• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험도 매트릭스

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A study on Risk-based Bridge Performance Evaluation Method for Asset Management (위험도 개념을 적용한 교량 자산관리의 성능평가방법 연구)

  • Choi, Hyun-Ho;Sun, Jong-Wan;Park, Kyung-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.22-32
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    • 2013
  • Generally, asset management procedure consists of exact information collection, decision of service level, analysis of aspiration level, analysis of financial condition and available budget, preparation of asset management plan, and value of modified asset. In this study, for the risk-based asset management, condition assessment and performance measuring, assessment of failure modes and risks, evaluation/selection of treatment options, and implementation of optimum solution are additionally included. For this, bridge inventory and performance measure considering risks are classified and method of quantitative/qualitative performance measure is suggested. Also, evaluation method of risk analysis for bridge asset management is suggested and basic research is carried out for applicable method of risk-based asset management. Using suggested risk procedure and method of risk-based bridge service level evaluation, it is possible to perform resonable asset management. Moreover, it is concluded that the proposed applicable method of risk-based asset management will provide a solution to contribute the development of systematical asset management for optimal decision making and prototype asset management system.

Fire Risk Assessment Based on Weather Information Using Data Mining (데이터마이닝을 이용한 기상정보에 따른 화재 위험 평가)

  • Ryu, Joung Woo;Kwon, Seong-Pil
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2015
  • We propose a weather-related service for fire risk assessment in order to increase fire safety awareness in everyday life. The proposed service offers a fire risk assessment level according to weather forecasts and a degree of fire risk according to fire factors under certain weather conditions. In order to estimate the fire risk, we produced a risk matrix through data mining with a decision tree using investigation data and weather data. Through the proposed service, residents can calculate the degree of fire risk under certain weather conditions using the fire factors around them. In addition, they can choose from various solutions to reduce fire risk. In order to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed services, we developed a system that offers the services. Whenever weather forecasting is carried out by the Korea Meteorological Administration, the system produces the fire risk assessment levels for seven major cities and nine provinces of South Korea in an online process, as well as the fire risk according to fire factors for the weather conditions in each region.

A Study on the Application of Safety Design based on the Risk of Construction Process (건설공정 위험성 기반 설계안전성 활용 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Hyeon-Sung
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.493-501
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to prevent construction safety accidents, and the design safety systems were reviewed. This paper aims to establish as an effective system by looking at the implementation procedures and contents of the design safety review system. Method: We reviewed the purpose and content of the law, accident statistics, etc. for the study. In addition, we looked at the implementation plans for actual construction sites using the 'design safety' assessment process as defined by the Act. Results: We divided it into the data review phase, the risk factor elicitation and alternative setup phase, and the design safety assessment report preparation stage. Conclusion: it is necessary to derive risk factors that take into account the diversity of construction sites. However, the effectiveness of other reports is questioned as they are often copied and written. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen external verification procedures attended by construction safety experts.

Study on key safety hazards and risk assessments for small section utility tunnel in urban areas (도심지 소단면 터널식 공동구의 핵심 안전 위험요소 및 위험성 평가 연구)

  • Seong, Joo-Hyun;Jung, Min-Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.931-946
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    • 2018
  • In line with the increased usability of utility pipe conduits in urban areas, construction and R&D activities of utility tunnel, incorporated with the shield TBM method, are actively under way. The utility tunnels are installed through underground excavation, and thus are relatively weak in terms of construction safety. However, hazards associated with the utility tunnel construction have not been properly identified, despite the introduction of a policy to the 'Design for Safety' for the purpose of reducing accident rates in the construction industry. Therefore, in this study, following the derivation of hazards associated with utility tunnel, these hazards were then used as the basis to uncover key safety hazards requiring extensive management in a field, which were then used to conduct a risk assessment having applied the matrix method so that the results can be utilized in risk assessment during the stages of utility tunnel planning, design, and construction, while also serving as a data reference.

Expert System for FMECA Using Minimal Cut Set and Fuzzy Theory (최소절단집합과 퍼지이론을 이용한 FMECA 전문가 시스템)

  • Kim, Dong-Jin;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Hyung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.342-347
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    • 2009
  • Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) is one of most widely used methods in modern engineering system to investigate potential failure modes and its severity upon the system. While performing FMECA, the experts evaluates criticality and severity of each failure mode and visualize the risk level matrix putting those indices to column and row variable respectably. Which results uncertainty in the result. In order to handle the uncertainty and conclude risk level matrix, this paper proposes a new FMECA procedure using minimal cut set (MCS) and fuzzy theory. Severity is calculated by proposed structural importance while criticality is determined by typical equipment failure rate data from IEEE Std 493. Finally, the risk level is compounded of these indices.

An Analysis of probable precipitation amount in Nakdong River Area for Predicting Flood Risk by Administrative Region (행정구역별 홍수위험전망을 위한 낙동강권역 확률강우량 분석)

  • Seong, Yeon-Jeong;Bastola, Shiksha;Lee, Sanghyup;Kim, Byoungwoo;Jung, Younghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.213-213
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    • 2018
  • 최근 기후변화로 인한 강우 패턴이 변화하고 있으며 강도가 큰 강우의 발생빈도가 높아짐에 따라 홍수의 위험성이 증가하고 있다. 또한, 강우발생의 공간적 이질성이 더욱 증가하는 실정이며, 지역적 강우특성은 각 유역의 지형적 특성과 맞물려 홍수특성을 나타낸다. 이러한 상황은 보다 상세한 지역적 특성을 반영하여 홍수를 대처하는 방어 체계가 요구되며, 행정구역간 강우의 특성을 분석하여 할 필요가 있다. 이와 관련하여 본 연구에서는 낙동강권역에 강우의 지역적 특성을 파악하기 위해, 행정구역별 강우에 대한 빈도분석을 실시하였다. 이를 위하여 과거 기상청의 홍수 예 경보 기준을 분석하였으며, 낙동강권역에 해당되는 70개 행정구역(시,군,구)에 해당되는 기상청 및 국토교통부의 강우관측소의 데이터를 사용하였다. 본 연구 결과는 같은 빈도에서 행정구역별로 강우의 크기가 상당히 달랐으며 특정시기에 발효된 호우특보와 해당 행정구역에 100년 빈도의 강우크기에 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 행정구역별 홍수위험전망 매트릭스를 구축하는데 있어 행정구역별 홍수 위험의 크기를 결정하는데 본 연구 결과가 적용될 수 있다고 판단된다. 또한, 국가 홍수 재해 연구를 진행할 때 유역단위 및 행정구역별 홍수 방어방안을 활용함으로써 관련 연구들의 연구방안에 기본 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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Development of Flood Forecasting and Warning Technique in a Tidal River Using Bayesian Network (감조하천의 Bayesian Network를 활용한 홍수 예·경보 기법 개발)

  • Lee, Myung Jin;Song, Jae Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.422-422
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    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화와 도시화 등의 영향으로 인해 전 지구적으로 홍수 피해의 규모와 홍수발생 빈도가 증가하고 있다. 특히, 전 세계 인구의 약 50% 이상이 거주하고 있는 연안지역의 홍수피해 위험성은 급격히 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 각 국가는 홍수 피해를 저감하고 예방하기 위한 노력을 지속적으로 기울이고 있다. 본 연구에서는 연안지역의 감조하천을 대상으로 홍수 예경보 의사결정기법을 개발하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 감조하천에서 관측된 수위는 조석에 의한 수위(조석 성분), 파고에 의한 수위(파고 성분), 강우에 의한 수위(강우-유출 성분), 그리고 잡음에 의한 수위(잡음 성분)의 4가지 수문 성분으로 구성되어 있다고 정의하였고, 감조하천의 예측 강우 성분에 해당하는 예측 수위를 추정하기 위해 수위-유량 관계 곡선식을 개발하고자 하였다. 또한 각 수문 성분별 위기 경보 단계를 설정하고, Bayesian Network를 활용하여 수문 성분들의 위험을 종합적으로 고려할 수 있는 홍수 예·경보 의사결정 기법을 개발하였다. 3가지 난수 발생 방법에 따라 Bayesian Network 모형을 통해 다양한 수문 조건에 따른 조건부 확률을 산정하였으며, 정확도 검토를 수행한 결과 F-1 Socre가 25.1%, 63.5% 및 82.3%의 정확도를 보였다. 향후 본 연구에서 제시한 방법론을 활용한다면 기상청에서 제공하고 있는 예측 강우 및 GRM 모형을 통해 유출량을 산정하고, 이를 예측 수위로 변환하여 연안 지역의 홍수 위험도 매트릭스를 통해 홍수 예·경보에 대한 의사결정을 수행할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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The Study of Risk Matrix Development for Urban Metro EMU (도시철도차량 적용을 위한 위험도 매트릭스 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2011
  • Risk-based railway safety management has been mandatory in Korea as by relevant laws and regulations enacted since the Railway Safety Act 2004. In particular, the Railway Vehicle Safety Guidance came into effect on Jan 1, 2008 specifies the details of methodology for hazard analysis, risk assessment and safety verification and validation. Fundamentals for success of the risk-based safety management are systematic hazard identification and risk assessment by use of reasonable risk assessment criteria, but the principle of risk-based safety management has not been applied in an effective way to introduction and maintenance of railway vehicle systems because definite risk assessment criteria have not been set down for each railway system or railway network. The purpose of this study is to suggest a risk matrix development principle for risk assessment of domestic urban metro vehicles by analyses of relevant rules and railway operating environment of Korea.

A Study on Geo-morphological Analysis and Risk Assessment Method Using Geospatial Information (지형공간정보를 활용한 지형형태학적 분석 및 위험도 평가 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Byung Ju;Park, Seon Jung;Choi, Il Hoon;Park, Seol Hwa;Park, Seung Min;Seo, Heui Jung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2022
  • Rock platforms and TTP (breakwater) are dangerous environments commonly subject to tidal and high wave energy on the open coast. This paper is a study on risk assessment to provide risk information, which is a representative method for preventing coastal safety accidents. Risk assessment based on geo-morphological information was conducted for the Halmi-Halabi rock platform in Anmyeon-eup, Taean-gun, Chungcheongnam-do. As a result of the risk assessment in 16 directions, the risk was evaluated high in the NE, ENE, S, SSW, and W directions, where there are many sections with slopes exceeding ±20°, and the NW direction was the lowest. Geo-morphology on rock platform is central to understanding what makes one stretch of complex coastline more hazardous than another, and it can be used to create site-specific morphological risk item. In particular, it will be assisting coastal managers in an effort to reduce the number of injuries and drowning incidents by providing hazard information to assess the relative risk.

Risk assessment for inland flooding in a small urban catchment : Focusing on the temporal distribution of rainfall and dual drainage model (도시 소유역 내 내수침수 위험도 평가 : 강우 시간분포 및 이중배수체계 모형을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jaehyun;Park, Kihong;Jun, Changhyun;Oh, Jeill
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.389-403
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    • 2021
  • In this study, dual drainage system based runoff model was established for W-drainage area in G-si, and considering the various rainfall characteristics determined using Huff and Mononobe methods, the degree of flooding in the target area was analyzed and the risk was compared and analyzed through the risk matrix method. As a result, the Monobe method compared to the Huff method was analyzed to be suitable analysis for flooding of recent heavy rain, and the validity of the dynamic risk assessment considering the weight of the occurrence probability as the return period was verified through the risk matrix-based analysis. However, since the definition and estimating criteria of the flood risk matrix proposed in this study are based on the return period for extreme rainfall and the depth of flooding according to the results of applying the dual drainage model, there is a limitation in that it is difficult to consider the main factors which are direct impact on inland flooding such as city maintenance and life protection functions. In the future, if various factors affecting inland flood damage are reflected in addition to the amount of flood damage, the flood risk matrix concept proposed in this study can be used as basic information for preparation and prevention of inland flooding, as well as it is judged that it can be considered as a major evaluation item in the selection of the priority management area for sewage maintenance for countermeasures against inland flooding.