• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.43-53
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• 1985

This study proposes a reliability based design criteria for the steel bridge (H-beam, plate-girder and composite-beam), which is most common type of steel bridge, and also proposes the theoretical bases of nominal safety factors as well as load and rasistance factors based on the reliability theory. Major 2nd moment reliability analysis and design theories including both Cornell's MFOSM (Mean First Order 2nd Moment) Methods and Lind-Hasofer's AFOSM(Advanced First Order 2nd Moment) Methods are summarized and compared, and it has been found that Lind-Hasofer's approximate and an approximate Log-normal type reliability formula are well suited for the proposed reliability study. A target reliability index (${\beta}_0=3.5$) is selected as an optimal value considering our practice based on the calibration with the safety pravisions of the current steel bridge design code. Galambo's theory is used for the derivation of the algorithm for the evaluation of uncertainties associated with resistences by LRFD Format and SGST Format, whereas the magnitude of the uncertainties associated with load effects are chosen primarily by considering our level of practice. It may be concluded that the proposed LRFD reliability based design provisions for the steel highway bridge give more rational design than the current standard code for steel highway bridge.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.191-199
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• 2013

It is estimated and analyzed that the design wave height and the confidence interval (hereafter CI) according to the return period using the fourteen-year wave data obtained at Pusan New Port. The functions used in the extreme value analysis are the Gumbel function, the Weibull function, and the Kernel function. The CI of the estimated wave heights was predicted using one of the Monte-Carlo simulation methods, the Bootstrap method. The analysis results of the estimated CI of the design wave height indicate that over 150 years of data is necessary in order to satisfy an approximately ${\pm}$10% CI. Also, estimating the number of practically possible data to be around 25~50, the allowable error was found to be approximately ${\pm}$16~22% for Type I PDF and ${\pm}$18~24% for Type III PDF. Whereas, the Kernel distribution method, a typical non-parametric method, shows that the CI of the method is below 40% in comparison with the CI of the other methods and the estimated design wave height is 1.2~1.6 m lower than that of the other methods.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.41 no.11
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• pp.1055-1064
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• 2017

Since a device such as a rocket motor requires very high reliability, a reasonable reliability design process is essential. However, Korea has implemented a design method for applying a safety factor to each component. In classic reliability analysis, input variables such as mean and standard deviation, used in the limit state function, are treated as deterministic values. Because the mean and standard deviation are determined by a small amount of data, this approach could lead to inaccurate results. In this study, reliability analysis is performed for bolted joints and o-ring seals, and the Bayesian approach is used to statistically estimate the input variables. The estimated variables and failure probability, calculated by the reliability analysis, are derived in the form of probability distributions.

• Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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• 2009.03a
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• pp.759-767
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• 2009

Recently, there is a trend to introduce a reliability approach to the design of al large scale improvement of weak ground due to the uncertainty of the influence factors in the consolidation. Since the reliability analysis is not easily adopted to geotechnical engineers because of some difficulties in working up the theories, Duncan(2000) proposed a simplified method for using reliability method to goetechnical problems. In this study, the applicability of Duncan's simplified reliability approach is evaluated by comparing the traditional reliability results with Duncan's. In the sensitivity analysis, the two results were quite similar. However, the probability of failure showed an error range of 20~50% and further Duncan's approach could not make a distinction for the distribution of geotechnical random variables. The simplified reliability method seems to be used properly in preliminary design if it is used supplementary with the deterministic method.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.76-86
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• 1992

시스팀의 구조가 복잡하면 할수록 신뢰도는 중요한 문제로 부각된다. 신뢰도는 시스팀의 신뢰도 예측, 시스팀 설계시 신뢰도 배분, 장기간에 걸친 운영시 시스팀 유지와 보수 또 이에 따른 인원계획에도 영향을 미치고 있으며, 시스팀의 효율성 및 경제성 파악에 중요한 척도로 이용되고 있다. 본고에서는 신뢰도 모델로서 와이블 (Weibull) 분포의 이용과 적합도 판정문제를 고찰한다. 특히 새로운 통계방법을 이용하여 계산이 간편한 적합도 판정법을 소개한다.

• 전기의세계
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• v.28 no.6
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• pp.3-10
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• 1979

여기서는 마이크로컴퓨터의 시험법에 관해서 현재시판되고 있는 시험기와 함께 소개하고 단일 칩마이크로컴퓨터에 관해서 실시하고 있는 시험 패턴 설계예를 약간 상세히 기술한다. 또 마이크로컴퓨터용 LSI의 고장모우드, 고장메카니즘의 분류및 고장율, 신뢰성의 현장과 문제점에 관해서 기술함과 동시에 초기불량을 제거하여 신뢰성을 향상시키는 수단으로서의 스크리닝(screening)및 신뢰도예측에 관해서 소개하고 현장에 있어서의 문제점과 대책에 관해서 논의한다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.21-32
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• 1981

Recent trends in design standards development in some European countries and U.S.A. have encouraged the use of probabilistic limit sate design concepts. Reliability based design criteria such as LSD, LRFD, PBLSD, adopted in those advanced countries have the potentials that they afford for symplifying the design process and placing it on a consistent reliability bases for various construction materials. A reliability based design criteria for RC flexural members are proposed in this study. Lind-Hasofer's invariant second-moment reliability theory is used in the derivation of an algorithmic reliability analysis method as well as an iterative determination of load and resistance factors. In addition, Cornell's Mean First-Order Second Moment Method is employed as a practical tool for the approximate reliability analysis and the derivation of design criteria. Uncertainty measures for flexural resistance and load effects are based on the Ellingwood's approach for the evaluation of uncertainties of loads and resistances. The implied relative safety levels of RC flexural members designed by the strength design provisions of the current standard code were evaluated using the second moment reliability analysis method proposed in this study. And then, resistance and load factors corresponding to the target reliability index(${\beta}=4$) which is considered to be appropriate level of reliability considering our practices are calculated by using the proposed methods. These reliability based factors were compared to those specified by our current ultimate strength design provisions. It was found that the reliability levels of flexural members designed by current code are not appropriate, and the code specified resistance and load factors were considerably different from the reliability based resistance and load factors proposed in this study.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.97-106
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• 2001

본 연구에서는 트러스 구조물의 이산최적설계를 위해 유전알고리즘(GA)을 적용하였다. 확률론적인 절차를 통해 설계에 필요한 초기 집단을 생성시킨 후, 설계를 개선시키기 위해서 자연선택 및 적자생존의 원리를 적용하였다. 다하중조건 하에서 트러스 구조물의 중량 최소화를 위해 응력 및 변위 제약을 고려하였다. 먼저, 이미 잘 알려진 트러스 구조물에 대해서 GA를 이용하여 얻은 최적해와 기존 문헌들에서 제시하고 있는 값들을 비교함으로써 GA의 신뢰성 및 적용성을 검증하였고, 이러한 신뢰성 검증을 바탕으로 사용성 있는 트러스 구조물의 이산최적설계를 위해 현재 생산중인 강재제원표로부터 부재가 선택되도록 하였다. 강재의 단면으로는 L형강을 사용하였으며, L형강의 강종은 9개의 강종들 (SS 400, SWS 400, SMA 41, SWS 490Y, SWS 520, SMA 50, SWS 570, SMA 58) 중에서 설계자에 의해 자유롭게 선택되도록 하였다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.28 no.10
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• pp.1458-1466
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• 2004

Deterministic optimum designs that are obtained without consideration of uncertainties could lead to unrealiable designs. Such deterministic engineering optimization tends to promote the structural system with less reliability redundancy than obtained with conventional design procedures using the factor of safety. Consequently, deterministic optimized structures will usually have higher failure probabilities than unoptimized structures. This paper proposes the reliability based design optimization technique fur apressure tank considering temperature effect. This paper presents an efficient and stable reliability based design optimization method by using the advanced first order second moment method, which evaluates a probabilistic constraint for more accuracy. In addition, the response surface method is utilized to approximate the performance functions describing the system characteristics in the reliability based design optimization procedure.

• 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.10a
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• pp.99-104
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• 2005

For the efficient reliability analysis, Bi-direction two-point approximation(BTPA) method is developed which solves shortcomings of conventional two-point approximation(TPA) methods that generate an approximate surface with low accuracy or sometimes do an unstable approximate surface. The conventional reliability based design optimization(RBDO) methods require high computational cost compared with the deterministic design optimization(DO) methods. To overcome the computational inefficiency of RBDO, the approximate reliability analysis approaches on the TPA surface are proposed. Using these FORM and SORM analysis strategies, multi-point aerodynamic-structure interacted shape design optimizations with uncertainty are performed very efficiently.