• Title/Summary/Keyword: 에너지균형분석

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An Economic Impact Analysis of the Post-2012 Policy Portfolio, Utilizing the Global Dynamic CGE Model (동태 글로벌 CGE 모형을 활용한 정책 포트폴리오의 Post-2012 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Kim, Suyi;Cho, Gyeong Lyeob;Yoo, Seung Jick
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.587-635
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the Global Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model (Global CGE Model) in order to produce an economic impact analysis, including prospective obligations for the Post-2012 regime. This model explores the impact of an international emissions trading market and macroeconomic variables such as GNP, consumption, investment, imports and exports, in accordance with potential increased obligations on the Republic of Korea. Distinguishing it from existing studies, this Global CGE Model divides the global community into major economic groups, and in the capacity of the analyzed global model, reflecting the principle nations' macroeconomic indicators through the theoretical approach of endogenous growth theory. Policies such as an emissions trading scheme and carbon tax are reflected in the model. Also, in particular, the model reflects exogenous technological advances. According to this analysis, the stronger the greenhouse gas reductions, the greater the adverse effects on the economy; among macroeconomic indicators that appear, a significant decline is realized in the balance of trade, along with a significant decrease in investment and consumption. Energy dependence, in particular, plays a large role-varying in degree by industry type-, as greenhouse gas reductions would have a greater impact on energy-intensive industries. Furthermore, if Korea, currently recognized as a developing country, is given the obligation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, competing countries such as China and other developing countries will be given an advantage.

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Comparison of nutrients and food intakes of young children according to lunch places: based on the fifth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (유아의 점심 식사장소에 따른 영양소 및 식품 섭취량의 비교 : 제5기 국민건강영양조사 자료를 이용하여)

  • Choi, Young-Sun
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.254-263
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study examined whether there was a difference in the nutrients and food intake of young children depending on their lunch places. Methods: The dietary survey data of the fifth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2010 ~ 2012) were used. The children were grouped into either a child care center lunch group (n = 728) or home lunch group (n = 592) and their nutrients and food intakes were compared. Results: No differences in the 24-hr energy intake and energy intakes from lunch and dinner according to the lunch places were observed. The percentage of breakfast energy was lower in the child care center lunch group, whereas the percentage of snack energy was higher. In children aged 3 ~ 5 years, the sodium, potassium, and vitamin C intakes were high in the child care center lunch group. The 1 ~ 2 years and 3 ~ 5 year old children's vegetable intake from lunch was significantly higher in the child care center lunch group than in the home lunch group. Children aged 3 ~ 5 years in the child care center lunch group consumed more beans and fish at lunch. The adequacy of nutrients and food diversity of child care center lunch appear better than home lunch. Conclusion: Parents and care providers need to make efforts to use diverse foods, such as vegetables and fish, in children's meals to provide balanced diets and promote healthy eating behaviors to their children.

Equivalent Viscous Damping Ratio of a Friction Damper Installed in a SDOF Building (단자유도 건물에 설치된 마찰감쇠기의 등가점성감쇠비)

  • Seong, Ji-Young;Min, Kyung-Won
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.199-208
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    • 2010
  • A friction damper installed at a building shows nonlinear behavior since its stick and slip states are occurred repeatedly depending on the amplitude of external loadings to dissipate input energy. Friction damping is existed for the building with a friction damper. In additionally viscous one is inherently included. Therefore, the building installed in such combined damping is quite involved to find the analytical solution. In this study, first, displacement and acceleration characteristics are identified based on the exact solution for a single-degree-freedom building with a friction damper having both friction and viscous damping. Second, in free vibration, the equivalent viscous damping ratio is obtained by the energy dissipation. Third, numerical analysis is carried out to find response configuration with various friction force ratios. Fourth, corresponding equivalent viscous damping ratio is derived with the finding that the response reaches into steady-state for both friction and viscous damped structure. It is deduced using balance of input external energy and output dissipation energy for steady-state response. Finally, the equivalent viscous damping ratios of free or harmonic vibration are verified through nonlinear analysis.

The Development of an Aggregate Power Resource Configuration Model Based on the Renewable Energy Generation Forecasting System (재생에너지 발전량 예측제도 기반 집합전력자원 구성모델 개발)

  • Eunkyung Kang;Ha-Ryeom Jang;Seonuk Yang;Sung-Byung Yang
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.229-256
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    • 2023
  • The increase in telecommuting and household electricity demand due to the pandemic has led to significant changes in electricity demand patterns. This has led to difficulties in identifying KEPCO's PPA (power purchase agreements) and residential solar power generation and has added to the challenges of electricity demand forecasting and grid operation for power exchanges. Unlike other energy resources, electricity is difficult to store, so it is essential to maintain a balance between energy production and consumption. A shortage or overproduction of electricity can cause significant instability in the energy system, so it is necessary to manage the supply and demand of electricity effectively. Especially in the Fourth Industrial Revolution, the importance of data has increased, and problems such as large-scale fires and power outages can have a severe impact. Therefore, in the field of electricity, it is crucial to accurately predict the amount of power generation, such as renewable energy, along with the exact demand for electricity, for proper power generation management, which helps to reduce unnecessary power production and efficiently utilize energy resources. In this study, we reviewed the renewable energy generation forecasting system, its objectives, and practical applications to construct optimal aggregated power resources using data from 169 power plants provided by the Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy, developed an aggregation algorithm considering the settlement of the forecasting system, and applied it to the analytical logic to synthesize and interpret the results. This study developed an optimal aggregation algorithm and derived an aggregation configuration (Result_Number 546) that reached 80.66% of the maximum settlement amount and identified plants that increase the settlement amount (B1783, B1729, N6002, S5044, B1782, N6006) and plants that decrease the settlement amount (S5034, S5023, S5031) when aggregating plants. This study is significant as the first study to develop an optimal aggregation algorithm using aggregated power resources as a research unit, and we expect that the results of this study can be used to improve the stability of the power system and efficiently utilize energy resources.

Food Group Assignment of Korean Soup & Stew for Desirable Target Pattern Draft - Representative Nutritional Value Calculation Based on Intake and Preference of Adolescent - (바람직한 식사패턴 작성을 위한 국과 찌개 음식군의 연구 - 청소년의 섭취량과 기호도 자료 활용한 대표영양가 산출 -)

  • Oh, Hae Ran;Kim, Youngnam
    • Journal of Korean Home Economics Education Association
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2015
  • The target pattern is introduced for practicing a balanced dietary menu planning, but Korean soup and stew, cooked with several kinds of materials, have a problem with food group assignment in the target pattern. This study thus set out to calculate the representative nutritional values of Korean soup and stew based on intake(by 2010 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, age group of 13~19) and preference(by select the 3 kinds of favorite soup and stew each). Total of 235 middle school students were participated by way of questionnaire, and data were analyzed. Representative energy value of vegetable soup and stew by intake were $65kca{\ell}$ and $116kca{\ell}$, respectively, which were very much different with the vegetable group representative energy value of $14kca{\ell}$ in target pattern. Representative energy value of meat fish egg legume soup and stew by intake were $149kca{\ell}$ and $211kca{\ell}$, respectively, which were very much different with the representative meat fish egg legume energy value of $94kca{\ell}$ in target pattern. As result, it is not proper to assign vegetable soup stew to vegetable food group and meat fish egg legume soup stew to meat fish egg legume food group. Representative energy values of soup and stew by preference were not much different except meat fish egg legume soup($149kca{\ell}$ by intake, $218kca{\ell}$ by preference). As conclusions, it maybe desirable to categorize soup and stew as independent food group. For more accurate energy adjustment in menu planning, devide soup and stew, and further divide to vegetable and meat fish egg legume groups may necessary.

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An Empirical Study on the Economic Development Effects on Kazakhstan Focusing on the Macroeconomic Indices: International Oil Price, Interest Rate, Real Exchange Rate (카자흐스탄 경제발전에 대한 실증연구 : 국제유가·이자율·실질환율을 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Yun-Seop;Kim, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Soo-Eun
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.77-97
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    • 2010
  • Recently, countries on the Caspian Sea were had heavily interested due to instability of international resource market. These countries having been developed basing on energy exports, especially Kazakhstan have drastically grown during a decades. However economy, heavily relied on the exports of energy, is influenced on fluctuation in the international energy price as well as sometimes exposed at Dutch disease. These days, Kazakhstan, increased trade and investment with Korea, has been on the rise as new supplier for energy. Therefore, economic change in Kazakhstan can be an important issue. In this paper, we analyze relations among oil price, interest rate, and real exchange rate during sample period from January 1999 to December 2008 expanding Balasa-Samuelson model. Empirical results present that oil price, interest rate, and real exchange rate mutually keep their balance. Eventually, we find out Kazakhstan has exposed at Dutch disease since oil price and interest rate have negative impacts on real exchange rate respectively.

Development of a pipe burst detection model using large consumer's smart water meter and pressure data (대수용가 스마트미터와 수압 데이터를 이용한 소블록 내 관 파손사고 감지모델 개발)

  • Kyoung Pil Kim;Wan Sik Yu;Shin Uk Kang;Doo Yong Choi
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.521-521
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    • 2023
  • 지방상수도의 관 파손사고 감지 및 누수관리 방법에는 블록시스템 구축을 통한 소블록별 야간최소유량 감시방법이 가장 대표적이다. 야간최소유량은 새벽 2시와 4시 사이의 인구 활동 비율이 가장 낮은 새벽 시간대에 소블록에 공급된 유량을 의미하며, 대부분 유량 성분은 누수량일 것이라는 가정에서 출발한다. 그러나 아파트 중심의 주거 형태를 보이는 도심지의 경우, 새벽 시간대에도 다량의 물수요가 비정기적으로 발생하고 있어 관망의 이상 여부를 감시하기 위한 관리기준으로서 야간최소유량을 이용하기에는 높은 일간 변동성에 따른 한계가 있다고 할 수 있다. 즉, 야간최소유량은 관 파손사고 발생의 감시보다는 관로 연결 또는 급수전 분기 부위에서 발생하는 미량의 누수가 수개월에 걸쳐 누적되는 장기추세를 분석하여 누수탐사반의 투입 시점을 결정하기 위한 근거를 제시하기 위한 목적으로 사용되며, 아직까지 관 파손사고의 발생은 자체적인 감지보다는 민원에 의해 인지되는 경우가 많다. 최근, 스마트관망 구축사업(SWM) 등을 통해 관 파손 및 누수 감지를 위한 청음식 누수감지센서가 소블록 내 도입되고 있으나, 초기 시설투자에 큰 비용이 수반되며 주변 소음과 배터리 전원방식의 한계로 인하여 새벽 시간대에만 분석이 제한적으로 적용되는 경우가 많아 이 역시도 상시적인 관 파손사고의 감시기술이라 보기는 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 소블록 유입점에서의 유량·압력과 소블록 내에 설치된 대수용가 스마트미터, 그리고 사고감지를 위한 수압계 사이의 평상시 수리적 균형을 학습한 DNN(Deep Neural Network) 모델을 이용하여 관 파손사고를 실시간 감지하는 모델 개발연구를 수행하였다. 모델은 관 파손사고 감지를 위한 수압계의 최적 위치와 대수를 결정하기 위한 모듈과 관 파손사고 감지모듈로 구성되며, 1개 소블록 Test-Bed를 구축하여 모델을 생성하고 PDD 관망해석 모델을 통해 생성된 가상의 사고에 대한 감지 여부로서 개발 모델의 감지성능을 평가하였다.

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전력시장 소매가격의 규제가 사회후생에 미치는 영향

  • Kim, Hyeon-Suk;Lee, Su-Jin;Lee, Jeong-In
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.93-127
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    • 2012
  • We estimate how much KEPCO can save their loss and how much social welfare can be increased by applying the real-time pricing instead of current regulated retail price in the electricity market in order to analyze the problem of the regulated retail price which is fixed below the marginal cost. We estimate the demand functions of peak time and off-peak time in summer (June to August) and winter (December to February). We construct the supply function based on hourly step-wise linear marginal cost functions, too. We find that the increase of social welfare will be 67 billion won in summer if the fixed retail price is changed into the real-time pricing scheme. The total 705 billion won will be transferred from consumer surplus to producer surplus and the rest (67 billion won) will be saved from the reduction of deadweight loss among KEPCO's loss. In winter, the increase of social surplus will be 225 billion won and 1,174 billion won of KEPCO's loss will be transferred from consumer surplus. As a result, we conclude that the regulation of the retail price in the electricity market induces the social welfare loss and KEPCO suffers a huge loss.

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국가간 기술혁신 파급경로에 관한 실증분석

  • 정동진;김한주;김상태;조상섭
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 기술혁신파급경로를 결정하는 국가 간 무역역할에 대한 실증적인 분석을 목적으로 한다 이 연구목적을 위하여, 최근 자료인 1980년부터 2003년까지 15개 OECD국가를 대상으로 자국의 기술혁신을 결정하는 중요한 변수로 알려진 자국 R&D축적 및 무역대상국의 R&D축적자료를 구축하였으며, 이를 무역지수인 쌍방간에 수출 및 수입량을 경제규모로 나눈 가중지수를 이용하여 유입된 R&D축적량을 구축하였다. 또한 대상변수들의 기술혁신파급역할에 대하여 최근 논의되고 있는 비정상적 패널기법을 이용하여 분석하였다. 최근 제안되고 있는 비정상적 패널기법을 이용하여 국제 간에 기술혁신파급경로를 분석한 결과를 간단하게 요약하면, 다음과 같다. 첫째, 분석대상변수들은 비정상성을 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 그러나 장기적으로 분석대상변수들이 서로 균형상태를 나타내는 공적분관계에 있음을 알 수 있었다. 셋째, 국가 간에 기술혁신파급경로의 방향과 정도를 파악하기 위하여 패널 공적분계수를 추정하였으나, 설정함수형태에 따라서 여러 가지 상반된 실증결과가 나타났다. 따라서 기존 연구Coe et al., 1995, Keller, 1998, Kao, et al., 1999 그리고 Funk, 2001]의 분석결과 및 그 시사점들이 서로 다른 이유는 분석대상변수들의 선택차이뿐만 아니라, 기술혁신경로에 대한 설정함수형태에 따라서 서로 다른 분석결과가 나타날 수 있는 가능성을 보여준다. 본 연구에서 나타난 분석결과의 시사점을 보면, 국가 간에 기술혁신파급경로분석은 기술혁신파급을 결정하는 매개변수선정도 중요하지만, 결정된 설명변수들 사이에 어떤 기술혁신파급에 관한 연관관계가 존재하는지에 대한 실증분석 즉 파급경로분석도 매우 중요함을 보여준다. 이러한 파급경로분석에는 기존의 선형가정뿐만 아니라 비선형가정을 이용한 기술파급경로분석을 통한 시사점제안이 요구된다.관적인 시스템을 제공하는 것이다.가 생성된다. $M_{C}$에 CaC $l_2$를 첨가한 경우 $M_{C}$는 완전히 $M_{Cl}$ 로 전이를 하였다. $M_{Cl}$ 에 CaC $l_2$를 첨가하였을 경우에는 아무런 수화물의 변화는 발생하지 않았다. 따라서 CaS $O_4$.2$H_2O$를 CaC $O_3$및 CaC $l_2$와 반응시켰을 때의 AFm상의 안정성 순서는 $M_{S}$ < $M_{C}$< $M_{Cl}$ 로 된다.phy. Finally, Regional Development and Regional Environmental Problems were highly correlated with accommodators.젼 공정을 거쳐 제조된다는 점을 고려할 때 이용가능한 에너지 함량계산에 직접 활용될 수는 없을 것이다.총단백질 및 AST에서 시간경과에 따른 삼투압 조절 능력에 문제가 있는 것으로 보여진다.c}C$에서 5시간 가열조리 후 잔존율은 각각 84.7% 및 73.3%였고, 질소가스 통기하에서는 잔존율이 88.9% 및 81.8%로 더욱 안정하였다.8% 및 12.44%, 201일 이상의 경우 13.17% 및 11.30%로 201일 이상의 유기의 경우에만 대조구와 삭제 구간에 유의적인(p<0.05) 차이를 나타내었다.는 담수(淡水)에서 10%o의 해수(海水)로 이주된지 14일(日) 이후에 신장(腎臟)에서 수축된 것으로 나타났다. 30%o의 해수(海水)에 적응(適應)된 틸라피아의 평균 신사구체(腎絲球體)의 면적은 담수(淡水)에 적응된 개체의 면적보다 유의성

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Scoping for Marine Environmental Impact Assessment of Tidal Power Plant Construction (조력에너지 개발사업의 해양환경영향평가 스코핑 방안)

  • Kam, Min-Jae;Kim, Gui-Young;Jeon, Kyeong-Am;Yu, Jun;Lee, Dae-In;Eom, Ki-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.30-37
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    • 2012
  • This paper assessed environmental impact of tidal power plant construction in the western sea of Korea, and diagnosed problems of the related assessment. We also proposed key assessment items (scoping) and system improvement for environmental impact assessment (EIA). The establishment of a broad consensus of the appropriateness and a clear purpose for business is an important aspect of the aptness of using the waters, and the aggressive collecting of opinions of the stakeholder and institutions will have to be fulfilled. In addition, we presented the following scoping plan in order to minimize the negative effects of the marine ecosystem and the conflict between the people who work in the fishing industry which result due to the construction of the tidal power plants. (1) the change in seawater exchange rates and the aspect of erosion/sedimentation which result from the change in the velocity of running fluid, (2) the destruction of spawns/habitats of fish due to the damage of tidal flats, (3) fishery resources, impacts of fishing grounds, and the spread of suspended sediments, etc. will have to be applied to the key assessment items(scoping). In addition, every citizen will have work hard for an establishment of an active plan which achieves the harmony and balance of environmental preservation and for the policy to be applied through changing their consciousness of environmental preservation.