• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측실험

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Nonlinear Analysis for the Prediction of Lateral Behavior of Single Piles in Non-homogeneous Sandy Soil (비균질 사질토 지반에서 단일말뚝의 수평거동 예측을 위한 비선형 해석기법)

  • 김영수;김병탁;허노영
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 2000
  • THe purpose of this paper is to suggest the analytical method which can predict lateral nonlinear behavior in non-homogeneous soil using the coefficient of soil resistance and ultimate soil resistance. Those parameters are obtained through back analysis on the base of the results of a series of model tests.Analytical method of Chang is more or less difficult to predict nonlinear behavior in non-homogeneous sol. So, in this study, for the prediction of nonlinear behavior the compositive analytical method which apply the p - y curve to Chang model is suggested. Also, the program is developed to predict nonlinear behavior using the compositive analytical method and it can be used to calculated the deflection, bending moment and soil reaction with DFM in non-homogeneous soil. To establish applicability of the suggested analytical method, the results of model tests and field tests and Pentagon2D finite element program are compared with those of the compositive analytical method. In the analysis values of the coefficient of soil reaction and ultimate soil resistance are also applied to the case of non-homogeneous soil. Lateral defection calculated using the compositive analytical method has been found to be in good agreement with values measured in field and model load tests.

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Realistic Prediction of Post-Cracking Behaviour in Synthetic Fiber Reinforced Concrete Beams (합성섬유보강 콘크리트 보의 균열 후 거동 예측)

  • 오병환;김지철;박대균;원종필
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.900-909
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    • 2002
  • Fibers play a role to increase the tensile strength and cracking resistance of concrete structures. The post cracking behavior must be clarified to predict cracking resistance of fiber reinforced concrete. The purpose of this study is to develop a realistic analysis method for the post cracking behavior of synthetic fiber reinforced concrete members. For this purpose, the cracked section is assumed to behave as a rigid body and the pullout behavior of single fiber is employed. A probabilistic approach is used to calculate effective number of fibers across crack faces. The existing theory is compared with test data and shows good agreement. The proposed theory can be efficiently used to describe the load-deflection behavior, moment-curvature relation, load-crack width relation of synthetic fiber reinforced concrete beams.

Temporal Variation of Local Scour Depth in the Downstream of Weir with Shapes (보 형상 변화에 따른 하류부 세굴의 시간적 변화)

  • Yeo, Chang Geon;Lee, Seungoh;Yoon, Sei Eui;Song, Jai Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.4B
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    • pp.353-360
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    • 2011
  • The objectives of this study were to analyzes temporal variation of local scour depth in the downstream of weir with shapes. Prediction of maximum or equilibrium scour depth was the main focus of engineers and researchers in the downstream of weir. However, it is necessary to analyzes temporal variation of local scour depth in the downstream of weir to predict real time scour depth. Experiment were performed with various weir shapes like sharp crest and inclined stepped with time variation and non-dimensional scourhole shapes, scour depths were proposed. A formula for predicting scour depths with temporal variation for weir were proposed through non-linear regression analysis. Temporal variation of scour depths could be estimated with suggested formula and 4 input data (Equilibrium scour depth, weir height, overflow depths, and water depth downstream). Suggested formula could make it possible to design a apron and bed protection economically in the downstream of a weir by considering flood duration time.

Evaluation of Design Fire Curves for Gas Fires in a Compartment Using CFAST (CFAST를 이용한 구획실 가스화재의 디자인 화재곡선 평가)

  • Baek, Bitna;Oh, Chang Bo;Hwang, Cheol-Hong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the prediction performance of design fire curves (DF) was evaluated for gas fires in a compartment by using CFAST. The CFAST simulations adopted the 2-stage DF suggested by the previous study and the Quadratic and Exponential DF suggested by Ingason. It was found by comparing the simulation and experimental results that the overall prediction performance of the design fire cures for the spatially-averaged temperature and concentrations of $O_2$ and $CO_2$ was, from the most reasonable to the most inaccurate, 2-stage DF > Quadratic DF > Exponential DF. The CFAST simulation could not predict for the difference in the spatially-averaged temperature and concentrations of $O_2$ and $CO_2$ at door and inner side locations in a compartment. The CFAST simulations also showed a limitation in the prediction of the spatially-averaged temperature at lower layer and the concentration of CO.

Evaluations on the Characteristics of Pressure Drop f3r the Design of Intravascular Artificial Lung Assist Device (혈관 내 폐 보조장치 설계를 위한 압력손실 특성 평가)

  • 김기범;권대규;박재관;정경락;이삼철
    • Membrane Journal
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2003
  • In this study, we try to formularize simultaneous equations to make a prediction about pressure drop for designing intravascular artificial lung assist device. Designing parameters to predict the effect of pressure drop and designed modules under various conditions were studied through an experimental modeling before inserting the artificial lung assist device into as venous. We measured pressure drop in various number of hollow fiber membranes, when the inside diameter of shell is fixed in 3 cm, and tried to develope the prediction equations by curve fitting based on the correlation between the experimental pressure drop and the device frontal area or packing density. The results showed that pressure drop increased with 2nd order functional formula as the liquid flow rate, the frontal area, and the packing density increased. Also, we can estimate the pressure drop as a function of the frontal area or packing density. The pressure drop obtained from the experiment was similar to that from the equation, confirming the usefulness of the equation.

Consolidation Settlement of Capped Sediment (II): Advective Transport of Pore Water and Analytical Prediction of Settlement (캡이 설치된 퇴적층의 압밀 침하 (II): 간극수의 이동 및 침하의 해석적 예측)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyung;Hong, Won-Pyo;Moo-Young, Horace-K
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2003
  • Centrifuge test was conducted to simulate the effects of consolidation settlement of capped contaminated marine sediment. A fluorescent dye was used to monitor the movement of pore water through the cap layer. Dye tracer study clearly showed the consolidation induced advective transport of contaminants. Thus, the capping layer must be appropriately designed to reduce the effects of consolidation induced advective transport. The results from the centrifuge test were compared to predictions made by the Primary consolidation, Secondary compression, and Desiccation of Dredged Fill (PSDDF) computer program, which can qualitatively estimate the consolidation settlement of capped marine sediment. Although PSDDF approximated closely the secondary compression in the centrifuge test (i.e., compare data points from 18 to 25 prototype years), the maximum deviation between centrifuge test result and PSDDF prediction was 20 % about prototype time 6 years. Thus, designers should utilize PSDDF consolidation settlement results with caution.

Applicability of AE for the Prediction of Rock Slope Failure (암반비탈면 붕괴시 예측가능한 AE의 적용성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Keun;Kim, Yeon-Joong;Kim, Seok-Chun;Chun, Byung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2011
  • In general, many instrumentations of slope rely on theory or experience because on-site accessibility and long term instrumentation are difficult to conduct the instrumentation of slopes. Also the prediction of disaster is very difficult. Therefore experimental research was conducted about an effective method to predict collapse of slope and on-site applicability in this study. The collapse of slope was able to be predicted by applying AE sensor which we call WEAD to the failure criteria. The parameters of AE generated during the collapse of slope were secured through bending shear test. Test construction was applied to the slope with a history and a possibility of collapse. As a result, it is shown that AE parameters do not exceed the failure criterion and is found to be stable slopes. As the real symptoms of collapse did not appear, AE was found to have excellent applicability.

Software Vulnerability Prediction System Using Machine Learning Algorithm (기계학습 알고리즘을 이용한 소프트웨어 취약 여부 예측 시스템)

  • Choi, Minjun;Kim, Juhwan;Yun, Joobeom
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.635-642
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    • 2018
  • In the Era of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, we live in huge amounts of software. However, as software increases, software vulnerabilities are also increasing. Therefore, it is important to detect and remove software vulnerabilities. Currently, many researches have been studied to predict and detect software security problems, but it takes a long time to detect and does not have high prediction accuracy. Therefore, in this paper, we describe a method for efficiently predicting software vulnerabilities using machine learning algorithms. In addition, various machine learning algorithms are compared through experiments. Experimental results show that the k-nearest neighbors prediction model has the highest prediction rate.

Monthly Precipitation Forecast Using Genetic Algorithm (ANFIS 모형을 이용한 월강수량 예측)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Jeong, Chang-Sam;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1181-1185
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    • 2009
  • Adaptive Nuero-Fuzzy Inference System(ANFIS) 모형은 인공신경망과 퍼지모형의 특징을 가지는 모형으로 자료간의 관계가 선형이 아닌 비선형관계를 가질 경우 매우 정확한 예측 모형을 구축할 수 있는 특징이 있다. 월강수량 예측이 관측된 기상자료들과 비선형 관계에 있다고 생각되어 ANFIS 모형을 이용하여 월강수량을 예측하였다. 본 연구의 대상 지점으로는 금강유역의 대전 지점으로 선정하였다. 금강유역은 우리나라의 한가운데 위치하여 평균적인 강수형태 및 특징을 보여 좋은 실험유역으로 생각되어 선정하였다. 금강유역의 기상청에서 운영하는 지상 유인관측소 중 비교적 금강유역을 대표하고 양질의 자료가 기록되어 있다고 판단되는 대전지점을 실험지점으로 생각되어 선정하였다. 기상청 대전 유인 관측소에는 총 39년치 기상 자료가 기록되어 있다. 기상청에서는 전국 주요 도시들을 대상으로 2003년부터 월간 예보를 하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기상청 월간예보와 기상청 대전 유인관측소에서 관측된 5년 치 기상자료를 모델의 입력자료로 구성하였다. 적절한 입력변수 조합을 구성하기 위하여 반복해법을 적용하였다. 5년 치 자료 중 절반은 학습을 시키는데 사용하였고 나머지 절반을 이용하여 모형을 검증하였다. 여러 입력변수를 이용하여 모형의 학습시킨 결과 입력변수가 3개 일 경우 가장 높은 정확도를 보였다. 입력변수가 3개로 학습 시킨 ANFIS 모형과 기상청에서 제공하는 월간예보를 비교해본 결과 ANFIS 모형을 적용하여 월 강수량을 예측하는 것이 기상청에서 제공하는 월간예보보다 높은 정확도를 보이는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Evalustion and Prediction for the Fatigue crack Initiation and Growth Life by Reliability Approach (I) -Statistical Consideration for Fatigue Crack Growth Life- (신뢰성 공학적 피로 균열의 발생, 진전 수명 평가 및 예측에 관한 연구 ( I ) -피로 균열 진전 수명의 통계학적 분포 특성-)

  • 권재도;최선호;황재석;곽상국;전경옥;장재영
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1583-1591
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    • 1990
  • Life prediction and residual life prediction of structures of machines are one of the most strongly world wide needed problems as requirement in the stage of slowly developing economy which comes after rapidly and highly developing stage. For the purpose of statistical life prediction, fatigue test was conducted under the 4 stress levels, and for each stress level, about 20 specimens are used. The statistical properties of crack growth parameter m and C in the fatigue crack growth law of da/dN=C(.DELTA.K)sup m/, and the relationship between m and C, and the statistical distribution pattern of fatigue crack growth rate can be obtained by experimental results.