• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이동 시나리오

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Analysis of Long-Term Riverbed-Level and Flood Stage Variation due to Water Gate Operation of Multi-functional Weirs at Geum River (다기능보의 수문운영에 따른 금강의 장기하상변동 및 홍수위변화 분석)

  • Jeong, Anchul;Jung, Kwansue
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.379-391
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    • 2015
  • Multi-functional weirs has been installed in four rivers are hydraulic structures across the river. The structures were divided into movable and fixed weirs. Hence, riverbed-level variation and sediment transport can be varied due to water gate operation. In this study, the long-term riverbed-level variation of Geum river basin due to water gate operation of multi-functional weirs was studied. Result of this study shows that the variation of thalweg elevation was greater than the variation of annual average riverbed elevation due to multi-functional weirs construction and water gate operation. Maximum riverbed degradation of thalweg elevation that occurred was 2.79m and riverbed aggradation was 1.90m. Maximum riverbed degradation of the annual average riverbed elevation that occurred was 2.16m and riverbed aggradation was 1.24m. Analysis result of flood stage by the variation of riverbed-level shows that flood stages were increased in majorities area. The maximum increase in the value of flood stage was 2.23m. For this reason, flood stages can be greater than the freeboard of the levees. Therefore, we should consider the water gate operation of multi-functional weirs when planning and managing sediment in the river. We are expecting to use the result of this study in river planning for river management and selecting the river regime.

A Sensitivity Study on Nuclide Release from the Near-field of the Pyroprocessed Waste Repository System: Part 1. A Probabilistic Approach (파이로처리 폐기물 처분 시스템 근계 영역 내 핵종 유출 민감도: 제 1 부 확률론적 접근)

  • Lee, Youn-Myoung;Jeong, Jongtae
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2014
  • A parametric sensitivity to the annual exposure dose rate to the farming exposure group has been probabilistically carried out for three principal elements associated with the nuclide transport behavior in the near-field of the pyroprocessed waste repository system. Credit time for both metal and ceramic containers, annual nuclide release rete, and the degree of loss of bentonite buffer around the container are selected as the elements and investigated for important nuclides. All the elements are shown to be sensitive to the results. Methodology studied through this study and the results are expected to make a good feedback to the repository design. As a follow-up study, separated in Part 2, the A-KRS will be deterministically assessed and then compared among each other with the normal, the worst, and the best case scenarios associated with their extreme values these elements could have.

Simulating Bacterial Dispersion from Coastal Sewage Outfalls Using the QUICKEST Scheme (QUICKEST법을 사용한 연안해역에서 박테리아 확산의 수치모의)

  • Kang Yun Ho;Lee Moon Ock
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.20-30
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    • 1999
  • To improve water quality particularly for sea bathers along the Fylde coastal zone near Blackpool, North West England, waste water from a sewage outfall is studied using a mathematical model. The explicit second order accurate central scheme and the third order accurate QUICKEST scheme are used to represent the diffusion terms and the advection terms of the advective-diffusion equation, respectively. Hydrodynamic model is run for a coarse and fine grid, of 1km and 200m, respectively, obtaining good agreement with measured data. Water quality model is then used to predict faecal coliform levels in the region for four different scenarios, including discharges from: - (i) Fleetwood outfall, (ii)River Ribble for summer condition, (iii)River Ribble for winter condition, and (iv)combined sewer overflows for the Blackpool and Fleetwood communities. Main findings from the simulations are:- (i) Fleetwood outfall has a negligible impact on the beaches with respect to pathogen levels; (ii) Discharge from River Ribble for both summer and winter conditions is predicted in the range of coliform levels 10 -500 counts/100ml along the beach at Lytham St. Annes; and (iii) The CSO effluent discharges are predicted not to advect out into offshore by stronger tidal currents.

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Development of Stochastic Downscaling Method for Rainfall Data Using GCM (GCM Ensemble을 활용한 추계학적 강우자료 상세화 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Yoon, Sun-Kwon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.9
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    • pp.825-838
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    • 2014
  • The stationary Markov chain model has been widely used as a daily rainfall simulation model. A main assumption of the stationary Markov model is that statistical characteristics do not change over time and do not have any trends. In other words, the stationary Markov chain model for daily rainfall simulation essentially can not incorporate any changes in mean or variance into the model. Here we develop a Non-stationary hidden Markov chain model (NHMM) based stochastic downscaling scheme for simulating the daily rainfall sequences, using general circulation models (GCMs) as inputs. It has been acknowledged that GCMs perform well with respect to annual and seasonal variation at large spatial scale and they stand as one of the primary sources for obtaining forecasts. The proposed model is applied to daily rainfall series at three stations in Nakdong watershed. The model showed a better performance in reproducing most of the statistics associated with daily and seasonal rainfall. In particular, the proposed model provided a significant improvement in reproducing the extremes. It was confirmed that the proposed model could be used as a downscaling model for the purpose of generating plausible daily rainfall scenarios if elaborate GCM forecasts can used as a predictor. Also, the proposed NHMM model can be applied to climate change studies if GCM based climate change scenarios are used as inputs.

Development of flood inundation area GIS database for Samsung-1 drainage sector, Seoul, Korea (서울 삼성 1분구에 대한 침수면적 GIS 데이터베이스 구축)

  • Oh, Minkwan;Lee, Dongryul;Kwon, Hyunhan;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.12
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    • pp.981-993
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    • 2016
  • This study explains the GIS database of flood inundation area developed for Samsung-1 Drainage Sector, Seoul, Korea. The XP-SWMM dual drainage model was developed for the study area, and the time series observed at the watershed outlet was used to obtain the watershed time of concentration and to calibrate the XP-SWMM model. The rainfall scenario was developed by dividing the 40 minute watershed time of concentration into two 20-minute time steps and then applying the gradually increasing 5 mm/hr interval rainfall intensity to each of the time step up to 200 mm/hr, which is the probable maximum precipitation of the study area. The developed rainfall scenarios was used as the input of the XP-SWMM model to obtain the database of the flood inundation area. The analysis on the developed GIS database revealed that: (1) For the same increment of the rainfall, the increase of the flooded area can be different, and this was caused by topographic characteristics and spatial formation of pipe network of the study area; (2) For the same flooded area, the spatial extent can be significantly different depending on the temporal distribution of rainfall; and (3) For the same amount of the design rainfall, the flood inundation area and the extent can be significantly different depending on the temporal distribution of rainfall.

Development of treatment facilities for improving water cycle in the water cycle analysis model for the urban catchment (도시유역 물순환 해석 모형의 물순환 개선시설 모듈 개발)

  • Jang, Cheol-Hee;Kim, Hyeon-Jun;Noh, Seong-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1360-1364
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    • 2010
  • 도시유역 물순환 해석 모형(Catchment hydrologic cycle Analysis Tool, CAT)은 기존의 개념적 매개변수 기반의 집중형 수문모형과 물리적 매개변수 기반의 분포형 수문모형의 장점을 최대한 집약하여, 도시유역 개발 전/후의 장/단기적 물순환 변화특성을 정량적으로 평가하고 물순환 개선시설의 효과적인 설계를 지원하기 위한 물순환 해석 모형이다. 이 모형은 수문학적으로 균일하게 판단되는 범위를 소유역으로 분할하여 지형학적 요인에 의한 유출 특성을 객관적으로 반영할 수 있으며, 개발 공간 단위별로 침투, 증발, 지하수 흐름 등의 모의가 가능하도록 하는 링크-노드 방식으로 개발되었다. 모형의 UI(User Interface)는 사용자가 손쉽게 모형을 적용/관리하고, 여러 시나리오를 동시에 효과적으로 모의하여 분석할 수 있도록 설계되었다. 또한, 모든 입/출력 자료를 엑셀이나 텍스트 형식과 연동되도록 하여 프로젝트별 매개변수 관리가 용이하도록 개발하였다. 특히 본 모형에서는 사용자의 목적에 맞는 다양한 물순환 개선시설(침투시설, 저류지, 습지, 빗물저장시설, 리사이클 및 외부급수 등)의 구현 및 모의가 가능하도록 개발하였다. 여기서, 물순환 개선시설이란 빗물을 흡수하고 저류할 수 있는 도시녹지시설 혹은 구조물로서 도심 내의 불투수면을 저감시키고 유출수를 줄이면서 동시에 녹지를 확보하여 효과적인 물순환 기능에 영향을 미치는 시설들이다. 이러한 물순환 개선시설은 신도시 및 지역 혁신도시 개발 등의 대규모 토지이용변화가 예상되는 개발지역에 대한 평가 및 개선 기술을 제공하여 물순환 건전화를 위한 설계에 직접적으로 활용될 수 있는 큰 장점을 지니고 있다. 먼저 침투 시설은 계획침투량을 반영하며 토양으로의 침투량과 지하수로의 이동을 모의한다. 저류시설은 하도 내에 위치한 online 저류지와 하도 외에 위치한 offline 저류지로 구분하고 저류지 수면의 증발량과 취수량을 고려하며, 방류구를 통한 방류량을 반영하였다. offline 저류지의 경우는 하도 내의 흐름의 규모에 따라서 일정량을 넘는 경우만 offline 저류지로 유입될 수 있는 양을 산정하도록 하였으며 하류 하천으로의 방류를 반영하여 홍수 후에 저류지가 비워지도록 하였다. 유역 내의 습지는 식생과 수면에서의 증발산을 반영하였다. 습지의 저류능력을 넘는 양은 월류되어 하류로 유출되며, 방류구를 통한 방류량을 반영하였다. 빗물저장시설의 경우는 초기우수와 같은 일정량 이하의 유입량과 시설용량을 초과하는 양은 방류하도록 하였고, 물 사용량을 반영하였다. 또한, 본 모형에서는 하천 내에서 취수하여 유역으로 공급할 수 있도록 리사이클 처리노드를 계획하였다. 리사이클은 용수 이용 목적에 따라 필요지역으로 공급되는 것으로 하였으며, 하천유지용수의 목적으로 취수되어 상류 혹은 하류의 임의 지역으로 공급되는 것을 포함하였다. 또한, 유역외부에 광역으로 급수되는 공급량도 반영하도록 하였다.

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A Business Model for Application of the Modular Building in the Rental Market (건축 임대시장에서 모듈러 건축의 적용성 연구 - 수익성 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Yoon, Jongsik;Shin, Dongwoo;Cha, Heesung;Kim, Kyungrai
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2015
  • The current real estate market is in a state that is considerably shrink due to the recession and long-term reduction of trading. In response, the government recently announced an innovative way for the middle-class residential housing and it is taking the lead to activate the real estate market. Meanwhile, the domestic housing market is entering a transition period, including structural changes of household structure, changes from joeonse to rent increasingly. Also single-member households will rise steeply, so that makes the high demand of small houses. In addition, the domestic construction industry is interested in new technology called Modular building. The Modular construction is an off-site construction system that shorten construction period, eco-friendly building technology and mobility etc, which can be used in various field. Overall, there are two major issues of the current market, one is the change of the real estate market, and the other is the modular construction. This study will propose modular business model in the rental market through the analysis the profitability of the modular business scenarios and IRR analysis.

The change of East Asian Monsoon to $CO_2$ increase

  • Kripalani, R.H.;Oh, J.H.;Chaudhari, H.S.
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.20 no.1 s.26
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    • pp.9-27
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    • 2006
  • The East Asian (China, Korea and Japan) summer monsoon precipitation and its variability are examined from the outputs of the 22 coupled climate models performing coordinated experiments leading to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4) following the multi-model ensemble (MME) technique. Results are based on averages of all the available models. The shape of the annual cycle with maximum during the summer monsoon period is simulated by the coupled climate models. However, models fail to simulate the minimum peak in July which is associated with northward shifts of the Meiyu-Changma-Baiu precipitation band. The MME precipitation pattern is able to capture the spatial distribution of rainfall associated with the location of the north Pacific subtropical high and the Meiyu-Changma-Baiu frontal zone. However precipitation over the east coast of China, Korea-Japan peninsular and the adjoining oceanic regions is underestimated. Future projections to the radiative forcing of doubled $CO_2$ scenario are examined. The MME reveals an increase in precipitation varying from 5 to 10 %, with an average of 7.8 % over the East Asian region at the time of $CO_2$ doubling. However the increases are statistically significant only over the Korea-Japan peninsula and the adjoining north China region. The increase in precipitation may be attributed to the projected intensification of the subtropical high, and thus the associated influx of moist air from the Pacific to inland. The projected changes in the amount of precipitation are directly proportional to the changes in the strength of the subtropical high. Further a possible increase in the length of the summer monsoon precipitation period from late spring through early autumn is suggested.

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Study on Location Decisions for Cloud Transportation System Rental Station (이동수요 대응형 클라우드 교통시스템 공유차량 대여소 입지선정)

  • Shin, Min-Seong;Bae, Sang-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.29-42
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    • 2012
  • Recently, traffic congestion has become serious due to increase of private car usages. Carsharing or other innovative public transportation systems were developed to alleviate traffic congestion and carbon emissions. These measures can make the traffic environment more comfortable, and efficient. Cloud Transportation System (CTS) is a recent carsharing model. User can rent an electronic vehicles with various traffic information through the CTS. In this study, a concept, vision and scenarios of CTS are introduced. And, authors analyzed the location of CTS rental stations and estimated CTS demands. Firstly, we analyze the number of the population, employees, students and traffic volume in study areas. Secondly, the frequency and utilization time are examined. Demand for CTS in each traffic zone was estimated. Lastly, the CTS rental station location is determined based on the analyzed data of the study areas. Evaluation standard of the determined location includes accessibility and density of population. And, the number of vehicles and that of parking zone at the rental station are estimated. The result suggests that Haewoondae Square parking lot would be assigned 11 vehicles and 14.23 parking spaces and that Dongbac parking lot be assigned 7.9 vehicles and 10.29 parking spaces. Further study requires additional real-time data for CTS to increase accuracy of the demand estimation. And network design would be developed for redistribution of vehicles.

A Riverbed Change Prediction by River-Crossing Structure -Focused on the Major River Reaches of the Multifunctional Administrative City- (하천 횡단구조물에 의한 하상변동 예측 - 행정중심복합도시 주요 하천구간을 중심으로 -)

  • Yeon, Kyu-Sung;Jeong, Sang-Man;Yun, Chan-Young;Lee, Joo-Heon;Shin, Kwang-Seob
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2009
  • This study has been conducted for the long-term riverbed change prediction on Geum River and Miho Stream surrounding the planned Multifunctional Administrative City and the neighboring regions by the construction of a small dam. Based on the analysis of vertical riverbed changes of the cross-sectional data for the years 1988, 2002 and 2007, minimum bed elevation significantly decreased in both Geum River and Miho Stream in 2007 as compared to 1988. Compared to 2002, however, a slight elevation change was observed. To make a long-term prediction on riverbed changes by the construction of a small dam, a one dimensional HEC-RAS 4.0 model has been used. By the fixed bed model test, the water levels were calibrated. By using the cross-sectional data of 1988 and 2002, verification was conducted under a movable bed model. According to the prediction of riverbed changes for each scenario with varying height of small dam, minor impact is expected around Miho Stream while major impact is expected around Geum River by 2017, as the small dam height increases. If the small dam is 7m-high, for example, it's been simulated that 1.59m deposition would be expected around the upper stream of Miho Stream Confluence while 1.98m scour would be expected around the downstream of the small dam.