• Title/Summary/Keyword: 안정성 변수

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Robust Control of Earthquake Responses considering Higher Mode Uncertainty (고차 모우드 불확실성을 고려한 지진응답의 강인제어)

  • 고현무;박관순;박원석;조익선
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.99-108
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    • 2000
  • 구조물의 능동제어 시스템에서 제어기 설계에 사용되는 구조계의 모델과 실구조계의 차이는 시스템의 성능저하 및 불안정성을 유발할 수 있다 이연구에서는 무시된 고차모우드와 같이 주파수영역에서 표현되는 비구조적 불확실성에 대하여 시스템의 안정성을 보장하도록 강인성을 가지는 LQG/LTR제어이론을 사용하여 구조물의 지진응답제어에 효과적으로 사용할 수 있는 제어기 설계방법을 제시한다 특히 고층건물이나 교탑과 같은 구조물의 지진응답 제어에 적용할 수 있도록 각층의 절대 가속도를 측정변수로 층간상대변위를 제어변수로 설정하여 최적제어기를 구성한다 El Centro 지진압력을 받는 6자유도 전단빌딩모델에 대하여 제어기를 설계하거 수치모사를 수행하여 제시한 제어기가 안정도-강인성을 가지고 지진응답제어에 효과적임을 보인다.

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Statistical Tests and Applications for the Stability of an Estimated Cointegrating Vector (공적분벡터의 안정성에 대한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Hwang, Sung-Hye;Kim, Mi-Yun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.503-519
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    • 2005
  • Cointegration test is usually performed under the assumption that the cointegrating vector is constant for the whole sample period. Most previous studies have used conventional cointegration methods in testing for a stable long-run equilibrium relation among related variables. However they have overlooked that the long-run equilibrium may not the unique and the stable relation may not be guaranteed. This study develops the additional statistical tests for the stability of the estimated cointegrating vector. Three tests for the parameter stability of a cointegrated regression model are utilized and applied to identify the types of variations in the long-run relation between the domestic unemployment and the rotated macroeconomic variables of interest. The present paper finds that, there exists a stable but, time-varying long-run relation between those. The observed variation in cointegrating relations is generally characterized by a discrete one-time shift, rather than a gradually evolving random walk process which is attributable to the IMF financial and economic crisis.

Estimating Economic Values of Parcel Service Attributes (택배 서비스 속성별 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Han, Sang-Yong;Kim, Yong-Mi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this paper is to quantify economic values of parcel service attributes (safety, reliability, quickness, and kindness and customer service) using the contingent choice method and to investigate impact factors (such as sex, age, and education), which influence choice of desirable parcel services. As empirical results, the marginal willingness-to-pay for multiple attributes of parcel service is calculated as about 2,349.6 KRW for the safety attribute, about 829.3 KRW for the reliability attribute, about 588.5 KRW for the quickness attribute, and about 358.8 KRW for the kindness and customer service attribute, according to the estimation model without covariates. The overall results indicate that the safety attribute ranks highest among parcel service attributes, followed by the reliability attribute, quickness attribute, and kindness and customer service attribute. These results can be useful in the decision-making process for establishing desirable pricing policies for parcel service.

Unified State Model(USM)을 이용한 정밀 궤도 계산

  • Song, Yong-Jun;Baek, Seul-Min;Kim, Gap-Seong
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.160.2-160.2
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    • 2012
  • Unified State Model(이후 USM)은 Altman(1972)에 의해 처음 제안된 이후 Chodas(1981), Raol & Sinha(1985), Vittaldev et al.(2012) 등을 거치며 연구 발전되어 왔다. 이 모델은 공간상 6개 성분의 위치, 속도 벡터를 이용해 위성의 운동을 기술하는 기존 계산 방법과 달리 4개의 Quaternion 변수를 도입하여 위성의 위치를, 3개의 Hodograph 변수를 도입하여 위성의 속도를 각각 기술한다. USM의 장점은 직교좌표계로 표현된 위성의 위치, 속도 변수에 비해 USM 변수의 변화량이 상대적으로 작기 때문에 수치 계산 시 계산의 안정도가 높다. 또한 원궤도(${\omega}$ : undefined)와 적도면 궤도(i = 0, ${\Omega}$ : undefined) 계산 시에 나타나는 특이성(singularity) 문제가 발생하지 않는다. 본 연구에서는 USM 계산방법과 기존 방법에 의한 위성궤도 계산결과의 차이를 비교 분석하였다. 지구궤도 위성의 정밀계산을 위해 이체항 이외에 지구타원체 섭동항과 대기 항력에 의한 섭동항을 추가 적용하였다. 비구형 지구 중력 포텐셜에 의한 섭동은 J4항까지 고려하였으며, 대기 항력은 간단한 exponential 모델을 적용하였다. 또한 수치계산 시 적분 간격과 정밀도 차수를 조절하여 각 모델의 계산 안정성을 테스트하였다. 본 연구의 궤도계산 결과 USM 모델을 이용한 계산방법은 그 정밀성과 계산효율성이 매우 우수한 것으로 검증되었다.

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Analysis of Rock Slope Stability Based on Fuzzy Approximate Reasoning (퍼지근사추론법에 의한 암반사면의 안정해석)

  • 기완서;김삼석;주승완
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.153-161
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    • 2001
  • The quantitative evaluation of the stereo graphic projection, the limit equilibrium analysis, the finite difference analysis, the distinct element methocI is a analytical evaluation using many variables. Through the reliability analysis by the point estimation technique, uncertainty of other variables that have an effect on the stability of the rock slo~ was considered. The organized evaluation method of the approximate reasoning concept and using a fuzzy language was developed to confer and analysis the failure factors in planning and constructing the rock slope. Considering the result of the an- alysis, it was demonstrated that stability of entire sections can be evaluated through reliability analysis of point estimation technique. The results of stability evaluation by Fuzzy Approximate Reasoning is generally identical with the results of other existirw; analyses. As mentioned above, general and organized evaluation of special qualities of rock slope is possible using RMR Classification, Stereo Graphic Projection, Limit Equilibriwn Analysis, Finite Difference Analysis, Distinct Element Method, Point Estimation Technique, and Fuzzy Approximate Reasoning.

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Prediction on the Economic Activity Level of the Elderly in South Korea - Focusing on Machine Learning Method Combined with Forecast Combination - (우리나라 고령층의 경제활동 수준 예측 - 머신러닝 기법과 연계한 예측조합법을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Jeong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.237-247
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    • 2022
  • This study predicts the economic activity level of the elderly in Korea using various machine learning methods. While the previous studies mainly focused on testing the relationship between the economic activity level and the life satisfaction or the social security system, this study aims at the accurate prediction on the economic activity level of the elderly using various machine learning methods and the forecast combination. Dependent variables such as the activity rate, employment rate, etc and independent variables such as the income, average wage, etc compose the dataset in this study. Five different machine learning methods and two forecast combinations are applied to the given dataset. The prediction performances of the machine learning method and the forecast combination varied across the dependent variables and prediction intervals, but it was found that the forecast combination was relatively superior to other methods in terms of the stability of prediction. This study has significance in that it accurately predicted the economic activity level of the elderly and achieved the stability of the prediction, raising practicality from a policy perspective.

Marine ecosystem risk assessment using a land-based marine closed mesocosm: Proposal of objective impact assessment tool (육상 기반 해양 폐쇄형 인공생태계를 활용한 해양생태계 위해성 평가: 객관적인 영향 평가 tool 제시)

  • Yoon, Sung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.88-99
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a land-based marine closed mesocosm (LMCM) experiment was performed to objectively assess the initial stability of an artificial ecosystem experiment against biological and non-biological factors when evaluating ecosystem risk assessment. Changes in the CV (coefficient of value) amplitude were used as data to analyze the stability of the experimental system. The CV of the experimental variables in the LMCM groups (200, 400, 600, and 1,000 L) was maintained within the range of 20-30% for the abiotic variables in this study. However, the difference in CV amplitude in biological factors such as chlorophyll-a, phytoplankton, and zooplankton was high in the 600 L and 1,000 L LMCM groups. This result was interpreted as occurring due to the lack of control over biological variables at the beginning of the experiment. In addition, according to the ANOVA results, significant differences were found in biological contents such as COD (chemical oxygen demand), chlorophyll-a, phosphate, and zooplankton in the CV values between the LMCM groups(p<0.05). In this study, the stabilization of biological variables was necessary to to control and maintain the rate of changes in initial biological variables except for controllable water quality and nutrients. However, given the complexity of the eco-physiological activities of large-scale LMCMs and organisms in the experimental group, it was difficult to do. In conclusion, artificial ecosystem experiments as a scientific tool can distinguish biological and non-biological factors and compare and analyze clear endpoints. Therefore, it is deemed necessary to establish research objectives, select content that can maintain stability, and introduce standardized analysis techniques that can objectively interpret the experimental results.

Deriving Strategic Priorities of Green ICT Policy using AHP and ANP (AHP와 ANP 방법론을 이용한 그린 ICT 정책의 전략적 우선순위 도출 방안)

  • Shim, Yong-Ho;Byun, Gi-Seob;Lee, Bong-Gyou
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.85-98
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    • 2011
  • Recently, the world faces a global environmental crisis by the increase of energy consumption and global warming. Since the crisis directly affects political, economic, social, and environmental areas, many countries prepare Green ICT policy to overcome it. However, although Green IT policy provides many benefits by solving environmental pollution and increasing energy efficiency, Korean government did not prepare measures by the policy. The purpose of this study is to suggest priorities of political goals for maximizing the efficiency after introducing Green ICT policy in Korea. Major variables are drawn for the analysis, and they are eco-friendliness, technology evolution, economic efficiency, energy efficiency, and stable supply of energy. The variables are suggested based on 'Low Carbon, Green Growth Act', then the survey was conducted to policy expert using AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) and ANP(Analytic Network Process) for prioritizing variables. As a result of the AHP, it is derived in the order of eco-friendliness, technology evolution, economic efficiency, energy efficiency, and stable supply of energy. The ANP result shows in the order of technology evolution, energy efficiency, economic efficiency, eco-friendliness, and stable supply of energy. The research is conducted to analyze the priorities of goals for Green IT policy, and the analysis results are possible to use as a practical guideline for establishing associated policies in the future.

Application of Sensitivity Analysis to Vehicle Handling with Equivalent Cornering Stiffness (등가 코너링강성을 사용한 차량의 조종안정성에 대한 민감도 해석)

  • Lee, Chang-Ro
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1434-1439
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    • 2012
  • Vehicle is a dynamic system combined with various parameters. Dynamic characteristics of a vehicle can vary with the change of these parameters. To investigate the effect of the design parameter on vehicle handling performance the sensitivity analysis is carried out by the numerical method. The vehicle model is described by equivalent cornering stiffness that considers parameters of suspension and steering system. As the analysis results show the effect on the static and dynamic characteristics of the vehicle system, the sensitivity analysis can be used for synthesis of the design parameters to improve the vehicle handling characteristics at the design stage as well as during the vehicle test under development.

A study on the uncertainty assessment of Clark unit hydrograph with limited events (제한된 수문사상을 갖는 유역의 단위도 매개변수 산정 불확실성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Ji-Hye;Park, Jiyeon;Kim, Tae Hyung;Shin, Cheol-Shik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.423-423
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    • 2015
  • 국내에서는 유역의 설계홍수량을 결정하기 위해 강우-유출 사상에 의해 유도된 대표단위도를 활용하는 방식이 일반적으로 채택되고 있으나, 유역의 실측 호우사상이 부족한 경우 대표단위도의 신뢰성은 종종 논쟁의 여지를 갖게 된다. 이는 제한된 수의 자료를 활용하여 도출된 매개변수의 평균이나 최대/최소값으로 채택되는 대표단위도를 통해 산정되는 설계홍수량이 왜곡될 수 있는 가능성에 기인하는 것이다. 따라서 매개변수 산정 및 검정에 활용되는 사상의 수와 질이 설계홍수량 산정에 미치는 영향을 파악하는 것이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 가용한 호우사상의 수가 제한된 유역의 경우 Clark 단위도의 매개변수 도출에 대한 불확실성 분석을 수행하였다. 대상유역은 비교적 다량의 실측 호우사상을 갖는 국내 중규모 댐 유역으로 선정하였으며, 호우사상 모집단의 수가 N개일 때 단위도 유도에 활용되는 사상을 2개부터 N-1개까지 증가시켜 가며 분석대상이 되는 호우사상이 무작위로 선정될 경우를 가정하였다. 불확실성 분석을 수행하기 위하여 Monte Carlo Simulation을 각 호우사상 수별로 100회씩 적용하였으며, 이 때 확률변수는 등분포함수를 따르는 것으로 가정하여 각 호우사상이 선정될 가능성을 동일하게 부여하였다. 이러한 과정을 통해 선정된 호우사상별 매개변수들 중 도달시간과 저류상수의 평균값과 최소값을 대표단위도(평균, 최대)의 매개변수로 각각 채택하여 설계홍수량을 도출하였다. 그 결과 선정된 호우사상의 양과 질에 관계없이 호우사상 수가 증가함에 따라 채택되는 대표단위도의 매개변수가 안정되는 경향을 보였으며, 설계수문곡선의 첨두홍수량 분포는 음으로 왜곡되는 경향을 나타내어 설계홍수량이 과소산정될 가능성이 감소하는 결과를 보였다. 즉, 대상유역의 분석 대상 호우사상 수가 증가하면 대표단위도 매개변수 및 설계홍수량 산정결과가 안정되는 경향을 보이므로 설계홍수량 산정의 신뢰성을 향상 시킬 수 있을 것이며, 이는 향후 설계홍수량 산정 및 평가를 수행하는 기술자들의 판단도구로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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