• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험 비용

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정보기술 위험관리 과정과 기법

  • 김정덕;이성일
    • Review of KIISC
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.16-23
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    • 2001
  • 위험관리는 정보기술 보안관리의 초석이라고 할 정도로 매우 중요하고 비용효과적인 보안대책을 구현, 운영하기 위해서는 반드시 실행되어야 하는 과정이다. 특히 최근의 보안관리체계 인증에 대한 수요가 점증되면서 위험관리의 중요성이 대두되고 있다. 본 고에서는 위험관리 과정에 대한 표준문서의 내용을 요약 정리하였고 새로운 위험관리 기법의 발전방향인 시나리오 기반의 위험관리에 대해 소개하며 기존의 대표적인 위험분석 자동화 도구에 대한 비교분석을 수행하였다.

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Process for Risk Severity Estimation of Weapon System Development Project using Parametric Estimation Method/Linear Kalman Filter (모수 추정기법/선형 칼만 필터를 이용한 무기체계개발 프로젝트 위험 요소의 영향도 추정 프로세스)

  • Lee, Seung-Yup
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.567-574
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    • 2018
  • Risk management is a method to 1) identify risks that can adversely affect the cost, schedule, and target achievement performance of a system development project, and 2) manage the identified risks based on the severity and likelihood assigned to each risk item. Risk management is applicable to various fields, since it can manage the cost/schedule and effectively guides accomplishing the target performance by identifying and managing the risks in advance, which necessitates many concurrent studies. This paper proposes a procedure to estimate the severity value for a risk item using a Kalman filter. It is assumed that the severity can be expressed as an equation consisting of cost/schedule loss during the risk event. A linear Kalman filter is used to reduce the error between the true and estimated values, which can eventually save resources spent on the risk management procedure. A simulation test case was conducted to demonstrate the validity of the proposed method.

자기자본비용의 추정에 관한 연구 - 규모와 장부가/시장가 요인을 고려한 실증분석 -

  • Song, Yeong-Chul;Lee, Jin-Geun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.157-181
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라 증시에서 베타 이외에 규모와 장부가/시장가 비율이 수익률의 차이를 설명하는데 유용한가를 실증하고 이를 토대로 13개 산업에 대하여 자본비용을 추정하였다. 1980년에서 1995년 사이의 기간에 대하여 실증한 결과, 우리나라 증시에서 규모요인은 시장위험이 설명하지 못하는 수익률 차이 부분을 상당히 설명하고 있었으나 장부가/시장가 비율은 추가적인 설명력을 보이지 못하였다. 산업별 자본비용을 추정한 결과는 만족스럽지 못하였다. 우선 해당기간 동안에 시장프레미엄이 연 1.33%로 지나치게 낮게 측정되었으며 표준오차는 연 5.85%로 매우 크게 나왔다. 회귀계수의 표준오차를 줄이기 위하여 rolling 회귀분석의 방법을 사용하였지만, 3요인 모형에서 시장위험계수(베타)에 대한 표준오차만 줄어들었을 뿐 나머지 계수들의 표준오차는 오히려 증가하였다. 회귀계수가 지니는 불확실성이 위험프레미엄의 불확실성과 결합되어서 산업별 자본비용에 대한 추정은 매우 부정확하였다.

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A Study on Cost Risk Estimation applying Joint Cost-Schedule Probability Distribution Model (비용과 일정의 결합확률 분포를 적용한 위험비용추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Kyu;Kang, Sung-Jin;Han, Gyu-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.850-858
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    • 2011
  • The risk analysis plays an important role in weapon system acquisition project due to uncertainties in the acquisition process. But in domestic, studies on risk analysis are insufficient and risk cost is not included in acquisition budget in policy. Therefore, in this study, we suggest a method that measures risk or success probability of project using the stochastic model. In particular, in order to calculate the success probability, we apply the joint probability distribution model of cost and schedule that are critical factors influencing the project risk. And also we verify the applicability of this model in Korean defence industry environment through case studies.

The impacts of Allowance for Doubtful Bank loans on the cost of equity: an empirical study of Korean Banks (은행 대손충당 적립과 자기자본 비용의 관계)

  • Yoon, Jong-Chul;Lee, Sang-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.245-251
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of the study is to empirically investigate how the higher allowance ratio for bank loans affects the cost of equity using Korean banks from 2002- 2015. First of all, we analyzed the impact of the higher allowance ratio on the cost of equity for Korean banks. Secondly, from the perspective of governance structure, we analyzed the existence of different impacts whether banks were affiliated with financial holding companies. The results showed an increasing impact of higher allowance ratio on the cost of equity for Korean banks. Also, we found these impacts differ whether the banks are affiliated with financial holding companies. The results indicate that the burden of higher allowance ratios for bank loans may provide negative impacts on capital markets. The higher the allowance ratio, which means the greater risk for banks, may help to increase the cost of equity concerning Korean banks.

Cost Based Vulnerability Control Method Using Static Analysis Tool (정적 분석 툴을 이용한 비용 기반의 취약점 처리 방안)

  • Lee, Ki Hyun;Kim, Seok Mo;Park, Young B.;Park, Je Ho
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.139-144
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    • 2016
  • When, Software is developed, Applying development methods considering security, it is generated the problem of additional cost. These additional costs are caused not consider security in many developing organization. Even though, proceeding the developments, considering security, lack of ways to get the cost of handling the vulnerability throughput within the given cost. In this paper, propose a method for calculating the vulnerability throughput for using a security vulnerability processed cost-effectively. In the proposed method focuses on the implementation phase of the software development phase, leveraging static analysis tools to find security vulnerabilities in CWE TOP25. The found vulnerabilities are define risk, transaction costs, risk costs and defines the processing priority. utilizing the information in the CWE, Calculating a consumed cost in a detected vulnerability processed through a defined priority, and controls the vulnerability throughput in the input cost. When applying the method, it is expected to handle the maximum risk of vulnerability in the input cost.

사채차환(社債借換)이 보통주(普通株)의 수익률(收益率)과 기업(企業)의 위험(危險)에 미치는 영향(影響)에 관한 실증적(實證的) 연구(硏究)

  • Gu, Ja-Gyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.295-342
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    • 1992
  • 전통적으로 기업이 사채차환(社債借換)(bond refunding)을 행하는 이유는 시장이자율이 발행이 자율보다 낮은 경우 단순히 이자비용을 절감하려는데에 그 동기가 있었다. 이러한 전통적인 이자 비용절감이라는 동기외에 타동기에 대해서 사채차환이 주가수익율과 회사의 위험에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증적인 분석은 거의 없었다고 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 사채차환에 대해서 (1) 만기연장가설(滿期延長假說), (2) 이자비용절감가설(利子費用節減假說), (3) 세금절감가설(稅金節減假說), (4) 주당순리익가설(株當純利益假說), (5) 제한조항완화가설(制限條項緩和假說) 및 (6) 레버리지가설(假說)등 6가지의 가설(假說)을 계시하고 사채차환(私債借換)의 공표가 보통주수익율과 위험에 미치는 일반적인 영향을 위의 여섯가지 가설하에서 검증을 하였다. 본 연구의 결과 전통적인 이자비용절감 가설은 주식 가격에 음의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타난 반면, 오히려 세금절감가설이 강하게 지지되었다. 또한 세금절감을 위한 사채차환이 공표되는 경우 주식베타 및 총수익율분산은 Hamada (1969, 1972)의 견해와 같이 유의적인 양의 변화가 나타났다. 부수적으로 외생변수로서의 기업규모는 초과수익과 역의 관계가 나타났으며, 사채차환의 규모효과가 존재한다는 것을 확인하였다. 본 연구의 다양한 사채차환가설의 초과수익예측이 상호배타적이지는 않으나 시장모형의 베타로 측정되는 주식위험의 변화를 도입하는 경우 이러한 가설들의 효과를 명백히 분리시킬 수 있게 된다. 따라서 횡단면 분석시 전통적인 잔차분석방법에 추가적으로 주가베타 및 총수익율분산을 종속변수로 사용했다는 것이 본 연구의 중요한 공헌이라 하겠다.

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Economic Impact Analysis of Disaster Mitigation Projects in Hazardous Areas (자연재해위험지구 정비사업의 투자효과분석)

  • Heo, Bo-Young;Yu, Soonyoung;Kim, Sung-Wook
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.247-256
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    • 2013
  • In order to improve the quality assurance of the disaster mitigation projects, the economic effect of these projects in the hazardous areas was analysed. Eight project sites were selected for analyses based on the disaster data during the previous 10 years, and the investment effect was evaluated using a benefit cost ratio (B/C). The benefit was estimated using the historical disaster data and presumed to continue for 30 years, while the cost was assumed with the total project cost. Analysis results indicate the B/C ratio is larger than 1 in the difference range, depending on factors such as impact areas and discount rates. According to the analysis results, the average B/C of the eight projects is 4.1 with assuming the discount rate of 4% and the impact diameter of 5 km, which implies that a disaster management project in hazardous areas will give the positive investment effects.

An Influence of Korean National Image on Japanese Consumer's Perceived Quality, Risk and Information Cost Saving: focused on Mediating Role of Brand Credibility (한국의 국가이미지가 일본소비자의 지각된 품질과 위험, 그리고 정보비용절약에 미치는 영향: 브랜드신뢰성의 매개적 역할을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jang Hyun;Bae, Il Hyun
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.315-339
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    • 2011
  • As the Korean economy grows, the brand value of Korean companies such as Samsung, LG and Hyundai Motor has been elevated greatly. Compared to the brand value of Korean companies, Korea's national image is very lowly ranked. In addition Korea's national brand is undervalued compared to economic volume. So, the purpose of this study is to find way to enhance the Korea's national brand in Japanese Market through brand credibility. The results as follows. First, this study find that brand credibility is consist of expertise and trustworthiness in Japanese market. Second Korea national image positive impact on brand credibility. Third, brand credibility positive impact on perceived quality and information cost saving. Finally, brand credibility negative impact on perceived risk. In conclusion, all hypothesis are significant. So these results are very useful to Korea government and Korean companies.

Analysis on the Procurement Hedging Strategies for Bituminous Coal Considering Multiple Risk Factors (복수의 위험요인을 고려한 유연탄 조달헤징전략 분석)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol;Sonn, Yang-Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.855-872
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    • 2007
  • This study suggests an imported coal procurement model that simultaneously considers the risk factors of coal price, ocean freight rate and foreign exchange rate. In addition, it quantitatively analyses the superiority of this model compared to the previous one m terms of procurement cost saving and stabilization. According to the empirical results, a separate hedging could stabilize the procurement cost flow, but this is not the end of story. That is, a complex hedging would reduce the standard deviations of cost flow. Thus, one could improve hedging effects by fully considering the inherent variance-covariance relationship among coal price, ocean freight rate and foreign exchange.

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