• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이분법 예측방법

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Mountainous Flash Flood Monitoring and Improvement for the Prediction & Early Warning System (산지 돌발홍수 모니터링 및 예경보체계 개선)

  • Chung, Jae-Hak;Lee, Jong-Seol;Park, Sang-Hyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.365-370
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    • 2011
  • 매년 반복되는 산간계곡에서의 인명피해를 저감하기 위하여 방재연구소에서는 "산지 돌발홍수 예측시스템"을 개발하였으며, '10년 우기철동안 시범지역의 모니터링을 통해 시스템의 문제점을 분석하고, 이를 개선하기 위한 방안을 검토하였다. 산지지역 강우에 대한 모니터링은 현재 지방자치단체에서 운영하고 있는 자동우량경보시설을 활용하였으며, 해당 시설중 특히 수위계가 설치된 지역에 대하여 검토하였다. 수위자료 모니터링 결과를 바탕으로 정확도를 검토한 결과, 5개 시범지역의 경우 약 56%의 정확도가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 산정되었다. 그러나 시스템을 수정 보완한 후에는 정확도가 66%로 증가하였다. 향후 지속적인 모니터링과 문제점 분석을 통해 정확도를 지속적으로 향상시킬 계획이다.

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The Comparative Study for ENHPP Software Reliability Growth Model based on Modified Coverage Function (변형 커버리지 함수를 고려한 ENHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Kim, Pyong-Koo
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2007
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant. monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times. and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quality of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called Enhanced non-homogeneous Poission process(ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-type model was reviewed, proposes modified(the superosition and mixture) model, which make out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method. model selection based on SSE statistics for the sake of efficient model, was employed.

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The Study for ENHPP Software Reliability Growth Model based on Superposition Coverage Function (중첩커버리지 함수를 고려한 ENHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2007
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called Enhanced non-homogeneous poission process (ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-shaped model was reviewed, proposes the superposition model, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics for the sake of efficient model, was employed.

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The Study for NHPP Software Reliability Growth Model of Percentile Change-point (백분위수 변화점을 고려한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2008
  • Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process: Change-point problem. In this paper, exponential (Goel-Okumoto) model was reviewed, proposes the percentile change-point problem, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Using NTDS data, The numerical example of percentilechange-point problemi s presented.

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The Study for ENHPP Software Reliability Growth Model based on Burr Coverage Function (Burr 커버리지 함수에 기초한 ENHPP소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2007
  • Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called Enhanced non-homogeneous poission process(ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-shaped model was reviewed, proposes the Kappa coverage model, which maked out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics and Kolmogorov distance, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. From the analysis of mission time, the result of this comparative study shows the excellent performance of Burr coverage model rather than exponential coverage and S-shaped model using NTDS data. This analysis of failure data compared with the Kappa coverage model and the existing model(using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, bias tests) is presented.

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The Study for ENHPP Software Reliability Growth Model Based on Kappa(2) Coverage Function (Kappa(2) 커버리지 함수를 이용한 ENHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.2311-2318
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    • 2007
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require Release times of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called Enhanced non-homogeneous Poission process(ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-shaped model was reviewed, proposes the Kappa coverage model, which make out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics and Kolmogorov distance, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Numerical examples using real data set for the sake of proposing Kappa coverage model was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the Kappaa coverage model and the existing model(using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, bias tests) is presented.