• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
• /
• v.27 no.2
• /
• pp.355-372
• /
• 2011

Various incentive policies for transshipment cargo have been enforced without any evaluation of the effectiveness. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of volume incentive on container transshipment cargo. To be different from previous studies, this study tries to quantitatively assess the incentive effects by using econometric techniques. The result derived from the ARIMA type models indicates that the total amount of the increased transshipment cargo during the last 7 years is about one million TEU. In the meanwhile, the multivariate long run equilibrium model implies that the increased transshipment cargo is less than 0.5 million TEU for the 7 years. Furthermore, the structural break tests indicate that the volume incentive does not change the model structures. It means that the effect of volume incentive is not statistically significant. Consequently, the test results conclude the effect of volume incentive on transshipment cargo is not significant although the volume of transshipment cargo is increased to some extent by volume incentive. Considering the magnitude of BPA's expenditure, we doubt the effectiveness of volume incentive. This study, therefore, encourages the port authority to research a more efficient way to induce transshipment cargo rather than focusing on only volume incentives.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2022.05a
• /
• pp.497-497
• /
• 2022

홍수위험지도는 홍수발생시 예방되는 침수범위와 침수깊이를 나타내는 지도로 2009년 영산강수계(237.53 km), 2016년에 섬진강수계(251.06 km) 국가하천의 홍수위험지도가 제작되었고, 2021년 영산·섬진강권역 지방하천(4521.31 km) 홍수위험지도가 제작됨으로써 영산·섬진강권역 홍수위험지도 제작이 모두 완료되었다. 홍수위험지도 제작은 GIS 범람해석, 1차원 및 2차원 수치모형으로 구분할 수 있따. GIS 범람해석은 제내지의 지형 수치표고모델(DEM) 등을 활용하여 지형자료를 구축하고, 측점별 홍수위를 이용한 홍수위 DEM을 작성한 후 각 DEM의 고도차를 계산하여 홍수범람구역을 도시하는 방법이다. 도심지 또는 주거지를 관류하는 하천에 대해서는 제방의 편안 파제를 가정하여 FLUMEN모형을 이용한 2차원 범람분석 또는 HEC-RAS모형을 이용한 1차원 범람분석 방법 적용한다. 위와 같은 분석 방법으로 도출된 침수 결과는 제방 월류 및 제방 유실 등의 극한 상황을 가정한 것으로, 2020년 섬진강 대홍수 홍수피해 침수구역과 홍수위험지도의 침수구역의 겨의 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 즉 하천홍수로 발생할 수 있는 피해의 규모를 예측할 수 있으며, 이러한 예측정보는 방재계획 수립 및 홍수대응에 활용도가 높을 것이다. 홍수위험지도는 홍수위험지도정보시스템(www.floodmap.go.kr)에서 누구나 확인이 가능하며, 지자체 방재담당자는 회원가입을 통해 홍수위험지도 전산파일 및 보고서 등을 받을 수 있다. 방재담당자는 홍수위험지도의 침수구역을 바탕으로 대피계획을 수립하고, 집중호우로 인한 하천수위 상승 시 홍수위험지도의 침수구역을 중심으로 방재활동을 하여 인명피해를 최소화할 수 있을 것이다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
• /
• v.30 no.1
• /
• pp.23-34
• /
• 1997

The Nanji-Do ladnfill is an ill-conditioned reclaimed land without pollution intercepting facilities, and has high ground water table and deep stratum. The purpose of this study is to analyze the solute transport in steady-state groundwater flow and to predict the solute dispersion in Nanji-Do landfill using HST-3D model. As results, the groundwater flows radially outward from the center of No. 1 and No. 2 landfills, and large amount of runoff is moved into Han River. The predicted relative concentration of total dissolved solute(TDS) at two years later was 0.25 in the weathering zone, 0.26 in the lower alluvium, and 0.28 in the upper alluvium. Thus, the further pollution to bottom rock and Han River was predicted by comparing the corresponding present values of 0.29, 0.32 and 0.35.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
• /
• v.39 no.1
• /
• pp.73-80
• /
• 2019

Traffic Safety and efficient Road Traffic Policy of Traffic management came into effect over the certain size of the road like main road. Comparatively, Safety for Living street is deteriorated. Especially, Vehicle are usually priority to the life-zone street, even though Safety for the Passengers are essential to the life-zone street in the residential area. Improvement for the Living street has not been achieved In this study, To suggest Intersection Notifications standard of installation in Living Street, We execute on-site survey in priority to Gwangju Metropolitan City. Furthermore, After We suggest experimental value for the Intersection Notifications' standard of installation Prediction model in the Living street, Intersection Notifications compare & veritfy experimental value to the installation point's value to suggest the standard of installation in the living street. As a result, We can prevent frequent traffic accident in the Living Street. Furthermore, We are judged by installation of intersection Notifications considering stability and convenience to the passengers who are using the living street.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
• /
• 2007.06a
• /
• pp.917-920
• /
• 2007

In this research, a typhoon model has been reproduced on the Masan area which had a great damage caused by a tidal wave of the typhoon "MAEMI" at that time. In addition, after calculating the highest level of a tide that happens in the case, it can be compared with one in a real situation, and the accuracy of the typhoon model could be analyzed as well by comparing the actual overflow area with the greatest overflow area computed by the data of the highest level of a tide. This research is to provide some fundamental and primary materials for the design of stable harbor structure by predicting such as tidal changes that follow some typhoon matrixes hereafter.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
• /
• v.13 no.3
• /
• pp.107-115
• /
• 2015

The social commerce is an innovative and emerging transaction. It is the result of combination with transaction and social media technology. This study analyzes Korean college students' social commerce behavior through extending technology acceptance model(TAM) with social influence(SI). We confirmed all proposed hypotheses are significant and supported by the given data through PLS path modeling method with SmartPLS. It indicates that SI is an important factor influencing intention to use, so SI should be consider for theorists to enhance explanation and prediction of TAM and for practitioners to earn higher performances as well. Finally, based on the findings, suggestions for future studies are discussed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2010.05a
• /
• pp.1750-1754
• /
• 2010

구조물 주변의 국부세굴에 대한 예측은 현장관측 및 수리실험 결과를 이용한 다양한 경험식과 수리모형 실험, 수치 모의 등을 통하여 이루어진다. 본 연구에서는 최근 국내에서 많이 사용되고 있는 3차원 수치모형인 FLOW-3D의 세굴분석 능력 검토를 제고하기 위하여 민감도 분석을 실시하였다. FLOW 3D의 입력 매개변수는 평균입경(Average particle diameter), 유사 비중(Density of the sediment particle), 한계 무차원 소류력(Critical Shields number), 세굴 조절개수(Scour erosion adjustment), 한계 유사비(Critical sediment fraction), 점착성 유사비(Cohesive sediment fraction), 유사 항력(sediment drag force), 안식각(Angle of repose)이 있다. 이 중에서 평균입경, 안식각, 세굴조절개수, 한계 유사 fraction 등의 매개변수에 대해 초기값을 중심으로 일정 비율로 구분하여 민감도 분석을 실시하였다. 주요 매개변수의 민감도 분석 결과는 수리실험 결과치와 비교 검토 후에 민감도의 변화 범위와 선행하여 조정할 수 있는 매개변수를 제시할 수 있다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 수공구조물 주변의 국부 세굴에 관한 해석시 FLOW-3D를 이용한 분석에서 보다 신뢰도 높은 결과 산출이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• Korean Journal of Gerontological Social Welfare
• /
• v.74 no.1
• /
• pp.61-90
• /
• 2019

본 연구의 목적은 Anderson의 행동모형에 따라 설계된 예측요인들 중 가능성요인이 노인들의 돌봄 유형 선호에 미치는 영향을 분석하는 것이다. 노인들의 돌봄 유형은 돌봄 제공주체자에 따라 '자기 돌봄', '가족 돌봄', '전문적 돌봄'으로 구분하였고, 전국 노인 2,064명을 대상으로 실시된 설문자료를 다항로지스틱회귀분석을 통해 분석하였다. 분석 결과는 다음과 같다. 각각의 돌봄 유형 선호에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대한 분석을 실시한 결과, 노인의 돌봄 유형 선호를 결정하는 데 있어 주요하게 작용하는 공통적인 가능성요인은 동거 가족 수와 사회관계망으로 나타났다. 구체적으로 배우자 유무와 동거 가족 수, 사회관계망은 가족 돌봄 선호와 자기 돌봄 선호를 구분하는 요인으로 확인되었으며, 배우자 유무와 동거 가족 수, 사회적지지, 사회관계망이 가족 돌봄 선호와 전문적 돌봄 선호를 구분하는 요인으로 확인되었다. 또한 동거 가족 수와 거주 지역, 사회관계망이 자기 돌봄 선호와 전문적 돌봄 선호를 구분하는 요인으로 확인되었다. 이러한 연구결과를 토대로 체계적이고 효과적인 지역사회 통합 돌봄 정책설계를 위한 정책적 시사점을 제시하였다.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
• /
• v.19 no.4
• /
• pp.694-711
• /
• 2016

This study analyzes the spatial characteristics of knowledge industry which has shown relatively rapid growth in the low-growth economy situation in recent years. In particular, we catch hold of the locational characteristics of the knowledge service industry which occupies the highest ratio by professional-expert jobs favoured by young generations, as well as estimate their occupational employment opportunities. By applying Location Quotient(LQ) and LISA, we reveal the spatial distribution patterns of publishing business, information service business and education service business in the Seoul Metropolitan area, and examine the changes in the spatial patterns during the last ten years. In order to understand the socio-economic factors which explain their locations, we apply the stepwise multiple regression analysis. Furthermore, we predict the changes distribution of Knowledge service industrial employment by applying Markov Chain Model. As the result, we found their clusters at the specific locations, while there is the significant variations in the socio-economic variables related their locations respectively. The related job opportunities of the knowledge service businesses in the Seoul Metropolitan area are predicted steady growth trend for the next four years, even though dull or stagnant trend is expected for other industries. This study provides basic resources to the planning for young generation employment problem.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
• /
• v.22 no.3
• /
• pp.351-365
• /
• 2019

This study aims to predict the changes in population distribution in Korea by considering spatio-temporal characteristics of major migration reasons. For the purpose, we analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of each major migration reason(such as job, family, housing, and education) and estimate the transition probability, respectively. By appling Markov chain model processes with the ChapmanKolmogorov equation based on the transition probability, we predict the changes in the population distribution for the next six years. As the results, we found that there were differences of population changes by regions, while there were geographic movements into metropolitan areas and cities in general. The methodologies and the results presented in this study can be utilized for the provision of customized planning policies. In the long run, it can be used as a basis for planning and enforcing regionally tailored policies that strengthen inflow factors and improve outflow factors based on the trends of population inflow and outflow by region by movement factors as well as identify the patterns of population inflow and outflow in each region and predict future population volatility.