• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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• 2006.04a
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• pp.506-512
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• 2006

다양한 아파트 특성들을 이용하여 아파트 가격을 추정하고 예측하는 연구 또한 많이 존재하고 있는 실정이다. 그렇지만 이러한 연구들 대부분이 회귀모형에 지나치게 의존하고 있는 실정이다 그러나 회귀모형은 단점보다 장점이 많은 모형이다. 본 연구는 회귀모형을 부정하기보다는 새로운 모형을 도입하여, 회귀모형의 문제점들을 극복하고 회귀모형과 상호보완적인 모형을 도입할 필요성에 의해서 본 연구를 수행한 것이다. 다양한 아파트 특성들에 대하여 신경망모형을 이용하여 아파트 가격을 예측하고, 기존의 회귀모형과 비교하는 것이 본 연구의 주목적이다 또한 회귀모형과 신경망모형의 상호 보완적인 측면을 규명하는 것은 본 연구의 부차적인 목적이 된다 아파트 특성들은 주변에서 쉽게 이용 가능한 데이터를 위주로 하였다. 2004년 6월 기준으로 서울시 송파구와 도봉구의 아파트 매매가격들과 12개의 아파트 특성들을 수집하였다. 아파트 매매가격들 (즉, 매매 하한가, 일반 거래가, 매매 상한가) 을 새로운 측정방법을 이용하여 하나의 매매가격으로 추정하였으며, 대표성을 가지도록 하였다. 신경망모형을 도입하여 아파트 특성들을 이용하여 아파트 가격을 정밀하고 유효하게 예측하고, 기존의 회귀모형들과 비교하는 것은 아파트 가격에 대한 연구 분야에 큰 의미가 있다 하겠다. 그리고 주택에 관한 기존의 연구와 신규 연구에 신경망모형이 활용될 수 있으리라 판단된다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.28 no.4D
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• pp.523-531
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• 2008

This study tried to find differences between housing lotting prices and sale prices owing to new multi-family housing price regulation. As the results of this study, they are as follows; First, this study shows housing market in Busan has a preferences of new housing which has a new housing form differing from the existing housing form. For example, the mixed-use apartment with higher stories shows steeper incline than the apartments with the existing forms. Second, the new housing prices are affected by the information that affect the price of the old existing housing. They are rates of green area of an apartment complex, the number of household, accessibility to downtown Busan and etc.. They are also confirmed factors that affect a rise of used-housing price in other studies. Third, brand value of apartments affects new housing prices. For example, if the major construction companies build the new apartment, it shows a rising trend than any other housing. Therefore, the local construction companies are expected to be put on a disadvantage places than major construction companies. Fourth, the lotting prices are the most important cause that lead to rise the new housing prices. Accordingly, the present lotting prices are expected that upward tendency the purchasing prices of the new housing will not continue, because the lotting prices have risen since the government removed lotting price regulations and exceeded the level of used-housing prices. And it denote that importance of housing sub-market which indicates rates of old existing housing market rising, frist preference Gu, second preference Gu, rate of multi-family housing.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.592-605
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• 2004

The research analyzes data on housing(apartments) value and educational level(45$\sim$59 aged) in Seoul. The results of the research show that: since the economic crisis of 1997 out of which Korea was rescued by the IMF, it is evident that the spatial process of increasing residential segregation and the regional differentiation of housing price are inextricably interrelated. Through time-series analysis for the education level by the administrative unit of Dong in Seoul, already in 1990 the residential segregation by the educational groups was observed, it is acknowledged that this residential segregation has been reproduced continuously. The rate of residence of the highly educated groups in an administrative Dong is closely related to the variation of the housing value within the Dongs. The housing value in the period 1997$\sim$2003 has risen sharply in the regions where highly educated groups are spatially concentrated. That of other regions have stagnated or have risen marginally thus, the regional differences of the housing value have greatly increased. The differentiation of housing price reflects the residential segregation.

• Land and Housing Review
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.45-53
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• 2022

This paper investigates empirically the lead-lag relation between the 'apartment price index' and 'Internet search volume'. This study uses Naver Trend Index as a proxy for Internet search volume. An increase in Internet search volume on the apartment price index indicates an increase in people's attention to an apartment. Different from previous studies exploring the relation between 'the released price index of the apartment' and 'Naver Trend Index', this study investigates the relation of the Naver Trend Index with 'the fundamental price component of an apartment' and 'the transitory price component of an apartment', respectively. The results of the Granger causality test reveal that there are bidirectional Granger causalities between the 'released price' and Naver Trend Index. In addition, the 'fundamental price component of an apartment' and Naver Trend Index have a feedback relation, while 'the transitory price component of an apartment' Granger causes the Naver Trend Index uni-directionally. The impulse response function analysis indicates that the shock of apartment prices increases Naver Trend Index in the first month. Overall, The close relationship between apartment prices and Naver Trend Index suggests that increases in the movement of apartment prices are positively associated with public attention on the apartment market.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.86-94
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• 2014

Since the late 1990s, mixed-use apartment, armed with high qualities and large scales with a high ratio of TFA(Total Floor Area) have been continuously provided accommodating exclusive community facilities along with high-tech securities, not to mention excellent skyline view. However, especially in mid-small cities, there have been only a few supplies. As a result, none of the mixed-use housing provided by high-end brands has ever been built in non-metropolitan area. But constructors couldn't plan the projects which aims to build the mixed-use apartment in local city, because they couldn't get the basic data or advanced research for feasibility analysis. Therefore, to suggest the useful price for mixed-use apartment supply project of local city, the PSM(Price Sensitivity Method) widely used for determining the price preferences as a market research tools has been applied. As analysis results, the estimated price of mixed-use apartment is 10.8% higher than general apartment, and mixed-use apartment has lower price sensitivity than general apartment. As price determinants, the age, education level and family size influence on UTP in significant level. It is expected that these research findings can be applied for establishing the solid marketing strategy of mixed-use apartment development project in local city.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.89-97
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• 1989

본고(本稿)의 목적(目的)은 현재 우리나라 신규(新規)아파트분양시장(分讓市場)에서 실시되고 있는 가격규제(價格規制), 특히 최고가격제(最高價格制) 채권입찰제(債券入札制) 아래서 수요(需要)의 가격탄성치(價格彈性値)를 계측(計測)해 보는 데 있다. 계측결과(計測結果) 중 흥미로운 것은, 첫째 분양가를 기준으로 계측한 평형별(坪型別) 가격탄성치(價格彈性値)가 대부분이고 2.5~3.5 사이의 수치(數値)를 일관성있게 보여 신규아파트 분양수요가 가격에 대단히 탄력적이고, 둘째 평형별(坪型別) 군별(群別) 신규(新規)아파트 수요(需要)의 가격탄성치(價格彈性値)는 2군(群)이 1군(群)보다 절대값에서 작은 수치를 보여주었으며, 셋째 아파트 가격이 상승함에 따라 절대값으로 표시한 가격탄성치(價格彈性値)가 처음에는 커져다가 점점 작아지는 것으로 보아 수요곡선이 완만한 L형을 나타낼 것이라는 점이다.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.45-59
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• 2014

Real estate has been the most preferable investment asset since 1980's has begun. Especially the ups and downs of housing price influence significantly on the household and national economy for a digital economy. In this analysis, monthly movement of apartment price of Seoul and its correlation with KOSPI, construction concerned shares, securities concerned shares, interest rate and exchange rate for 320 months(from January, 1987 to August, 2013) are shown. From the analysis, correlation coefficient of the price of apartment in Seoul and KOSPI is 0.8566 which is highly positive while the price of apartment in Seoul and interest rate are shown strong negative correlation which is -0.7846. The rise of stock market does affect the rise of the price of apartments in Seoul, on the contrary, the price goes down when the interest rate goes up.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.3-26
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• 2016

This study aims to examine the influence of the Daegu Subway Line 3 construction on apartment price fluctuation and to find the factors causing the apartment price fluctuation in the station area of the Daegu Subway Line 3. Empirical results of this study are as follows: first, the apartment price is more fluctuated or increased at the time of completion of subway construction than at the time of breaking ground; second, the opening of the Daegu Subway Line 3 has positive impact on apartment price nearby the station area of the Daegu Subway Line 3, especially apartment prices in the second station area (200-600m) are positively related to the opening of the Daegu Subway Line 3; third, medium-large size ($85-135m^2$) and large size (excess of $135m^2$) apartment are sensitively related to the apartment price fluctuation by the Daegu Subway Line 3 construction; and fourth, Buk-gu and Suseong-gu areas are the main beneficiaries. The results of this study suggest implications for tax and redistribution policies in the station areas.

• Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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• v.52 no.2
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• pp.211-231
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• 2022

This study attempted to identify the effects of macroeconomic variables such as the All Industry Production Index, Consumer Price Index, CD Interest Rate, and KOSPI on apartment lease prices divided into nationwide, Seoul, metropolitan, and region, and to present a methodological prediction model of apartment lease prices by region using Long Short Term Memory (LSTM). According to VAR analysis results, the nationwide apartment lease price index and consumer price index in Lag1 and 2 had a significant effect on the nationwide apartment lease price, and likewise, the Seoul apartment lease price index, the consumer price index, and the CD interest rate in Lag1 and 2 affect the apartment lease price in Seoul. In addition, it was confirmed that the wide-area apartment jeonse price index and the consumer price index had a significant effect on Lag1, and the local apartment jeonse price index and the consumer price index had a significant effect on Lag1. As a result of the establishment of the LSTM prediction model, the predictive power was the highest with RMSE 0.008, MAE 0.006, and R-Suared values of 0.999 for the local apartment lease price prediction model. In the future, it is expected that more meaningful results can be obtained by applying an advanced model based on deep learning, including major policy variables

• Management & Information Systems Review
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.155-175
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• 2018

Lots of previous researches on determinants of apartment prices in Korea consider spatial dependence while few studies regard endogeneity of spatial lag by adding a spatial lag to an OLS regression. Thus, this study intends to include this spatial lag in its analysis of determinants of apartment price in Busan by using a two-stage quantile regression. The empirical results are : the coefficient of spatial lag variable is more than 0.5 and is statistically significant at 1% level. From this result we can confirm that the effect of the price of nearby apartment on that of another apartment is very big. We also find that apartment buyers prefer larger size, height in both the total floors and living floor, south-facing living room with a ocean view, and proximity to metros, high school and coast. Unlike our expectation, however, mountain view is less favored than building view, which we can guess is because apartments with mountain views are mostly located in the low-priced apartment area where some of their living rooms face north. Quantile regression also explains the effect of hedonic characteristics on apartment price better than OLS estimation. For instance, the effect of south facing living room variable on the price is twice larger in high-price apartments than in low-price counterparts. And the effect of vicinity to the coast or the ocean is ten times bigger in high priced apartments.