• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers Conference
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• 2002.08a
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• pp.82-91
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• 2002

방파제에 대한 신뢰성 설계 방법은 유럽과 일본을 중심으로1980년대 중반 이후로 발전되어 왔다. 유럽에서는 van der Meer(1988a)가 방파제 피복재의 설계에 확률론적인 방법을 도입하였고, Burcharth(1991)는 사석방파제에 대하여 부분안전계수(partial safety factor)를 이용한 신뢰성 설계 방법을 제시하였다 최근 Burcharth and Sørensen(1999)은 PIANC (Permanent International Association of Navigation Congress) Working Groups의 결과를 요약하여 사석방파제와 직립방파제에 대한 부분안전계수들을 확립하였다. (중략)

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.28 no.6C
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• pp.367-377
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• 2008

As part of study to develop LRFD (Load and Resistance Factor Design) codes for foundation structures in Korea, resistance factors for static bearing capacity of driven steel pipe piles were calibrated in the framework of reliability theory. The 57 data sets of static load tests and soil property tests conducted in the whole domestic area were collected and these load test piles were sorted into two cases: SPT N at pile tip less than 50, SPT N at pile tip equal to or more than 50. The static bearing capacity formula and the Meyerhof method using N values were applied to calculate the expected design bearing capacities of the piles. The resistance bias factors were evaluated for the two static design methods by comparing the representative measured bearing capacities with the expected design values. Reliability analysis was performed by two types of advanced methods: the First Order Reliability Method (FORM), and the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) method using resistance bias factor statistics. The target reliability indices are selected as 2.0 and 2.33 for group pile case and 2.5 for single pile case, in consideration of the reliability level of the current design practice, redundancy of pile group, acceptable risk level, construction quality control, and significance of individual structure. Resistance factors of driven steel pipe piles were recommended based on the results derived from the First Order Reliability Method and the Monte Carlo Simulation method.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.121-127
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• 2017

The actual wave is multi-direction irregular wave. In the case of a long structure, a reduction effect of the wave occurs. In this study, in order to grasp the extent to which these influences contribute to the failure probability and compare the existing modular breakwaters to the stability, we used existing modular breakwaters and long caisson breakwaters using wave force reduction parameter to analysis the reliability. As a result, the reliability index of the long caisson breakwater was higher than that of the existing modular caisson breakwater, and it was confirmed that the significant wave height of the design variables had the highest influence. In addition, the reliability analysis was performed according to the change of the mean value of the variables used in the calculation of the wave force reduction parameter. It is confirmed that the relationship between each variable value and the wave force reduction parameter appears in the analysis results.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.535-544
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• 2006

We consider use of Bootstrap calibration in the problem of setting a confidence interval for a linear combination of variance components. Based on the the modified large sample(MLS) method by Graybill and Wang(1980), Bootstrap Calibration is applied to improve the coverage probability of the MLS confidence bound when the experiment is balanced and coefficients of a linear combination are positive. Performance of the proposed confidence bound in small sample is investigated by simulation studies.

• Industry Promotion Research
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.111-117
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• 2023

Sampling inspection methods for quality control have been proposed a lot in the industry. However, the sampling inspection method for reliability, which is a quality over time, has been relatively less presented, and there are not many literatures that are clearly summarized. Therefore, this paper focuses on the reliability conformity test to verify that the reliability evaluation scale value of the target is satisfied during the reliability test. To this end, first, we look at the conditions that both consumers and producers can satisfy in terms of the OC curve and find out what sampling methods satisfy the desired level of producer risk and consumer risk. Next, two methods of the reliability sampling methods such as attribute and variable reliability sampling methods are examined. Specifically, the attribute reliability sampling method is a form of sampling plan where n samples are tested for a certain period of T hours and the lot is accepted if the number of failures is less than or equal to a certain number c. On the other hand, the variable reliability sampling method is a form of sampling plan where the lot is accepted if the reliability evaluation scale such as MTBF satisfies a certain standard. Both sampling plans may also use inspection tables.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.1489-1504
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• 2014

This paper is aimed to suggest a site specific partial safety factor of offshore wind turbine (OWT) pile foundation design for the offshore wind turbine complex at a West-South mainland sea in Korea. International offshore wind design standards such as IEC, GL, DNV, API, ISO and EUROCODE were compared with each partial safety factor and resistance factor. Soil uncertainty analysis using a large number of soil data sampled was carried out, and their results were adapted to estimate partial safety factor of OWT pile foundation through reliability analyses. The representative partial safety factor has been estimated as 1.3. When a proposed partial factor is willing to use to other sites, it is recommended that further studies on code calibration are required to validate their accuracy using more site characterization data.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.16 no.12
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• pp.8128-8139
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• 2015

Recently, the necessity of developing the load and resistance factor design(LRFD) for soft ground improvement method has been raised, since the limit state design is requested as international technical standard for the foundation of structures. In this study, to develop LRFD codes for foundation structures in Korea, target reliability index and resistance factor for static bearing capacity of driven steel pipe piles were calibrated in the framework of reliability theory. The 16 data(in Gwangyang) and the 57 data(Korea Institute of Construction Technology, 2008) sets of static load test and soil property tests conducted in the whole domestic area were collected along with available subsurface investigation results. The resistance bias factors were evaluated for the tow static design methods by comparing the representative measured bearing capacities with the expected design values. Reliability analysis was performed by two types of advanced methods : the First Order Reliability Method (FORM), and the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) method using resistance bias factor statistics. As a result, when target reliability indices of the driven pipe pile were selected as 2.0, 2.33, 2.5, resistance factor of two design methods for SPT N at pile tip less than 50 were evaluated as 0.611~0.684, 0.537~0.821 respectively, and STP N at pile tip more than 50 were evaluated as 0.545~0.608, 0.643~0.749 respectively. The result from this research will be useful for developing various foundations and soil structures under LRFD.

• Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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• 2002.06a
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• pp.199-204
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• 2002

본 연구에서는 저압 증기 터빈블레이드의 안전성 확보를 위하여 작용응력 및 강도의 변동성을 고려한 확률론적 해석을 수행하였다. 정상상태에서 작용응력은 이론 및 유한요소해석에 의해서 얻을 수 있으며, 최대 von-Mises 응력은 215.4MPa이다. 회전굽힘 하중하에서의 피로한도는 응력비 R= -1에서 계단식 시험법을 이용하여 구하였으며, 이의 확률론적 특성에 가장 적합한 분포는 3 모수 와이블 분포이다. 그리고 신뢰성에 미치는 다양한 인자들의 영향은 영향계수(sensitivity factor)를 이용하여 정량적으로 평가하였다.

• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 2010.04a
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• pp.301-304
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• 2010

이 논문에서는 콘크리트구조물의 성능설계를 위한 하중조합의 구성과 이의 신뢰도수준을 정하는 과정을 제시한다. 설계기준의 작성 및 적용에 관하여 논리적인 개념을 제시하고 있는 Eurocode 의 하중조합에 관한 기본 원칙을 살펴보고, 국내 및 미국의 콘크리트구조물의 설계에서 적용하고 있는 하중조합을 분석하여 본다. 구조물 설계에 관한 안전율의 결정에 있어서 널리 사용되고 있는 통계 및 신뢰도에 기반한 분석을 통하여, 현행 하중조합을 사용하고 재료별 저항계수를 적용하는 경우에 제공하게 되는 신뢰도 수준을 살펴본다. 철근콘크리트 보와 기둥의 예제를 이용하여 휨, 전단 및 축력에 관한 신뢰도 수준과 이에 영향을 미치는 설계변수들의 민감도분석을 수행한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.369-370
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• 2012

일반적으로 회귀분석의 최적화는 평균적인 개념을 확장하여 사용되어지고 있다. 평균은 관찰값들에 관한 모든 정보와 관련된 통계량으로써 많은 연구에 이용되어지고 있다. 정규분포를 이루는 모집단의 경우 평균을 사용한 추정이 바람직하지만, 이상치로 인한 분포의 꼬리가 두꺼워지는 경우 중위수(median)를 사용하는 것이 바람직하다고 알려져 있다. 강수량의 분포형태는 꼬리(tail)가 두꺼운 왜곡된 형태를 갖고 있으므로 robust 통계량인 Quantile을 이용한 강수량의 분석 및 평가를 실시하였다. 본 연구에서는 Quantile에 따른 회귀선의 변화를 이용하여 강수량의 경향성을 평가하고, 극치강수량의 변화를 보여줄 수 있는 Quantle값을 추출해 보고자 한다. 또한 bootstrap 방법을 이용하여 Quantile에 따른 회귀계수의 신뢰구간을 분석하여 회귀인자의 신뢰성을 평가하였다. 본 연구에서 적용한 Quantile Regression 기법은 회귀계수의 추정에 있어서 회귀인자의 신뢰성을 Quantile-회귀계수 그래프를 통해 분석할 수 있으며, 이상값의 영향을 저감시키는 평균과 달리 이상값의 영향을 효과적으로 분리 및 재현시킬 수 있어 극치값에 따른 변화를 효과적으로 평가할 수 있으며, robust 통계량의 특징인 분산이 적은 안정적인 추정량을 확보할 수 있다.