• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측 중심의 모형

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A study on the technology life-cycle using patent information (특허정보를 이용한 기술수명주기 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo Sung-Hee;Jeong Hye-Soon;Kim Heon
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2003
  • It is highly required to evaluate the economic value of technology in many decision making of the technology management area, for example, technology acquisition, transfer, and investments. Also evaluating the performance of R&D objectively is very important subject in the public side. So, developing the objective technology evaluation system has much usefulness in practice. In many studies, the patent information has been suggested to the valid measurement for evaluation of technology. The purpose of this study is to explore the validity of patent information as a measurement of technology evaluation.

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생명공학(生命工學)에 의한 국내(國內) 산업구조변화(産業構造變化) 분석(分析) - 산업연관표(産業聯關表)를 중심으로 -

  • Kim, Heon-Gu;Hyeon, Byeong-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.165-183
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    • 1997
  • 생명공학은 기술의 특성상 보건 의료, 농업, 자원 환경, 에너지 등 광범위한 산업에 응용될 수 있는 고부가가치형, 두뇌기술집약형, 탈공해형, 자원 및 에너지절약형 기술이라는 특징을 지니고 있어 21세기 미래산업을 선도할 것으로 기대되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 생명공학기술이 1980년과 1990년 사이의 산업구조에 어떠한 변화를 초래하였는지를 알아보는 것이다. 생명공학의 산업경제적 파급효과를 분석해 보기 위해 한국은행에서 발행한 산업연관표를 이용하여 생명공학 관련산업의 지원에 따른 국내 제반산업의 생산변화율을 측정하였다. 정부의 지원이나 금리 및 세제의 혜택을 통해 생명공학 산업 관련 비용이 감소하게 되면 이에 따른 가격변화가 국내 산업발전과 고용의 증가를 갖는 것으로 믿어진다. 고정계수 아닌 변화계수를 특징으로 하는 본 모형의 접근방법은 생명공학에 대한 재정지원 및 세제 인센티브 등을 외생변수로 처리하여 산업구조 변화의 추이와 고용유발 등을 예측하였다. 본 논문의 가설은 생명공학의 영역이 점차 증대되어 나아가기 때문에 1980년의 제반산업의 영향은 1990년의 영향보다는 적어야 한다. 즉 생명공학 관련비용 하락이 전체산업에 미치는 1980년의 생산율 증가보다 1990년의 생산율 증가가 커야 할 것이다. 본 가설에 대한 검증의 과정에서 얻은 통계치를 통해 생명공학산업이 한국 산업 전체에 미치는 영향이 10년 동안에 그 차이가 거의 없어 미성숙 단계에 있다는 결론을 짓게 되었다. 따라서 생명공학 분야의 계속적인 발전을 위해서는 선진국 수준의 독자적 기술개발을 통한 국제 경쟁력을 강화해야 하는데 이를 위한 정부 및 민간기업 투자확대와 연구개발 지원체제의 확대가 요망되고 있다.

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The Measurements of Locational Effects in Land Price Prediction with the Spatial Statistical Analysis (공간통계분석을 이용한 지가의 입지값 측정에 관한 연구)

  • 이지영;황철수
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.233-246
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this paper is to quantitatively measure the effect of location in evaluating the land value through the implementation of GIS coupled with spatial statistical analysis. We assumed that the hedonic price model, which was commonly used in modelling the land value, could not explain the spatial factor effectively. In order to add the spatial factor, the analysis of the spatial autocorrelation was used. The present project used 54 standard land price samples from 1421 parcel land values and applied Kriging to predict stochastically the unsampled values on the basis of spatial autocorrelation between location of vector data. This study confirms that the spatial variogram analysis has an advantage of predicting spatial dependence process and revealing the positive premium and the negative penality on location factor objectively.

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Experimental and Numerical Studys on Flow Characteristics in a Crossroad due to Slope Variation (유입경사에 따른 도로 교차부에서의 흐름특성에 관한 수치적 및 실험적 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwan;Jeong, Woo-Chang;Lee, Myung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.321-321
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    • 2011
  • 최근 기상이변으로 인하여 예측이 어려운 게릴라성 집중호우 등의 증가로 재해 및 재난이 빈번하게 발생하고 있으며, 특히 도시지역에서의 홍수피해로 막대한 인명과 재산피해가 발생하고 있다. 도시지역내로 유입되는 홍수는 다양한 형태와 크기를 가지는 건물과 도로의 배치에 의해 크게 영향을 받으며, 매우 복잡한 흐름특성을 나타내는 것으로 알려져 있다. 도시지역이 조밀한 건물군으로 구성되어 있을 경우 홍수의 대부분은 도로와 교차점을 통해 흐르므로 도시지역 내에서 홍수로 인한 피해를 저감하기 위해서는 도로 교차로에서의 홍수파의 전파특성을 분석하는 것이 중요하다. 교차로는 세 개 또는 네 개의 도로가 대칭 또는 비대칭으로 연결되어 있으며, 일반적으로 교차로에서의 흐름은 유입되는 유량이 상대적으로 적고 도로의 경사가 비교적 완만한 경우 상류 특성을 나타내나 이와 반대일 경우에는 상류 및 사류가 공존하는 복잡한 수면형을 나타낸다. 본 연구에서는 도지지역 내 도로 교차점에서 유입경사 변화에 따른 도로 교차부에서의 흐름특성을 수치모의 결과와 수리실험 결과와 비교하였다. Case 1은 수로의 유입경사가 3%일 경우 도로 교차로에서 수위 및 흐름특성을 수치모의결과와 비교한 결과 조도계수가 0.0086일 경우 RMSE 값은 X축에서는 0.0023, Y축에서는 0.0042로 수로중심에서의 수심분포가 잘 일치 하였으며, 흐름특성 또한 수치모의결과와 잘 일치하는 경향을 보였다. Case 2에서는 검증결과를 바탕으로 유입경사가 3%와 5%일 경우 도로와 교차점에서의 흐름특성을 수치적 방법을 통해 분석하였으며, 유입경사가 변화함에 따른 수면흐름특성을 모의하였다.

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고령화가 가정부문 에너지 소비량에 미치는 영향 분석: 전력수요를 중심으로

  • Won, Du-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.341-369
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    • 2012
  • Population aging has been one of the serious problems in Korea. Aging can affect social and economic features including energy consumption. This paper analyzed how population aging makes an effect on residential electricity demand. Yearly data from 1965 to 2010 were collected. The long and short-run demands for residential electricity were estimated with respect to Korean aging index. The results show that population aging reduces residential electricity demands in the short run significantly, but the effect decreases in the long run. However, population aging still negatively affects residential electricity consumption in long run. If population keep aging as Korean government expected, then the residential electricity demand per capita will grow less than 3%.

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An Extent Estimation Caused by Road Sign Using Graphic Theory (그래프이론을 이용한 도로표지의 혼란정도 평가)

  • Chong, Kyu-Soo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.157-164
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    • 2012
  • Road signs serve guide informations for efficient traffic control and are regulated by Road Sign Regulation. But few road managers break the regulation because of civil complaint and cause driver's confusion. Also, as promote the road name guide signs and the new road signs on expressway, the driver's confusion being increased. This study analysis factors of driver's confusion, calculates limited information on road signs and specifies modes of driver's confusion caused by road signs. The traffic accident data during 3 years is calculated in order to see how much intimate connection between the road sign confusion and the traffic.

Prediction Model for Nursing Work Outcome of Nurses - Focused on Positive Psychological Capital (간호사의 간호업무성과 예측모형 - 긍정심리자본을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Soon Neum;Kim, Jung A
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to construct and test a structural equation model on nursing work outcomes based on Youssef and Luthans' positive psychological capital and integrated conceptual framework of work performance. Methods: This study used a structured questionnaire administered to 340 nurses. Data were analyzed using structural equation modeling. Results: Positive psychological capital showed indirect and direct effects on job satisfaction, retention intention, organizational citizenship behavior, and nursing performance. While, the nursing work environment had direct and indirect effects on job satisfaction and nursing performance, it only had indirect effects on intention to work and organizational citizenship behavior. Additionally, a mediating effect on retention intention and organizational citizenship behavior was found between job satisfaction and nursing performance variables. Conclusion: The nursing organization needs to build a supportive work environment and reinforce positive psychological capital to improve nursing performance. Additionally, it needs to actively manage the necessary parameters involved in the stages of job satisfaction, retention intention, nursing performance, and organizational citizenship behavior of nurses. The findings propose the continuous management of nursing personnel based on nurses' attitude outcome, behavioral intention, behavioral outcome, and stage of role performance.

A Study on a Conceptual Model for Housing Quality in Urban Area (현대 도시 주거의질(질) 예측을 위한 개념적 모형에 관한 연구 -서울과 대전 지역을 중심으로-)

  • 최목화
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.49-67
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    • 1988
  • The purpose of this study was to present a conceptual model for predicting housing quality. Housing quality was measured in three ways: perceived quality about physical features of houses, perceived level of the quality in comparison with perceived average level I urban area and housing satisfaction. The specific objectives to achieve the purpose were ; 1) to measure the perceived quality about physical features of houses and perceived level of the quality in comparison with the perceived average level I urban 2) to measure the level of housing satisfaction 3) to clarify the causality between the composite variables of housing quality. A final instrument was developed through two stage pilot surveys. The respondents were 1292 homemakers of middle and high economic class in seoul and Daejeon, selected through stratified random sampling technique. Data were collected during March and April, 1986, and analyzed using SPSS and SAS computer packages. The statistics used were frequency, percentage, F-test, Duncan's Multiple Range, x2, Cramer's V, Multiple linear Regression, Path analysis. The major finding were as follows; the variables significantly related to predict the housing quality were found. The simple, composite variables and 3 measures of housing quality were linked using path analysis, thereby a conceptual model predicting housing quality was suggested.

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3-Axis Magnetometer Modeling & Simulation and Implementation for Under Water Weapon System (3축 자력계 Modeling & Simulation 및 수중무기체계 적용)

  • Lim, Byeong-Seon;Han, Seung-Hwan;Kim, Young-Kil
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.3069-3078
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    • 2014
  • This research handles the performance improvement effect by the Modeling & Simulation and shows the design, implementation, test results of the new 3-axis magnetometer which is the core component of strategic offensive deploying mine. The submarine is modelled by using the commercial electromagnetic field analysis tool on numerical value, and its magnetic field characteristic is predicted in order to apply the new magnetometer to the future underwater weapon system. The method to take the performance test results of new 3-axis magnetometer in the land is shown instead of the real test result in sea by making the miniature submarine.

A Study on Weeding of the Literature in the Field of Science and Technology (과학기술분야 자료의 폐기기준에 관한 연구 - 원자력분야 자료를 중심으로-)

  • Chun, Young-Choon;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.62-89
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to propose the efficient and reasonable weeding model of the scientific literature by measuring a life-span of literatures in the field of nuclear engineering through citation analysis, the average life of actually discarded literatures in the KAERI (Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute), and the life of use through the circulation data analysis from 1992 to 1994 of KAERI.

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