• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측편의

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Development of Performance Analysis S/W for Wind Turbine Generator System (풍력발전시스템 성능 해석 S/W 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Mun, Jung-Heu;No, Tae-Soo;Kim, Ji-Yon;Kim, Sung-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.202-209
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    • 2008
  • Application of wind turbine generator system (WTGS) needs researches for performance prediction, pitch control, and optimal operation method. Recently a new type WTGS is developed and under testing. The notable feature of this WTGS is that it consists of two rotor systems positioned horizontally at upwind and downwind locations, and a generator installed vertically inside the tower. In this paper, a nonlinear simulation software developed for the performance prediction of the Dual Rotor WTGS and testing of various control algorithm is introduced. This software is hybrid in the sense that FORTRAN is extensively used for the purpose of computation and Matlab/Simulink provides a user friendly GUI-like environment.

A Study on the Analysis of the Urban Sewer Volume Using the Expert System (전문가기법을 이용한 도시 하수용량 분석에 관한 연구)

  • 이규석;유재용
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 1993
  • The urban expansion and the modernization of the urban infrastructure need a new technology to manage the facilities. The sewer management, one of the urban infrastructures, requires geographical information systems(GIS) for this purpose, and can be supported by the expert system. Consequently, non-professionals can use this system conveniently. In this study, the search and retrieving capacity of the relational database management system(DBMS) and the chain topology generator of the vector-based GIS were integrated into the sewer management system together with the expert knowledge. This system can predict the sewer volume charge by the simulation, and automate these procedures. This system is also user-friendly by using the user-interface. Finally, the system was applied to one of the Seoul drainage districts and tested.

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Predicting User Profile based on user behaviors (모바일 사용자 행태 기반 프로파일 예측)

  • Sim, Myo-Seop;Lim, Heui-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2020
  • As the performance of mobile devices has dramatically improved, users can perform many tasks in a mobile environment. This means that the use of behavior information stored in the mobile device can tell a lot of users. For example, a user's text message and frequently used application information (behavioral information) can be utilized to create useful information, such as whether the user is interested in parenting(profile prediction). In this study, I investigate the behavior information of the user that can be collected in the mobile device and propose the item that can profile the user. And I also suggest ideas about how to utilize profiling information.

주식수익률(株式收益率) 분산(分散)의 시간(時間) 변동성(變動性)에 관한 연구(硏究)

  • Sin, Jae-Jeong;Jeong, Beom-Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.263-301
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    • 1993
  • 최근의 연구결과에 의하면 분산이 시간에 따라 변화하여 이분산적(異分散的)이며, 시계열상관(時系列相關)이 존재하는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 일정(一定)한 분산을 가정하여 주식수익률(株式收益率)의 움직임을 설명하는 기존의 모형들은 주식수익률(株式收益率)을 예측하는데 편의(偏倚)(bias)를 가지게 되며, 또한 투자자(投資者)들에게 정확한 위험측정(危險測定)의 수단을 제공하지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 우리나라 주식수익률(株式收益率)의 분산이 시간에 따라 변화하는지를 살펴보기 위해 종합주가지수(綜合株價指數) 및 규모별(規模別) 지수(指數)를 사용하여 ARCH 및 GARCH 모형을 추정하였다. 또한 기대수익률(期待收益率)과 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)사이의 다기간(多期間)(intertemporal) 관계를 ARCH-M 및 GARCH-M 모형을 사용하여 추정하였다. 추정결과는 우리나라 주식시장에도 유의적인 ARCH 및 GARCH 효과, 즉 주식수익률이 매우 이분산적(異分散的)인 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 기대수익률(期待收益率)과 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)사이의 관계에서 ARCH-M 모형과 GARCH-M 모형의 추정결과가 다르게 나타났으나 전체적으로 유의하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 본 연구결과로 조건부(條件附) 분산모형(分散模型)을 통하여 기대수익률(期待收益率) 및 분산(分散)의 움직임을 더욱 잘 파악할 수 있을 것으로 생각되며, 따라서 주식수익률(株式收益率) 및 분산(分散)의 예측에 더 좋은 도구로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 생각된다.

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Evaluation of Adhesive Bonding Quality by Acoustic Emission (음향방출시험에 의한 복합 재료 접합부의 비파괴평가)

  • Lee, J.O.;Lee, J.S.;Yoon, U.H.;Lee, S.H.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 1996
  • Prediction of fatigue life and monitoring of fracture process for adhesively bonded CFRP composites joint have been investigated by analysis of acoustic emission signals during the fatigue and tension tests. During fatigue test, generated acoustic emission is related to stored elastic strain energy. By results of monitoring of AE event rate, fatigue process could be divided into two regions, and boundaries of two regions, fatigue cycles of the initiation of fast crack growth, were 70-80% of fatigue life even though the fatigue life were highly scattered from specimen to specimen. The result shows the possibility of predicting catastrophic failure by acoustic emission monitoring.

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Analysis of Ultrasonic Resonance Signal for Detecting the Defect of Adhesive Interface in Exit Cone (확대부 내열재의 접착계면 결함 검출을 위한 초음파 공진 신호 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Ryun;Kim, Jae-Hoon;Lim, Soo-Yong;Park, Sung-Han;Yeh, Byung-Hahn
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.230-237
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    • 2012
  • The ultrasonic resonance method was applied to detect the disbond interface and empty layer between steel and FRP of the exit cone. The ultrasonic resonance method can easily detect the disbond interface and empty layer by amplifying the ultrasonic signal, but pulse echo method is difficult to distinguish adhesive interface from disbond interface or empty layer. The resonance frequency was predicted using the pressure reflection coefficient of 3-layered medium, and measured from ultrasonic signal of the test block using Fast Fourier Transform. The ultrasonic resonance proved that the predicted resonance frequency was in good agreement with the measured resonance frequency.

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A Fracture Mechanic Study on Life Prediction of Surface Cracks at Elevated Temperature (고온화 표면균열의 수명예측에 관한 파괴역학적 연구)

  • Chang-Min,Suh;Young-Ho,Kim;Bung-Ho,Son;Sang-Yeub,Oh
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.100-106
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    • 1990
  • Microcracking of type 304 stainless steel at $593^{\circ}C(1,100^{\circ}F)$ has been studied, in particular, initiation, growth, and coalescence of fatigue and creep microcracks on smooth specimens and small notch specimens via surface replicas and photomicrographs. Quantitative information, such as, initiation period, growth, and coalescence behavior, statistical distributions of crack length, density of cracks, distribution patterns and crack growth properties, were obtained. From this study, the fracture process, fatigue life, and creep life prediction characterized by the growth of surface microcracks have been analysed by a new approach unifying the conventional approaches based on the final fracture of materials with the fracture mechanics approach. Knowledge of these parameters is critical for the application of fracture mechanics to fatigue and creep life assessment, and the damage evaluation of structures at elevated temperature.

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A Visualization Method for the Ocean Forecast Data using WMS System (WMS 시스템을 이용한 해양예측모델 데이터의 가시화 기법)

  • Kwon, Taejung;Lee, Jaeryoung;Park, Jaepyo
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2018
  • Recently, many companies offer various web-based map that is based on GIS(Geographic Information System) information. Google Map, Open street, Bing Map, Naver Map, Daum Map, Vwolrd Map, etc are the few examples of such system. In this paper, we propose a method to visualize ocean forecasting model data considering the flow diagram of tidal current, streamline expression algorithm, and user convenience by using vector field data information that is currently being served. It is confirmed that the proposed method of the flow diagram of tidal current, and stream line expression algorithm is faster than that of conventional ocean prediction model data by more than 2 times.

Simulation analysis of AGV introduction in the convenience store logistics distribution centers (편의점 유통물류센터의 AGV 도입에 대한 시뮬레이션 분석)

  • Kim, Jeonghoon;Kim, Younjin;Lee, Hongchul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2016
  • Since 2000, the market of convenient stores in Korea has developed rapidly due to the explosive growth in single households but it still consists mainly of manual work due to the nature of the domestic industry. Hence the explosive increase in demand in the market is mostly due to workers. Therefore, the research aimed at encouraging efficiency via automation, which is carried out in manufacturing, such as electronic, cars and so on, is inadequate. This study performed a feasibility analysis of investment for introducing an automated system on brand A, which is domestic famous convenience store company. Productivity growth according to the introduction of an automated guided vehicle and the cost-benefits was studied with using a simulation for the picking process, which is most personnel and time consuming. As a result, the simulation showed that the equipment AGV introduced for choosing the process has the effects of cost saving and increased time efficiency for performing manual labor. Furthermore, appropriate numbers of AGV were forecasted considering the capacity of the distribution Center in the brand A convenient store, which has been growing steadily. There are increasing numbers of worker labor costs in the distribution industry these days. Before building a large new automate center, it is expected to provide a good information to investors who are considering increasing productivity through partial automation of each of unit process to achieve some cost reduction.

Role of unstructured data on water surface elevation prediction with LSTM: case study on Jamsu Bridge, Korea (LSTM 기법을 활용한 수위 예측 알고리즘 개발 시 비정형자료의 역할에 관한 연구: 잠수교 사례)

  • Lee, Seung Yeon;Yoo, Hyung Ju;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.spc1
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    • pp.1195-1204
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    • 2021
  • Recently, local torrential rain have become more frequent and severe due to abnormal climate conditions, causing a surge in human and properties damage including infrastructures along the river. In this study, water surface elevation prediction algorithm was developed using the LSTM (Long Short-term Memory) technique specialized for time series data among Machine Learning to estimate and prevent flooding of the facilities. The study area is Jamsu Bridge, the study period is 6 years (2015~2020) of June, July and August and the water surface elevation of the Jamsu Bridge after 3 hours was predicted. Input data set is composed of the water surface elevation of Jamsu Bridge (EL.m), the amount of discharge from Paldang Dam (m3/s), the tide level of Ganghwa Bridge (cm) and the number of tweets in Seoul. Complementary data were constructed by using not only structured data mainly used in precedent research but also unstructured data constructed through wordcloud, and the role of unstructured data was presented through comparison and analysis of whether or not unstructured data was used. When predicting the water surface elevation of the Jamsu Bridge, the accuracy of prediction was improved and realized that complementary data could be conservative alerts to reduce casualties. In this study, it was concluded that the use of complementary data was relatively effective in providing the user's safety and convenience of riverside infrastructure. In the future, more accurate water surface elevation prediction would be expected through the addition of types of unstructured data or detailed pre-processing of input data.