• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험시기

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Analyzing Season and Place of Mars Dust Storm (화성 먼지 폭풍의 공간적 분포와 발생시기 분석 연구)

  • Seo, Haingja;Kim, Eojin;Kim, Joo Hyeon;Lee, Joo Hee
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2013
  • Local dust storm and lifting to dust frequently occurs in Mars. But it is known to lift dust is associated with atmospheric circulation, the cause of dust lifting is not find yet. The height of dust storm is more than the Himalayas, and the large size dust storm covers half of hemisphere or hemisphere. The kind of dust storm is risk factor to land and to carry out a mission. In this paper, we carry out analysis on the season and place of dust storm, and construct a map with the place of dust storm. We expect that the season and place of dust storm are able to be predicted with being based on the results. And this paper can be utilized as preliminary for selection of landing site and time of launching and landing.

Recurrence Rate of Febrile Seizures by Combining Risk Factors (열성 경련 재발의 위험인자와 그들의 조합에 따른 재발률 조사)

  • Moon, Su Jung;Sun, Gu Ken;Kim, Eun Young;Na, Kyong Hee;Park, Sun Young;Kim, Kyoung Sim;Kim, Yong Wook
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.45 no.11
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    • pp.1403-1410
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    • 2002
  • Purpose : In previous studies, various risk factors for recurrent febrile seizures have been identified. But none of these risk factors alone could sufficiently discriminate children at high or low risk for recurrent seizures. Therefore, we tried to identify patients at high risk of recurrent febrile seizures by combining risk factors. Methods : Two hundred and four children who had been admitted to our hospital from March, 1997 to July, 1999 with their first febrile seizures were enrolled in our study, and followed up over 2 years. We investigated the recurrence rate according to variables such as sex, age at first febrile seizure, family history of febrile seizures or epilepsy, type of the first seizure, neurologic abnormality and EEG abnormality. Results : Family history of febrile seizures and age at first febrile seizure(<12 months) were significant independent risk factors for recurrent febrile seizures. With these two combined factors, four groups were allocated and the recurrence rate by each group was designated as follows: group with no family history of febrile seizures and age at first febrile seizure ${\geq}12$ months (no risk factor), 43.8%; the group with no family history and age <12 months(one risk factor), 61.7%; group with family history and age ${\geq}12$ months(one risk factor), 64.5%; group with family history and age <12 months(two risk factors), 90.4%. Conclusion : A correlation between numbers of risk factors and recurrence rate was present and the children with a family history of febrile seizures and a young age at onset(<12 months) were regarded as a high risk group of recurrence.

Conceptual Study for Risk Assessment of Asset Management of Infra Structure System (국가기반시설 자산관리위험도분석 개념 연구)

  • Park, Mi Yun;Park, Hung Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.43-47
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    • 2012
  • The asset management of infra facilities is a total framework for finally supporting a safe and comfortable service, which includes functions of supporting evaluation of condition and performance of infrastructures, making the decision method of repair or rehabilitation of deteriorated facilities, and lengthening the life cycle of structure through the decision of adequate cost and time of repair or reinforcement. In the range of the asset management, organization, human, the target, and information & data of company are included. Therefore, in this paper, appling the method of asset management analysis to the infra structures, the process of the risk assesment using BRE (Business Risk Exposure) and the basis of consisting ORDM (Optimized Renewal Decision-Making) are expressed.

Fund Flow and Market Risk (펀드플로우와 시장위험)

  • Chung, Hyo-Youn;Park, Jong-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.169-204
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the dynamic relationship between fund flow and market risk at the aggregate level and explores whether sudden sharp changes in fund flow (fund run) can cause a systemic risk in the Korean financial markets. We use daily and weekly data and regression and VAR analysis. Main results of the paper are as follows: First, in the stock market, a concurrent and a lagged unexpected fund flows have a positive relationship with market volatility. A positive shock in fund flow predicts an increase in stock market volatility. In the bond market, an unexpected fund flow has a negative relationship with the default risk premium, but a positive relationship with the term premium. And an unexpected fund flow of the money market fund has a negative relationship with the liquidy risk, but the explanatory power is very low. Second, for examining whether changes in fund flow induce a systemic risk, we construct a spillover index based on the forecast error variance decomposition of VAR model. A spillover index represents that how much the shock in fund flow can explain the change of market risk in a market. In general, explanatory powers from spillover indexes are so fluctuant and low. In the stock market, the impact of shocks in fund flow on market risk is relatively high and persistent during the period from the end of 2007 to 2008, which is the subprime-mortgage crisis period. In bond market, since the end of 2008, the impact of shocks in fund flow spreads to default risk continually, while in the money market, such a systematic effect doesn't take place. The persistent patterns of spillover effect appearing around a certain period in the stock market and the bond market suggest that the shock to the unexpected fund flow may increase the market risk and can be a cause of systemic risk in the financial markets. However, summarizing the results of regression and VAR model analysis, and considering the very low explanatory power of spillover index analysis, we can conclude that changes in fund flow have a very limited power in explaining changes in market risk and it is not very likely to induce the systemic risk by a fund run in the Korean financial markets.

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Pathways to homelessness: The case of young adults in Korea (남성 청년의 노숙진입 시기에 따른 노숙 경로)

  • Kim, Soyoung
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.151-181
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    • 2016
  • The objective of the study is to identify the sub-path of entry into homelessness of young men and enhance understanding them. In specific, homeless risk factors were extracted through their experiences, and based on which the entry paths into homelessness were drawn. The homeless young adults were divided into two groups of those who became homeless in their adolescence and those who entered into homelessness after 19 and their differences were analyzed. As a results, the most prominent differences between the two sub-groups included individual and social factors; most of those who entered homelessness after 19 had physical or psychological problems, while the other group showed delinquency factors in adolescence and adulthood. As for social factors, the former group experienced more financial damage in the process of achieving independence before being homeless, while the latter group had relatively more experience of physical and psychological damage such as bullying, harassment and violence before being homeless and financial frauds. As for investigating the causality relationship of key homeless risk factors by adding a variable of time, and based on which, a constant pattern of entry paths toward homelessness was drawn among each sub-group of homeless young adults. For policy on homelessness, it is required to develop according to the characteristics of homeless young adults. Especially, a specific approach is necessary for the different homeless pathways by sub-group. Furthermore, the study indicated that management and preemptive responses for various homeless risk factors that homeless young adults experienced throughout their lifetime could be important prevention policy against homelessness.

The Buffering Effect of Family Cohesion in the Relationship between Depression and Suicidal Risk (우울감과 자살위험간의 관계에서 가족결속도의 완충효과)

  • Kim, Yun-Jeong;Kang, Hyun-Jung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.241-249
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    • 2014
  • The aim of this paper is to examine the buffering effect of family cohesion in the relationship between depression and suicidal risk among adolescents, adults, and the elderly. To achieve the research aim, surveys were conducted in 10 cities across the country for 399 adolescents, 473 adults, and 370 elderly from May to August 2010. Major findings of the data analysis are as follows. First, while, in the relationship between depression and suicidal risk, the elderly were the highest, followed by adolescents and adults in descending order, in family cohesion, adults were the highest, followed by the elderly and adolescents. Second, the analysis of the buffering effect of family cohesion in the relationship between depression and suicidal risk showed that it was significant only for adolescents and adults, which means that for those two groups family cohesion alleviates the effects of depression on suicidal risk, demonstrating the necessity of strengthening family cohesion to reduce suicides among the two groups of people. But, for the elderly for whom family relationship is more important than any other age group, the buffering effect of family cohesion in the relationship between depression and suicidal risk was not proved. The interpretation of this phenomenon is given in the part of the paper where the characteristics of the suicide of the old age group is discussed.

Risk of Stroke according to the Duration of Diabetes Mellitus with Hypertension (고혈압을 동반한 당뇨병에서 유병기간에 따른 뇌졸중 위험도)

  • Kim, Hee Sung
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.188-193
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    • 2020
  • Stroke is a major cause of death and disorder, and diabetes mellitus (DM) is a significant risk factor of stroke. This study examined the importance of target blood pressure (<140/<90 mmHg) management in patients with DM. Based on the data of the 6th National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, a total of 16,389 patients aged 18 to under 80 were assessed through regression analysis to estimate the risk of stroke through blood pressure control. The prevalence of stroke according to the presence or absence of DM was higher in the diabetic group, and a longer duration of DM indicated a higher risk of hypertension and stroke. The hazard ratio of stroke was lower in the maintenance group (0.57) of target blood pressure (<140/<90 mmHg) compared to the high blood pressure group(>140/>90 mmHg). Despite the accompanying treatment for DM and hypertension, the frequency of hypertension increased, and the prevalence of stroke increased after five years of DM. Hence, effective blood pressure management at this time is important. The risk of stroke should be reduced by continuously managing blood pressure in DM.

2019 Incheon FIR Aerial Collision Risk Analysis (2019년도 인천 FIR 공중 충돌 위험도 분석)

  • Jae-young Ryu;Hyeonwoong Lee;Bae-Seon Park;Hak-Tae Lee
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.476-483
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    • 2021
  • In order to maintain the safety of the airspace with ever increasing traffic volume, it is necessary to thoroughly analyze the collision risk with the current data. In this study, collision risk analysis was conducted using Detect and Avoid (DAA) Well-Clear (DWC) metrics, risk induces developed for the DAA systems of unmanned aerial vehicles. All flights in year 2019 that flew within the Incheon Flight Information Region (FIR) boundary were analyzed using the recorded Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast(ADS-B) data. High risk regions as well as trends by airports and seasons were identified. The results indicate that the risk is higher around the congested area near Incheon International Airport and Gimpo International Airport. Seasonally, the risk was highest in August that coincides with the Summer vacation period. The result will be useful for the baseline data for various aviation safety enhancement activities such as revision of routes and procedures and training of the field specialists.

백두화산과 다음 대 가뭄

  • Byeon, Hui-Ryong
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2011
  • 백두화산의 재 폭발 후에 발생할 재해에 대해 검토한 결과, 화산의 풍하측에 낙하하는 화산재에 의한 피해보다, 폭발 후 수년간 이어질 지구 냉각과 장기 가뭄 그리고 이로 인한 사회격변의 위험성이 더 큰 것으로 검토되었다. 근거로 10세기 전후 백두화산이 폭발하던 시기에, 지구냉각과 연속 대 가뭄의 재앙이 발생했으며, 후백제와 후고구려의 건국과 멸망, 신라와 발해의 멸망 등 대규모 사회격변 현상들이 있었음이 확인되었다. 백두화산의 다음 폭발시기, 그리고 이 재 폭발과 한반도의 극대가뭄이 동시에 발생할 가능성 등도 검토 되었다. 결과로서 백두산 재 폭발이 한반도의 극대 가뭄의 주기(124년)와 연관되어 동시에 발생할 가능성이 없지 않으며, 이 경우, 2025년이 재앙의 정점이 될 것으로 추론되었다.

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Analysis of Real Estate Investment Trusts' Performance By Risk Adjustment Model (위험조정모형을 활용한 미국 REITs의 부동산 유형별 성과 분석)

  • Park, Won-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.665-680
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    • 2009
  • This study aims at analyzing the performance of Real Estate Investment Trusts(REITs) by Risk Adjustment Model. The main results are as follows. Firstly, most property types of REITs gain positive(+) excess overall returns at first and second period. On the contrary, most property types of REITs gain negative(-) excess overall returns and their standard deviations are larger at financial crisis period. Secondly, lodging, regional mall and commercial mortgage show lower risk-lower return, and freestanding, apartment and specialty show higher risk-higher return than average REITs, according to the CAPM results of . Moreover CAPM results of show the characteristics of REITs as investment commodities changes into higher risk-higher return for financial crisis period. Lastly, risk adjusted demanded returns of REITs are affected positively(+) by systemic risks and negatively(-) by unsystemic risks, according to the Risk Adjustment Model results of both and . Comparing risk adjusted demanded returns of REITs with their realized returns, healthcare reveals the largest outperformance.

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