• Title/Summary/Keyword: 우도비 검정통계량

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Convergence Rate of Newton-Raphson Method (뉴톤-랩슨 반복법의 점근비율)

  • 이관제
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.319-328
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    • 1993
  • The actual convergence rate of Newton-Raphson iteration method at each step is studied under the regularity conditions for the limiting distribution: The convergence rate of it is accelerated with good starting values. Hence we can decide a number of iterations according to our purposes.

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A study on change-points in simple linear regression (단순선형회귀에서의 변화점에 대한 연구)

  • 정광모;한미혜
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 1992
  • A testing and estimation procedure is considered for changes at unknown time point in simple linear regression model. A test statistic of quadratic form is suggested. We also discuss the asymptotic distribution and its level control. The proposed method is compared with the likelihood ratio test through a example.

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Statistical Outliers in Florida Counties at the Presidential Election 2000 (2000년 미국대선 플로리다주의 투표결과 분석)

  • 김현철
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2002
  • We searched out in the votes data of the State of Florida at presidential election 2000. We used a multivariate regression analysis. We got there were several outliers including Palm Beach County. It means that we should analyze the number of disqualified ballots which were double-punched as well as the votes, to insist the " Butterfly Ballot" made Palm Beach outlier.

Application Study of Nonstationary GEV Model for Annual Maximum Precipitation Data using AICc and BIC (AICc와 BIC를 이용한 비정상성 GEV 모형의 적용)

  • Kim, Hanbeen;Kim, Sooyoung;Kim, Taereem;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.143-143
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    • 2015
  • 기존의 빈도해석에서는 자료의 정상성을 가정하며, 이에 따라 적정모형 선정 시에 $x^2$ 검정이나 PPCC(Probability Plot Correlation Coefficient)검정과 같은 적합도 검정방법을 사용한다. 하지만 자료에서 경향성이 나타나거나 평균, 분산, 매개변수 등이 시간에 따라 변하는 등의 비정상성 현상들이 관측됨에 따라 비정상성 빈도해석에 관한 연구들이 활발히 진행되고 있다. 비정상성 빈도해석에서는 시간항과 같은 공변량이 포함된 매개변수를 가지는 비정상성 모형을 적용하게 되는데, 시간에 따라 매개변수가 계속 변하므로 매개변수에 따라 검정통계량이 고정되어 있는 기존의 적합도 검정방법의 적용이 어렵다. 따라서 비정상성 빈도해석의 적정 모형 선정에 적용할 수 있는 방법으로 최우도 함수에 기반한 모형 평가 방법인 AIC와 BIC가 추천되고 있으며 자료길이가 충분하지 않은 경우에는 AIC 대신하여 AICc의 사용이 추천되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 극치사상을 나타내는데 적합한 분포형인 GEV분포형의 위치, 규모 매개변수를 시간항으로 나타낸 다양한 비정상성 GEV모형에 대하여 Monte-Carlo 모의실험을 통해 AICc와 BIC의 적용성을 검토하였으며, 비정상성이 관측되는 실측 자료에 적용해보았다.

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A Study on the Asymmetric Volatility in the Korean Bond Market (채권시장 변동성의 비대칭적 반응에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Seok
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.93-108
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    • 2009
  • This study examines the asymmetric volatility in the Korean bond market and stock market by using the KTB Prime Index and KOSPI. Because accurate estimation and forecasting of volatility is essential before investing assets, it is important to understand the asymmetric response of volatility in bond market. Therefore I investigate the existence of asymmetric volatility in Korean bond market unlike the previous studies which mainly focused on stock returns. The main results of the empirical analysis with GARCH and GJR-GARCH model are as follow. At first, it exists the asymmetric volatility on KOSPI returns like the previous studies. Also, I find that the GJR-GARCH is more suitable one than GARCH model for forecasting volatility. Second, it does not exist the asymmetric volatility on KTB Prime Index returns. This result is showed by that using the GARCH model for forecasting volatility in bond market is sufficient.

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Detecting an Outlier in 2X2 Bioequivalence Trial (2X2 생물학적 동등성 시험에서 이상치 검출을 위한 통계적 방법)

  • Jeong, Gyu-Jin;Park, Sang-Gue;Woo, Hwa-Hyoung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.745-751
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    • 2009
  • Outlying or extreme observations are defined to be subject data for which one or more bioavailability measures are discordant with corresponding data for that subject and/or for the rest of the subjects in a study. The presence of outlying observations can have very serious consequences on the conclusions resulting from a bioequivalence study. Two statistical methods are proposed by generalizing the current well known methods and an illustrated example is presented with discussion.

Testing Independence in Contingency Tables with Clustered Data (집락자료의 분할표에서 독립성검정)

  • 정광모;이현영
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.337-346
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    • 2004
  • The Pearson chi-square goodness-of-fit test and the likelihood ratio tests are usually used for testing independence in two-way contingency tables under random sampling. But both of these tests may provide false results for the contingency table with clustered observations. In this case we consider the generalized linear mixed model which includes random effects of clustering in addition to the fixed effects of covariates. Both the heterogeneity between clusters and the dependency within a cluster can be explained via generalized linear mixed model. In this paper we introduce several types of generalized linear mixed model for testing independence in contingency tables with clustered observations. We also discuss the fitting of these models through a real dataset.

Ubiquitous Data Mining Using Hybrid Support Vector Machine (변형된 Support Vector Machine을 이용한 유비쿼터스 데이터 마이닝)

  • Jun Sung-Hae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.312-317
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    • 2005
  • Ubiquitous computing has had an effect to politics, economics, society, culture, education and so forth. For effective management of huge Ubiquitous networks environment, various computers which are connected to networks has to decide automatic optimum with intelligence. Currently in many areas, data mining has been used effectively to construct intelligent systems. We proposed a hybrid support vector machine for Ubiquitous data mining which realized intelligent Ubiquitous computing environment. Many data were collected by sensor networks in Ubiquitous computing environment. There are many noises in these data. The aim of proposed method was to eliminate noises from stream data according to sensor networks. In experiment, we verified the performance of our proposed method by simulation data for Ubiquitous sensor networks.

Analysis of Violent Crime Count Data Based on Bivariate Conditional Auto-Regressive Model (이변량 조건부자기회귀모형을이용한강력범죄자료분석)

  • Choi, Jung-Soon;Park, Man-Sik;Won, Yu-Bok;Kim, Hag-Yeol;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.413-421
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we considered bivariate conditional auto-regressive model taking into account spatial association as well as correlation between the two dependent variables, which are the counts of murder and burglary. We conducted likelihood ratio test for checking over-dispersion issues prior to applying spatial poisson models. For the real application, we used the annual counts of violent crimes at 25 districts of Seoul in 2007. The statistical results are visually illustrated by geographical information system.

Hybrid Statistical Learning Model for Intrusion Detection of Networks (네트워크 침입 탐지를 위한 변형된 통계적 학습 모형)

  • Jun, Sung-Hae
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.10C no.6
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    • pp.705-710
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    • 2003
  • Recently, most interchanges of information have been performed in the internet environments. So, the technuque, which is used as intrusion deleting tool for system protecting against attack, is very important. But, the skills of intrusion detection are newer and more delicate, we need preparations for defending from these attacks. Currently, lots of intrusion detection systemsmake the midel of intrusion detection rule using experienced data, based on this model they have the strategy of defence against attacks. This is not efficient for defense from new attack. In this paper, a new model of intrusion detection is proposed. This is hybrid statistical learning model using likelihood ratio test and statistical learning theory, then this model can detect a new attack as well as experienced attacks. This strategy performs intrusion detection according to make a model by finding abnomal attacks. Using KDD Cup-99 task data, we can know that the proposed model has a good result of intrusion detection.