• Title/Summary/Keyword: 아파트 경매

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A Comparative Study on the Determinants of Bid Price Ratio Apartments and Factories in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권 아파트와 공장 경매낙찰가율 결정요인에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Shin, Chang-gook;Chun, hae-jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.255-266
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    • 2021
  • Investment demand for factory facilities has increased due to the balloon effect caused by housing price regulation. This study investigated the impact of the real estate market and macroeconomic factors on the bid price ratio of apartment auctions and factory auctions, focusing on the metropolitan area. To this end, we reviewed theories and previous studies on real estate auctions, and examined how macroeconomic variables affect bid price ratio of apartments and factories using the panel vector autoregressive model. It was found that the increase in the apartment bid price ratio increases as the participation in apartment auctions increases. However, as the factory bid price ratio increases, the factory bid price ratio does not increase, it was confirmed that the positive (+) relationship between the successful bid price ratio and the bid price ratioe does not exist, unlike previous studies. Based on the analysis results, it is suggested that the real estate market and macroeconomic factors should be considered for the stable operation of the related relevant auction system. This study has limitations in that it is limited to the metropolitan area. In the future, research that expands the scope of research to the whole country and provinces should be conducted.

Study on the Causality and Lead-lag relationship between Size of House sub market and the Consumer Sentiment Survey (아파트 규모별 하위시장과 소비심리지수의 선행성 및 인과성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gu-Hoi;Kim, Ki-Hong;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.682-691
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the causal and precedence relationships between the housing sub-market and the results of a consumer sentiment survey about the housing market. This study investigates the relationships between the survey results and an apartment deal price index by size and bidding price rate in apartment auctions by extending research related to consumer sentiment surveys. We surveyed the Seoul Metropolitan Area and analyzed the results using a unit root test, cointegration test, Granger causality test, and cross-correlation test. It was confirmed that causality exists between the survey results and apartment deal price index by size and bidding price rate, and it was also confirmed that there are correlation and precedence relationships between them.

A Study for the Development of a Bid Price Rate Prediction Model (낙찰률 예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Bo-Seung;Kang, Hyun-Cheol;Han, Sang-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2011
  • Property auctions have become a new method for real estate investment because the property auction market grows in tandem with the growth of the real estate market. This study focused on the statistical model for predicting bid price rates which is the main index for participants in the real estate auction market. For estimating the monthly bid price rate, we proposed a new method to make up for the mean of regions and terms as well as to reduce the prediction error using a decision tree analysis. We also proposed a linear regression model to predict a bid price rate for individual auction property. We applied the proposed model to apartment auction property and tried to predict the bid price rate as well as categorize individual auction property into an auction grade.

Relationships between the Housing Market and Auction Market before and after Macroeconomic Fluctuations (거시경제변동 전후 주택시장과 경매시장 간의 관계성 분석)

  • Lee, Young-Hoon;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.566-576
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    • 2016
  • It is known that the Real Estate Sales Market and Auction Market are closely interrelated with each other in a variety of respects and the media often mention the real estate auction market as a leading indicator of the real estate market. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationships between the housing market and auction market before and after macroeconomic fluctuations using VECM. The period from January 2002 to December 2008, which was before the financial crisis, was set as Model 1 and the period from January 2009 to November 2015, which was after the financial crisis, was set as Model 2. The results are as follows. First, the housing auction market is less sensitive to changes in the housing market than it is to fluctuations in the auction market. This means that changes in the auction market precede fluctuations in the housing market, which shows that the auction market as a trading market is activated. In this respect, public institutions need to realize the importance of the housing auction market and check trends in the housing contract price in the auction market. Also, investors need to ensure that they have expertise in the auction market.

Implementation of a Web-Based Intelligent Decision Support System for Apartment Auction (아파트 경매를 위한 웹 기반의 지능형 의사결정지원 시스템 구현)

  • Na, Min-Yeong;Lee, Hyeon-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.6 no.11
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    • pp.2863-2874
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    • 1999
  • Apartment auction is a system that is used for the citizens to get a house. This paper deals with the implementation of a web-based intelligent decision support system using OLAP technique and data mining technique for auction decision support. The implemented decision support system is working on a real auction database and is mainly composed of OLAP Knowledge Extractor based on data warehouse and Auction Data Miner based on data mining methodology. OLAP Knowledge Extractor extracts required knowledge and visualizes it from auction database. The OLAP technique uses fact, dimension, and hierarchies to provide the result of data analysis by menas of roll-up, drill-down, slicing, dicing, and pivoting. Auction Data Miner predicts a successful bid price by means of applying classification to auction database. The Miner is based on the lazy model-based classification algorithm and applies the concepts such as decision fields, dynamic domain information, and field weighted function to this algorithm and applies the concepts such as decision fields, dynamic domain information, and field weighted function to this algorithm to reflect the characteristics of auction database.

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