• Title/Summary/Keyword: 오차평가기법

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Application of Wavelet Transform in Estimating Structural Dynamic Parameters by Vehicle Loading Test (차량재하시험에 의한 구조물 동특성 평가에 웨이블렛변환의 이용)

  • Park, Hyung-Ghee
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2005
  • The vehicle loading test under the strict traffic control is generally carried out as a present practice in an evaluation process of the bearing capacity of a bridge. The quasi-static load test is recently proposed to mitigate the traffic condition of test, and analyze the disturbed acceleration time-history data of free vibration due to the ambient traffic on the bridge by Fourier transform to calculate only the natural frequencies of the bridge. The calculated frequencies have some errors due to the analysis technique as well as the influence of ambient traffic loads, and in addition to it is cumbersome to obtain the free vibration data during a quasi-static load test. In this study, the wavelet transform technique using Morlet wavelet is used to analyze the acceleration data recorded during a quasi-static load test on a bridge and calculate the natural frequencies and the modal damping ratios of the bridge. The study results show that the wavelet transform technique is a reliable and reasonable method to analyze test data and obtain the natural frequencies and the modal damping ratios of a bridge regardless of the data types i.e. free or forced vibrations.

A Study on Pollutant Loading Estimation in Seonakdong Basin (서낙동강 유역에서의 오염부하량 산정기법 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Do;Hwang, Jin-Young;Kwon, Jae-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1098-1101
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    • 2006
  • 최근 3대강특별법에 의하여 시행되고 있는 환경부의 수질오염총량관리를 위해 서낙동강 유역인 낙본N 단위유역에 대한 해당 지자체의 기본계획과 시행계획이 수립된 바 있다. 낙본N 단위유역은 서낙동강을 중심으로 좌측의 대부분이 경상남도 김해시이고, 우측과 하류부는 부산광역시 강서구이다. 서낙동강은 평상시에는 주요 농업용수 공급원과 철새도래지로서 홍수시에는 거대한 유수지 역할을 하고 있다. 서낙동강 유역내에는 분뇨처리장, 하수처리장, 농업 및 축산활동, 내수면 양식어업, 오염원 배출공장 등의 점, 비점오염원이 있으며 대저수문과 녹산수문에 의해 조절되는 정체수역으로서 오염부하강도가 높은 유입지천들로 인하여 상습적인 녹조 발생수역으로 수질개선의 필요성이 매우 높은 지역이다. 본 연구에서는 대표 유역으로 낙본N유역의 소유역 중 배출부하량이 가장 큰 지류에 해당하는 조만강 유역인 낙본N06 소유역의 오염원 조사결과를 이용하여 오염부하량 산정기법을 검토하였다. 장래 오염부하량 예측은 자연증가, 개발계획, 삭감계획에 의해 산정하는데, 이와 같은 과정에서 과거 오염원조사, 부하량산정, 폐수 배출부하량 모니터링 과정에서의 불확실성이 따르게 된다. 본 연구에서는 이와 같은 오염부하량산정 과정에서의 정확도를 높이고자 오염원 자료의 증감에 따른 오염부하량 산정결과의 민감도 분석을 통하여 신뢰도 평가를 수행하였다. 방대한 오염원자료를 이용한 오염부하량 산정은 한국환경정책평가연구원(KEI)에서 개발한 데이터베이스관리 프로그램(Access Program)을 이용하였으며, 각 오염원별 오염원 현황 및 전망 결과와 환경부의 수계오염총량관리기술지침에서 제시한 각 오염원별 오.폐수발생원단위, 배출원단위, 전환계수, 배출계수 등을 이용하여 각 오염원별 배출부하량을 산정하였다. 본 연구에서는 오염원 조사나 장래 오염원 예측에서 있을 수 있는 오차에 대한 전체 배출부하량의 변화를 살펴봄으로써 방대한 양의 오염원 조사시에 정확성 및 효율성을 높이고자 하였다. 본 연구의 결과를 통해 할당부하량을 개별 오염원별로 할당하고 적정한 개발계획과 실현가능한 삭감계획 및 이행방안을 수립하기 위한 오염원조사를 수행함에 있어 기초자료의 효율적인 관리를 통해 오염부하량 산정의 정확성을 높이고자 한다.

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Streamflow Forecast Model on Nakdong River Basin (낙동강유역 하천유량 예측모형 구축)

  • Lee, Byong-Ju;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.11
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    • pp.853-861
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to assess Sejong University River Forecast (SURF) model which consists of a continuous rainfall-runoff model and measured streamflow assimilation using ensemble Kalman filter technique for streamflow forecast on Nakdong river basin. The study area is divided into 43 subbasins. The forecasted streamflows are evaluated at 12 measurement sites during flood season from 2006 to 2007. The forecasted ones are improved due to the impact of the measured streamflows assimilation. In effectiveness indices corresponding to 1~5 h forecast lead times, the accuracy of the forecasted streamflows with the assimilation approach is improved by 46.2~30.1% compared with that using only the rainfall-runoff model. The mean normalized absolute error of forecasted peak flow without and with data assimilation approach in entering 50% of the measured rainfall, respectively, the accuracy of the latter is improved about 40% than that of the former. From these results, SURF model is able to be used as a real-time river forecast model.

A Method of Estimating Radionuclide Accumulation in Coolant Purification System (원자력발전소 냉각수 정화계통의 핵종누적량 예측기법)

  • Whang, Joo-Ho;Lee, Jae-Min
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 1997
  • The amount and kinds of radionuclide contained in waste volume should be known to prepare for occupational exposure management, perform safety assessment and finally to license a repository. Although the volume of filters and resins are small, activities of them comprise most of the radioactivity that made during power generation. This study aims at developing a method of estimating the radionuclide accumulation at the filters and resins of coolant systems. In this study, accumulated amount of radionuclides is estimated by a computer program which makes use of instantaneous decontamination factor, DF, instead of average DF. A FORTRAN program was developed for the estimation. Data from in-plant source-term measurements at Rancho-Seco nuclear power plant in the United States are employed for verification of the estimating method. And experimental data are employed, too. The instantaneous-DF-method showed smaller error than the average-DF-method. Accumulated amount of radionuclides can be calculated with only the DF and the radionuclide concentration, which are measured periodically according to the operating guide. However, especially, when the operating condition of nuclear power plant changes rapidly, the measuring term of DF and radionuclide should be shortened to ensure the accurate estimation.

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Accurate Estimation of Settlement Profile Behind Excavation Using Conditional Merging Technique (조건부 합성 기법을 이용한 굴착 배면 침하량 분포의 정밀 산정)

  • Kim, Taesik;Jung, Young-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.17 no.8
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2016
  • Ground deformation around construction site in urban area where typically adjacent structures are located needs to be strictly controlled. Accordingly, it is very important to precisely monitor the ground deformation. Settlement beacon is typically employed to measure the ground deformation, but meanwhile the rapid development in electronic technology enables 3D image scanner to become available for measuring the ground deformation profile in usual construction sites. With respect to the profile measurement, the 3D scanner has an advantage, whereas its accuracy is somewhat limited because it does not measure the displacement directly. In this paper, we developed a conditional merging technique to combine the ground displacement measured from settlement beacon and the profile measured by the 3D scanner. Synthetic ground deformation profile was generated to validate the proposed technique. It is found that the ground deformation measurement error can be reduced significantly via the conditional merging technique.

To Evaluate the Accuracy of DEMs Derived from the Various Spectral Bands of Color Aerial Photos (컬러항공사진의 밴드별 수치표고모형 정확도 평가)

  • Kim, Jin-Kwang;Hwang, Chul-Sue
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2007
  • In this study, Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) were constructed from color images, grayscale images and each bands (Red, Green, Blue) of color image, and the accuracies of each DEMs were evaluated, And then, correlation coefficients between left and right images of each stereopairs were analyzed. The DEM can be constructed conventionally from the digital map and stereopair images using image matching. The image matching requires stereo satellite images or aerial photographs. In case of rotor aerial photographs, these are to be scanned in 3 bands (Red, Green, Blue). For this study, 5 types of images were acquired; color, grayscale, RED band, GREEN band, and BLUE band image. DEMs were constructed from 5 types of stereopair images and evaluated using elevation points of digital maps. In order to analyze the cause of various accuracies of each DEMs, the similarity between left and right images of each stereopairs were analyzed. Consequently, the accuracy of the DEM constructed from RED band images of color aerial photograph were proved best.

Improvement of the Ensemble Streamflow Prediction System Using Optimal Linear Correction (최적선형보정을 이용한 앙상블 유량예측 시스템의 개선)

  • Jeong, Dae-Il;Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.6 s.155
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    • pp.471-483
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    • 2005
  • A monthly Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) system was developed by applying a daily rainfall-runoff model known as the Streamflow Synthesis and Reservoir Regulation (SSARR) model to the Han, Nakdong, and Seomjin River basins in Korea. This study first assesses the accuracy of the averaged monthly runoffs simulated by SSARR for the 3 basins and proposes some improvements. The study found that the SSARR modeling of the Han and Nakdong River basins tended to significantly underestimate the actual runoff levels and the modeling of the Seomjin River basinshowed a large error variance. However, by implementing optimal linear correction (OLC), the accuracy of the SSARR model was considerably improved in predicting averaged monthly runoffs of the Han and Nakdong River basins. This improvement was not seen in the modeling of the Seomjin River basin. In addition, the ESP system was applied to forecast probabilistic runoff forecasts one month in advance for the 3 river basins from 1998 to 2003. Considerably improvement was also achieved with OLC in probabilistic forecasting accuracy for the Han and Nakdong River basins, but not in that of the Seomjin River basin.

Evaluation on the Lost Prestressing Force of an External Tendon Using the Combination of FEM and HGA: II. Experimental Verification and Field Applications (FEM과 HGA의 조합을 이용한 외부 긴장재의 손실 긴장력 평가: II. 실험적 검증 및 현장적용)

  • Jang, Hang-Teak;Noh, Myung-Hyun;Park, Kyu-Sik;Park, Taehyo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.13 no.5 s.57
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2009
  • This paper introduces an experimental verification and a field application of the proposed technique using the combination of FEM and HGA about the loss prestressing force of an exteranl tendon by above same authors. The vibration tests have been conducted by using a laboratory models and the externally prestressed tendon at the field and the natural frequencies are extracted from the vibration tests. The proposed technique based on the extracted natural frequencies is applied. It is seen that the errors in the tension and lost prestressing force by proposed technique are about 4% from a laboratory model test. For the model verification at field, exact modeling has beem made with Rayleigh damping. It is seen that the error in the tension by proposed technique is less than 1% and the estimated lost prestressing force converges less than the exact value.

Assessment of rainfall-runoff performance using corrected satellite precipitation products by convolutional neural network (합성곱신경망을 이용한 보정 위성강수자료 강우-유출 성능 평가)

  • Young Hun Kim;Le-Xuan Hien;Sung Ho Jung;Gi Ha Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.65-65
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    • 2023
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 홍수, 가뭄 등 수재해가 세계 곳곳에서 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 이로 인해 정확한 강우-유출 해석의 중요도는 높아지고 있으며 강우-유출 해석에 따라 수자원 관리 및 계획수립의 정도가 달라질 수 있다. 본 연구 대상 지역인 메콩강 유역은 중국과 동남아시아 5개국(라오스, 태국, 미얀마, 베트남, 캄보디아)을 관통하는 국가공유하천으로 기초자료의 획득이 어렵고 국가별로 구축된 자료가 질적, 양적 품질이 상이하여 수문해석에서의 기초자료로 사용하기에 불확실성이 있다. 최근 기술의 발달로 글로벌 격자형 강수자료 획득이 용이함에 있어 미계측 대유역에서의 다양한 연구들이 수행되고 있지만, 지점강수자료와 시·공간적 오차로 인한 불확실성을 내포하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 글로벌 격자형 강수자료의 적용성을 평가하기 위하여 지점 격자형 강수자료(APHRODITE)와 4개의 위성강수자료(CHIRPS, CMORPH, PERSIANN-CDR, TRMM)를 수집하고 합성곱 신경망 모형인 ConvAE 기법을 이용하여 위성강수자료의 시·공간 편의 보정을 수행하였다. 또한, 하천 수위에 대한 장기간 정보 수집이 가능한 메콩강 본류 4개 관측소(Luang Prabang, Pakse, Stung Treng, Kratie)를 선정하였으며 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 매개변수 보정(2004~2013)과 격자형 강수자료의 보정 전·후의 유출모의(2014~2015) 결과를 비교·분석하였다. 격자형 강우를 이용한 보정 및 유출 분석 결과 4개의 위성강수자료 모두 성능이 향상되었으며 그 중 보정된 TRMM이 가장 우수한 성능을 보여 해당 유역에서의 APHRODITE를 대체할 수 있다고 판단하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제시하는 ConvAE를 이용한 보정기법과 이를 이용한 강우-유출 해석은 향후 다양한 격자형 강수자료를 활용한 미계측 대유역에서의 수문해석에서 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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Applicability Assessment of Hydrological Drought Outlook Using ESP Method (ESP 기법을 이용한 수문학적 가뭄전망의 활용성 평가)

  • Son, Kyung Hwan;Bae, Deg Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.7
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    • pp.581-593
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    • 2015
  • This study constructs the drought outlook system using ESP(Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) method and evaluates its utilization for drought prediction. Historical Runoff(HR) was estimated by employing LSM(Land Surface Model) and the observed meteorological, hydrological and topographical data in South Korea. Also Predicted Runoff(PR) was produced for different lead times(i.e. 1-, 2-, 3-month) using 30-year past meteorological data and the initial soil moisture condition. The HR accuracy was higher during MAM, DJF than JJA, SON, and the prediction accuracy was highly decreased after 1 month outlook. SRI(Standardized Runoff Index) verified for the feasibility of domestic drought analysis was used for drought outlook, and PR_SRI was evaluated. The accuracy of PR_SRI with lead times of 1- and 2-month was highly increased as it considered the accumulated 1- and 2-month HR, respectively. The Correlation Coefficient(CC) was 0.71, 0.48, 0.00, and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) was 0.46, 0.76, 1.01 for 1-, 2- and 3-month lead times, respectively, and the accuracy was higher in arid season. It is concluded that ESP method is applicable to domestic drought prediction up to 1- and 2-month lead times.