• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.37 no.4
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• pp.411-444
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• 2024

The objective of Phase I clinical trials is to ascertain the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) that is safe for human administration. Accurately determining the MTD within an acceptable safety margin is imperative, necessitating evaluations up to sufficiently high doses. To estimate the MTD, a plethora of methods have been developed, encompassing algorithm-based, model-based, and model-assisted techniques. In this paper, a new dose exploration method based on continual reassessment method (CRM) is proposed to address for the shortcomings of existing dose exploration methods. Through a comprehensive simulation study, this method's efficacy was compared against that of existing methodologies across a variety of scenarios. The findings from this study underscore its enhanced precision and safety in estimating the MTD, alongside a reduction in the number of subjects required for testing.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.581-594
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• 2011

The traditional method of 3+3 standard design and model-based Bayesian continual reassessment method (CRM) are commonly used in Phase I clinical trials to identify the maximal tolerated dose(MTD) of a new drug. In this paper we review clinical examples of Phase I trials that were carried out in patients with refractory or relapsed leukemia and myelodysplastic syndrome. The recently proposed 3+1+1 design and rolling-6 design can shorten the trial duration, when a very slow accrual of patients with a simple 3+3 standard design may result in the untimely termination of trials. Too conservative approaches in determining the dose levels in Phase I clinical trials can leave clinical investigators unable to accurately determine the MTD. When determining future patient doses, the designs that use a time-to-event CRM can cooperate late toxicities by accounting for the proportion of the observation period of each enrolled patient. With the CRM design, simulations under different scenarios during the trial are important in detecting the under- or over-estimation of the initial estimate of the dose-limiting toxicity rate for each dose level. We present the advantages and drawbacks of the designs used in Phase I clinical trials for leukemia patients.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.32 no.5
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• pp.741-752
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• 2019

The purpose of a Phase I Clinical Trial is to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). MTD is important because it affects subsequent clinical trials; however, the existing method has a problem due to an inadequate dose allocated to patients. In this paper, an MTD estimation method is proposed to complement the problems of the existing MTD estimation method. The suggested method applies the initial acceleration step to the modified continual reassessment method. Monte Carlo Simulation Study is adapted to compare a suggested MTD estimation method with the standard design and the modified continual reassessment method.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.51-65
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• 2009

The purpose of a phase I clinical trial is to determine the maximum tolerated dose(MTD) of a new drug. This paper investigates the performance of standard method, continual reassessment method and accelerated titration designs in phase I clinical trials. Especially we study the precision and safety at the MTD of these methods. We utilize hyperbolic tangent function and power function to define dose-toxicity model. For each method, expected toxicity rate at MTD is computed and compared with target toxicity probability. We also suggest some modifications of these methods and show some improvements in performance.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.13-20
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• 2014

Phase I Clinical Trials estimate a Maximum Tolerated Dose(MTD). In this paper, an MTD estimation method applied stopping rule is proposed for Phase I Clinical Trials. The suggested MTD estimation method is compared to the Continual Reassessment Method(CRM) method using a Monte Carlo simulation study.