• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.15 no.5
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• pp.31-39
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• 2014

It has been a long time since cars had become important means of transportation in human life. Since 1970s, cars have been increasing steadily because of rising individual income and changing lifestyle toward leisure and convenience. The number of cars is just 1.8 per thousand populations in 1970s, however, in 2012, it has increased to 291.15. Forecasting the demand for cars would be useful to plan, construction or management in the field of motor industry, road building and establishing facilities. Our study predicts the demand of cars through estimating the growth curve model. Especially, we include ageing variables to forecasting identifying the effect of ageing on the demand of cars. The main findings are as follows. In 2045, the number of cars is expected to reach 486.8 per thousand populations with passing a primary saturation point at early 2020s. Also, due to effect of ageing, the predicted demand of cars is about 10% lower than in case of which if ageing effect not exist.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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• 2019.11a
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• pp.225-227
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• 2019

최근 다양한 개인방송 플랫폼에 의해 엄청난 양의 콘텐츠가 업로드 되고 있으며 그 중 축구와 야구와 같은 스포츠 영상이 차지하는 비율이 상당하다. 방송사에서는 시청자들이 편의를 위해 경기 영상 중 흥미를 끌거나 또는 중요한 장면을 모아 하이라이트 영상을 만들어 제공하는데, 이는 시간과 비용이 많이 소요되는 문제가 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 스포츠 영상에서 자동으로 하이라이트를 예측하는 모델을 제안하다. 우리의 모델은 오디오와 이미지 정보를 함께 사용하며, 영상의 단기적 전후관계와 중장기적 흐름을 동시에 파악하는 모델을 제시한다. 또한 좋은 특징벡터를 추출하기 위해 GAN을 결합하는 방법을 설명한다. 제안하는 모델들을 야구 경기 영상을 이용하여 평가한다.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.329-357
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• 1996

본 논문은 확률적 변동성하의 통화옵션가격결정모형에 대하여 실증적으로 검증하였다. 연구결과 OTM, ATM, ITM에서 일정한 변동성을 가정하는 모형가격은 확률적 변동성하의 통화옵션가격결정모형에 비교하여 일치적으로 높게 나타나고 있으며 OTM옵션에 가격결정오차의 크기는 ATM 옵션보다 크게 나타나고 있다. 또한 옵션의 만기가 길수록 가격결정오차의 크기는 커진다는 것을 보여주고 있다. 확률적 변동성하의 통화옵션가격결정모형이 일정한 변동성을 가정하는 통화옵션가격결정모형보다 행사가격과 만기편의를 감소시키며 특히 단기의 만기를 가진 범위에서는 매우 큰 오차감소효과가 나타났다. 따라서 통화옵션가격결정모형을 이용하여 옵션가격을 예측함에 있어 환율변동성이 일정하다는 가정하에서 변동성을 모형에 투입하는 것보다는 환율변동성의 이분산성을 고려하여 추정된 변동성을 모형에 투입하는 것이 통화옵션가격의 예측력을 개선시킬 수 있다고 할 수 있다. 그리고 회귀분석결과 설명력을 나타내는 $R^2$값이 높게 나타나고 있으며, 확률적 변동성하의 통화옵션가격결정모형의 $R^2$값이 일정한 변동성을 가정하는 모형의 $R^2$보다는 높게 나타나고 있다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.395-403
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• 2002

In the third phase of the response surface methods, the first-order model is assumed and the curvature of the response surface is checked with a fractional factorial design augmented by centre runs. We further assume that a true model is a quadratic polynomial. To choose an optimal design, Box and Draper(1959) suggested the use of an average mean squared error (AMSE), an average of MSE of y(x) over the region of interest R. The AMSE can be partitioned into the average prediction variance (APV) and average squared bias (ASB). Since AMSE is a function of design moments, region moments and a standardized vector of parameters, it is not possible to select the design that minimizes AMSE. As a practical alternative, Box and Draper(1959) proposed minimum bias design which minimize ASB and showed that factorial design points are shrunk toward the origin for a minimum bias design. In this paper we propose a robust AMSE design which maximizes the minimum efficiency of the design with respect to a standardized vector of parameters.

• Archives of design research
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.253-264
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• 2004

The final goal of this research is development of graphic design evaluation methodology in elevation of a usability at the mobile internet services and of measurement model which can forecast user needs in interface design, and systemize evaluation basis. For this, we systemize core contents of GUI design evaluation methodology and embodied UI design support system that supports prototype layout and evaluation process directly. The sight language that can inform flow of controled information by the quick and implicated method so that user may complete task in a short time without overload of recognition in limited display environment of Small Screen device it must improve objectivity in the reflection of UI design with image. Thus evaluation methodology that can evaluate usability of mobile internet systematically is important and specially, graphic design evaluation model which can forecast user's design need and trend is meaningful because of special quality that can reflect sensitive aspect of user in interface design. Mobile internet GUI was done by the result of this design evaluation, and I hope this result can be utilized for the GUI development of Ubiquitous environment for the future research.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.32 no.2
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• pp.199-211
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• 2019

This paper is concerned with issues in the finite mixture of regression modeling as well as the simultaneous selection of the number of mixing components and relevant predictors. We propose a penalized likelihood method for both mixture components and regression coefficients that enable the simultaneous identification of significant variables and the determination of important mixture components in mixture of regression models. To avoid over-fitting and bias problems, we applied smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalties on the logarithm of component probabilities suggested by Huang et al. (Statistical Sinica, 27, 147-169, 2013) as well as several well-known penalty functions for coefficients in regression models. Simulation studies reveal that our method is satisfactory with well-known penalties such as SCAD, MCP, and adaptive lasso.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.1299-1306
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• 2014

Recently, there are many roundabouts installation works which are ordered to provide convenient transportation to road users as well as to eliminate traffic accidents and traffic delays. This study propose an approximate construction cost estimation model for early stages of roundabout construction. The model is designed considering the conditions of the early stage roundabout construction sites in Jeju. The regression equation of approximate construction cost was derived through regression analysis of 25 design data of roundabout construction in Jeju, and it was analyzed to have a high prediction accuracy. Finally, results verifies high prediction accuracy of the derived regression equation. Difference between the estimation cost and the design cost was only 2.3%, 3.7%, and 5.8% that verifies the high accuracy of the proposed approximate construction cost estimation model.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.13-22
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• 2017

The present study proposes a new methodology for predicting the demand for truck rest areas beside national highways. Previous demand forecasting methods were reviewed first in order to complement them with additional items. The results of the study are as follows. In the demand forecasting process, the primary task is to divide parking demands of trucks into short-term parking and long-term parking. Since short-term and long-term parking vary in utilization, congestion, and turnover rate, different influence factors should be considered according to parking time. Furthermore, the demand characteristics of rest and convenience facilities need to be reflected as well, because they in turn affect the demand for truck rest areas. In sum, the demand forecasting process for destination-type truck rest areas on national highways requires more attention than that for truck rest areas on expressways, and possible influences of various factors should be examined in this process.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.22 no.10
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• pp.1314-1319
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• 2018

The current TW3 - based maximum height prediction technique used in KMAA(Korean Medical Academy of Auxology) is manual and subjective, and it requires a lot of time and effort in the medical treatment, while the interest in the child's growth is very high. In addition, the technique of classifying images using deep learning, especially convolutional neural networks, is used in many fields at a more accurate level than the human eyes, also there is no exception in the medical field. In this paper, we introduce a TW3 algorithm using deep learning, that uses the convolutional neural network to predict the growth level of the left hand bone, to predict the maximum height of child and youth in order to increase the reliability of predictions and improve the convenience of the doctor.

• The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.327-335
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• 2019

This study develops a prediction model for toilet and laundry water end-uses based on surveyed data which measured housing and household characteristics of 140 households over 5 years in Korea. Classical regression model assuming a normal distribution was not appropriate and estimated parameters were biased, because the distribution of measured water-uses was left-skewed. As an alternative to this problem, we considered the distribution of weibull and lognormal for each water-uses, and three regression models were compared using log-likelihood and scale parameter. As a result, weibull regression were chosen to be appropriate for both water-uses and also presented the factors that affect each water-use. This results expect that an insight is provided on water resources utilization and theoretical support role for effective water resource management.