• Title/Summary/Keyword: 아리마

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A Study on Mutual Relationship between Korean Income Distribution during 1980s-1990s and Huge-scale Housing Supply Policy (한국의 80~90년대 소득분배와 대규모 주택공급정책의 상호관계에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Jae-Bin
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to examine the relationship between the improvement of the income distribution index from the late 1980s to the 1990s and large-scale housing supply projects such as the 2 million housing construction project. Looking at Korea's economic development in terms of income growth and distribution, GDP has continuously increased since the establishment of the government, especially in the late 1980s. The Gini Index, a representative income inequality index, rapidly deteriorated in the early 1970s, and gradually improved from the late 1980s. The 2 million housing construction project, announced in 1988, supplied a third of the existing nationwide housing stock of 6.5 million units in three years. The project cost was 65 trillion won, equivalent to 50% of Korea's GDP at the time. This study questioned whether the ratio of the number of employed workers in the construction industry was a variable directly affecting the Gini Index. To verify this, the causal relationship between the proportion of employed workers in the construction and manufacturing industries and the Gini Index from 1979 to 2008 was statistically analyzed. For this, the ARIMA model was established for each variable, and the correlation of their residuals was verified. The 2 million housing construction project had the effect of improving income inequality in terms of rising wages for production workers and creating jobs for the low-educated and low-income class. During the project period, the number of middle-income earners increased sharply, and the income gap between the high-income and low-income earners greatly decreased. The expansion of the construction volume can be used as a powerful and direct policy tool for improving income distribution. However, the effect may be limited. When the proportion of workers exceeds the threshold, the effect is weakened.

Studies on Milk-clotting Enzyme of Dothiorella ribis -Part I. The Production of Milk-clotting Enzyme- (Dothiorella ribis 가 생산하는 응유효소에 관한 연구 -제 1 보 응유효소의 생산-)

  • Yu, Ju-Hyun;Kim, Yu-Sam;Hong, Yun-Myung;Arima, Kei
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.89-93
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    • 1971
  • Microorganisms producing milk-clotting enzyme were isolated from 1,506 strains which were collected from soil on the various places of Korea, and from strains which were already identified. Dothiorella ribis was taken as a good strain producing milk-clotting enzyme. When it is cultured on wheat bran, the optimum experimental conditions for the production of milk-clotting enzyme were consequently obtained as follows: 1) $30{\sim}35^{\circ}C$ of temperature and 4.0 of pH. 2) $60{\sim]80%$ of cultivating water to the weight of wheat bran. 3) addition of $(NH_4)_2SO_4$ as a nitrogen source, $NaCl\;and\;KH_2PO_4$ as an inorganic salt, and 3% of sucrose as a carbon source. 4) four days for a period of cultivation.

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Inverter-Based Solar Power Prediction Algorithm Using Artificial Neural Network Regression Model (인공 신경망 회귀 모델을 활용한 인버터 기반 태양광 발전량 예측 알고리즘)

  • Gun-Ha Park;Su-Chang Lim;Jong-Chan Kim
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.383-388
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    • 2024
  • This paper is a study to derive the predicted value of power generation based on the photovoltaic power generation data measured in Jeollanam-do, South Korea. Multivariate variables such as direct current, alternating current, and environmental data were measured in the inverter to measure the amount of power generation, and pre-processing was performed to ensure the stability and reliability of the measured values. Correlation analysis used only data with high correlation with power generation in time series data for prediction using partial autocorrelation function (PACF). Deep learning models were used to measure the amount of power generation to predict the amount of photovoltaic power generation, and the results of correlation analysis of each multivariate variable were used to increase the prediction accuracy. Learning using refined data was more stable than when existing data were used as it was, and the solar power generation prediction algorithm was improved by using only highly correlated variables among multivariate variables by reflecting the correlation analysis results.

Manpower Demand Forecasting in Private Security Industry (민간경비 산업의 인력수요예측)

  • Kim, Sang-Ho
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.19
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2009
  • Manpower demand forecasting in private security industry can be used for both policy and information function. At a time when police agencies have fewer resources to accomplish their goals, forming partnership with private security firms should be a viable means to choose. But without precise understanding of each other, their partnership could be superficial. At the same time, an important debate is coming out whether security industry will continue to expand in numbers of employees, or level-off in the near future. Such debates are especially important for young people considering careers in private security industry. Recently, ARIMA model has been widely used as a reliable instrument in the many field of industry for demand forecasting. An ARIMA model predicts a value in a response time series as a linear combination of its own past values, past errors, and current and past values of other time series. This study conducts a short-term forecast of manpower demand in private security industry using ARIMA model. After obtaining yearly data of private security officers from 1976 to 2008, this paper are forecasting future trends and proposing some policy orientations. The result shows that ARIMA(0, 2, 1) model is the most appropriate one and forecasts a minimum of 137,387 to maximum 190,124 private security officers will be needed in 2013. The conclusions discuss some implications and predictable changes in policing and coping strategies public police and private security can take.

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