• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험도수준

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Development of a Traffic Accident Prediction Model and Determination of the Risk Level at Signalized Intersection (신호교차로에서의 사고예측모형개발 및 위험수준결정 연구)

  • 홍정열;도철웅
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.155-166
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    • 2002
  • Since 1990s. there has been an increasing number of traffic accidents at intersection. which requires more urgent measures to insure safety on intersection. This study set out to analyze the road conditions, traffic conditions and traffic operation conditions on signalized intersection. to identify the elements that would impose obstructions in safety, and to develop a traffic accident prediction model to evaluate the safety of an intersection using the cop relation between the elements and an accident. In addition, the focus was made on suggesting appropriate traffic safety policies by dealing with the danger elements in advance and on enhancing the safety on the intersection in developing a traffic accident prediction model fir a signalized intersection. The data for the study was collected at an intersection located in Wonju city from January to December 2001. It consisted of the number of accidents, the road conditions, the traffic conditions, and the traffic operation conditions at the intersection. The collected data was first statistically analyzed and then the results identified the elements that had close correlations with accidents. They included the area pattern, the use of land, the bus stopping activities, the parking and stopping activities on the road, the total volume, the turning volume, the number of lanes, the width of the road, the intersection area, the cycle, the sight distance, and the turning radius. These elements were used in the second correlation analysis. The significant level was 95% or higher in all of them. There were few correlations between independent variables. The variables that affected the accident rate were the number of lanes, the turning radius, the sight distance and the cycle, which were used to develop a traffic accident prediction model formula considering their distribution. The model formula was compared with a general linear regression model in accuracy. In addition, the statistics of domestic accidents were investigated to analyze the distribution of the accidents and to classify intersections according to the risk level. Finally, the results were applied to the Spearman-rank correlation coefficient to see if the model was appropriate. As a result, the coefficient of determination was highly significant with the value of 0.985 and the ranks among the intersections according to the risk level were appropriate too. The actual number of accidents and the predicted ones were compared in terms of the risk level and they were about the same in the risk level for 80% of the intersections.

Relation between Health Status and Intake of Soy Isoflavone among Adult Women in Seoul (서울 거주 성인 여성의 대두 이소플라본 섭취와 건강과의 관련성)

  • Lee, Min-June;Sohn, Chun-Young;Park, Ok-Jin
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.218-230
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    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to survey isoflavone intake among adult women in menopause with diseases such as metabolic syndrome and osteoporosis and to analyze the relationship between each of these chronic diseases followed by isoflavone intake and the related health risk index. The average age of the subjects was 49.97 years old, while that of the pre-menopausal subjects was 45.14 years, and the post-menopausal subjects was 55.99 years. The average body mass index (BMI), waist-hip circumference, body fat percentage, blood pressure, blood sugar and blood lipid content of the post-menopausal subjects were higher in significant difference than those of the pre-menopausal subjects. The bone density of the hip and spine in post-menopausal subjects was lower in significant difference than that of the pre-menopausal subjects. After menopause, the subjects had a lower ratio of individuals at risk of anemia when compared with the subjects before menopause, but had higher health risk ratio related to each type of chronic disease, including obesity, hypertension, high cholesterol and osteoporosis than the subjects before menopause. The intake frequency of each soybean food was similar among subjects before/after menopause. The most common soybean based foods consumed by the subjects were soybean, soybean curd and soybean paste. The average daily intake level of isoflavone among subjects before menopause was 25.48 mg, while that of subjects after menopause was 32.25 mg. Evaluation of the distribution of the isoflavone level revealed that the pre-menopausal subjects consumed 3.29~78.36 mg and the post-menopausal subjects consumed 3.18~116.59 mg. The intake level by each individual varied greatly. The pre-menopausal subjects had a low BMI index and systolic blood pressure as much as their isoflavone intake level was high. Additionally, the post-menopausal subjects had a low menarche age and high menopause age when their isoflavone intake level was high, the BMI index and waist-hip circumference ratio was highest among individuals with lowest isoflavone intake level. This study showed that there was a possible relationship between soybean isoflavone intake and health problems such as obesity, high cholesterol, and osteoporosis in women after menopause with diseases such as metabolic syndrome and osteoporosis, even if this relationship was not great.

Traffic Violation Fine Standard by the Severity and the Number of Total/Fatal Accidents (교통/사망 사고 발생건수 및 보도에 의한 범칙금 부과 방안)

  • 이태경;장명순
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 1998
  • 교통사고의 원인은 인적 요인, 차량적 요인, 도로 환경적 요인으로 분류된다. 주어진 도로 환경과 차량 조건하에서는 운전자가 마지막으로 안전을 제어할 책임을 지고 있다. 따라서, 교통사고를 사전에 예방하기 위하여 운전자의 교통법규 위반 행위에 대하여는 도로교통법에 근거하여 징역, 벌금, 구류, 과료, 과태료, 범칙금에 처하고 있다. 교통법규 위반 행위 단속 시에는 교통사고 유발 가능성과 위험도에 따라 단속의 강약을 포함하여 차등화된 처벌이 이루어져야 한다. 교통 범칙금 기준 제시를 위하여 1991~1995년의 5년간 교통사고 및 교통법규 위반을 분석한 결과 전체 교통법규 위반 단속 중 교통사고를 야기하는 동적 위반 행위인 사고관련 위반 행위 단속의 비율이 44%로 일본의 61%에 비해 매우 낮은 수준이다. 따라서 사고유발 가능성에 근거한 교통법규 위반 행위 단속의 강화가 필요하다. 한편 범칙금 부과방안으로 피해도 모형과 빈도 모형을 비교한 결과 교통법규 위반 행위로 인해 발생된 교통사고 비용을 고려한 피해도 모형은 범칙금의 차등화가 분명하지 않고 변별력이 뚜렷이 나타나지 않아 적합하지 않은 것으로 분석되었다. 교통법규 위반 행위에 따른 빈도 모형은 교통사고 건수와 사망사고 건수의 가중치(w)설정을 위해 동적 위반행위가 우리나라와 유사한 일본 자료와 비교한 결과 가중치가 한국=0.7, 일본=0.8일 때 상대적으로 $x^2$가 31.71로 가장 낮게 나타났다. 따라서, 사고건수에 대한 가중치는 0.7로 사망사고에 대한 가중치는 0.3을 적용하였다. 마지막으로 현행 범칙금과 제안된 범칙금을 비교분석하였다.

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A Study of Risk Reduction by SIL(Safety Integrity Level) Determination (SIL(Safety Integrity Level) 선택에 의한 리스크 감소에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jung-Hwan;Kim, Bum-Su;Yang, Jae-Mo;Jang, Chang-Bong;Kim, Min-Seop;Jung, Sang-Yong;Ko, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 2011
  • Modern chemical plants including petroleum refinery and gas industries have evolved into more complex and specialized. In these industrial complexes, it is important to maintain acceptable safety level protecting from various potential disasters caused by fire, explosion and the leakage of toxic materials. Recently possibility and consequence of accidents are increasing in the industrial process. So there is a trade-off between the plant operation efficiency and safety level. In this study SIF(Safety instrument Functions) was incorporated into SIL(Safety Integrity Levels). As a result, the safety level was upgraded by designing resonable allocation of safety instruments.

A study on the estimation of safety in long railway tunnel (장대 철도터널에서의 방재 안전성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Geun;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.287-298
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    • 2007
  • Recently, as the construction of new railway and the relocation of existing line increase, tunnel structures get longer. The railway fire accidents in long tunnel bring large damages of human life and disaster. The interest on safety in long tunnel has been growing and the safety standard for long tunnels is tightening. For that reason, at the planning stage of a long tunnel, the optimum design of safety facility for minimizing the risks and satisfying the safety standard is required. For the reasonable design of a long railway tunnel considering high safety, qualitative estimation for tunnel safely is required. In this study, QRA (Quantitative Risk Analysis) technique is applied to design of a long railway tunnel for assuring the safety function and estimating the risk of safety. The case study for safety design was carried out to verify the QRA technique for two railway tunnels.

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Stability Analysis of Levee by Infiltration Analysis for Watershed (도시하천 유역의 침투해석을 통한 제방의 안정성 평가)

  • Lee, Hoo Sang;Lee, Jea Joon;Heo, Jun Heang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.231-231
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    • 2016
  • 산업혁명 이후 인간사회의 산업화 및 도시화의 가속으로 지구온난화는 기후변화를 야기해 왔으며, 이로 인한 각종 부정적인 영향과 심각성은 날로 커져가고 있는 현실이다. IPCC(Intergoverment Panel on Climate Change)는 기후변화의 주범인 온실가스를 감축할 지라도 기후의 탄성 때문에 앞으로 수세기 이상 계속 진행될 것으로 전망하였으며, 기후변화 영향의 근원적 방지는 불가능하기 때문에 결국 수자원 관리 측면에서도 기후변화에 적응하기 위한 각종 적응전략 개발의 필요성을 강조하였다(IPCC, 2007). 또한, 극한강수의 발현비율이 도시 및 비도시 지역의 구분 없이 과거 30년에 비해 크게 증가하고 있으며 이러한 추세는 수공구조물의 치수안전도 저하에 큰 영향을 준다. 우리나라는 그동안 하천, 유역 홍수저감 시설물과 댐 등 대형 수공구조물에 대한 안전성 평가를 주기적으로 수행해 왔으나 단순히 모니터링을 통하여 현재의 안전기준의 부합 여부만을 판단하는 수준에 그치고 있다. 장래 증가하는 홍수피해에 대처하기 위해서는 다양한 극한강우 및 극한홍수시나리오를 기반으로 시설물 설계기준별 홍수 위험도와 취약성을 평가하고, 극한홍수 방어기준을 재설정하여 현재 설계기준을 제고할 필요가 있으며, 시설물별 안전도 평가와 위험도 저감계획 및 경제성 평가를 종합적으로 고려한 실행프레임워크 개발이 시급한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 SEEP/W 모형을 이용하여 일반적인 하천 제방을 바탕으로 침투해석을 실시하여 그 결과를 이용하여 안정성 평가에 대하여 검토하였다. 또한 기후변화에 따른 도시하천의 수문특성 변화분석 결과를 바탕으로 향후 발생할 수 있는 극치 수문사상의 값을 반영한 설계기준 강화 수방시설 계획 등의 연구에 활용하며, 여러 가지 수문학적 불확실성에 의하여 가변 가능한 도시하천 유역의 취약성 평가 및 위험도 분석을 통한 기후변화 대응과 수공구조물 설계 및 수방전략 수립에 활용하고자 한다.

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Adaptive Window-based Detection of Narcotics and Explosives using IMS Signals in Cargo Containers (화물 컨테이너 내 IMS 신호를 이용한 적응 윈도우 기반 마약 및 폭발물 검출)

  • Ju, Heesong;Kim, Donghyun;Cho, Sungyoon;Park, Kyungwon;Kim, Yangsub;Jeon, Wongi;Kwon, Kiwon
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2022
  • International attempts to smuggle narcotics and explosives using ship or aircraft cargoes are on the rise. With the recent increase in the number of detection cases of narcotics and explosives in Korea, it is important to detect dangerous material (narcotics and explosives) through container searches at ports and airports, which are the main routes. This paper proposes a technique to detect dangerous material in cargo containers using the sampled output signal of ion mobility spectroscopy (IMS). The proposed technique estimates parameters such as a threshold, a window length, and a noise level for ion detection of the target dangerous material by using known materials in the initialization stage. The estimated parameters are used to detect the ions of the dangerous target material inside the containers. The proposed technique can be applied when the peak value of the IMS signal and the ion mobility are varying due to container environments.

The Risk Factors of the Pre-hypertension and Hypertension of Rural Inhabitants in Chungnam-do (충남 농촌 지역 주민의 고혈압 전단계와 고혈압의 위험요인)

  • Eom, Ji-Sook;Lee, Tae-Ryong;Park, Seon-Joo;Ahn, Youn-Jin;Chung, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.742-753
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate risk factors of pre-hypertension and hypertension in rural residents. Nine hundred and ninety four subjects aged 40-70 yrs in Chungnam-do participated in this study. The subjects (n = 824) were classified into three groups of hypertensive, pre-hypertensive, and normotensive according to the Joint National Committee (JNC)-7 criteria. The weight, body mass index (BMI), waist-hip ratio (WHR), and serum total protein, albumin, BUN, and triglyceride (TG) were positively correlated with SBP and DBP. After adjusted by age, sex and BMI, the total protein, albumin and TG were significantly correlated with SBP and DBP (p < 0.01). There was no significant difference in eating habits according to the level of blood pressure. The serum albumin, creatinine, Glu-FBS, Glu-PP l20, and triglyceride were higher in both prehypertensive and hypertensive group than in the normotensive group. However, mean serum cholesterol was not different among three blood pressure groups. In this study, the common risk factors of pre-hypertension and hyper-tension were male, age of fifties, lower education level, ex-smoking, higher drinking frequency, higher BMI, body fat %, waist circumference, WHR, serum albumin and diabetes, even though the degree of risks in these variables were higher in the hypertensive group. The higher BUN was a risk factor of prehypertension, while the family history, prediabetes, serum total protein, Glu-PP l20 and higher alcohol drinking amount were the risk factors of hypertension. This result suggests that maintaining good health habit and normal range of blood parameters as well as controlling body weight have to be paid attention in order to prevent hypertention, and further reseasch on the relationship of blood pressure and BUN are needed.

Risk Factors Affecting Dental Caries in Children (아동의 치아우식증에 영향을 미치는 위험 요인)

  • Hong, Min-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.320-326
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to investigate the risk factors affecting dental caries in children by using the 2018 children's oral health survey data. The study was conducted on 20,235 children who were 12 years of age. The survey items examined general characteristics, dental dietary behavior, the oral condition, and the behavioral factors related to oral health. The results showed that gender, region, economic level, subjective oral health condition, dental dietary behavior, oral condition and oral health-related behavior were all risk factors. Those children with oral conditions particularly showed a higher risk of the dental caries symptoms of dental calculus, dental bleeding, tooth pain and white spot teeth. The oral health-related behaviors were found to be tooth brushing less than two times a day, the risk of not using a handle to hold dental floss and not using dental floss. Our results showed that countries or communities can diagnose and manage dental well-being early on for children with the highest sensitivity of dental health and they need to continue to establish a dental well-being management system for the oral health care of children. In addition, oral health education should be expanded, which can improve oral health care habits of children and adolescents. Further, an oral health policy system for improving community programs to prevent dental and community utilization is needed.

Testing the SERVQUAL scale and Perceived risk in the Internet Shopping-mall (인터넷쇼핑몰의 서비스품질차원과 지각된 위험에 관한연구)

  • Chung, Ki-Han;Oh, Jae-Sin
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.7
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    • pp.239-259
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze service quality factors that consumers perceive during their purchasing product on Internet Shopping Mall. The study defines the characteristic quality dimensions of Internet Shopping Mall by adding three dimensions consisting of convenience, security and entertainment to PZB's SERVQUAL scale. Consumers' purchase process on Internet Shopping Mall is examined by finding the relation between their perceived risk factor and repurchase intention. The study results show that consumers' higher appraisal degree on service quality means their higher repurchase intentions, their lower perceived risks degree. The repurchase intentions and the perceived risks degree have negative correlation. The more consumers have experienced buying on Internet Shopping Mall, the higher consumer assess service quality, they have higher repurchase intention and lower perceived risk. The most basic contribution is that new service quality dimensions, which is able to clarify service quality on Cyber Mall, is identified with the established PZB(I988; 1991)'s SERVQUAL dimensions.

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