따른 장기 온실가스 배출량 전망 시나리오 분석)

  • Kwon, Seung Moon;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.257-268
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    • 2016
  • Both economic growth and industrial structure have great influence on energy consumption and GHG emissions. This study analyzed long-term scenarios for GHG emissions projections considering economic growth and industry value added change. In consideration of 3 GDP and 3 industry value added outlook, total 9 scenarios were set; 'Assembly Industry Baseline(AI)', 'Assembly KEIT industry(AK)', 'Assembly Advanced Country industry(AA)', 'KDI Industry Baseline(KI)', 'KDI KEIT industry(KK)', 'KDI Advanced Country industry(KA)', 'OECD Industry Baseline(OI)', 'OECD KEIT industry(OK)', and 'OECD Advanced Country industry(OA)' scenarios. In consideration of the GDP increase rate and industry value added outlook, it is estimated that AI scenario's GHG emissions would be 777 million tons of $CO_2eq$ in 2030. On the other hand, in the case of OA scenario, GHG emissions would be 560.2 million tons of $CO_2eq$ in 2030. Differences between AI scenario's and OA scenario's were 216.8 million tons of $CO_2eq$. It can be identified by that GDP and industry value added change have great influence on GHG emissions. In view of the fact that Korea's amount of GHG emission reduction targets in 2030 were 218.6 million tons of $CO_2eq$ that the result of this research could give us valuable insight.

Vietnam in 2016: The Situations and Prospects of Politics, Economy, and International Relations (베트남 2016: 정치, 경제, 대외관계의 현황과 전망)

  • LEE, Han Woo;CHAE, Su Hong
    • The Southeast Asian review
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.163-191
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    • 2017
  • This article aims to review the recent, especially focusing on the year of 2016, situations and prospects of the Vietnamese politics, economy, and international relations. Politically, Vietnam completed the election of members for the National Assembly and organized new leadership at the 12th National Congress of the Vietnamese Communist Party in 2016. One characteristic of the new leadership is that the politicians, especially the members of politburo, from the North continue to occupy the position of majority. The other one is that the new leadership promised to carry out the restructuring of economy toward industries producing higher value-added commodities even though Vietnam industries admittedly need to accelerate present industrialization and modernization as a developing country under the seemingly contradictory slogan of "the development of market economy for socialism." The declared goals of the new leadership in Vietnam are inevitable in a sense since the development of Vietnamese economy has been heavily dependent upon Foreign Direct Investment(FDI) taking advantage of Vietnamese cheap labor and simultaneously it is evident that its future is unsecure if it maintains status quo. In fact, the Vietnamese economy has impressively showed high growth rate by the help of foreign capitals since 1990s despite the repetitive recessions of global economy but its growth is not likely to be sustainable anymore if it will not reduce foreign dependency and social economic inequality in a long term. In a short run, global economic recession, the financial and monetary policies of global powers, and recent protectionism and uncertainty of trade agreements will be three crucial variables to affect Vietnamese economy. In terms of international relations, Vietnam is continuously expected to practise the policy of checks and balances among the powerful countries. Vietnam has seriously disputed with China on islands sovereignty in the South China Sea and attempted to maintain close relationship with other powerful countries including especially America. However, mainly due to the new protectionism by the regime of American president Donald Trump, the Vietnamese government also need to keep close relationship with China increasingly for both economic and diplomatic security. Under the circumstances, Vietnam is expected to maintain more practical and balanced international relations.

An Empirical Study on the Size Distribution of Venture Firms in the center of KOSDAQ Listed Companies (국내 벤처기업 진화과정에 관한 실증분석 - 코스닥상장 기술벤처기업 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Sang-Sup;Yang, Young-Seok
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.23-37
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    • 2011
  • This paper is brought to carry out an empirical study whether evolution process of venture firm's scale is following the Gibrat's law; random evolution process, or Pareto law; self-organizing process. The empirical test, as attaching theoretical explanation, of this research utilize the serial data samples of 92 KOSDAQ listed companies from the year of 2005 through 2008. Summarizing the research results are as followed. First, Gini Coefficients representing the density of venture firm's scale has been constantly reduced since the year of 2005 in terms of number of employee, while these index increased during the same time period from the perspective of sales volume. Second, the evolution process of Korea venture firm's scale is following the Power Law related to Pareto Law. In particular, estimated Pareto coefficient, ${\alpha}$, is shown lower than 1 which is significant result. Third, the probability of joining in the top tier group of firm starting from the early stage growing is forecasted into 6.9%, the result which emphasize the starting scale of venture firm play an important role in long term evolution of venture firm.

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A Study on the Strategies of Korean-Liner Shipping Companies for Coping with the Opening of a Shipping Route between China and Korea (한.중항로 개방에 따른 국적선사의 대응전략 연구)

  • Lee, Choong-Bae;Bae, Chang-Ho;Yang, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.289-315
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    • 2008
  • In Korea-China shipping route, the level of freight rate has been maintained very low for last two decades not only because supply of shipping capacity is higher than its demand but also because the route was regulated by the two governments. An examination is made of the effects of openness of Korea-China Liner Shipping Route on competitiveness of Korean-flag Liner Shipping companies. This task is undertaken by detailing the development of the cargo sharing respectively by shipping companies of each country. Then it is suggested the ways to cope with the new environmental changes in Korea-China liner shipping route for the future by examining the future strategies for Korean-flag companies by in-depth interviews with major shipping companies.

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The Multisector Model of the Korean Economy: Structure and Coefficients (한국경제(韓國經濟)의 다부문모형(多部門模型) : 모형구조(模型構造)와 추정결과(推定結果))

  • Park, Jun-kyung;Kim, Jung-ho
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.3-20
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    • 1990
  • The multisector model is designed to analyze and forecast structural change in industrial output, employment, capital and relative price as well as macroeconomic change in aggregate income, interest rate, etc. This model has 25 industrial sectors, containing about 1,300 equations. Therefore, this model is characterized by detailed structural disaggregation at the sectoral level. Individual industries are based on many of the economic relationships in the model. This is what distinguishes a multisector model from a macroeconomic model. Each industry is a behavioral agent in the model for industrial investment, employment, prices, wages, and intermediate demand. The strength of the model lies in the simulating the interactions between different industries. The result of its simulation will be introduced in the next paper. In this paper, we only introduce the structure of the multisector model and the coefficients of the equations. The multisector model is a dynamic model-that is, it solves year by year into the future using its own solutions for earlier years. The development of a dynamic, year-by-year solution allows us to combine the change in structure with a consideration of the dynamic adjustment required. These dynamics have obvious advantages in the use of the multisector model for industrial planning. The multisector model is a medium-term and long-term model. Whereas a short-term model can taken the labor supply and capital stock as given, a long-term model must acknowledge that these are determined endogenously. Changes in the medium-term can be analyzed in the context of long-term structural changes. The structure of this model can be summarized as follow. The difference in domestic and world prices affects industrial structure and the pattern of international trade; domestic output and factor price affect factor demand; factor demand and factor price affect industrial income; industrial income and relative price affect industrial consumption. Technical progress, as measured in terms of total factor productivity and relative price affect input-output coefficients; input-output coefficients and relative price determine the industrial input cost; input cost and import price determine domestic price. The differences in productivity and wage growth among different industries affect the relative price.

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