• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예후 예측

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Long-term Prognostic Value of Dipyridamole Stress Myocardial SPECT (디피리다몰 부하 심근관류 SPECT의 장기예후 예측능)

  • Lee, Dong-Soo;Cheon, Gi-Jeong;Jang, Myung-Jin;Kang, Won-Jun;Chung, June-Key;Lee, Myoung-Mook;Lee, Myung-Chul;Kang, Wee-Chang;Lee, Young-Jo
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 2000
  • Purpose: Dipyridamole stress myocardial perfusion SPECT could predict prognosis, however, long-term follow-up showed change of hazard ratio in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. We investigated how long normal SPECT could predict the benign prognosis on the long-term follow-up. Materials and Methods: We followed up 1169 patients and divided these patients into groups in whom coronary angiography were performed and were not. Total cardiac event rate and hard event rate were predicted using clinical, angiographic and SPECT findings. Predictive values of normal and abnormal SPECT were examined using survival analysis with Mantel-Haenszel method, multivariate Cox proportional hazard model analysis and newly developed statistical method to test time-invariance of hazard rate and changing point of this rate. Results: Reversible perfusion decrease on myocardial perfusion SPECT predicted higher total cardiac event rate independently and further to angiographic findings. However, myocardial SPECT showed independent but not incremental prognostic values for hard event rate. Hazard ratio of normal perfusion SPECT was changed significantly (p<0.001) and the changing point of hazard rate was 4.4 years of follows up. However, the ratio of abnormal SPECT was not. Conclusion: Dipyridamole stress myocardial perfusion SPECT provided independent prognostic information in patients with known and suspected coronary artery disease. Normal perfusion SPECT predicted least event rate for 4.4 years.

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The Assessment Tools in Palliative Medicine (완화 의학에서의 평가도구)

  • Gwak, Jung-Im;Suh, Sang-Yeon
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.177-193
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    • 2009
  • The assessment of patient status in palliative medicine is essential for determining treatments and for clinical outcomes. The objective of assessment tools is to raise the quality of care for individual patients and their families. There are a number of tools available to assess pain, non-pain symptoms and quality of life. The tools are either uni-dimensional or multi-dimensional measures. Unfortunately, however, no single tool is recommended to be a superior to others in symptoms or quality of life assessment. Therefore, to select an appropriate assessment tool, one should consider the time frame and unique characteristics of tools depending on purpose and setting. The combination of prognostic index is highly recommended in prognostication, and web-based prognostic tools are available. Recently, a new objective prognostic score has been constructed through multicenter study in Korea. It does not include clinicalestimates of survival, but includes new objective prognostic factors, therefore, anyone can easily use it. For beginners in palliative medicine, relatively easy-to-use tools would be convenient. We recommend Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status to assess functional status, numeric rating scale for pain assessment and the Korean version of brief pain inventory for initial pain assessment. Asking directly with numeric rating scale or the Korean version of MD Anderson Symptom Inventory would be desirable to assess various symptoms together. We think that European Organization Research and Treatment Quality of Life Questionnaire Core 15 for Palliative Care is good to assess the quality of life, while Objective Prognostic Score is convenient as prognostic index for beginners.

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Prediction of Life-expectancy for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Prognostic Factors (간암 환자에서 예후인자를 통한 생존기간의 예측)

  • Yeom, Chang-Hwan;Shim, Jae-Yong;Lee, Hye-Ree;Hong, Young-Sun
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.30-38
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    • 1998
  • Background : Hepatocellular carcinomoma is the 3rd most common malignancy and the 2nd most common cause of death in Korea. The prediction of life-expectancy in terminal cancer patients is a major problem for patients, families, and physicians. We would like to investigate the prognostic factors of hepatocellular carcinoma, and therefore contribute to the prediction of the survival time of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods : A total of 91 patients(male 73, female 18) with hepatocellular carcinoma who were admitted to the hospital between January and lune 1995 were entered into the study, and data were collected prospectively on 28 clinical parameters through medical obligation record. We surveyed an obligation and local district office records, and confirmed the surivival of patients till July, 1996. Using Cox-proportional hazard model, give the significant variables related to survival. These determined prognostic factors. Life regressional analysis was used, there were calculated predicted survival day based on combinations of the significant prognostic factors. Results : 1) Out of 91 patients, 73 were male, and 18 were female. The mean age was $56.7{\pm}10.6$ ears. During the study, except for 16 patients who could not follow up, out of 75 patients, the number of deaths was 57(76%) and the number of survivals was 18(24%). 2) Out of the 28 clinical parameters, the prognostic factors related to reduced survival rate were prothrombin time<40%(relative risk:10.8), weight loss(RR:4.4), past history of hypertension (RR:3.2), ascites(RR:2.8), hypocalcemia(RR:2.5)(P<0.001). 3) Out of five factors, the survival day is 1.7 in all of five, $4.2{\sim}10.0$ in four, $10.4{\sim}41.9$ in three, $29.5{\sim}118.1$ in two, $124.0{\sim}296.6$ in one, 724.0 in none. Conclusion : In hepatocellular carcinoma we found that the prognostic factors related to reduce survival rate were prolonged prothrombin time(<40%), weight loss, past history of hypertension, ascites, and hypocalcemia(<8.7mg/dl). The five prognostic factors enabled the prediction of life-expectancy in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and may assist in managing patients with hepatocellular carcinomal.

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Immunohistochemical Prognostic Factors in Soft Tissue Sarcoma (연부조직 육종에서 면역조직화학적 예후인자)

  • Choi, Kyung-Un;Kim, Jeung-Il;Moon, Nam-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korean bone and joint tumor society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.106-118
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: Disturbed cell cycle regulatory proteins are key events underlying the development and/or progression of human malignancies. The aim of this study is to evaluate the protein expression status involved in G1/S cell cycle in human soft tissue sarcoma. Materials and Methods: We simultaneously evaluated the expression of Cyclin D1, Cyclin E, CDK4, CDK2, p16, p27, Rb, E2F1, p53 and Ki-67 by immunohistochemistry in 43 cases of soft tissue sarcoma Results: The Cyclin D1, Cyclin E, CDK4, CDK2, E2F1, and p53 were expressed in 25 (58.1%), 18 (41.9%), 13 (30.2%), 33 (76.7%), 20 (46.5%), and 18 cases (41.9%). The p16, p27, and Rb expressions were decreased in 26 (60.5%), 22 (51.2%) and 19 cases (44.2%). All of the cases showed alterations of more than one out of the above proteins. The increased Cyclin E expression and Ki-67 labeling index (LI) were significantly associated with histologic grade. The Cyclin E and E2F-1 expressions were increased in relapsed cases and the CDK4 expression was increased in cases of metastasis. Conclusion: Alterations of G1/S cell cycle regulatory proteins may play an important role in the tumoriogensis of soft tissue sarcomas. Our results suggest that increased expressions of Cyclin E, E2F1, and CDK4 were associated with tumor relapse or metastasis and could be considered as parameters of prognosis of soft tissue sarcoma.

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The Correlation between Radiologic Findings and Clinicopathological Prognostic Factors in Small Peripheral Adenocarcinoma of Lung (말초 폐 발생 소형 선암에서 화상적 소견과 병리적, 임상적 예후와의 관계)

  • Park, Jae-Kil;Cho, Kyu-Do;Park, Kuhn;Moon, Seok-Whan;Rha, Suk-Joo;Choi, Si-Young;Jung, Jung-Im
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.423-431
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    • 2004
  • Background : Tumor size in lung cancer is not as good a prognostic factor for adenocarcinoma as it is for other types of lung cancer; therefore it is difficult to estimate the prognosis preoperative. However, there have recently been some reports on the radiologic findings correlating to the clinicopathologic prognostic factors in peripheral small adenocarcinoma of lung. We tried to evaluate the prognostic importance of High-Resolution CT (HRCT) findings of such adenoearcinoma, Material and Method: One houndred and seventy-six surgically resected small peripheral adenocarcinoma measuring 3 cm or less in greatest dimension were reviewed radiologically and clinicopathologically. Result: The patients with greater extent of ground-glass attenuation (GGA) had better clinico-pathological factors. The tumors with gross appearance of GGA or bubble-like shape showed better clinicopathological prognostic factors than scar-like or solid shape. Conclusion: HRCT findings of small peripheral adenocarcinomas of the lung correlated well with the histologic and clinical prognostic factors. We can predict the post-operative prognosis with the radiologic findings.

Predictive Efficacy of Radioisotope Voiding Cystography for Renal Outcome (방사성동위원소 배뇨방광촬영술의 신장예후 예측성능)

  • Kim, Seok-Ki;Lee, Dong-Soo;Kim, Kwang-Myeung;Choi, Whang;Chung, June-Key;Lee, Myung-Chul
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2000
  • Purpose: As vesicoureteral reflux (VUR) could lead to renal functional deterioration when combined with urinary tract infection, we need to decide whether operative anti-reflux treatment should be performed at the time of diagnosis of VUR. Predictive value of radioisotope voiding cystography (RIVCG) for renal outcome was tested. Materials and Methods: In 35 children (18 males, 17 females), radiologic voiding cystoure-thrography (VCU), RIVCG and DMSA scan were performed. Change in renal function was evaluated using the follow-up DMSA scan, ultrasonography, and clinical information. Discriminant analysis was performed using individual or integrated variables such as reflux amount and extent at each phase of voiding on RIVCG, in addition to age, gender and cortical defect on DMSA scan at the time of diagnosis. Discriminant function was composed and its performance was examined. Results: Reflux extent at the filling phase and reflux amount and extent at postvoiding phase had a significant prognostic value. Total reflux amount was a composite variable to predict prognosis. Discriminant function composed of reflux extent at the filling phase and reflux amount and extent at postvoiding phase showed better positive predictive value and specificity than conventional reflux grading. Conclusion: RIVCG could predict renal outcome by disclosing characteristic reflux pattern during various voiding phases.

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Comparison of Nodal Staging, of UICC TNM and Japanese Classification, and Prognostic Nodal Grouping of UICC N3M0 in Advanced Gastric Cancer (진행 위암의 UICC와 일본식 림프절 병기의 비교 및 UICC N3M0 병기의 문제점)

  • Han, Sang-Jun;Yang, Dae-Hyun
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.5 no.3 s.19
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: We analyzed cases of advanced gastric cancer (AGC) by using two nodal stagings, UICC and Japanese systems. We also analyzed cases of UICC N3M0 by different ways to see which nodal system or group had better prognostic power. Materials and Methods: From Feb. 1990 to May 2000, 197 UICC M0 patients of AGC who had undergone curative resection were analyzed by using the nodal stagings of the UICC and the Japanese systems. Also, 58 patients with UICC N3M0 gastric cancer were analyzed by using the Japanese n-staging, metastatic ratio and the metastatic number Results: The 5-year survival rates were 62.9%, 33.0% and 21.2% for UICC N1, N2 and N3, and 61.2% and 25.3% for Japanese n1 and n2, respectively in patients of N3M0 AGC, the 5-year survival rates were 62.5% for Japanese n1, and 33.0% and 22.9% for metastatic ratios of less than 0.5 and metastatic numbers below 26, respectively significantly better than the 5-year survival rates for higher ratios and numbers (P=0.018, 0.021). Conclusion: UICC N staging of gastric cancer has better prognostic power with differentiation between stages than Japanese n staging. In patients with UICC N3M0 gastric cancer, the metastatic ratio and the metastatic number, as well as the Japanese n staging, were valuable prognostic factors.

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Development of Performance to Predict the Prognosis of Korean Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction by Data Transformation for Naïve Bayes Method (나이브 베이지안 방법을 위한 데이터 변환법으로 한국인 급성 심근경색증 환자의 예후를 예측하는 성능의 향상)

  • Cho, Sun Ho;Kim, Jeong-su;Kwon, Hyuk-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.868-871
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    • 2014
  • 오늘날 한국에서는 급성 심근경색증으로 인한 사망률이 높은 상태로, 발병 시에 치료까지 신속한 의사결정이 요구되는 위중한 질병이기 때문에, 한국인에게 맞는 급성 심근경색증 연구가 매우 중요 하다. 본 연구는 한국인 급성 심근경색증 등록 데이터를 이용해 기계 학습 방법의 한 종류인 나이브 베이지안 방법을 이용해 급성 심근경색증 환자의 예후를 예측하고자, 의료 데이터의 특성에 따른 데이터 변환 방법을 제안한다. 타겟 클래스에서 보다 중요한 의미를 가진 death 값에 대해 각 값을, nominal value, numeric value, 결측치로 구분한 방식에 따라, 확률을 계산해 변환한다. 실험 결과를 통해 결측치를 피처마다 존재하는 값들의 평균을 낸 값으로 대입하였을 때 가장 좋은 성능임을 알 수 있었는데, 기존의 방법에 비해 precision=5.4%, recall=7.0%의 성능이 향상되었다. 따라서 제안한 방법은 나이브 베이지안 방법의 예측 성능 향상에 기여하였다고 판단된다. 이후 적용했던 데이터 변환 방법을 여러 가지 기계 학습 방법에서 판단해보고, 다른 타겟 클래스에도 시험해보고자 한다.

Bayesian Network-based Data Analysis for Diagnosing Retinal Disease (망막 질환 진단을 위한 베이지안 네트워크에 기초한 데이터 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Mi;Jung, Sung-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.269-280
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we suggested the possibility of using an efficient classifier for the dependency analysis of retinal disease. First, we analyzed the classification performance and the prediction accuracy of GBN (General Bayesian Network), GBN with reduced features by Markov Blanket and TAN (Tree-Augmented Naive Bayesian Network) among the various bayesian networks. And then, for the first time, we applied TAN showing high performance to the dependency analysis of the clinical data of retinal disease. As a result of this analysis, it showed applicability in the diagnosis and the prediction of prognosis of retinal disease.

Prognostic Value of Serum Ferritin in Terminally Ill Cancer Patients (말기암환자에서 예후인자로서 혈청 Ferritin의 유용성)

  • Lee, Soo Hee;Choi, Youn Seon;Hwang, In Cheol;Yeom, Chang Hwan;Lee, June Yeong
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Predicting life expectancy of terminally ill cancer patients is very important. In many studies, ferritin is detected at higher levels in the sera of cancer patients, and higher ferritin level correlates with aggressiveness of disease and poor outcomes of patients. This study evaluated a prognostic role of serum ferritin levels in terminally ill cancer patients. Methods: This study enrolled 65 terminally ill cancer patients from March through June 2012. We assessed routine laboratory findings including serum ferritin levels as well as demographic and clinical characteristics of the patients. To examine the association between serum ferritin levels and patient's characteristics, we used Spearman's correlation analysis, Wilcoxon's rank sum test or Kruskal-Wallis test, as appropriately. For multivariate analysis, Cox's proportional hazard regression model was used to evaluate significance of serum ferritin levels as a prognostic factor. Results: A negative correlation between serum ferritin levels and survival time was found. After adjusting for sex, age, performance status, creatinine levels and white blood cell counts, serum ferritin levels were significantly associated with survival time. Conclusion: Even at the very end of life of terminal cancer patients, serum ferritin levels were an independent prognostic factor for survival.