• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.2 no.1 s.4
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• pp.161-167
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• 2002

Forest fire danger period in nine Provinces (Gangwondo, Kyonggido, Gyeongsangnamdo, Gyeongsangbukdo, Jeollanamdo, Jeollabukdo, Jejudo, Chungcheongnamdo, Chungcheongbukdo) has turned out to be similar to recognize whether there are some differences between each Provinces, we used correlation analysis with number of occurrence and damage area by an interval of ten-day period. Based on this analysis, there was significant numbers of occurrence at all areas wish serious burns except Gyeongsangnamdo and Jejudo Provinces. Since persuasive power is insufficient as danger period of forest fire applies equally to nine Provinces, statistical analysis using number of forest fire occurrence and burned area are executed. And then, a analysis of variance(ANOVA) test of significance by an interval of ten day period is carried out. As a result of this analysis, there showed significant at 1% level for number of occurrence except Jejudo, and is also showed significant at 1% level for burned area except Gangwondo and Chejudo. Through regional correlation analysis for danger period, we classified three parts of Middle region (Gangwondo, Kyonggido, Gyeongsangnamdo, Gyeongsangbukdo, Jeollabukdo, Chungcheongnamdo, Chungcheongbukdo) Southern region (Gyongsangnamdo, Jeollanamdo) and Jejudo region. With respect to forest fire occurrence time, Middle region showed from the middle of February to first of May that amounts to 81% of entire occurrence in this region, and Southern region begins with at the last of January to the middle of April covering 71%. In terms of forest fire burned areas, it appears at the middle of February to the first of May, occupying 98% in Middle region, and Southern region showed burned areas from the last of January to the middle of April amounting to 82% of total occurrences.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.91-91
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• 2016

본 연구는 대규모 대기환경패턴 변화에 따른 극한 기후발생 및 극치 수문사상의 지역적 변동 특성을 분석하였고, 통계기법을 이용한 기후지수와 수문변량간의 원격상관관계 분석결과를 이용하여 한반도 중 장기 수문변량 예측의 가능성을 진단하였다. 또한 경남 지자체를 대상으로 다양한 통계예측모형(AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, VAR)을 구축하여 그 예측능력을 평가하고 적용성을 검토하였고, 중 장기 통합홍수위험 평가를 위한 인덱스를 개발하였다. 서로 다른 엘니뇨 시기별 홍수 위험도 평가결과 전형적인 엘니뇨(Cold Tongue El Nino)해에는 남해안 일부 지역(거제시, 남해군)에서 위험도가 높게 산정되었으며, 경남 북부지역에서는 위험도가 매우 낮게 산정되었다. 중앙태평양 엘니뇨(Warm Pool El Nino) 해에는 경남 남부 지역을 중심으로 홍수위험지수가 높게 나타나 중앙태평양 엘니뇨가 발달 시 경남지역의 홍수위험 발생 가능성 평년에 비하여 큰 것으로 분석된다. 또한 라니냐(La Nina) 해에는 경남 서쪽일부 지역(남해군, 하동군, 산청군)에서 통합홍수위험지수가 높게 나타났으며, 나머지 지역에서는 홍수위험도가 작거나 중간 값을 보이는 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구는 중 장기적 관점에서 수자원 예측 및 효율적인 물 관리와 안정적인 용수공급에 도움을 줄 것으로 사료되며, 한반도 대상 특정 엘니뇨 해의 지자체별 홍수위험 취약성 평가에 활용이 가능할 것이다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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• 2002.05a
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• pp.317-322
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• 2002

위험성 편가의 목적은 현재의 위험 상태를 평가하고 이들 위험이 허용가능한가를 평가하여 시스템의 개선과 위험을 감소시기는 데 있다. 기업에서 모든 위험을 Zero화 시킨다는 것은 현실적으로 어렵기 때문에 사업장에서 발생할 수 있는 모든 이탈 상태를 파악하고, 안전경영의 우선순위를 정하여 운영해야 한다. 이에 필요한 것이 위험성 평가이며 위험성 평가의 필수적인 요소는 정량화를 통하여 허용가능성 여부를 판단하는 것에 있다.(중략)

• Korea journal of population studies
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.1-23
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• 2009

This paper uses a survey data to analyze the age-specific fertility rates, age-specific cumulative fertility rates, and ages of marriage of the five birth cohorts of Korean women born in the 1940s and thereafter. It was found that later cohorts reach their highest age-specific fertility rate at higher ages than earlier cohorts. The age-specific cumulative fertility rates of the 1950s and 1960 cohorts were found to be much lower than those of the immediately preceding cohorts, while those of the 1970s and 1980s cohorts were not different from those of the 1960s cohorts. Women belonging to later cohorts were found to get married at relatively higher ages. The estimation results of the hazard model show that women belonging to later cohorts and those with more schooling have a tendency to get married at higher ages. The effect of the birth cohorts is thought to be due to the economic, social, and cultural changes in Korea during the late 50 years or so. The time interval between a woman‘s marriage and first birth was found not to be affected by either the year of marriage or that of her birth. Also, those who remained employed for some time around their marriage and those with low schooling were found to have a lower first child birth hazard, which implies that married women’s employment status and family income play an important role in their decisions on childbirth.

• 한국사회정책
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.233-263
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• 2018

This study sought to identify gender-specific mechanisms of increased suicide rates during economic crises in South Korea. In order to address research aims, we focused on two international economic crises: IMF financial crisis in 1997, and international recession in 2008. This study provides three main findings. First, different mechanisms increased suicide rates during the two economic crises. Particularly, the high level of unemployment raised suicide rates during the 1997 IMF while the high level of working poor in the 2008 recession. Second, suicidal risk patterns for men and women differed at each period. The 1997 crisis which mostly affected full-time permanent workers had had relatively greater impacts on men suicide, whereas the 2008 crisis which affected precarious workers had done on women suicide. Finally, our finding indicated that these gender-specific risk patterns had been derived from the gendered labour market and male-friendly social policy. Placing women at the periphery of the labor market and using them as a buffer in times of crisis, governments failed to protect them from their economic difficulties. Suicide is fundamental and important public health and social problems. These findings suggest that the national suicide prevention strategy should pay attention to the social determinants of suicide through gendered as well as population health perspectives.

• KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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• v.66 no.4
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• pp.289-296
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• 2021

This study aimed to analyze the optimal transplanting date of the floury endosperm rice varieties Hangaru, Seolgeang, Singil, and Baromi2 allowing to reduce the viviparity rate. The viviparity rate rapidly increased with the mean temperature during the ripening stage. Therefore, to reduce the viviparity rate, we calculated the optimum heading date based on the safe heading date limit in each area so that the ripening stage occurred at lower temperatures. hen, the effects of changes in heading date were monitored by recording the transplanting date and the temperature during the growth period. The transplanting date was highly correlated with the number of heading days in the field. Therefore, the optimum transplanting date was calculated according to the transplanting date in each area. When the accumulated temperature was 700℃, if floury rice was transplanted at the optimum transplanting date, the mean temperature was approximately 20℃. When the accumulated temperature was 900℃, the mean temperature was approximately 18℃. Under these conditions, the viviparity rates of Hangaru, Seolgeang, and Singil rice were lower than 10%. However, Baromi2 showed a high viviparity rate. These results suggest that the viviparity rate of Hangaru, Seolgeang, and Singil rice can be reduced by transplanting at the optimum transplanting date. However, further research is required for pinpointing the optimum transplanting date of Baromi2 rice.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.14 no.12
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• pp.267-281
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• 2016

This study analyzed the contents of articles on GMO in Chosun Ilbo and Hankyoreh from 1994 through 2015 to check the trend of reporting on GMO as a science and technology risk issue. As a result, 'risk' and 'anxiety/concern' were continuously treated as important subjects, and there was a lack of depth and journalist's professionalism in all three periods: 'Introduction of GMO technology (1994-2000)', 'Development of GMO technology (2001-2010)' and 'Social acceptance of GMO (2011-2015).' In a comparison between the media with different ideological goals, the Chosun Ilbo had a stronger new-technological inclination to GMO than the Hankyoreh in reporting topics and tones of arguments. As a result of checking the relation of the tones in reporting with the 'risk-benefit' of GMO, reports in negative tones underlined 'risk' while those in positive tones, 'benefit.' This study could suggest improvements of subject bias and unprofessionalism in the domestic science journalism, the barometer of public awareness of disputes over science and technology risk.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.15-21
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• 2011

Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) has been performed in order to decide whether the ILI (in-line inspection) suggested as risk mitigation measure (RMM) from quantitative risk assessment is reasonably practicable. As a result of CBA, we could find out the reasonable intervals of implementation of ILI. In order to assess the benefit, value of preventing a fatality (VPF), which measures value of human life, has been used. The adequate VPF figure of high pressure urban gas pipelines for CBA used in this paper is two billion won. As a result of 2 case studies, we found that the most reasonable intervals of ILI suggested as RMM were 13 years or 15 years.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.54-55
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• 2017

본 연구는 항만에 설치된 방사선감시기의 검색기능 극대화를 위하여 방사선감시기의 검색환경을 분석하고 물류흐름 관점에서 운영환경 개선방안 도출을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구 목적 달성을 위해 원자력안전위원회에서 제시한 방사선 위험화물의 수입 물동량 분석을 수행하여 방사선감시기 설치 타당성을 확보하였다. 문헌조사와 현장 전문가 인터뷰를 통해 항만의 방사선감시기 설치환경 및 운영에 따른 물류 장애요인을 분석하였다. 또한, 항만 내 방사선감시기 설치가 가능한 위치를 3단계(본선하역작업, 야드 이송 및 적재 작업, 게이트 반출)로 구분하여 각 위치별 장 단점을 분석하고 최적의 감시기 설치 위치를 도출하였다. 연구결과, 감시기 설치 위치 단계별 비용, 물류흐름, 관리 운영적 측면을 고려하였을 때, 게이트 반출 단계가 방사선 감시기 설치를 위한 최적위치로 적합한 것으로 확인하였다. 방사선감시기의 운영최적화 방안으로는 첫째, 반출 게이트 내부의 2차 검색부지 확보를 통해 게이트 통과 전 방사선감시기를 통한 화물 검색이 이루어질 수 있도록 해야 한다. 둘째, 화물인도지시서(Delivery Order: D/O)를 활용한 신속한 화물정보 파악을 통해 물류흐름의 방해요인을 제거 할 수 있음을 알 수 있다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.6-7
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• 2017

무인선박의 출현 및 운항 시기가 도래하는 시점에서, 항해사들의 경험적, 정성적 방법으로 항로를 설정하던 기존의 방식이 아니라 정량적 항로 결정 방식 필요성이 제기된다. 본 연구에서는 위험물(HNS) 적재선의 해상교통사고 리스크 기반의 침로 설정을 통해 실시간 데이터 활용에 따라 변화 추정 및 인적 오류를 최소화하여 무인선박 운항 시 활용 가능한 항로 설정 기법을 제안하였다. 항로 주변의 정적 위험(Static Hazard)을 기반한 리스크 평가 방법을 제시하고, Contour map으로 시각화 통해 무인선박뿐 아니라 현존하는 선박에도 적용 가능하여, 사용자 결정에 따라 리스크 기반으로 침로 설정 통해 선박 운항 효율성 및 안전성 확보에 기여할 것으로 기대된다. 본 연구 내용을 토대로 정적 위험뿐 만아니라 선박을 포함한 동적 위험을 반영한 실시간 리스크 기반 항로 설정까지 확장하기 위한 연구가 요구된다.