• Title/Summary/Keyword: 외생적 위기

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Macro Factors Affecting Corporate Venture Capital Investments: Effects of Industrial Boom, Exogenous Crisis, Economic Growth, Competition Intensity (기업벤처캐피탈 투자에 미치는 거시적 요인의 영향: 산업 호황, 외생적 위기, 경제 성장, 경쟁 강도를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Doyoon;Shin, Dongyoub
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2021
  • This paper inquires the macro-economic factors that may affect the corporate venture capital (CVC) from an industrial organization theory perspective. Unlike existing studies focusing CVC investments related to parent corporates' strategic intention, we identified CVC firm as an independent financial investor affected by macro environment and industrial structure. Specifically, we empirically investigate whether and how industry's boom, exogenous crisis, economic growth, and competition intensity affect the CVC investment for a data set of investment in the U.S. based corporate venture capital industry, 1996-2017. The empirical data analyzed in the study contained a total of 84 U.S. based CVC firms and their 2,306 investments from 1996 until 2017. After conducting a time-series negative binomial analysis, our empirical analyses suggest that the CVC investments are affected negatively by exogenous crisis and competition intensity, and positively by industrial boom and economic growth. we found the significance and direction of our independent variables strongly supported all of our four hypotheses in a highly robust manner. The results of this study are expected to contribute the literatures of corporate venture capital and venture investment by illustrating which macro-economic and industrial structure factors affect CVC investment decision to adapt to dynamic environmental change beside strategic intention of CVC firm's parent corporates.

A Study on Control Effectiveness of Enterprise Risk Management Level Relation with Technology Innovation & New Product Development Outcome (기술혁신수준과 신제품개발성과 관계에서 전사적 위험관리 수준 조절효과 연구 - 연구개발, 생산, 마케팅의 전략적 운영부문 위험관리수준의 조절효과 중심 -)

  • Lee, Kwang-Soo;Ree, Sang-Bok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.277-278
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    • 2009
  • 기술은 기업에 있어서 없어서는 안되는 소중한 무형자산이다. 현대의 기업은 재무적 경쟁요소에서는 비교적 유사한 행태를 보이고 있으며 기업간 차별성이 거의 없다. 하지만 무형적 가치인 기술은 그 기업의 존재의 의미를 부여하는 매우 중요한 요소이다. 많은 기업들이 기술개발에 많은 시간과 비용을 들이고 있으나 그 성공확율은 10%가 채 안되는 실정이므로 신제품개발 실패시 기업에게 적지 않은 타격을 입히게 된다. 특히 중소기업의 경우 개발한 것은 무조건 성공을 시켜야 하는 어려움에 처해 있다. 이런 위험이외에 외생적 경영환경변수로 인하여 더욱 더 기업들은 위기와 위험에 노출되어 있으므로 기업들은 전사적위험관리(ERM)시스템 도입을 통해 기업의 재무건전성, 최적의 투자전략, 현금흐름, 위기로 부터의 관리가 필요하다 하겠다. 본 연구에서는 기술혁신기업에 있어서 전사적위험관리 도입의 필요성을 제시하고자 한다.

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금융위기 전후의 시장간 동태적 균형관계 분석

  • Kwak, Jong-Mu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.191-212
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    • 1999
  • 1997년에 우리 나라는 외환충격으로 인한 금융위기 속에서 시장가격이 급격하게 변동하였다. 이로 인해 차익거래를 가능하게 하는 차입과 대출이 크게 제약되었고, 이것은 시장간 균형관계에 중요한 영향을 줄 수 있다. 이에 이러한 금융위기에서도 주요 시장간의 균형관계가 유지되었는지를 검정하는 것이 이 연구의 목적이다. 분석자료로 KOSPI 200 현물 종가 및 선물 결제가격, 연간 회사채 수익률, 양도성 예금 연간이자율, 기준환율의 일일 자료를 사용하였다. 1996년 5월 3일부터 1998년 5월 21일까지의 기간을 외환충격에 의한 금융위기 전, 중, 후의 3단계로 구분하여 각 단계별로 백터오차수정모형 분석과 충격반응분석을 하였다. 금융위기 이전인 제1단계에서는 5개 내생변수간의 균형관계가 존재하였다. 금융위기가 급속하게 진행된 제2단계에서는 균형관계가 존재하지 않았다. 그러나 주가지수, 주가지수 선물가격 및 기준환율 변수를 내생변수로 하고, 나머지 변수를 외생변수로 분석한 경우에는 균형관계가 존재하였다. 금융위기 진정단계인 제3단계에서는 5개 내생변수간의 균형관계가 성립하였다.

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Ectomycorrhizal Fungal Diversity on Abies korea and Taxus cuspidata at Two Altitudes in Mt. Halla (고도에 따른 한라산 구상나무와 주목의 외생균근균 다양성 비교)

  • Lee, Ji-Eun;Eom, Ahn-Heum
    • The Korean Journal of Mycology
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.199-208
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the community structures of the ectomycorrhizal (ECM) fungi in the roots of Abies koreana and Taxus cuspidata were investigated at different altitudes of Mt. Halla. We identified the collected ECM root tips based on morphological characteristics and phylogenetic analysis through sequencing of the rDNA ITS regions. From the roots of A. koreana and T. cuspidata, 11 species and 12 species were identified, respectively. The Shannon's index and species evenness and abundance of the ECM fungi were higher in the higher than lower regions, regardless of host plant species, however, the number of ECM root tips showed the opposite pattern. The community similarity among the ECM fungi in A. koreana was significantly higher than that among the ECM fungi in T. cuspidata or than that between A. koreana and T. cuspidata (p < 0.05). These results could be useful for the conservation and management of the habitat of A. koreana, which is threatened with extinction due to increasing ambient air temperature.

원유가격(原油價格) 하락(下落)의 거시경제적(巨視經濟的) 효과(效果)에 관한 연구(硏究)

  • Son, Yang-Hun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.207-225
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    • 1999
  • 최근의 경제위기가 진행되는 과정에서 국제원유가가 급속하게 하락하고 있다. 거시경제적으로 볼 때 원유가의 하락은 생산측면에서 요소가격의 하락, 수요측면에서는 상대가격의 변동이라는 상호작용을 유도하게 된다. 본 연구는 연산일반균형모형(computable general equilibrium : CGE)을 구축하고 외생변수의 영향에 대한 모의실험을 하여 거시경제적인 측면에서 정량적인 효과를 측정하는데 목적이 있다. 신고전학파적인 이론에 기초한 CGE모형을 설정하고 국제원유가가 32.8% 하락한 외생적인 충격에 대하여 모의실험한 결과는 다음과 같다. 원유가 하락은 GDP성장률을 약 l.59% 상승시키고 물가가 l.2% 하락하는 거시경제적 측면에서 긍정적인 효과를 가져오는 것으로 계산된다. 또한 에너지 수입이 전체 무역에서 큰 비중을 차지하고 있기 때문에 국제수지의 측면에서도 약 47억 달러 개선효과를 가지는 것으로 나타난다. 상대가격의 변동은 산업별로 다른 효과를 가지는데 에너지를 집약적으로 투입하는 산업을 중심으로 산업별 생산량과 가격에서 상이한 효과를 보이는 것으로 나타났다.

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A Study on the Effect of Household Loans on Financial Soundness in Banks (주택담보대출이 국내은행의 재무건전성에 미치는 영향)

  • Huang, Zi Xin;Bae, Soo Hyun
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of household loan share on bank management soundness. The results of the empirical analysis are summarized as follows. First, as a result of estimating coefficient of the mortgage loan ratio shows a significant negative relationship with the BIS equity capital ratio of banks. In addition, it was found that the mortgage loan ratio had a significant positive (+) effect on Eunhae's BIS and equity capital ratio after the financial crisis. Second, as a result of the estimation coefficient of the mortgage ratio showed a significant positive (+) relationship with the NPL of the bank and below. In addition, it is estimated that the bank's secured loan ratio changed significantly before and after the financial crisis in the effect of banks' NPL and substandard-and-below loans. It is expected to make implication to financial policy and banking regulation and supervision. We believe that more efforts should be made to increase the soundness of household loans in preparation for risk factors that may arise from exogenous factors such as changes in the international financial environment and falling property prices.

Estimation of Shared Bicycle Demand Using the SARIMAX Model: Focusing on the COVID-19 Impact of Seoul (SARIMAX 모형을 이용한 공공자전거 수요추정과 평가: 서울시의 COVID-19 영향을 중심으로)

  • Hong, Jungyeol;Han, Eunryong;Choi, Changho;Lee, Minseo;Park, Dongjoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.10-21
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed how external variables, such as the supply policy of shared bicycles and the spread of infectious diseases, affect the demand for shared bicycle use in the COVID-19 era. In addition, this paper presents a methodology for more accurate predictions. The Seasonal Auto-Regulatory Integrated Moving Average with Exogenous stressors methodology was applied to capture the effects of exogenous variables on existing time series models. The exogenous variables that affected the future demand for shared bicycles, such as COVID-19 and the supply of public bicycles, were statistically significant. As a result, from the supply volume and COVID-19 outbreak according to the scenario, it was estimated that approximately 46,000 shared bicycles would be supplied by 2022, and the COVID-19 cases would continue to be at the current level. In addition, approximately 32 million and 45 million units per year will be needed in 2021 and 2024, respectively.

Estimating the Structure of the Short and the Long Run Variations in the Domestic Youth Unemployment (국내 청년실업의 단.장기 변동구조 추정)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2008
  • The government employment statistics show the close comovement of the whole domestic unemployment rate with the youth unemployment rate for the past 10 years, implying the dominant influence of the unemployment of the youth age. This study investigates the structure of the short-run variation and the process of the long-run adjustment in the unemployment rates of the youth and middle ages by formulating the dynamic equation system. The estimation result consistently reflects the vulnerability of the youth class in the aggravation of the employment condition. The effect of exogenous changes is found to be persistent in the unemployment rates of both ages, which appear to have similar structures of the long-run time path. However, the youth unemployment rate turns out to have a relatively long adjustment process to the long-run equilibrium.

Designs for Self-enforcing International Environmental Coordination (원유공급 위기의 경제적 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Gyeong Lyeob;Sonn, Yang-Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.27-63
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    • 2007
  • Using the CGE model, this paper investigates economic impacts of a shortage in crude oil resulting from voluntary export restraints, OPEC's agreement of a cut in oil production, and/or a storing on speculation. Unlike most previous studies considering oil price as the unpredictable variable, this study constructs the model to determine the oil price endogenously under the condition of an insufficient supply of crude oil. According to IEA's extraordinary steps for a shortage of crude oil, we investigate an economic impact of 7~12% shortage below the level of business as usual. The results show that oil price soars by 17.3~33.5%, the rate of economic growth falls by 0.52~0.96%p, and the consumer price index(CPI) rises by 0.8~1.51%p. These results imply that increasing in 1%p of oil price results in decreasing in 0.03%p of economic growth and increasing in 0.045%p of consumer price index. The production of electricity declines because of the increase in production cost. A shortage of crude oil has an effect on sources of electricity. Most reduction in electricity generation occurs from the reduction in the thermal power generation which is highly dependent on crude oil. The shortage of crude oil causes demand for petroleum to significantly decline but demand for coal and heat to increase because of the substitution effect with petroleum. Demand for gas rise in the first year but falls from the second year.

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Analysis on the Spillover Effect of Firm's R&D Investment (기업 내 연구개발투자의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Jung, Kun-Oh;Lim, Eung-Soon;Kim, Myeong Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.698-705
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    • 2014
  • R&D investment has rised in recent years. Korea's R&D budget is 43.8 trillion won which is 3.74% adjusted gross domestic product in 2010. Technological advances and technical inovation will bring productivity growth to Firm and Firm's productivity growth will increase GDP in sequence. Therefore the importance of study on the Firm's R&D industry is getting growing. In this study we attempt to analyse the economic impact of the Firm's R&D industry through several years using an inter-industry analysis. Specifically, this study analyze production-inducing effect, value added inducing effect, and employ-inducing effect based on demand-driven model. The analysed results of year from 1995 to 2009, the Firm's R&D investment increases production-inducing effect, value added inducing effect, and employ-inducing effect with the course of time. This means that influence of the Firm's R&D industry has increased.