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Rainfall Frequency Analysis Considering Change of Trend Slope in Observed Rainfall Intensity (관측강우강도의 경향성 기울기 변화를 고려한 강우빈도 해석)

  • Jang, Sun-Woo;Seo, Lynn;Choi, Min-Ha;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.26-30
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    • 2011
  • 최근 기후변화에 따라 강우의 패턴이 변화하고 있다. 강우일수는 줄어드는 반면, 강우강도는 증가하여, 홍수로 인한 많은 피해에 직면하고 있다. 이러한 기상이변은 홍수방어시스템을 위한 수공구조물에도 많은 영향을 미친다. 수공구조물을 설계할 때, 일반적으로 강우 기록들의 통계적 특성이 정상성을 가진다고 가정한다. 하지만 최근의 강우 자료를 분석하면, 시간에 따라 평균, 분산, 왜곡도와 같은 기본 통계량이 변화하는 것을 알 수 있다. 따라서, 수공구조물의 설계를 위한 확률 강우량은 이러한 기후변화에 따른 자료의 특성을 반영할 필요가 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 강우 자료의 비정상성의 특성을 이용하여 확률강우량을 산정하는 것이다. 최근 비정상성 강우빈도해석에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있는데, 이들 연구는 대부분 목표연도까지 경향성의 기울기가 증가, 또는 일정하다고 가정한다. 하지만, 현재는 경향성이 있지만, 목표연도에는 경향성이 없을 경우도 있고, 또는 경향성이 있어도 그 기울기가 적어지는 경향을 보일 수도 있다. 본 연구에서는 현시점과 목표연도의 시점에 대한 경향성 기울기의 변화를 고려하여 비정상성 강우빈도해석을 수행하였다. 대상지점 선정은 통계적 경향성 검정, Mann-Kendall test를 이용하여 1994년(현재시점)에 경향성이 있다고 판단되는 관측지점을 대상지점으로 선정하였다. 분석 방법은 24시간 임계지속시간의 연최대강우자료를 구축하였다. 자료를 현시점까지 선형회귀식을 이용하여 잔차 계열을 산정하고, Gumbel 분포를 이용하여 확률 잔차를 산정하였다. 확률강우량을 추정하기 위해 추세요소를 산정하였다. 기울기의 증가 혹은 감소 경향을 회귀모형을 이용하여 추세요소를 산정하였고, 잔차의 확률빈도와 추세요소의 합으로 비정상상 확률강우량을 산정하였다.

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Estimation of Actual Evapotranspiration over Paddy Rice Field (수도 포장의 실증발산량 추정에 관한 연구)

  • 이변우;김병찬
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.518-524
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    • 1990
  • Actual evapotranspiration was measured over rice paddy field by Bowen ratio heat balance method and based on this, investigated was the reliability of actual evapotranpiration estimation from Class-A Pan and small pan evaporation and reference evapotranspiration calculated by modified Penman-Monteith model. Crop coefficients based on Class-A Pan and small pan evaporation and reference evapotranspiration by modified Penman-Monteith model were averaged to be 1.57. 1.10 and 1.49 over the whole rice growing season, respectively. Their respective coefficients of variation were 28.7. 22.7 and 12.8 percent, respectively. Crop coefficient based on modified Penman-Monteith model varied in good agreement with the trend of leaf area development, being greatest around heading stage.

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Analysis of Relationship between Housing Tenure and Birth in Newlywed Couples by Using Panel Data (패널자료를 이용한 신혼가구의 주택점유형태와 출산 관계 연구)

  • Shin, Hyungsub
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.39-55
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we investigate the interrelationship between housing tenure and childbirth by exploiting the correlation probability effect method that accounts for household heterogeneity. Using the newlywed household panel from 2011 to 2022, we find that home ownership has a positive impact on childbirth in newlyweds. Specifically, newlywed households with housing tenure show a 6.2%p higher birth rate and a 5.7%p higher second childbirth than newlywed households living in rented houses. For the case of first childbirth, we employ the probability effect probit model since the endogeneity was not detected between housing tenure and birth rate. We document the differential effects of housing tenure on childbirth in that the first childbirth rate is higher for households without housing tenures. The negative effects on first childbirth could be attributed to the economic burden due to initial housing ownership, while housing tenure could eventually provide housing stability, leading to positive effects on more than one childbirth. Finally, we identify that households with childbirth over the last year show a 4.2%p and 3.9%p lower probabilities of housing tenure in the total sample and second childbirth sample, respectively. This suggests that the increased living cost due to childbirth could delay home ownership.

Development of Regional Regression Model for Estimating Flow Duration Curves in Ungauged Basins (미계측 유역의 유황곡선 산정을 위한 지역회귀모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Tae Hee;Lee, Min Ho;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.427-437
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to develop the regional regression models based on the physiographical and climatological characteristics for estimating flow duration curve (FDC) in ungauged bsisns. To this end, the lower sections with duration from 185 to 355 days of FDCs were constructed from the 16 gauged streamflow data, which were fitted to the two-parameter logarithmic type regression equation. Then, the parameters of the equation were regionalized using the basin characteristics such as basin area, basin slope, drainage density, mean annual precipitation, mean annual streamflow, runoff curve number in order that the proposed regression model can be used for ungauged basin. From the comparison of the estimated by the regional regression model with the observed ones, the model with the combination of basin area, runoff curve number, mean annual precipitation showed the best performance.

Methodology for determination of rainwater storage capcity (우수저류조 용량 결정 방법)

  • Maeng, Seung Jin;Hwang, Ju Ha;Kim, Da Ye
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.423-423
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    • 2018
  • 전세계적으로 집중호우, 홍수, 가뭄 등 기상이변이 빈번히 발생하고 있으며, 홍수기와 갈수기가 뚜렷해지고, 이에 따라 수자원 확보에 애로사항이 발생하고 있다. 이를 해결하기 위하여 정부는 "물의 재이용촉진 및 지원에 관한 법률"을 재정하여 효율적인 빗물 관리에 주력을 하고 있으나, 체계적인 빗물관리는 미흡한 실정이다. 즉 수자원을 효율적으로 보관하고 관리할 시스템 구축이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 재배 작물에 대한 농업용수 확보를 위한 빗물저류조를 시공 및 모니터링을 하기 위하여 먼저 보은군 회인면 오동리의 기상 및 수문특성 조사를 실시하였고, 확률강우량을 산정하기 위해 보은기상관측소의 지속기간별 강우 자료를 수집하여 확률분포를 선정하고 매개변수를 산정하였다. 이에 따른 적합도 검정 결과 최적 확률분포형을 산정하였다. 분석한 결과를 통해 대상지역의 집수되는 면적에 내리는 유출량을 산정하였으며, 집수되는 유형은 지붕으로서 그에 대한 면적은 $120.0m^2$로 측정되었고, 지붕에 대한 유출계수로서 0.9의 값을 적용하였다. 지붕에서 집수되는 유출량의 값을 산정하였으며, 6월의 50년 빈도에서 부족한 9.4톤은 집수된 유출량으로 보충할 수 있는 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 50년 빈도의 10톤을 저류할 빗물은 저류조에서 30%의 여유율을 두어 13톤으로 저류조를 설계하는 것이 적정할 것으로 판단된다. 현재 빗물자원의 대부분은 바다로 유입되어 소모되거나, 하수로 유입되어 불필요한 고도처리공정이 진행되고, 하수처리장 용량에 과부하를 발생시키는 등 막대한 예산이 투입되고 있다. 갈수기시 농가에서 용수를 확보하기 위한 용수 운반장치 등 기반구축과 인력 부족으로 정상적인 용수공급의 어려움을 해결하기 위해서는 빗물자원을 용수로서 효율적으로 활용하기 위한 시스템의 구축이 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

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Basin-scale PMF Estimation Method by considering Spatio-temporal Characteristics (시·공간성을 고려한 유역기반의 PMF 산정)

  • Kim, Youngkyu;Kim, Yeonsu;Yu, Wansik;Oh, Sungryul;Jung, Kwansue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.139-139
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    • 2016
  • 가능최대홍수량(Probable Maximum Flood, PMF)이란 대규모 수공구조물을 설계하고자 할 때 막대한 경제적 손실 및 인명피해 등을 막기 위해 기준으로 삼는 설계홍수량이며, 통계학적으로는 약 10,000년 빈도에 해당된다. 우리나라의 호우 특성은 방위, 진행방향 및 위에 따른 해석이 매우 복잡하여 강우를 정형화하기 어렵다. Kim and Won(2004)은 이동성 호우의 경우 강우의 깊이-면적-지속기간(Rainfall Depth-Area-Duration)의 분석결과에서 상당한 오차를 야기하는 문제점을 지닌다고 주장하였다. 따라서 오차를 포함한 DAD의 산정결과는 가능최대강수량(Probable Maximum Precipitation, PMP) 및 가능최대홍수량 산정에도 영향을 미치기 때문에 정확도 높은 DAD 분석을 통한 PMF 산정이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 유역을 선정하고 각 지점의 시계열 강우 자료를 활용하여 공간분포화한 강우자료에 격자기반의 자동 강우장 탐색기법을 이용하여 DAD 분석을 실시하였다. 기존의 PMP 산정방법에서는 한반도 전역에서 발생했던 130 mm이상의 호우사상을 선정한 후에 각 호우의 범위에 있는 우량관측소의 강우자료를 이용하여 PMP를 산정한다. 그렇기 때문에 만약 상대적으로 긴 지속기간의 경우 호우의 범위가 우리나라 전역을 포함할 가능성이 크기 때문에 PMP 산정방법은 복잡하고, 기상이변이 잦지 않는 지역에서 산정된 PMP를 이용하여 PMF를 산정할 경우, 유역의 특성을 반영하지 않았기 때문에 과대산정의 우려가 있다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 먼저 연구대상유역을 선정한 뒤, 유역 내에 발생했던 호우경보와 호우주의보를 기준으로 호우사상을 선정하여 DAD 분석 후 PMP를 산정하였다. 그 후, 강우-유출관계를 파악하여 PMF를 산정하였다.

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The Relationship between the Change in Perceived Economic Instability and the Change in Drinking Frequency during the Early Stage of COVID-19 Pandemic (코로나19 유행 초기 경제적 불안감 변화와 음주 빈도 변화의 관련성)

  • Kang, Eunjeong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.530-540
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    • 2022
  • The aim of this study was to analyze the impacts of perceived economic instability on drinking frequency in the mist of exercising the strong social distancing in the early phase of COVID19 pandemic. The data were collected from 1,117 adults aged between 19 and 70 across the nation from May 13 to May 19 in 2020 by Embrain, an on-line research company. We used only 820(73.4%) out of 1,117 who answered that they had a drinking in 2020. Bi-variate analysis and multivariate multinomial logistic regression were performed using STATA16. Multinomial logistic regression results showed that the increase of employment instability was related to the increase of drinking frequency, whereas the increase of income instability was related to the decrease of drinking frequency. In sum, the impact of perceived economic instability during the early phase of pandemic may be presented as an increase or decrease of drinking frequency depending on the effect of employment instability and income instability.

Prevalence Rates of and Related Factors to Constipation in Elementary School Students (초등학생의 변비 발생률과 관련요인)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Jung, Eun-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.7
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    • pp.597-606
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    • 2016
  • This is descriptive research to understand the constipation rate of elementary school students due to their differences in cognition of their eating habits, hours of exercise/physical activity, stress, and school restroom environment in accordance with the matter of constipation, as well as the factors related to the constipation rate. A total of 741 students (grade3-6) from six elementary schools in Jeollanam-do were targeted; the survey was conducted from April 30th to May 12th, 2014. The frequency, percentage, ${\chi}^2$ test, independent t-test, and bivariate logistic regression analysis were conducted. The constipation rate was 23.9%, and there were factors related to the constipation rate, such as restroom preference, matter of defecation during breaks, number of meals per day, number of breakfasts skipped, size of the meal, hours of institute class, hours of internet use, stress, and cognition of school restroom environment. In particular, students with 'high' stress had a 5.44 times higher rate of constipation than students with 'low' stress. As subjective symptoms are limited in diagnosing constipation, a detailed medical examination and physical checkup should be included in the process of understanding the constipation rate, as well as in education and management to prevent elementary school students from having constipation.

Verification of the mediating effect of self-control in the influence of grit on college students' self-efficacy (대학생의 자기효능감에 대한 그릿의 영향에서 자기통제의 매개효과 검증)

  • Eun Cheol Lee;Youngshin Pyun
    • Journal of Christian Education in Korea
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    • v.78
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    • pp.213-229
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    • 2024
  • Purpose of Study : The purpose of this study is to verify whether self-control has a mediating effect on the influence of grit on college students' self-efficacy, which has a significant impact on academic achievement. Research content and methods : In order to verify the influence of grit and self-control on college students' self-efficacy, this study first selected measurement tools for self-efficacy, grit, and self-control and created an online questionnaire. Next, a survey was conducted on 128 students at University A in Chungcheongnam-do. Descriptive statistical analysis and bivariate correlation analysis were performed on the collected data to verify the normality of the data and multicollinearity between factors. In addition, multiple regression analysis was used to verify the influence of grit and self-control on self-efficacy. Next, the effect of grit on self-efficacy was analyzed using structural equation modeling to verify whether self-control mediates it. As a result of the analysis, overall self-efficacy was influenced by the reliability of self-control and academic passion of grit. Self-confidence, a sub-factor of self-efficacy, was influenced by reliability of self-control and academic passion of grit. Self-regulation efficacy was influenced by the reliability of self-control and academic persistence of grit. Preference for task difficulty was influenced by grit, maintenance of academic interest, and self-control. Next, self-control was found to mediate the effect of grit on self-efficacy. Conclusion and Recommendations : This study explored the effects of grit and self-control on college students' self-efficacy. As a result, grit and self-control had a positive effect on self-efficacy. Additionally, self-control was found to mediate the effect of grit on self-efficacy. This study proposes to support grit and self-control in order to support successful academic achievement of college students.

A study on the Green ICT product service quality assurance in foreign country (선진국의 그린 ICT 제품 서비스 품질 보증에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seong-Kweon;Lee, Kyung-Ryang;Chung, Sam-Young;Kim, Jai-Hyun;Cha, Jae-Sang
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.227-231
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the global warming phenomenon has been taken notice of. The global warming phenomenon has given enormous bad impact to social economic fields as well as ecological areas by rising sea levels and weather calamities. To cope with the phenomenon most developed countries adopted the Kyoto Protocol to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. To achieve the target of the Kyoto Protocol, the developed countries are operating organization-run green quality assurance and labelling systems with their standardized methods to evaluate the environmental and greenhouse gas impact for ICT products and services. This paper introduces several countries standards which can be applied to evaluate the reduction effect of greenhouse gas emission and green ICT quality assurance which also can be applicable for recycling and managing of ICT products. This paper is expected to be used as a policy data for ICT related government bodies and industry areas.

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