• Spatial Information Research
• /
• v.20 no.3
• /
• pp.39-50
• /
• 2012

The objective of this study is the quantitative analysis of climate change effects by performing several statistical analyses with hydrometeorological data sets for past 30 years in Geum river watershed. Temperature, precipitation, relative humidity data sets were collected from eight observation stations for 37 years(1973~2009) in Geum river watershed. River level data was collected from Gongju and Gyuam gauge stations for 36 years(1973~2008) considering rating curve credibility problems and future long-term runoff modeling. Annual and seasonal year-to-year variation of hydrometeorological components were analyzed by calculating the average, standard deviation, skewness, and coefficient of variation. The results show precipitation has the strongest variability. Run test, Turning point test, and Anderson Exact test were performed to check if there is randomness in the data sets. Temperature and precipitation data have randomness and relative humidity and river level data have regularity. Groundwater level data has both aspects(randomness and regularity). Linear regression and Mann-Kendal test were performed for trend test. Temperature is increasing yearly and seasonally and precipitation is increasing in summer. Relative humidity is obviously decreasing. The results of this study can be used for the evaluation of the effects of climate change on water resources and the establishment of future water resources management technique development plan.

• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
• /
• v.16 no.4
• /
• pp.75-84
• /
• 2023

Many developing countries face challenges in estimating long-term discharge due to the lack of hydrological data for water supply planning, making it difficult to establish a rational water supply plan for decision-making on water distribution. The study area, the Bandung region in Indonesia, is experiencing rapid urbanization and population concentration, leading to a severe shortage of freshwater. The absence of water reservoir prediction methods has resulted in a water supply rate of approximately 20%. In this study, we aimed to propose an approach for predicting water reservoirs in developing countries by analyzing water safety and potential water supply using the MODSIM (Modified SIMYLD) network model. To assess the suitability of the MODSIM model, we applied the unit hydrograph method to calculate long-term discharge based on 19 years of discharge data (2002-2020) from the Pataruman observation station. The analysis confirmed alignment with the existing monthly optimal operation curve. The analysis of power plant capacity revealed a difference of approximately 0.30% to 0.50%, and the water intake safety at the Pataruman point showed 1.64% for Q95% flow and 0.47% for Q355 flow higher. Operational efficiency, compared to the existing reservoir optimal operation curve, was measured at around 1%, confirming the potential of using the MODSIM network model for water supply evaluation and the need for water supply facilities.

• Water for future
• /
• v.28 no.5
• /
• pp.191-203
• /
• 1995

In this study, the past flood levels of Goan station, which is one of major gaging stations and located at downstream of Paldang dam, were converted based on the 1994's cross section and the flood quantiles were estimated from flood frequency analysis. The recently established rating curve was used to convert flood levels. And the parameters of the several probability distributions commonly used in hydrologic analysis were estimated based on the method of probability weighted moments and the goodness of fit tests were applied to those distributions. As a result, the gamma-2 and gamma-3 distributions were selected as the appropriate models. The flood lovels and quantiles for selected return periods were calculated based on those distributions. Furthermore, frequency analysis using historical flood information was performed to overcome the misleading caused by missing data.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.30 no.1
• /
• pp.35-44
• /
• 1997

Petrov-Galerkin finite element model for analyzing dynamic wave equation is applied to gradually and rapidly varied unsteady flow. The model in verified by applying to hydraulic jump, nonlinear disturbance propagation in frictionless horizontal channel and dam-break analysis. It shows stable and accurate results compared with analytical solutions for various cases. The model in applied to a surge propagation in a frictionless horizontal channel. Three-dimensional water surface profiles show that the computed result converges to the analytical one with sharp discontinuity. The model is also applied to the Taehaw River to analyze unsteady floodwave propagation. The computed results have good agreements with those of DWOPER model in terms of discharge and stage hydrographs.

• Water for future
• /
• v.27 no.2
• /
• pp.85-96
• /
• 1994

Numerical instability of Preissmann scheme is studied for unsteady flow analysis in a natural river. The solution strategies to overcome the instability problems are presented in this paper. The main causes of numerical instability of Preissmann scheme are transition flow, abrupt change in cross section, in-appropriate roughness coefficients, time step and distance step, rapidly rising hydrograph, dry bed and so on. Transition flow model is proposed for the analysis of the transition flow which changes from subcritical to supercritical or conversely. The subcritical and supercritical reaches are groped in the channel, then appropriate boundary conditions are introduced for each reach. The transition flow analysis produces stable solutions in calculating through the various transition conditions. Verification with an actual river system is necessary in the future.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.32 no.4
• /
• pp.427-435
• /
• 1999

The Clark unit hydrograph is a three parameter synthetic unit hydrograph procedure that can be used in flood hydrology. The present work is an attempt to estimate parameters of the Clark model in ungaged basin by means of relationships that provides for the hydrologic similarity. The time area concentration curve was determined by analytic method and the Clark model was generalized by being made dimensionless form. Calculation of the concentration time was made with the formula fractal concept used, and the storage coefficient was estimated by the empirical and regional equation. Evaluation on Dongok basin was performed to prove the validity of the proposed model. The derived hydrograph predicted the observed hydrograph fairly well.

• Water for future
• /
• v.29 no.4
• /
• pp.149-160
• /
• 1996

The parameters of the storage function model (SFM) are taken as constants, while they have different values every rainfall events and time of the runoff. Therefore, the results of the SFM show remarkably large errors in general. In this study, the modified sorage function model (MSFM), in which the time variant parameters are introduced, is proposed to improve the SFM which is a conceptual rainfall-runoff model. The fuzzy reasoning is applied as a real-time control method of the time-variant parameters of the proposed model. The applicability of the MSFM was examined in the Bochung river, a tributary of Geum river in Korea. The pattern of predicted outflow hydrograph and peak outflow by the MSFM with fuzzy control are much similar to the measured values in comparison with the results produced by the SFM.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.31 no.3
• /
• pp.235-242
• /
• 1998

The objective of this study is to develope a predictive model for flood forecasting in the tidal reaches of the Nakdong river and to analyze the tidal effects of major flood forecasting station of the Nakdong river by using the hydraulic flood routing. In the calibration process the optimum roughness coefficients as functions of channel reach and discharge were determined and the calibration results suggest that the unsteady hydraulic flood routing model simulated with the optimum roughness coefficients showed close agreement between the calculated and observed stage.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2021.06a
• /
• pp.181-181
• /
• 2021

유역 내의 물순환 평가를 위하여 적합한 강우-유출모형을 선정하고 적용하는 것은 수문학적 관점에서 주된 과제이다. 장기적인 관점의 수자원 관리를 위해서는 직접적인 계측을 통해 장기간의 유출자료를 취득하는 방법이 있으나, 국내의 주요지점을 제외한 대다수의 중소규모의 지점에 계측기를 설치하는 것은 현실적으로 어려우므로, 자료취득이 비교적 용이하고 신뢰성이 높은 장기간 강우 자료를 강우-유출모형의 입력자료로 활용하여 미계측 유역으로의 모형을 확장하는 방안이 적절하다는 평가를 받고 있다. 본 연구는 국내외 주요 연속강우-유출모형의 특성을 파악하기 위하여 비교적 신뢰성 있는 자료를 보유하고 있는 소양강댐 유역에 다수의 연속강우-유출모형을 적용하였다. 모델링 결과로 산출된 유황곡선(flow duration curve)을 소양강댐 유입량과 비교하여 각 모형의 특징을 파악하고 유량에 따른 적합성 평가를 진행하였다. 또한, 향후 미계측유역으로 모형을 확장하기 위하여 매개변수 개수 및 재현능력을 동시에 평가하였다. 다수의 모형 중 적합성이 높은 모형들을 선별하였으며, 선별된 모형들의 불확실성을 고려함과 동시에 계층적 베이지안 기법을 활용하여 최종적으로 앙상블모형을 제시하였다. 앙상블모형을 단일 모형과 비교한 결과 단일 모형보다 개선된 성능을 확인하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
• /
• v.34 no.8
• /
• pp.557-565
• /
• 2012

In this research, it was analyzed that the effect of the non-point source pollution that occurs in the lower reaches of the livestock area. The analysis on the hydro- and polluto-graphs showed that the concentration of pollution gradually increased as the flow rate increased and, after reaching the peak flow rate, the flow rate dropped drastically. For Event Mean Concentration (EMC), in the lower reaches of livestock area, TSS EMC was 146.80~424.95 mg/L, COD EMC 11.64~55.66 mg/L, BOD EMC 6.66~49.88 mg/L, T-N EMC 7.650~43.825 mg/L and T-P EMC 0.711~3.855 mg/L. According to the results of the analysis on the correlations between pollutants, TSS and BOD, COD, T-N and T-P had correlations at a 0.53~0.95 confidence level. In addition, according to the result of the analysis on the correlations between EMC (mg/L) and storm runoff ($m^3$), the correlation was well explained by a Cubic regression. In addition, among the determination coefficients, TSS and T-N were relatively high, at 0.767~0.835 and 0.773~0.901 respectively, which indicates that EMC goes up as the storm runoff increases. Therefore, it is expected that EMC can be forecasted according to the amount of runoff ($m^3$). The results of this research will be a practical information for the assessment of the non-point source pollution that occurs in the lower reaches of the livestock area.