• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.155-170
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• 2018

Predicting a company's financial bankruptcy is traditionally one of the most crucial forecasting problems in business analytics. In previous studies, prediction models have been proposed by applying or combining statistical and machine learning-based techniques. In this paper, we propose a novel intelligent prediction model based on the simulated annealing which is one of the well-known optimization techniques. The simulated annealing is known to have comparable optimization performance to the genetic algorithms. Nevertheless, since there has been little research on the prediction and classification of business decision-making problems using the simulated annealing, it is meaningful to confirm the usefulness of the proposed model in business analytics. In this study, we use the combined model of simulated annealing and machine learning to select the input features of the bankruptcy prediction model. Typical types of combining optimization and machine learning techniques are feature selection, feature weighting, and instance selection. This study proposes a combining model for feature selection, which has been studied the most. In order to confirm the superiority of the proposed model in this study, we apply the real-world financial data of the Korean companies and analyze the results. The results show that the predictive accuracy of the proposed model is better than that of the naïve model. Notably, the performance is significantly improved as compared with the traditional decision tree, random forests, artificial neural network, SVM, and logistic regression analysis.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.704-710
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• 2017

Our research team is developing a 6-DOF manipulator that is adequate for the narrow workspace of press forming processes. This paper addresses the task sequence optimization methods for the manipulator to minimize the task-finishing time. First, a kinematic model of the manipulator is presented, and the anticipated times for moving among the task locations are computed. Then, a mathematical model of the task sequence optimization problem is presented, followed by a comparison of three meta-heuristic methods to solve the optimization problem: an ant colony system, simulated annealing, and a genetic algorithm. The simulation shows that the genetic algorithm is robust to the parameter settings and has the best performance in both minimizing the task-finishing time and the computing time compared to the other methods. Finally, the algorithms were implemented and validated through a simulation using Mathworks' Matlab and Coppelia Robotics' V-REP (virtual robot experimentation platform).