• Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.53-64
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• 2018

In this study, the evaluation to probability of failure for risk assessment of port structures on DCM reinforced soils, where stability and risk assessment are increasing in importance, was performed. As a random variables affecting the risk of DCM improved ground, the design strength, superposition (overlap) of construction, strength of the natural ground, internal friction angle and unit weight of the modified ground were selected and applied to the risk assessment. In addition, the failure probability for the entire system under ordinary conditions and under earthquake conditions were analyzed. As a result, it was found that the highest coefficient of variation in the random variable for the risk assessment of the DCM improved ground is the design strength, but this does not have a great influence on the safety factor, ie, the risk of the system. The main risk factor for the failure probability of the system for the DCM reinforced soils was evaluated as horizontal sliding in case of external stability and compression failure in case of internal stability both at ordinary condition and earthquake condition. In addition, the failure probability for ordinary horizontal sliding is higher than that for earthquake failure, and the failure probability for ordinary compression failure is lower than that for earthquake failure. The ordinary failure probability of the entire system is similar to the failure probability on earthquake condition, but in this case, the risk of earthquake is somewhat higher.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.56-56
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• 2016

하도 안정성에 민감하게 반응하는 대표적 하천 구역은 본류와 지류의 합류부이다. 이와 같은 합류부에서는 흐름과 하상변동 양상이 상대적으로 복잡하다. 이는 본류 및 지류 간 유사이송량, 유황, 흐름, 하도경사 등 수리특성이 서로 다르기 때문이다. 지류 합류부에서는 지류 자체의 하상 변동 영향뿐만 아니라 본류의 하상변동으로부터도 직 간접적으로 영향을 받는다. 즉 본류에서 자연적이든 인위적이든 어떤 원인으로 말미암아 하상저하가 갑자기 일어나면 지류의 하도 종단경사 변화가 현저하게 일어나는, 이른 바 두부침식 현상이 발생하기도 한다. 한편 본류와 지천 사이 흐름특성 유사거동 특성이 서로 다르기 때문에 합류뷰 주위에 지속적인 국지퇴적이 야기되기도 한다. 합류부에서 이와 같은 침식 또는 퇴적 현상으로 말미암아 하천관리상 여러 문제점을 야기한다. 이에 따라 지류 합류부에서 하천경사를 일정하게 유지하기 위하여 하상유지공 설치 등 적절한 하도안정화 대책을 모색해야 한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기존의 하천정비기본계획에서 현안의 분석을 통해 개선 방안을 제시하였으며, 국가 및 지방 하천 3,836 개소에 대한 합류부 도상과 일부 현장 조사를 실시하였다. 조사?분석 결과를 바탕으로 합류부의 재해 유발 지표를 도출하고 전문가로부터 의견 수렴을 통해 가중치를 부가하여 합류부 재해 위험성 및 안정성 평가 기법을 정립하였다. 그 동안 관련 부처 및 지자체에서 하천계획을 수립하는 데, 중점 정비 및 관리가 필요로 하는 합류부를 선정 시 그 기준이 모호하였다. 그러나 본 연구에서 정량적으로 정립한 기준은 하천 합류부의 재해 위험성을 평가할 수 있어 고도의 하천관리를 지향할 수 있는 계기를 마련하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2001.12a
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• pp.121-124
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• 2001

충돌회피 시스템은 선박의 안전 항해에 중요한 역할을 한다. 충돌회피 시스템은 선박이 장애물을 만났을 때 영역전문가인 항해사를 대신하여 피항 행위를 하도륵 지시하는 시스템으로 자선에서 이루어지는 해상 장애물들에 대한 피항 시 그 판단 기준을 각 장애물에 대한 충돌위험도에 둔다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 선박의 충돌회피 시스템의 보다 안전한 충돌회피를 도모하기 위해 충돌회피를 위한 충돌위험도 결정 시스템을 제안한다. 충돌위험도 결정 시스템은 장애물 모델링과 장애물의 충돌위험도 결정의 두 부분으로 구성된다. 장애물 모델링은 선박의 센서에서 나오는 저수준의 자료를 지능형 선박의 타 시스템에서 이용하기 쉽도록 구하는 과정이다. 충돌위험도 결정 시스템의 출력으로 산출되는 충돌위험도는 충돌회피 시스템의 피항 행위 결정에 정보로 사용된다. 본 연구에서는 DCPA와 TCPA를 이용한 기존의 기법에 VCD의 개념을 추가한 새로운 충돌위험도 결정 기법을 제안한다. 입력변수가 되는 DCPA, TCPA, VCD의 퍼지 소속함수를 산출하고 이를 기반으로 퍼지 추론을 이용하여 세부적인 충돌위험도를 결정한다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 기법은 기존의 DCPA와 TCPA만으로 충돌위험도를 결정한 경우보다 상세한 충돌위험도 결정이 가능하다는 장점과 국제해상충돌예방규칙의 내용이 적용되었다는 장점을 지닌다. 제안된 기법은 DCPA와 TCPA 만으로 충돌위험도를 결정한 기법과 비교.평가하여 성능을 검증한다.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.36 no.2
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• pp.5-15
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• 2020

The liquefaction phenomenon that occurred during the Pohang earthquake (M_L=5.4) brought new awareness to the people about the risk of liquefaction caused by the earthquake. Liquefaction hazard maps with 2 km grid made in 2014 used more than 100,000 borehole data for the whole country, and regions without soil investigation data were produced using interpolation. In the mapping of macro liquefaction hazard for the whole country, the site amplification effect and the ground water level 0 m were considered. Recently, the Ministry of Public Administration and Security (2018) published a new site classification method and amplification coefficient of the common standard for seismic design. Therefore, it is necessary to rewrite the liquefaction hazard map reflecting the revised amplification coefficient. In this study, the results of site classification according to the average shear wave velocity in soils before and after revision were compared in the whole country. Also, liquefaction assessment results were compared in Gangseo-gu, Busan. At this time, two ground accelerations corresponding to the 500 and 1,000 years of return period and two ground water table, 5 m for the average condition and 0 m the extreme condition were applied. In the drawing of liquefaction hazard map, a 500 m grid was applied to secure a resolution higher than the previous 2 km grid. As a result, the ground conditions that were classified as S_C and S_D grounds based on the existing site classification standard were reclassified as S₂, S₃, and S₄ through the revised site classification standard. Also, the result of the Liquefaction assessments with a return period of 500 years and 1,000 years resulted in a relatively overestimation of the LPI applied with the ground amplification factor before revision. And the results of this study have a great influence on the liquefaction assessment, which is the basis of the creation of the regional liquefaction hazard map using the amplification factor.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2014.10a
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• pp.336-338
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• 2014

항로표지시설은 선박안전통항 유도시설로서 등광, 형상, 색채, 음향, 전파 등을 수단으로 선박에 지표가 되는 시설로서 그 설치는 주변의 해양환경, 해상교통 및 위험정도에 따른 객관적 판단에 의하여 설치되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 항로표지의 신설 및 평가 시 적용가능한 리스크평가에 대하여 연구하고 그 방법을 제안한다. 정량적 리스크평가에 대한 IMO(국제해사기구), 및 IALA(국제항로표지협회)의 관련 기준을 연구하여 아국 항로표지시설의 리스크평가를 위한 기초자료로 활용하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 항로표지 시설의 설치, 유지 및 관리를 담당하는 해양수산부의 시설물 평가에 효율적인 판단 자료로 활용될 것으로 기대한다.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.45-50
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• 2002

This study set its bases needed for building fire risk analysis by examining general concept and definitions of fire risk analysis, and its access methods. Upon this basis, by using a computer program FREM, we brought the type of hazards out of the fire risk assessment applied to the typical 100 high-rise buildings in and out of this country. In this process, we also sorted out the programs arising from the application of a foreign born tool to domestic conditions. the credibility of fire separations and automatic fire protection system in a building would be the two most important things in an attempt to evaluate fire risk in high-rise buildings. In addition, it is vital for the purpose of securing fire safety in high-rise buildings that the systems should be properly installed and carefully maintained. When we try hard to study the evaluation standards to the above systems and, someday in the future, to employ them in evaluating fire risks in high-rise buildings, we can measure the risks much more precisely with less expenses than that we needed today.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.37 no.3
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• pp.69-77
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• 2000

This study was a part of FSA study which was initiated by IMO and was applied to hatchway watertight integrity of bulk carriers. Hazards which were involved in high risk level were identified as follows. Ship Operation out of Design Criteria(Hatch Coaming Damage) and Poor Maintenance & Inspection(Securing Arrangement Damage). The potential risk was calculated by risk analysis and risk control option was made to reduce potential risk. The potential risk was about U$60,000/ship-year and could be reduced to about U$30,000/ship-year by applying RCO 1(Advanced system directly related to Hatchway Security). In addition, effectiveness of RCOs was shown by cost benefit assessment.

• Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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• v.21 no.6
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• pp.553-561
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• 2009

Risk analysis of highway sign supporting structures and sound barriers was done. Stochastic wind load was modeled by using extreme value distribution from site measurement and the variability of structural parameters was considered. Limit state functions were defined to assess structural stability by wind and risk of highway facilities was analyzed by combining wind hazard. According to the numerical analysis results, sound barrier post shows significantly higher risk than highway sign supporting structures. This is caused by the fact that the design codes of the structures are different. To distribute wind induced risk in highway structures, unification and improvement of design codes are required based on risk assessment.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.170-180
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• 1998

This study presents a method for calculating the concentration of hydrocarbon releases in enclosed areas using empirical equations of evaporation rate. The approach of the method is to estimate the hydrocarbon exposure concentration in the air under conditions assumed. A methodology for assessing risk was suggested to individual risk assessment to exposed workers or others by probit expressions. The toxicity criteria and available human exposure data were examined and guidelines for risk assessment suggested for benzene-air and toluene-air systems. The value of probit constants with mole fractions of lethal concentrations in a mixture of hydrocarbons and a non-toxic substance was predicted. The probit values calculated with mole fractions can be used to estimate guidelines to prevent toxicity within enclosed working areas.

• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.84-92
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• 2001

In today's world, rise in the establishment of social infrastructure resulting from population saturation in large cities has led to more extensive and frequent use of chemical materials on facilities. A result, unexpected and serious accidents, hazards, contingencies and disasters are more prevalent than ever. Such phenomenon calls for more devoted and concerted efforts towards finding ways to reduce the safety hazards that are seen to take place more often than before with the increase in the number of facilities that are prone to bring disaster and hazard coupled with the conventional safety problems that continue to exist even today. In developed countries, such challenge is addressed by various appropriate countermeasures drawn up by local professional committees on industrial facilities, whose members conduct offsite and onsite evaluation un the potential industrial disasters and its seriousness and provide their advice thereof. Against this backdrop, this study aims at identifying a comprehensive safety allowance level (safety acceptable level) when imposing limitation on the development of conventional or new facilities, for the fur pose of establishing a safety allowance level of disastrous and dangerous facilities in Korea. This is done by assessing and applying the level of danger each individual is exposed to in a randomly selected region (disastrous and dangerous areas in Seoul) based on probability of quantitative hazards, as well as simulation and calculation methods which include: i) social disaster evaluation method applying Quantified Risk Assessment of Health & Safety Executive of UK and Matrix of Risk of Evaluated Sources of Hazard; ii) Fault Tree or Event Tree Analysis and etc.