• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예경보

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Basic Research for Preparation of a Disabled-Inclusive Public Disaster Management System (장애포괄적 재난관리체계 마련을 위한 기초 연구)

  • Kim, Soungwan;Roh, Sungmin
    • 재활복지
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2016
  • This research aimed to examine the problems in a current national emergency management system that does not consider the disabled in the face of manmade catastrophes and natural disasters, and to conduct an expert opinion survey to explore the direction of disabled-inclusive public disaster management system. As a result of the analysis, the respondents of the survey revealed a need for a designated government department for disaster management systems for the disabled and the experts preferred the Ministry of Public Safety and Security (50%) than the Ministry of Health and Welfare (37.5%). However, 12.5% of the surveyed experts perceived cooperation between the two Ministries, rather than selecting a certain ministry, as necessary to establish a disaster management system for the disabled. Additionally, the experts recognized the response period (43.8%) of the disaster management life cycle to be the most important phase. Thus, at the disaster response period, the experts suggested utilizing an emergency alarm system to effectively rescue the disabled in the face of disaster. Based on this discussion, the paper explores ways to establish a disabled-inclusive public disaster management system.

Regional Categorization of Gyeonggi Province for Fine Dust Management (경기도 지역 미세먼지 관리를 위한 권역 범주화 연구)

  • Lee, Su-Min;Lee, Tae-Jung;Oh, Jongmin;Kim, Sang-Cheol;Jo, Young-Min
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.237-246
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    • 2021
  • The similarity of hourly PM10 and PM2.5 concentration profiles of the atmospheric monitoring stations in Gyeonggi-do was evaluated through the multilateral analysis between stations. The existing category for most stations in the regions shows relatively low Pearson correlation values of 0.68 and 0.7 for PM10 and PM2.5 on average respectively, and some monitoring stations revealed high relationships over 0.8 to other regions. Since the current regions are mainly categorized by cluster analysis based on the number of occurrence of high concentration events and geological factors, it is necessary to reclassify them by concentration characteristics for precise fine dust management. In accordance, multi-dimensional scaling being able to visualize could categorize the regions based on regional emission contribution rate and hourly fine dust concentration. As a result of the current analysis, PM10 and PM2.5 could be reclassified into five regions and fourregions, respectively.

Role of unstructured data on water surface elevation prediction with LSTM: case study on Jamsu Bridge, Korea (LSTM 기법을 활용한 수위 예측 알고리즘 개발 시 비정형자료의 역할에 관한 연구: 잠수교 사례)

  • Lee, Seung Yeon;Yoo, Hyung Ju;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.spc1
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    • pp.1195-1204
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    • 2021
  • Recently, local torrential rain have become more frequent and severe due to abnormal climate conditions, causing a surge in human and properties damage including infrastructures along the river. In this study, water surface elevation prediction algorithm was developed using the LSTM (Long Short-term Memory) technique specialized for time series data among Machine Learning to estimate and prevent flooding of the facilities. The study area is Jamsu Bridge, the study period is 6 years (2015~2020) of June, July and August and the water surface elevation of the Jamsu Bridge after 3 hours was predicted. Input data set is composed of the water surface elevation of Jamsu Bridge (EL.m), the amount of discharge from Paldang Dam (m3/s), the tide level of Ganghwa Bridge (cm) and the number of tweets in Seoul. Complementary data were constructed by using not only structured data mainly used in precedent research but also unstructured data constructed through wordcloud, and the role of unstructured data was presented through comparison and analysis of whether or not unstructured data was used. When predicting the water surface elevation of the Jamsu Bridge, the accuracy of prediction was improved and realized that complementary data could be conservative alerts to reduce casualties. In this study, it was concluded that the use of complementary data was relatively effective in providing the user's safety and convenience of riverside infrastructure. In the future, more accurate water surface elevation prediction would be expected through the addition of types of unstructured data or detailed pre-processing of input data.

Analysis of Correlation Between the Number of Cyanobacterias and Water Quality Parameters in Geum River (금강유역의 남조류 세포수와 수질인자 간의 상관관계 분석)

  • Park, Gue Tae;Jang, Dong Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.213-213
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    • 2020
  • 최근 나타나는 지구온난화와 이상기후로 인해 가뭄과 홍수피해 같은 자연재해 발생 빈도가 높아졌고, 하천에서는 오염된 수질과 수생태계 복원 및 수변공간 조성, 수자원 관리 등의 목적으로 수질환경 개선사업이 진행되고 있다. 수질환경 측면에서 하천에서 발생하는 가장 큰 문제점으로는 녹조 즉, 남조류의 발생을 예로 들 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 최근 보 개방을 통하여 수질개선 효과가 나타나고 있는 금강을 대상으로 세종보, 공주보, 백제보 구간에 대하여 주요 수질인자에 대한 상관관계 분석을 수행하였다. 특히 남조류 세포수와 주요 하천 수질인자를 Pearson's correlation analysis를 이용하여 상관관계를 분석하였고, 보 위치별 남조류 세포수를 종속변수로 하고, 상관도가 높은 수질인자를 독립변수로 하는 다중회귀식을 도출하여 금강 내 주요 하천 수질인자의 농도에 따른 남조류 세포수 관계를 규명하고자 하였다. 분석기간은 2012년 1월부터 2019년 12월까지 보 건설 이후 시점으로 선정하였고, 월 평균 남조류 개체수가 조류경보제 발령기준 관심단계이상에 해당하는 금강수계의 3개 보에 대하여 남조류 세포수와 수질에 영향을 끼치는 인자인 강수량, (수온)W·T, (수소이온농도)pH, (용존산소)DO, (생물화학적산소요구량)BOD, (화학적산소요구량)COD, (부유물질량)SS, (총질소)TN, (총인)TP, (클로로필-a)Chl-a, (전기전도도)EC, (질산성질소)NO3-N, (암모니아성 질소)NH3-N, (인산염 인)PO4-P, (용존총질소)DTN, (용존총인)DTP, (총유기탄소)TOC 와의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 분석 결과 측정 지점별 남조류 세포수와 상관관계가 있는 인자는 서로 상이했지만 (수온)W·T과 pH의 경우 모든 지점에서 남조류 세포수와 양의 상관관계가 나타났다. 세종보는 W·T(0.383, P<0.01), pH(0.391, P<0.05)의 양의 상관계수를 나타냈고, 공주보에서는 (수온)W·T(0.436, P<0.05), pH(0.412, P<0.05)의 양의 상관관계를 나타냈다. 백제보에서는 (수온)W·T(0.415, P<0.01), pH(0.221, P<0.01)의 양의 상관성을 나타냈다. 남조류 세포수와 수질인자 간의 상관관계 분석에 따라 통계적으로 유의한 인자 중 (수온)W·T과 pH에 영향을 받는 영양염류와 퇴적물에 대한 후속 연구가 필요할 것으로 사료되며, 연구를 통해 제시된 남조류 세포수 다중회귀식은 주요 수질인자 농도에 따라 발생 가능한 남조류세포수를 예측하여 금강의 수질 관리에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Evaluating the Influence of Post-Earthquake Rainfall on Landslide Susceptibility through Soil Physical Properties Changes (지진이후 강우의 산사태 발생 영향성 평가를 위한 토양물성값 변화 분석)

  • Junpyo Seo;Song Eu;KiHwan Lee;Giha Lee;Sewook Oh
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.270-283
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: Considering the rising frequency of earthquakes in Korea, it is crucial to revise the rainfall thresholds for landslide triggering following earthquake events. This study was conducted to provide scientific justification and preliminary data for adjusting rainfall thresholds for landslide early warnings after earthquakes through soil physical experiments. Method: The study analyzed the change in soil shear strength by direct shear tests on disturbed and undisturbed samples collected from cut slopes. Also, The study analyzed the soil strength parameters of remolded soil samples subjected to drying and wetting conditions, focusing on the relationship between the degree of saturation after submergence and the strength parameters. Result: Compaction water content variation in direct shear tests showed that higher water content and saturation in disturbed samples led to a significant decrease in cohesion (over 50%) and a reduction in shear resistance angle (1~2°). Additionally, during the ring shear tests, the shear strength was observed to gradually decrease once water was supplied to the shear plane. The maximum shear strength decreased by approximately 65-75%, while the residual shear strength decreased by approximately 53-60%. Conclusion: Seismic activity amplifies landslide risk during subsequent rainfall, necessitating proactive mitigation strategies in earthquake-prone areas. This research is anticipated to provide scientific justification and preliminary data for reducing the rainfall threshold for landslide initiation in earthquake-susceptible regions.

How to build an AI Safety Management Chatbot Service based on IoT Construction Health Monitoring (IoT 건축시공 건전성 모니터링 기반 AI 안전관리 챗봇서비스 구축방안)

  • Hwi Jin Kang;Sung Jo Choi;Sang Jun Han;Jae Hyun Kim;Seung Ho Lee
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.106-116
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This paper conducts IoT and CCTV-based safety monitoring to analyze accidents and potential risks occurring at construction sites, and detect and analyze risks such as falls and collisions or abnormalities and to establish a system for early warning using devices like a walkie-talkie and chatbot service. Method: A safety management service model is presented through smart construction technology case studies at the construction site and review a relevant literature analysis. Result: According to 'Construction Accident Statistics,' in 2021, there were 26,888 casualties in the construction industry, accounting for 26.3% of all reported accidents. Fatalities in construction-related accidents amounted to 417 individuals, representing 50.5% of all industrial accident-related deaths. This study suggests implementing AI chatbot services for construction site safety management utilizing IoT-based health monitoring technologies in smart construction practices. Construction sites where stakeholders such as workers participate were demonstrated by implementing an artificial intelligence chatbot system by selecting major risk areas within the workplace, such as scaffolding processes, openings, and access to hazardous machinery. Conclusion: The possibility of commercialization was confirmed by receiving more than 90 points in the satisfaction survey of participating workers regarding the empirical results of the artificial intelligence chatbot service at construction sites.

Utilizing deep learning algorithm and high-resolution precipitation product to predict water level variability (고해상도 강우자료와 딥러닝 알고리즘을 활용한 수위 변동성 예측)

  • Han, Heechan;Kang, Narae;Yoon, Jungsoo;Hwang, Seokhwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.7
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    • pp.471-479
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    • 2024
  • Flood damage is becoming more serious due to the heavy rainfall caused by climate change. Physically based hydrological models have been utilized to predict stream water level variability and provide flood forecasting. Recently, hydrological simulations using machine learning and deep learning algorithms based on nonlinear relationships between hydrological data have been getting attention. In this study, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm is used to predict the water level of the Seomjin River watershed. In addition, Climate Prediction Center morphing method (CMORPH)-based gridded precipitation data is applied as input data for the algorithm to overcome for the limitations of ground data. The water level prediction results of the LSTM algorithm coupling with the CMORPH data showed that the mean CC was 0.98, RMSE was 0.07 m, and NSE was 0.97. It is expected that deep learning and remote data can be used together to overcome for the shortcomings of ground observation data and to obtain reliable prediction results.

Validation of Extreme Rainfall Estimation in an Urban Area derived from Satellite Data : A Case Study on the Heavy Rainfall Event in July, 2011 (위성 자료를 이용한 도시지역 극치강우 모니터링: 2011년 7월 집중호우를 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Park, Kyung-Won;Kim, Jong Pil;Jung, Il-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.371-384
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    • 2014
  • This study developed a new algorithm of extreme rainfall extraction based on the Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) and the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) Satellite image data and evaluated its applicability for the heavy rainfall event in July-2011 in Seoul, South Korea. The power-series-regression-based Z-R relationship was employed for taking into account for empirical relationships between TRMM/PR, TRMM/VIRS, COMS, and Automatic Weather System(AWS) at each elevation. The estimated Z-R relationship ($Z=303R^{0.72}$) agreed well with observation from AWS (correlation coefficient=0.57). The estimated 10-minute rainfall intensities from the COMS satellite using the Z-R relationship generated underestimated rainfall intensities. For a small rainfall event the Z-R relationship tended to overestimated rainfall intensities. However, the overall patterns of estimated rainfall were very comparable with the observed data. The correlation coefficients and the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 10-minute rainfall series from COMS and AWS gave 0.517, and 3.146, respectively. In addition, the averaged error value of the spatial correlation matrix ranged from -0.530 to -0.228, indicating negative correlation. To reduce the error by extreme rainfall estimation using satellite datasets it is required to take into more extreme factors and improve the algorithm through further study. This study showed the potential utility of multi-geostationary satellite data for building up sub-daily rainfall and establishing the real-time flood alert system in ungauged watersheds.

Comparison of rainfall-runoff performance based on various gridded precipitation datasets in the Mekong River basin (메콩강 유역의 격자형 강수 자료에 의한 강우-유출 모의 성능 비교·분석)

  • Kim, Younghun;Le, Xuan-Hien;Jung, Sungho;Yeon, Minho;Lee, Gihae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2023
  • As the Mekong River basin is a nationally shared river, it is difficult to collect precipitation data, and the quantitative and qualitative quality of the data sets differs from country to country, which may increase the uncertainty of hydrological analysis results. Recently, with the development of remote sensing technology, it has become easier to obtain grid-based precipitation products(GPPs), and various hydrological analysis studies have been conducted in unmeasured or large watersheds using GPPs. In this study, rainfall-runoff simulation in the Mekong River basin was conducted using the SWAT model, which is a quasi-distribution model with three satellite GPPs (TRMM, GSMaP, PERSIANN-CDR) and two GPPs (APHRODITE, GPCC). Four water level stations, Luang Prabang, Pakse, Stung Treng, and Kratie, which are major outlets of the main Mekong River, were selected, and the parameters of the SWAT model were calibrated using APHRODITE as an observation value for the period from 2001 to 2011 and runoff simulations were verified for the period form 2012 to 2013. In addition, using the ConvAE, a convolutional neural network model, spatio-temporal correction of original satellite precipitation products was performed, and rainfall-runoff performances were compared before and after correction of satellite precipitation products. The original satellite precipitation products and GPCC showed a quantitatively under- or over-estimated or spatially very different pattern compared to APHPRODITE, whereas, in the case of satellite precipitation prodcuts corrected using ConvAE, spatial correlation was dramatically improved. In the case of runoff simulation, the runoff simulation results using the satellite precipitation products corrected by ConvAE for all the outlets have significantly improved accuracy than the runoff results using original satellite precipitation products. Therefore, the bias correction technique using the ConvAE technique presented in this study can be applied in various hydrological analysis for large watersheds where rain guage network is not dense.

Development of an Automated Algorithm for Analyzing Rainfall Thresholds Triggering Landslide Based on AWS and AMOS

  • Donghyeon Kim;Song Eu;Kwangyoun Lee;Sukhee Yoon;Jongseo Lee;Donggeun Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.29 no.9
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 2024
  • This study presents an automated Python algorithm for analyzing rainfall characteristics to establish critical rainfall thresholds as part of a landslide early warning system. Rainfall data were sourced from the Korea Meteorological Administration's Automatic Weather System (AWS) and the Korea Forest Service's Automatic Mountain Observation System (AMOS), while landslide data from 2020 to 2023 were gathered via the Life Safety Map. The algorithm involves three main steps: 1) processing rainfall data to correct inconsistencies and fill data gaps, 2) identifying the nearest observation station to each landslide location, and 3) conducting statistical analysis of rainfall characteristics. The analysis utilized power law and nonlinear regression, yielding an average R2 of 0.45 for the relationships between rainfall intensity-duration, effective rainfall-duration, antecedent rainfall-duration, and maximum hourly rainfall-duration. The critical thresholds identified were 0.9-1.4 mm/hr for rainfall intensity, 68.5-132.5 mm for effective rainfall, 81.6-151.1 mm for antecedent rainfall, and 17.5-26.5 mm for maximum hourly rainfall. Validation using AUC-ROC analysis showed a low AUC value of 0.5, highlighting the limitations of using rainfall data alone to predict landslides. Additionally, the algorithm's speed performance evaluation revealed a total processing time of 30 minutes, further emphasizing the limitations of relying solely on rainfall data for disaster prediction. However, to mitigate loss of life and property damage due to disasters, it is crucial to establish criteria using quantitative and easily interpretable methods. Thus, the algorithm developed in this study is expected to contribute to reducing damage by providing a quantitative evaluation of critical rainfall thresholds that trigger landslides.