• Title/Summary/Keyword: 오차 해석

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Improving Reliabilities of Dam Displacement based on Monitoring Given Points by Total Station (기준점 측량을 활용한 광파기 기반 댐 제체 변위 계측 신뢰도 향상)

  • Kang, Gi-Chun;Kim, Bong-Jae;Hong, Seok-Woo;Yim, Yeon-Chool;Kim, Ji-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2017
  • Displacement of dams by various instrumentations has been monitored for its safety management and analyzing the behavior after a dam collapse accident. However, unknown displacement of dam has frequently been occurred and it's difficult to analyze behavior of dams more accurately. In this study, improvement of reliabilities for displacement of dams measured by a total station was suggested by calibrating the monitoring system. The position of total station was initially measured through 2-3 given points and the coordinate of the total station was considered as an absolute value. Also, base horizontal and vertical angles had not been considered even if they are important factors when displacement was estimated. In this study, location of the total station and variations of base horizontal and vertical angles were investigated during measuring displacements of targeting points. From the results of this study, they are important factors which are affecting measurements of dam displacements. Before the calibrating, the displacement at 50 m from total station was ${\pm}20mm$. After the calibrating, the displacement was decreased by ${\pm}5mm$.

Load Sharing Ratios Between the Cortex and Centrum in a Lumbar Vertebral Body with aging using Finite Element Method (유한 요소 법을 이용한 노화에 따른 요추의 피질 골과 해면 골 간의 하중 분담 비율)

  • Lim, JongWan
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.90-103
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    • 2016
  • This research was aimed to analyze load sharing ratios between cortical shell and trabecular bone of a degraded lumbar vertebra with aging, and also evaluate elastic moduli assigned into an FE model, using finite element method. For the better analysis of trabecular bone, effective elastic moduli, that is, nominal elastic moduli divided by the volumetric porosities was used. The elastic moduli of the cortical shell suitable for the trabecular bone were obtained from the equations on the basis of idealized stress-strain relations, including areal porosities. To minimize numerical errors, p-element was used. Using eight parameters that refer to some published papers, the geometry of L3 with a removed posterior part. After the constant compressive displacement was applied, the load sharing ratios were obtained by using both every elastic strain energy and every vertical force between two bones in each 8-volume. As results, 1) according to an increase in age from 20-year to 80-year, load sharing ratios of trabecular bone decreased from 55% to 49%; 2) the maximal ratios of each bone were occurred in the mid-plane of centrums and the endplate of cortical shells, respectively; 3) effective elastic moduli assigned into a porous centrum/cortex were found to be adequate; 4) for load sharing ratios, the difference of two methods showed that the total ratios were almost same within less than 1% but the partial ratios at every depth were more or less different each other.

Option Pricing and Sensitivity Evaluation Methodology: Improvement of Speed and Accuracy (옵션 가치 및 민감도 평가 방법: 속도와 정확도 개선에 대한 고찰)

  • Choi, Young-Soo;Oh, Se-Jin;Lee, Won-Chang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.563-585
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents how to improve the efficiency and accuracy in the pricing and sensitivity evaluation for derivatives, since the need for the evaluation of complicated derivatives is increased. The Monte Carlo(MC) simulation using the quasi random number instead of pseudo random number can improve the elapsed time and accuracy for the valuation of European-type derivatives. However, the quasi MC simulation method has its limit for applying it in the multi-dimensional case such as American-type and path-dependent options due to the increased correlation between dimensions as the dimension of random numbers is increased. In order to complement this problem, we develop a modified method in which correlation values are controlled to be below a pre-specified value. Thus, this method is applicable for the pricing of either derivatives ill which underlying assets or risk factors are several or derivatives having path-dependent or early redemption property. Furthermore, we illustrate that it is important to take an appropriate grid interval for the use of finite difference method(FDM) by applying the FDM to one example of non-symmetrical butterfly spreads.

A study on the difference and calibration of empirical influence function and sample influence function (경험적 영향함수와 표본영향함수의 차이 및 보정에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Hyunseok;Kim, Honggie
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.527-540
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    • 2020
  • While analyzing data, researching outliers, which are out of the main tendency, is as important as researching data that follow the general tendency. In this study we discuss the influence function for outlier discrimination. We derive sample influence functions of sample mean, sample variance, and sample standard deviation, which were not directly derived in previous research. The results enable us to mathematically examine the relationship between the empirical influence function and sample influence function. We can also consider a method to approximate the sample influence function by the empirical influence function. Also, the validity of the relationship between the approximated sample influence function and the empirical influence function is also verified by the simulation of random sampled data in normal distribution. As the result of a simulation, both the relationship between the two influence functions, sample and empirical, and the method of approximating the sample influence function through the emperical influence function were verified. This research has significance in proposing a method that reduces errors in the approximation of the empirical influence function and in proposing an effective and practical method that proceeds from previous research that approximates the sample influence function directly through empirical influence function by constant revision.

Flood Simulation using Vflo and Radar Rainfall Adjustment Data by Statistical Objective Analysis (통계적 객관 분석법에 의한 레이더강우 보정 및 Vflo를 이용한 홍수모의)

  • Noh, Hui Seong;Kang, Na Rae;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the use of radar rainfall data that can help tracking of the development and movement of rainfall's spatial distribution is drawing much attention in hydrology. The reliability of existing radar rainfall compared to gauge rainfall data on the ground has not yet been confirmed and so we have difficulties to apply the radar rainfall in hydrology. The radar rainfall for the applications in hydrology are adjusted merging method derived from gage. This study uses the Mean-Field Bias (MFB) and Statistical Objective Analysis (SOA) as correction methods to create adjusted grid-based radar rainfall data which can represent the temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall. This study used a storm event occurred in August 2010 for the adjustment of radar rainfall. In addition, the grid-based distributed rainfall-runoff model (Vflo), which enables more detailed examinations of spatial flux changes in the basin rather than the lumped hydrological models, has been applied to Gamcheon river basin which is a tributary of Nakdong River located in south-eastern part of the Korean peninsular and the basin area is $1005km^2$. The simulated runoff was compared with the observed runoff in an attempt to evaluate the usability of radar rainfall data and the reliability of the correction methods. The error range of peak discharge using each correction method was within 20 percent and the efficiency of the model was between 60 and 80 percent. In particular, the SOA method showed better results than MFB method. Therefore, the SOA method could be used for the adjustment of grid-based radar rainfall and the adjusted radar rainfall can be used as an input data of rainfall-runoff models.

Analysis of Confidence Interval of Design Wave Height Estimated Using a Finite Number of Data (한정된 자료로 추정한 설계파고의 신뢰구간 분석)

  • Jeong, Weon-Mu;Cho, Hong-Yeon;Kim, Gunwoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 2013
  • It is estimated and analyzed that the design wave height and the confidence interval (hereafter CI) according to the return period using the fourteen-year wave data obtained at Pusan New Port. The functions used in the extreme value analysis are the Gumbel function, the Weibull function, and the Kernel function. The CI of the estimated wave heights was predicted using one of the Monte-Carlo simulation methods, the Bootstrap method. The analysis results of the estimated CI of the design wave height indicate that over 150 years of data is necessary in order to satisfy an approximately ${\pm}$10% CI. Also, estimating the number of practically possible data to be around 25~50, the allowable error was found to be approximately ${\pm}$16~22% for Type I PDF and ${\pm}$18~24% for Type III PDF. Whereas, the Kernel distribution method, a typical non-parametric method, shows that the CI of the method is below 40% in comparison with the CI of the other methods and the estimated design wave height is 1.2~1.6 m lower than that of the other methods.

Stable Channel Design for the Gravel-bed River Considering Design Constraints (설계구속인자를 고려한 자갈하상 하천의 안정하도 설계)

  • Ji, Un;Jang, Eun-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.2860-2867
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    • 2015
  • Stable channel design is to determine the width, depth and slope for satisfying the condition that the upstream incoming sediment rate is equal to the sediment transport rate at the design channel. Therefore, the most sensitive variable when designing a stable channel is the selection of a sediment transport equation applied for the channel design. Especially if in the case of gravel beds the designer uses the equation developed by using the data of sand rivers, the calculation result of the stable channel section has large errors. In this study, the stable channel design has been applied to the gravel bed river using the previous stable channel design program with newly added the sediment transport equation for gravel beds; and the stable channel section considering design constraints has been produced by using the analytical method. As results, in the case of the application with the fixed width, the depth predicted by Ackers and White's equation was the shallowest and Meyer-Peter and $M\ddot{u}ller's$ equation was 0.8 m deeper than the current section of 2.4 m. In the case of the application with the fixed depth, the width predicted by Engelund and Hansen's equation was twice wider than the current section and by Meyer-Peter and $M\ddot{u}ller's$ equation was 20 m wider than the current section of 44 m.

The Influence Factors on the Compensation of Column Shortening in Tall Buildings (초고층 건물의 Column Shortening보정에 미치는 영향요소)

  • Mun, Il-Won;Choi, Ki-Bong
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.208-215
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    • 2018
  • The causes of column shrinkage and the codes that have been studied up to now are discussed. The documents mentioned in the code deal with the drying shrinkage, creep, compressive strength and elastic modulus of the specimen, and the elastic deformation calculated from the structural analysis. However, the deformation due to the temperature caused by the long term monitoring is less than that caused by the factors generated by the previous studies. In the previous studies, it was found that dehydration shrinkage, creep, and elastic deformation were not considered for temperature-induced deformation, while for the specimen experiments, the temperature-related items were replaced with the humidity-related terms The compensation value by the proposed equation showed error of 4.9 mm in the upper direction and 1.0mm in the lower direction when calculating column shortening, and it was found that its value by the proposed equation almost coincided with the measurement value in Site. Therefore, it is necessary to further study the temperature that can be omitted in calculating the existing column shortening, to consider the influence factors, and to supplement the criteria for the temperature measurement of the structure as well as the specimen tests.

Business Model of Data Service in Broadcasting and Communication Convergence (유비쿼터스시대 방송과 통신의 컨버전스 데이터 서비스 비즈니스 모델)

  • Jung, Chang-Duk;Lee, Ji-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.245-249
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    • 2006
  • 디지털 컨버전스와 유비쿼터스 시대의 시작은 디지털 미디어 기술의 발전과 방송 통신 사업의 컨버전스를 가속화 시켰으며, 그 결과로DMB, WCDHA, Wibro, IP-TV, HSDPA 등의 새로운 형태의 차세대 제품과 서비스들이 뉴미디어 매체의 핵심으로 등장하고 있다. 국내에서 방송 통신의 컨버전스의 빠른 진행은 세계 최초로 디지털 멀티미디어 방송(DMB) 서비스 시작을 가능하게 하였다. DMB 서비스는 멀티미디어 서비스가 핵심이다. DMB 데이터 서비스인 Broadcasting Website Service(BWS)는 현재 지상파 DMB방송 사업자인 KBS, MBC, SBS, YTNDMB가 본방송 준비 막바지 단계이며, 삼성 전자와 LG전자를 비롯한 단말기 개발사들도 데이터 서비스를 위한 제품 출시에 서두르고 있는 등 DMB 산업의 활성화의 주역이 될 것으로 예상된다. DMB의 데이터 서비스는 뉴스, 날씨, 프로그램 정보 등의 단순 정보보기 수준에 그치지 않고, 리턴 채널을 이용한 양방향 서비스와, SMS, 전화걸기 등 휴대전화 단말의 고유기능과의 연계를 통한 다양한 서비스도 선보일 것이다. 더 나아가 향후 T-Commerce와 개인 광고 등 새로운 비즈니스 모델과 사업영역으로 확산시켜 나갈 수 있을 것이다. 그러나, 아직까지 DMB와 데이터 서비스는 초기단계로서, 표준 기술의 규격 작업, 이론적 논의들, 관련 사업자들의 비즈니스 준비 등에서 검토되어, 실제 사용자들을 대상으로한 연구 분석이 이루어 지지 않았다는 연구의 한계를 가지고 있다. 본격적으로 방송, 통신 컨버전스 데이터 서비스가 시작되면서, 사용자들에 초점을 맞춘 많은 연구가 이루어지길 바라며, 이러한 연구의 분석를 통해 또 다른 새로운 서비스와 비즈니스 기회의 창출을 기대해 본다.여 RD(Rate Distortion) 최적화 기반 모드 결정을 빨리 완료함으로써 고속 프레임간 모드 결정을 가능하게 한다. 제안된 방법은 프레임 간 모드 결정을 고속화함으로써 스케일러블 비디오 부호화기의 연산량과 복잡도를 최대 57%감소시킨다. 그러나 연산량 감소에 따른 비트율의 증가나 화질의 열화는 최대 1.74% 비트율 증가 및 0.08dB PSNR 감소로 무시할 정도로 작다., 반드시 이에 대한 검증이 필요함을 알 수 있었다. 현지관측에 비해 막대한 비용과 시간을 절약할 수 있는 위성영상해석방법을 이용한 방법은 해양수질파악이 가능할 것으로 판단되며, GIS를 이용하여 다양하고 복잡한 자료를 데이터베이스화함으로써 가시화하고, 이를 기초로 공간분석을 실시함으로써 환경요소별 공간분포에 대한 파악을 통해 수치모형실험을 이용한 각종 환경영향의 평가 및 예측을 위한 기초자료로 이용이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.염총량관리 기본계획 시 구축된 모형 매개변수를 바탕으로 분석을 수행하였다. 일차오차분석을 이용하여 수리매개변수와 수질매개변수의 수질항목별 상대적 기여도를 파악해 본 결과, 수리매개변수는 DO, BOD, 유기질소, 유기인 모든 항목에 일정 정도의 상대적 기여도를 가지고 있는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이로부터 수질 모형의 적용 시 수리 매개변수 또한 수질 매개변수의 추정 시와 같이 보다 세심한 주의를 기울여 추정할 필요가 있을 것으로 판단된다.변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주식시장에

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Simulation Model for Estimating Soil Temperature under Mulched Condition (멀칭에 따른 지온변화 모델의 작성 및 토양온도의 추정)

  • Cui RiXian;Lee Byun-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 1999
  • A numerical model using soil surface energy balance and soil heat flow equations to estimate mulched soil temperature was developed. The required inputs data include weather data, such as global solar radiation, air temperature, wind speed, atmospheric water vapor pressure, the optical properties of mulching material, and soil physical properties. The observed average soil temperature at 50 cm depth was used as the initial value of soil temperature at each depth. Soil temperature was simulated starting at 0 hour at an interval of 10 minutes. The model reliably described the variation of soil temperature with time progress and soil depth. The correlation between the estimated and measured temperature yielded coefficient values of 0.961, 0.966 for 5cm and 10cm depth of the bare soil, respectively, 0.969, 0.965 for the paper mulched soil, and 0.915, 0.938 for the black polyethylene film mulched soil. The percentages of absolute differences less than 2$^{\circ}$C between soil temperatures measured and simulated at 10 minute interval were 97.4% and 98.5% for 5 cm and 10cm for the bare soil, respectively, and 95.8% and 97.4% for the paper mulched soil, and 70.1% and 92.5% for the polyethylene film mulched soil. The results indicated that the model was able to predict the soil temperature fairly well under mulched condition. However, in the night time, the model performance was a little poor as compared with day time due to the difficulty of accurate determination of the atmospheric long wave radiation.

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