• Title/Summary/Keyword: 오즈

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Collapsibility Criteria using Raindrop Plots

  • 홍종선;김범준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.175-178
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    • 2004
  • 범주형 자료분석에서 차원축소(collapsibility)는 오즈비로 설명되었다. 실제의 $2\times2\timesK$ 분할표 자료를 이 이론에 적용시켰을 때 오즈비의 값으로 차원축소가 가능한지의 여부를 판단하기는 어렵다. 오즈비를 시각적으로 표현하는 방법 중에서 Doi, Nakamura와 Yamamoto(2001)가 제안한 Contour plot을 통해서 분할표 자료를 설명하는 것은 가능하지만 차원축소의 가능성을 결정하기에는 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 오즈비의 신뢰구간을 시각적으로 표현할 수 있는 방법으로 Barrowman과 Myers(2003)가 제안한 Raindrop plot을 이용하여 $P_{\lambda,;,T}^M-policy$ 분할표 자료를 설명할 수 있으며 동시에 차원축소의 가능성을 판단할 수 있는 방법을 제안하고자 한다.

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Odds curve for two classification distributions (두 분류 분포를 위한 오즈 곡선)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Oh, Se Hyeon;Oh, Tae Gyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.225-238
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    • 2021
  • The ROC, TOC, and TROC curves, which are visually descriptive methods of exploring the performance of the binary classification model, are implemented with TP, TN, FP, FN which consist of the confusion matrix, as well as their ratios TPR, TNR, FPR, FNR. In this study, we consider two types odds and then propose an odds curve representing these odds. And show the relationship between the odds curve and ROC curve. Based on the odds curve, we propose not only two statistics that measure the discriminant power of the odds curve but also the criteria for validation ratings of the odds curve. According to the shape of the odds curves, two classification distributions can be estimated and a criterion for validation ratings can be determined. The odds curve can be meaningfully used like other visual methods, and two kinds of measures for the discriminant power can be also applied together as an alternative criterion.

The Study on the Severity of Children Traffic Accident using Ordinal Logistic Regression Analysis (순서형 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용한 어린이 사고심각도 분석 연구)

  • Yoon, Byoung-Jo;Ko, Eun-Hyeck;Yang, Sung-Ryong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2016.11a
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    • pp.259-260
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    • 2016
  • 어린이의 경우 다른 연령층에 비해 신체적, 정신적으로 완성되지 못하여 교통사고의 가능성이 높으며, 특히 전국의 어린이 교통사고는 점진적으로 감소 추세이나 인천의 어린이 교통사고는 감소하다가 다시 증가 추세에 들어선 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구의 목적은 어린이 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인들을 발견하고 제시하고자 하였다. 순서형 로지스틱 회귀분석을 활용하여 순서척도인 반응변수에 대한 설명변수의 오즈(Odds)를 확인하고자 하였으며 안전운전불이행, 차대사람(횡단중), 차대차(측면직각충돌)사고가 유의한 결과로 나타났다. 안전운전불이행으로 인한 사망사고와 기타사고의 오즈차이는 1.35배, 측면직각충돌로 인한 사망사고와 기타사고의 오즈차이는 1.76배 증가하는 것으로 나타났고, 횡단중인 경우에는 오히려 사망 위험도의 오즈값이 0.58배로 감소하는 것으로 나타났다.

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Collapsibility Using Raindrop Plot (RAINDROP PLOT을 이용한 차원축소)

  • Hong C. S.;Kim B. J.;Park J. Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.471-485
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    • 2005
  • For categorical data analysis, the collapsibility were explained with the odds ratio (cross-product ratio). When these theories with these odds ratios are applied to real $2{\times}2{\times}K$ contingency tables, it is impossible to decide whether data are collapsible. Among graphical methods to represent odds ratios, Contour plot which is developed by Doi, Nakamura and Yamamoto (2001) could explain the structure of these data, but cannot decide on the collapsibility. In this paper, by using the Raindrop plot proposed by Barrowman and Myers (2003), we suggest an alternative method which can not only explain the structure of data, but also decide on the collapsibility.

Odds ratio of major risk factors associated with delirium by Bayesian network (베이지안 네트워크를 활용한 정신장애 질병 섬망의 주요 위험인자와 오즈비)

  • Lee, Jea-Young;Choi, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2011
  • It is important to find risk factors associated with mental disorder. Also the hazard ratio that represent the relationship of risk factors with illness is main interest in medicine. Thus we used odds ratio to explore the relationship between mental disorder and risk factors. On this paper, when we applied Bayesian network to delirium of mental disorder, we selected major risk factors and calculated odds ratio. Especially we identified odds ratio of single risk factors and multiple risk factors.

Odds curve and optimal threshold (오즈 곡선과 최적분류점)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Oh, Tae Gyu;Oh, Se Hyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.807-822
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    • 2021
  • Various accuracy measures that can be explained on the odds curve are discussed, and an alternative accuracy measure, the maximum square, is proposed based on the characteristics of the odds curve. Thresholds corresponding to these accuracy measures are obtained by considering various probability distribution functions and an illustrative example. Their characteristics are discussed while comparing many kinds of statistics measuring thresholds. Therefore, we can conclude that optimal thresholds could be explored from the odds curve, similar to the ROC curve, and that the maximum square measure can be used as a good accuracy measure that can improve the performance of the binary classification model.

An Empirical Study on the Characteristics of Policyholder and Contract Affecting a Lapse of Voluntarily Insured Person in National Pension (국민연금 임의가입 해약행동에 영향을 미치는 계약자 및 계약특성에 관한 실증 연구)

  • Ouh, Changsu;Song, Kyungho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2016
  • This paper analyses the impacts of the characteristics of policyholder and contract on the lapse of Voluntarily Insured Person in National Pension, using the recent lapse data from National Pension Service. The logistic regression model is used in examining lapse odds with several independent variables. The result demonstrates several hypotheses of the lapse behaviors. First, the lapse odds of men is lower than that of women. Second, the effect of age on lapse odds shows concave shave with the peak at 37. Third, insured period has a negative effect on lapse odds in entrants sample. Fourth, standard monthly income has little effect on lapse in either sample. Fifth, the lapse odds decreases as the expected benefit ratio increases. Sixth, 2013 pension bill resulted in the sharp increase of lapse odds and the effect was greater for entrants. Last but not least, spatial environment such as residence also affects the lapse behavior.

Optimal Conditions for Bio-scouring (효소정련의 최적조건)

  • 김주혜;김수연;최은경;남창우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Fiber Society Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.427-428
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    • 2003
  • 정련은 면에 있는 지방을 제거하는 과정으로 면섬유의 흡수성을 증가시키는데 그 처리 목적이 있는데, 현재 산업체에서는 그 뛰어난 효과 때문에 알칼리를 이용하여 고온에서 면섬유를 처리하고 있는 실정이다. 강한 알칼리 용액은 면섬유의 일차세포막을 공격하여 비셀룰로오즈 성분을 제거하게 되는데 이때 옥시셀룰로오즈의 형성에 의해 면섬유를 손상시키게 된다. 환경적인 측면에서도 알칼리 정련은 높은 BOD, COD, TDS을 유발하는 문제점을 갖고있다. (중략)

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Logistic Regressions with Sensory Evaluation Data about Hanwoo Steer Beef (한우 거세우 고기 관능평가 데이터의 로지스틱 회귀분석)

  • Lee, Hye-Jung;Kim, Jae-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.857-870
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    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to investigate the relationship between the socio-demographic factors and the Korean consumers palatability evaluation grades with Hanwoo sensory evaluation data from 2006 to 2008 by National Institute of Animal Science. The dichotomy logistic regression model and the multinomial logistic regression model are fitted with the independent variables such as the consumer living location, age, gender occupation, monthly income, beef cut and the the palatability grade as the categorical dependent variable and tenderness, 리avor and juiciness as the continuous dependent variable. Stepwise variable selection procedure is incorporated to find the final model and odds ratios are calculated to nd the associations between categories.

Application of Proportional Odds Models to the Effects of Removing Dental Plaque in Use of Proxabrush (치간칫솔 사용에 따른 치면세균막 제거효과에 대한 비례오즈모형(proportional odds models) 적용)

  • Kim, Jin-Soo;Kim, Jee-Yun;Jorn, Hong-Suk
    • Journal of dental hygiene science
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.169-173
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    • 2008
  • As a result of analyzing the effects of removing dental plaque according to using proxabrush by using the proportional odds models, targeting patients of practicing oral prophylaxis in juniors for the Department of Dental Hygiene at S university from March 10, 2007 to June 3, 2007, the following conclusions were obtained. 1. The goodness-of-fit in the proportional odds models is 1.2552 whose degree of freedom is 3, and p value is .7398, thereby implying that the proportional odds models are appropriate. And, regarding the effects of removing dental plaque and the independent matter of using proxabrush, as the test on $H_0:{\beta}=0$, the test statistics is 15.5496 whose degree of freedom is 1, and p value is 15.5496. This implies that there is high correlation between the effect of removing dental plaque and the use of proxabrush. 2. ML estimate on $\beta$ in the model can be $\hat{\beta}=1.2493$ (ASE = 0.3207). And, as for the tendency that the response will belong to being very good(this can be expressed to be $Y{\leq}j$) rather than being very bad, the tendency of using proxabrush is higher by the estimated odds ratio exp(1.2493) = 3.49 times than the response of not using proxabrush. 3. As for the estimated response in the proportional odds models, the estimated(cumulative) probability, which the response of using proxabrush is very good and will belong to the good effect of removing dental plaque, is 0.38(0.50).

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