• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
• /
• v.22 no.3
• /
• pp.351-365
• /
• 2019

This study aims to predict the changes in population distribution in Korea by considering spatio-temporal characteristics of major migration reasons. For the purpose, we analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of each major migration reason(such as job, family, housing, and education) and estimate the transition probability, respectively. By appling Markov chain model processes with the ChapmanKolmogorov equation based on the transition probability, we predict the changes in the population distribution for the next six years. As the results, we found that there were differences of population changes by regions, while there were geographic movements into metropolitan areas and cities in general. The methodologies and the results presented in this study can be utilized for the provision of customized planning policies. In the long run, it can be used as a basis for planning and enforcing regionally tailored policies that strengthen inflow factors and improve outflow factors based on the trends of population inflow and outflow by region by movement factors as well as identify the patterns of population inflow and outflow in each region and predict future population volatility.

• Land and Housing Review
• /
• v.12 no.2
• /
• pp.47-59
• /
• 2021

This study aims to review the trends of the population outflows in the metropolitan area of Busan and to investigate the factors that affect population out-migration to the Seoul metropolitan area. The following variables are considered for analysis: traditional population movement variables and quality of life variables, such as population, society, employment, housing, culture, safety, medical care, greenery, education, and childcare. The 'domestic population movement data', provided by the MDIS of the National Statistical Office, was used for this research. Out of the total of 57 million population movement data in the period 2012 - 2017, population outmigration from Busan to the Seoul metropolitan area was extracted. Independent variables were drawn from public data sources in accordance with the temporal and spatial settings of the study. The multiple linear regression model was specified based on the dataset, and the fit of the model was measured by the p-value, and the values of Adjusted R2, Durbin-Watson analysis, and F-statistics. The results of the analysis showed that the variables that have a significant effect on population movement from Busan to the Seoul metropolitan area were as follows: 'single-person households', 'the elderly population', 'the total birth rate', 'the number of companies', 'the number of employees', 'the housing sales price index', 'cultural facilities', and 'the number of students per teacher'. More positive (+) influences of the population out-movement were observed in areas with higher numbers of single-person households, lowers proportions of the elderly, lower numbers of businesses, higher numbers of employees, higher numbers of housing sales, lower numbers of cultural facilities, and lower numbers of students. The findings suggest that policies should enhance the environments such as quality jobs, culture, and welfare that can retain young people within Busan. Improvements in the quality of life and job creation are critical factors that can mitigate the outflows of the Busan residents to the Seoul metropolitan area.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
• /
• v.22 no.1
• /
• pp.120-134
• /
• 2016

This study aims to investigate the hierarchical stepwise migration and its influences on regions (metropolitan areas, cities and counties of Korea administrative district) through analyzing the city rank-size and the changes of natural increase of population. The result shows that the inter-regional migration has been associated to the decrease of the population and the decline of NIR in the regions where outflows have been persisted. Also, theses demographic events have sequentially occurred through the hierarchy of settlement system: gradually from rural (gun) and lower ranked regions in the system of city rank-size, to urban (si) and regions in the high ranks in the system. Based on the result of this study, it is possible to understand and expect the major origins of inter-regional migration, the presence of the hierarchical stepwise migration and most significantly, the spatial expansion of depopulation problems.

• Korea journal of population studies
• /
• v.32 no.2
• /
• pp.29-58
• /
• 2009

식민지 시기 조선의 인구동태는 한반도 안과 밖에서 역동적으로 진행되었다. 한편으로 자연성장률이 크게 성장하였고, 국내외 이동도 활발하게 이루어졌다. 이 연구는 식민지 시기 동안 정확히 얼마만큼의 조선인의 인구성장이 이루어졌고, 그 동태의 특성은 무엇인가를 밝히고 있다. 식민지 조선 인구 동태의 중요한 특성은 무엇보다 조선 안에서의 완만하거나 정체된 인구성장과 대비하여 만주와 일본에서의 조선인의 급속한 증가로 요약할 수 있다. 식민지 시기 조선내 인구의 자연성장율은 1910년-1915년 사이 10.57%o에서, 1935-1940년에는 20.4%o, 1940-1944년에는 24.4%o로 증가하였다. 그런데 식민지 시기 자연성장율이 실질적으로 크게 증가했음에도 불구하고 조선 내 인구성장이 1930년대 중반부터 떨어지고 이후 정체되었다. 이는 많은 인구가 만주와 일본에 이출한 때문이다. 식민지 기간 동안 조선의 인구는 1,260만 여명이 증가하였는데 그 중 약 69%인 870 만여 명이 한반도 안에 있고 31%가 만주와 일본으로 유출되었다. 집단적인 디아스포라의 경험은 해방 이후의 정치 역학과 사회 구성에 중요한 영향을 미쳤다. 또한 귀환하지 않은 해외 조선인들의 국적과 민족 정체성을 둘러싼 긴장은 지금도 해결되지 않고 있다.

• Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
• /
• v.44 no.2
• /
• pp.155-175
• /
• 2014

This study targets to recognize needs of spatial pattern analysis and to draw the relationship between relocation of Capital Region firms and population outflow in Capital Region through the regression analysis. The population outflow in Capital Region has moved to and around Yesan-gun and Asan-si. Also, such outflow is found to compose mostly one or two household members for their jobs. In addition to this study has analyzed to find effect factors through the Geographically Weighted Regression. The results of the analysis has confirmed that the most decisive factors affecting population flow from Capital Region to Chungcheongnam-do were population factors and transportation factors and others. Thus, the below policy implications could be derived and also may be applied toward Sejong City which are currently experiencing the relocating of Public sectors and new constructions. Firstly, the effect of Capital Region firms movement on population inflows could be better observed in small-scale towns like "kun" than larger-scale towns like "si.". On the other hand, people in Capital Region moved to larger-scale towns like "si" unlike the Capital Region firms. This difference implicates that people select their residence according to not only their jobs but also residential environment. Secondly, moving people from Capital Region to another region for their jobs are expected to appear more in a form of family units rather than individual units. Sejong city, where public organizations are being relocated, should recognize this particular Chungcheonnam-do phenomenon and be prepared to be more effectively used in perspectives of land use as well as urban planning.

• Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
• /
• v.20 no.4
• /
• pp.221-232
• /
• 2014

초고령화된 한국 농촌에서 다양한 교육 및 직업 배경을 가진 중장년층 귀농인구의 유입은 고령화 문제에 대한 대안의 하나로 부각되고 있다. 본 연구는 농가 고령화에 대한 귀농인구의 잠재적인 기여도 측면에서 귀농인구의 지역별 유입 유출 패턴을 분석하였다. 분석에는 로그선형모형과 총합레퍼런스코딩을 사용하였고, 분석자료는 통계청의 2013년 귀농 통계이다. 분석결과에 의하면, 귀농인의 절반 정도가 수도권에서 비수도권 지역으로 이주한 인구이고, 이들을 제외하면 귀농인의 대부분은 원 거주지가 있던 도 내에서 이동하고 있다. 귀농인의 귀농 전 대비 귀농 후 지역 내 오즈비(odds ratio)는 지역별로 차이가 있으며, 귀농인의 성별과 연령에 따라서도 지역별 유입 유출패턴이 다르다. 이는 귀농인 유입의 긍정적 효과를 높이기 위해서는 지자체별 차이를 반영한 특화된 정책이 필요하다는 것을 의미한다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Community Living Science Conference
• /
• 2004.05a
• /
• pp.217-227
• /
• 2004

농업 농촌은 인구유출로 인한 과소화, 농산물 국제 개방 등으로 어려움을 겪고 있다. WTO 뉴라운드 농업협상 등 국제 농산물 시장 개방이 가속화되면서 수입농산물이 증가하여 결국 국내 농업기반이 붕괴되고 있다. 농업기반이 무너지면서 농가 인구는 감소하여 농촌은 노령화로 생산 활동이 위축되고 있다. 또한 난개발로 농촌경관이 훼손되고 있으며 도시지역에 비해 생활여건과 복지 인프라도 취약한 실정이다.(중략)

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Community Living Science Conference
• /
• 2004.05a
• /
• pp.43-60
• /
• 2004

농업 농촌은 인구유출로 인한 과소화, 농산물가격 불안정, 농산물 국제 개방 등으로 어려움을 겪고 있다. WTO 뉴라운드 농업협상 등 국제 농산물 시장 개방이 가속화되면서 수입농산물이 증가하여 결국 국내 농업기반이 붕괴되고 있다. 농업기반이 무너지면서 농가 인구는 감소하여 농촌은 노령화로 생산 활동이 위축되고 있다. 또한 난개발로 농촌경관이 훼손되고 있으며 도시지역에 비해 생활여건과 복지 인프라도 취약한 실정이다. (중략)

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
• /
• 2021.11a
• /
• pp.142-144
• /
• 2021

고령화로 인해 어촌마을은 소멸위기에 직면해 있으며, 어업인구의 감소로 인한 소득감소, 기반시설 부재와 일자리 부족으로 인한 인구유출 등은 위기를 가속화 시키고 있다. 어촌마을이 자생력을 확보하기 위해 지역자원을 활용한 활성화 계획이 수반되어야 하며, 특히 오늘날 급증하고 있는 국민여가시장과 연계가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 지속성에 대한 위기의식을 갖고 있는 어촌마을을 활성화 할 수있는 마스터플랜을 제안함으로써 지속가능한 어촌마을의 가능성을 제안하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
• /
• v.4 no.1
• /
• pp.71-84
• /
• 2001

A study was initiated to investigate whether the groundwaters being discharged into the sea could be used as a possible water resources. This paper presents a preliminary information about the groundwaters being discharged along the shoreline of East Sea. Major discharge sites were selected primarily on the basis of the informaion on surface temperatures of the sea. Hydrogeologic and geographic conditions were also considered in selecting the major discharge sites. The development possibility of the discharging groundwater were estimated roughly, considering populations, industries and social development compatibilities of the selected areas. Groundwater dams and linked usage with surface water were suggested as possible development methods for the groundwaters.. Based on this study, we selected about 60 sites as the major discharge areas and tentatively recommended 6 sites as optimal sites for development of groundwaters being discharged into the sea. However, detailed in-situ hydrogeologic surveys are required prior to the final decision.