• Title/Summary/Keyword: 신뢰성 지표

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The Development of Fully Coupled SWAT-MODFLOW Model (완전연동형 SWAT-MODFLOW 결합모형)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Chung, Il Moon;Won, Yoo Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1057-1061
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 준분포형 지표수 유출모형인 SWAT과 3차원 지하수 유동모형인 MODFLOW의 완전연동형 결합모형을 독자적으로 개발했다. SWAT의 지하수 모형성분은 집중형이므로 분포형 매개변수와 변화하는 양수량, 지하수위의 변화등을 고려하지 못하며 MODFLOW모형은 주요 입력자요인 함양량의 정확한 산정이 어렵다. 두 프로그램의 연결작업은 지하수 함양량의 전달과정과 하천네트워크-대수층간의 상호작용을 고려하여 완성하였으며 경안천유역의 오산천 소유역에 모형을 시험구동을 수행했다. 시험구동결과 결합모형은 수문모형 혹은 지하수 모형만으로는 해결되지 않는 하천-대수층간의 경계유량을 고려한 유출해석이 가늠해짐으로써 유역내 지하수 유출량 및 총 유출량의 신뢰성이 증대될 것으로 기대된다.

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Development of A Direct Demand Estimation Model for Forecasting of Railroad Traffic Demand (철도수요예측을 위한 직접수요모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyo-Jong;Jung, Chan-Mook
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.2166-2178
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    • 2010
  • The Korea Transportation Database (KTDB) is used to obtain data on the origin and destination (OD) of inter-city travel, which are currently used in railroad planning when estimating traffic demand. The KTDB employs the trip assignment method, whereby the total traffic volume researched for inter-city travel in Korea is divided into road, rail and air traffic, etc. However, as regards rail travel, the railroad stations are not identical to the existing zones or the connector has not been established because there are several stations in one zone as such, certain problems with the applicable methods have been identified. Therefore, estimates of the volume of railroad traffic using the KTDB display low reliability compared to other modes of transportation. In this study, these problems are reviewed and analyzed, and use of the aggregate model method to estimate the direct demand for rail travel is proposed in order to improve the reliability of estimation. In addition, a method of minimizing error in traffic demand estimation for the railroad field is proposed via an analysis of the relationship between the aggregate model and various social-economic indicators including population, distances, numbers of industrial employees, numbers of automobiles, and the extension of roads between cities.

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Development of Construction Cost Estimation Model for Elementary, Middle and High School Facilities (초·중·고등학교 시설물별 추정공사비 산정모델 개발)

  • Jung, Eui-Hyun;Yeom, Dong-Jun;Kim, Jun-Sang;Kim, Young Suk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2021
  • Estimated construction cost is an important index to secure an optimal budget which needs to go into construction projects in the previous of basic design phase. In order for public institutions to calculate the estimated construction cost, the cost per unit area of public buildings is used. However, the current calculation method of the estimated construction cost in public buildings is impossible to reflect the characteristics of many facilities and combinations. The purpose of this study is to develop an estimation model in the previous of basic design phase for the elementary, middle and high school facilities. it is expected that it is possible to estimate the construction cost of the elementary, middle and high schools in a reasonable and reliable manner through the estimation model developed in this study.

Stream Discharge Estimation by Runoff Component Analysis on the Control Point (유출성분 분석에 의한 제어지점의 유출량 산정)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Hwang, Man-Ha;Lee, Bae-Sung;Park, Joo-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.785-789
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    • 2006
  • 유역 수자원의 효율적인 관리 및 배분을 위해서는 세밀한 강우-유출관계의 규명이 무엇보다 중요하다. 이를 위해서는 먼저 하천 유출지점의 정확한 유량정보가 획득되어야 하며, 장기간에 걸쳐 신뢰성 있는 유량자료의 확보는 더욱 중요한 사항이다. 본 연구에서는 하천에서 관측된 유량자료를 장기간(1983년${\sim}$2004년)에 걸친 유출성분으로 분리하는 기법을 활용하여 제어지점의 유출량을 검증하였다. 유량자료를 출구지점의 관측유량$(Q_{ob})$을 회귀수$({\alpha}Q_e)$, 상류유입량$(Q_{up})$ 및 관측강우-유출량$({\beta}Q_{Rain})$의 성분으로 구분하여 산정하는 방식으로 유출량을 추정하였다. 여기서, 회귀수$({\alpha}Q_e)$란 유역 및 하도내 용수이용량의 회귀수, 상류유입량$(Q_{up})$은 상류 유출 제어지점의 관측유량으로 대청댐 방류량, 관측강우-유출량$({\beta}Q_{Rain})$은 유역내 강우에 의한 자연유출량이다. 여기서 사용된 수문기초자료는 대청댐 방류량, 대전 및 청주권 취수량, 강우에 의한 자연유출량, 공주관측유량 등으로 각 성분별로 생성된 일자료를 이용하여 공주지점의 월별, 분기별, 년도별 유출량을 산정하였다. 이 결과는 금강유역에 이미 구축되어있는 SSARR모형을 기반으로 한 RRFS(Rainfall Runoff Forecasting System, 유출예측 시스템)의 결과 및 관측치와 비교되었다. 계산결과 RRFS에 의한 유출량과 대청-공주구간의 유출성분분리에 의한 유출량은 관측값과 전반적으로 근사함을 확인하였으며, 검증지점의 정확한 유출율을 산정할 수 있다면, 관측자료의 연속성 및 신뢰도를 파악하는 척도를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.측결과 있는 대상유역에 대한 적용이 요구된다.-Moment 방법에 의해 추정된 매개변수를 사용한 Power 분포를 적용하였으며 이들 분포의 적합도를 PPCC Test를 사용하여 평가해봄으로써 낙동강 유역에서의 저수시의 유출량 추정에 대한 Power 분포의 적용성을 판단해 보았다. 뿐만 아니라 이와 관련된 수문요소기술을 확보할 수 있을 것이다.역의 물순환 과정을 보다 명확히 규명하고자 노력하였다.으로 추정되었다.면으로의 월류량을 산정하고 유입된 지표유량에 대해서 배수시스템에서의 흐름해석을 수행하였다. 그리고, 침수해석을 위해서는 2차원 침수해석을 위한 DEM기반 침수해석모형을 개발하였고, 건물의 영향을 고려할 수 있도록 구성하였다. 본 연구결과 지표류 유출 해석의 물리적 특성을 잘 반영하며, 도시지역의 복잡한 배수시스템 해석모형과 지표범람 모형을 통합한 모형 개발로 인해 더욱 정교한 도시지역에서의 홍수 범람 해석을 실시할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 본 모형의 개발로 침수상황의 시간별 진행과정을 분석함으로써 도시홍수에 대한 침수위험 지점 파악 및 주민대피지도 구축 등에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 있을 것으로 판단되었다.4일간의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주식시장에 있어서 시장수익률을 평균적으로 초과할 수 있는 거래전략은 존재하므로 이러한 전략을 개발 및 활용할 수 있으며, 특히, 한국주식시장에 적합한 거래전략은 반전거래전략이고, 이 전략의 유용성은 투자자가 설정한 투자기간보다 더욱 긴

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A Study on the relationship among the sub-domains of Social Quality : socio-economic security and social cohesion (사회의 질 하위 영역간의 관계에 관한 연구 : 사회경제적 안전성과 사회적 응집성을 중심으로)

  • Jung, Hae-Sik;Ahn, Sang-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.205-233
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    • 2011
  • This study aims to fathom the relationship between socio-economic security and social cohesion which are two sub-domains of Social Quality, on the institutional context of welfare state. In order to grasp the institutional context of welfare state, the study adopted welfare status theory and measured socio-economic resources of individuals via the status as welfare beneficiary and welfare taxpayer. The study postulates a theoretical model that the socio-economic security domain affects the social cohesion domain. In order to verity the theoretical hypothesis, this study utilized structural equations analysis(SEM) using social survey data conducted in year 2008. Recognition of social trust was included as the core index of social cohesion, and welfare statuses, socio-economic security and social trust were inserted in the sequence. Results revealed that the amount of resource in regards to welfare status of rights had significant influence on the socio-economic security, whereas it had no significant relations in regards to welfare status of duties. The recognition of socio-economic security derived from status of welfare rights and duties were positively associated with recognition of social trust. Also, the recognition of socio-eocnomic security turned out to have significant influence on social trust. Conclusively, among the two sub-domains of Social Quality, the study found that the socio-economic domain has influence on social cohesion domain. Such results suggest that in order to enhance the overall social cohesion in Korea, more delicate arrangement of welfare institutions are required.

Development of a Water Quality Model for Streams in an Upland Agricultural Watershed (농촌 유역 상단부의 소하천에서 수질예측모형의 개발)

  • Choe, Hye-Suk;O, Gwang-Jung;Kim, Sang-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.73-85
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    • 2000
  • A water quality model was developed for small stream at a upland agricultural watershed. A control volume method was employed to digest the severe variability of stream shape, water quality and discharge at small streams. We estimated optimum reaction coefficients and model structure using a random number generation technique. The index of agreement and coefficient of efficiency were introduced for the model calibration criterion. As the result, the reliability of model parameter estimation could be improved. The applicability of model was tested by a set of sampling results at Yongduckchun in Kimhae. The variability of water quality reaction coefficient was explored through the observed data and using the developed model. model.

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Effects of Multicollinearity in Logit Model (로짓모형에 있어서 다중공선성의 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Si-Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.113-126
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    • 2008
  • This research aims to explore the effects of multicollinearity on the reliability and goodness of fit of logit model. To investigate the effects of multicollinearity on the multinominal logit model, numerical experiments are performed. The exploratory variables(attributes of utility functions) which have a certain degree of correlations from (rho=) 0.0 to (rho=) 0.9 are generated and rho-squares and t-statistics which are the indices of goodness of fit and reliability of logit model are traced. From the well designed numerical experiments, following findings are validated : 1) When a new exploratory variable is added, some of rho-squares increase while the others decrease. 2) The higher relations between generic variables lead a logit model worse with respect to goodness of fit. 3) Multicollinearity has a tendency to produce over-evaluated parameters. 4) The reliability of the estimated parameter has a tendency to decrease when the correlations between attributes are high. These results suggest that we have to examine the existence of multicollinearity and perform the proper treatments to diminish multicollinearity when we develop logit model.

Automatic Leather Quality Inspection and Grading System by Leather Texture Analysis (텍스쳐 분석에 의한 피혁 등급 판정 및 자동 선별시스템에의 응용)

  • 권장우;김명재;길경석
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.451-458
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    • 2004
  • A leather quality inspection by naked eyes has known as unreliable because of its biological characteristics like accumulated fatigue caused from an optical illusion and biological phenomenon. Therefore it is necessary to automate the leather quality inspection by computer vision technique. In this paper, we present automatic leather qua1ity classification system get information from leather surface. Leather is usually graded by its information such as texture density, types and distribution of defects. The presented algorithm explain how we analyze leather information like texture density and defects from the gray-level images obtained by digital camera. The density data is computed by its ratio of distribution area, width, and height of Fourier spectrum magnitude. And the defect information of leather surface can be obtained by histogram distribution of pixels which is Windowed from preprocessed images. The information for entire leather could be a standard for grading leather quality. The proposed leather inspection system using machine vision can also be applied to another field to substitute human eye inspection.

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Tunnel Convergence and Crown Settlement Using 3D Laser Scanning (3 차원 레이저 스캐닝을 이용한 터널의 천단 및 내공 변위 관측)

  • Lee, Jae-One;Yun, Bu-Yeol
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.15 no.2 s.40
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2007
  • There are a number of risks in constructing tunnel-structures. Therefore, the precise and rapid observation about inside deformation of the tunnel is required to prevent these risks from occurring and to secure safety. But currently, the real situation is that the crown settlement, cavity deformation and ground surface settlement rely upon the universal mensuration which uses total station or various kinds of measuring instruments. Recently, according to improvement and progress of measuring technology, three-dimensional laser scanning is used as the method to provide data for maintaining structures. It solves the reliability problem of measuring method for the transformational volume of existing structures, provides data that enables to judge visually by three-dimensioning the shape change of structures and makes it possible to deliberate speedy countermeasure. And it can also be efficiently used in the structure maintenance and field measurement.

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Texture Analysis Algorithm and its Application to Leather Automatic Classification Inspection System (텍스처 분석 알고리즘과 피혁 자동 선별 시스템에의 응용)

  • 김명재;이명수;권장우;김광섭;길경석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.363-366
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    • 2001
  • The present process of grading leather quality by the rare eyes is not reliable. Because inconsistency of grading due to eyes strain for long time can cause incorrect result of grading. Therefore it is necessary to automate the process of grading quality of leather based on objective standard for it. In this paper, leather automatic classification system consists of the process obtaining the information of leather and the process grading the quality of leather from the information. Leather is graded by its information such as texture density, types and distribution of defects. This paper proposes the algorithm which sorts out leather information like texture density and defects from the gray-level images obtained by digital camera. The density information is sorted out by the distribution value of Fourier spectrum which comes out after original image is converted to the image in frequency domain. And the defect information is obtained by the statistics of pixels which is relevant to Window using searching Window after sort out boundary lines from preprocessed images. The information for entire leather is used as standard of grading leather quality, and the proposed algorithm is practically applied to machine vision system.

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